Massive Rain Surge to the Philippines...

Added: 2026-06-02

[00:00:00]Monday, June 1st, 2026. I'm meteorologist Brian Shields. Jangmi on the move in through the southern islands of Japan. Here's Taiwan, the Philippines. This lifting up through Japan. We're about to see a weakening phase out of it, but still substantial impacts that we'll be tracking as that continues to lift in. Plus, a huge surge of moisture headed toward the Philippines. The next several days, massive changes are on the way. We'll cover that. If you're watching from the Philippines, hang tight. We'll get into that. But let's track this. This is Jong Me and you can see it here. A big eye.

[00:00:32]So, we're seeing kind of a lopsided system. A lot of the action off toward the east or up to the north as expected with that. So, if you are sitting to the west of the eye, we're seeing some gustier winds, but the rain is really lopsided east and north with this and the pack on or track on uh all on track as it heads right toward uh the southern islands of Japan and moving in and then right near Tokyo. But once it gets to Tokyo, uh, we're going to see a completely different system. We'll get some of that weakening as it passes Okinawa, as it passes Naha. We'll see that weakening trend. It will be kind of a sloppy rain maker with some tropical storm impacts as that moves in. And you see the track, all of the models in very like agreement with this, bringing this up through the islands and then bringing right along the southern coast of Honu.

[00:01:21]At that point though, again, a weaker system, tropical storm impacts, more of that rain maker with just some of those gustier winds. You see, it's kind of maxed out right now. Winds right now at about 130 kilometers an hour, about 80 to 82 mph. And over the next 24 hours, weakening and then substantial weakening after that. But still typhoon status as of now. And then we'll get some of that uh weakening into that tropical storm force uh uh kind of level. But that's still a tropical storm. So, we're watching it carefully, monitoring that.

[00:01:52]We're just being safe. We've been in action mode. You took the action to be safe as this passes by tonight into tomorrow morning. See it lifting to the north. Still again at this point, the strong tropical storm conditions that will be around tomorrow morning. You see some of that rain even squeaking into South Korea. Kyushu back toward Shikoku.

[00:02:10]Uh, seeing some of that rain that will be very heavy lifting right through. So, this here is tomorrow by about 6:00 p.m.

[00:02:17]There's the heavier rain. still that onshore flow. So, we're looking at the coastal overwash depending on your exact location and terrain. And then you see by the time we get into tomorrow night and Wednesday morning, heavier rain near Tokyo, some gusty winds, but the rain will be the biggest thing. And then by Wednesday night, uh most of this action as it continues to weekend moves offshore. Still some breezy conditions though in the wake of it. And you could see the winds, the yellows popping up.

[00:02:45]Uh those are winds. This is probably a little bit overdone, but as I mentioned, the winds right now pushing 130 kilometers an hour as this lifts to the north. And you see it lifting to the north, even more so by tomorrow morning.

[00:02:56]Now, tomorrow morning should be a tropical storm, but even so, we'll still have some of those typhoon gusts that will be with us. And you can see on the east side of this, that's where everything's wrapping around. And that means the southern facing waters of course watching that overwash and the coastal impacts. A bit of a surge as well starting to work in kind of building backu on the east side and Shikoku over toward Honu on the south side with those winds. And you see by the time we get into Wednesday still gusty winds as I mentioned right around 80 km an hour offshore they'll still be a little bit stronger than that. So, we're still going to see the tropical storm impacts, but definitely a different form than what we have going on right now. Now, on the back side of all this, at least on the south side with Jangmi, Dong Dongming up to the north, we're seeing this big flow moving in. So, later today, the rain chance is going to be increasing. If you're in the Philippines, let me know your location and if you are getting any rain the next few days, the big feed starts to work in tomorrow. It's still not all of us. Look at Visayas back toward Mindanao.

[00:03:57]Mindanao, it's kind of business as usual. We've had some of the rain around at times, but this big flow coming in, that southwest to monsoon-like flow that will be with us over toward the NCR.

[00:04:07]We'll see that potential big rain and we'll see where this sets up where you're seeing the yellows and you're seeing some of these oranges. That's some of the heavier stuff. We'll watch out for that flood potential. Uh Sibu scattered about, tackle band scattered about, more to the north, the NCR to the north. So watching over toward Luzon for that heavier rain. And look how this just continues. Now here's the deal. As we go throughout the week, we'll monitor just to see if anything does try to spin up. The core of heavy rain here, there is a slight chance that this area tries to become some sort of depression, right? A slight chance. So, we'll watch it. But either way, the rain the biggest threat northern sections of Vayas and then just swinging up to the north monitoring that flood threat. This here is right through the end of the working week by the time we get into Friday.

[00:04:50]Elsewhere, just watching a few spots out there. The Bay of Bengal always monitoring. We've been seeing more of those scattered afternoon and evening storms, even some at nighttime across uh parts of uh India, Bhutan, Bangladesh, some scattered areas of rain. Meanwhile, back to the south as you get toward Thailand, parts of Malaysia, watching out for some heavier rain. So, we'll monitor for any development, but the it's just really a low chance at this point. Back through the Bay of Bengal, nothing's really popping up. The one spot to watch for new development, as I mentioned, the West Philippine Sea, South China Sea, as this moisture moves into the Philippines. We'll see if that tries to work its way into a depression right here. So, that'll be the spot to watch not only for the rain, but to see if it develops tropically. We'll keep an eye on Micronia as always on this channel to see what else is out there as we work our way forward. But the 3-day rain totals taking us through today, through tomorrow into Wednesday. Big time totals here. We'll see some spots over 200 millimeters of rain. And that'll happen in some spots that have gotten next to nothing over the last well quite a while. We'll put it that way. Uh you can see this core of rain though. Maybe it's a little bit more here, maybe a little bit more to the north. But it's that big fetch, that big feed coming in off of the water that will provide that additional moisture.

[00:06:01]You see it feeding in. Here's Vietnam scattered rain. Cambodia, Thailand, scattered rain. Southern Vietnam better chance of getting some of that moisture that will be around. I jumped a little bit. too quickly here. Let me jump over here. Here's Taiwan. The action with Jangmi staying over toward Okinawa. An additional upwards of 100 to 200 millimeters of rain will be possible.

[00:06:21]Now getting to the south coast here mentioned southern coast of Honu over toward Shikoku back toward Kyushu on the east side. That's where we'll have some of those totals that will be over 200 millimeters of rain. And then monitoring these areas here. Meanwhile, Bangladesh, northern sections, better chance of getting some of those downpours in those scattered areas of range, Sri Lanka back toward India. So, Jung me, it is moving in uh as we go throughout the day. It is uh again, be safe. Uh just just be safe.

[00:06:50]We want to get through these things uh in a good fashion. Again, it's strong tropical storm, low-end typhoon, but it is still a typhoon. It is still a tropical storm. uh over the next few days. Southern Islands seeing those typhoon gusts and we could even see that a little bit more to the north. Heavy rain. Tokyo back toward the southern coast and watching that flood threat for the Philippines. So clearly a busy pattern now and a busy pattern ahead.

[00:07:15]Thank you for taking the time to subscribe to this channel, being part of Mr. Weatherman Asia. I've been watching your comments. Have a really good and safe day ahead.