In political elections, voter turnout during nomination contests creates powerful perceptions that can significantly influence electoral outcomes, as demonstrated by the stark contrast between UDA's low nomination turnout (3,000 votes) and DCP's high turnout in Ol Kalou, which signals to voters and observers that DCP has stronger grassroots support and creates momentum that can deter electoral rigging attempts.
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SHOCKING VIDEO: Ruto in Panic as Ol Kalau Residents Boycott UDA for DCP! | Lee MakwinyAdded:
Ladies and gentlemen, between UDA party and DCP party, which party do you think will win in Okalao?
Because is turning out to be a contest between William R and Gashaga.
Shaga would want to stamp his authority as Mont Kenya kingpin. William R would want to prove that indeed he still controls M Kenya. Remember what he did in Mer North. Will he repeat the same?
Which makes the question between UDA and DCP? Which party will win nomination?
UDA is the next member of parliament for >> yesterday UD party conducted their nominations.
Today DCP conducted their nominations.
From the images which emerged yesterday, it was clear that the turnout during the UD nominations, as you can see from those photos there, were really low. As a matter of fact, the person who was declared the winner garnered only 3,000 votes.
Today DCP conducted their nominations and the turnout was huge. Do we conclude then that the residents of boycotted UDA nominations but turned up in large numbers for DCP?
UDA.
Congratulate you.
In this video, I want us to figure out why William R is actually worried about the turnout, the low turnout of UD yesterday and the high turnout of DCP today. For us to understand the voting pattern in Oralo, let us go back to 2022.
In 2022, Kalao voted for William.
But for the MP, they voted for Jubilee.
The Jubilee candidate, the late garnered 24,000 votes. That's very huge comparing with the other constituencies from the same Nandarawa county UDA UDA candidate at that time garnered 19,000 votes.
So which means either the UDA candidate as an individual was very strong or which means the UDA which means the Jubilee candidate as an individual was very strong in 2022 or the UDA candidate was very weak. Ladies and gentlemen, before we go further, in case you're watching this channel for the first time, take a second or two, click that subscribe button so that next time you produce a video like this, YouTube will automatically notify you. Ladies and gentlemen, why do you think the turnout during the UD nominations were known?
And why should William be worried? I think number one, there was the fear.
You see during the burial of uh the late MP William was lectured like a child by Readathi and by the senator for Yandara.
The residents could not allow people like Shunga to even speak. The truth of the matter is that initially there were plans to lock from that funeral. And for me if you are to ask me that's that's exactly what set the pace in Okalao. So people believe in Okalao that you know UDA is not wanted. So the residents feared the turning out for the UD nominations because maybe they were going to be targeted and remember Gashawa understands one thing that is going to be a do or die for him in this particular constituency and the DCP party after the loss in um Marin North of course DCP did not lose but the candidate they were supporting the DP candidate lost.
They want to prove a point. So their supporters believed that these guys won, their guy won, but they worked out. So the truth is there's that fear that people don't want to be associated with UDA. probably that can explain why these guys ended up winning in uh bonov. There was the fear but with the time people garnered people gained the courage. So let us wait and see how all this is this thing is going to unfold but I think people did not turn up out of fear.
Number two, politics is a perceptional game.
So if you look at it critically, R is living in a fear because yesterday the turnout was low, today the turnout were high.
So perceptionally to people from outside like myself, I can easily conclude that there is no UDA in Oralo. You two from the photos and the videos you can easily conclude that there is no UDA in Ber I mean in Oralo.
So perceptionally and this is what is worrying perceptionally even the people from oralo after what they witnessed yesterday they are going to conclude that of course there's no UDA and that's very dangerous for William because even if they were to campaign they will have to do extra work number three and this is what has been praying for And that's why I keep on insisting that if will lose in he should forget needs the momentum and you see they're gaining that momentum even before the elections day the by elections day the turnout itself and that's why as much as there was a slip of the tongue was very clear that The elections were actually concluded today because remember initially Jubilee party wanted to sponsor their own candidate in because the late was a member of Jubilee.
But Kashagua after learning his lessons in me decided I have to field my own candidate under my own banner under my own party DCP.
So if he's going to win, I can assure you between now and 2027, another by election is likely to happen in uh in Mont Kenya where DCP will sponsor candidate. So they need the momentum.
R would not want DCP to gain any momentum.
So wrong signals creating this perception and the fear is not good for William R and UDA party.
So as the party leader of UDA, William is trying to deal with the perception and he's also trying to deal with this momentum from yesterday. The momentum is there. You can clearly tell even online how happy DCP supporters are after the turnout today and yesterday's turnout.
So do not want this momentum. And importantly, you see, we've never held in this country free and fair elections. Reing has always insisted that the only free and fair election which has ever been held in the Republic of Kenya was that which was held in 2002.
If rigging took place in M North, can it happen in oral?
It can happen. But for it to happen, there must be perception that UDA is strong.
There must be a perception that UDA is strong. How do you create perception?
They turn out. So yesterday UDA turnout were very low.
Today UD turnout I mean DCP turnout were very high.
So really there's a perception that the ground is pro DCP.
So which means when it comes to the election day it's going to be charged because remember what these guys did in in Marino if you are keen and the team were campaigning but surprisingly professor Abraiki and his UD brigades at that time were pulling a lot of crowds and people like were like okay is m Kenya really one time or two based on the crowd they were pulling so that even if they rigged that by election at the back of the minds of Kenyans they were like but of course this is reflective of what we used to see during the campaigns that's no different from so which means and the team will be able to thwart any rigging schemes the people will be able to now turn up in large numbers and even fail to attend UD political rallies and that's how they'll be to any scheme and that is something which is really worrying President William and importantly if you studied the the nominations the UD the DCP nominations it is clear that there is something which shaga was trying is a very good student of William R he worked under R and that's why he keep on promising that I'm going to teach this man a lesson the first thing he was that he ensured that the senator for Yandara was out because after during the burial the senator for Yandara became very powerful very popular so he ensured he sent him to London Gashagago is also out of the picture so he left these nominations in the hands of the people of because according to him he wants the best candidate to win so it means there's something he was testing And if there's something he was testing, he got it right.
So is really worried that this guy was testing something and now he got it.
Importantly, which is my last point, DCP after the today's nominations where they attracted massive crowd, it means they are likely to attract more people. They are likely to attract more aspirants.
They are likely to attract more people who are still sitting on the fence. That is not good for William Rut. I don't know what you think, but that's my take.
Until next time, this is Lima Queen.
Bye-bye.
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