Weather forecasting involves analyzing temperature, humidity, and atmospheric conditions to predict precipitation and severe weather events. High humidity combined with warm temperatures creates uncomfortable conditions and increases the likelihood of thunderstorms. Forecasters use computer models and real-time observations to predict storm timing, intensity, and potential severe weather threats like high winds and hail. Understanding these patterns helps communities prepare for weather events and make informed decisions about outdoor activities.
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Muggy with Storm Chances Heading into the WeekendAdded:
Now, 2 News Oklahoma weather.
>> We're going to be spelling out mugginess a lot in the coming days as warm, humid air has settled into eastern Oklahoma.
It's resulting in a few pop-up showers though, as you see on the wide view, much of that activity is more off to our east in Arkansas and Missouri. We still have a few showers left over in eastern Oklahoma though, a few sprinkles working their way into western Pittsburg County and with the heating of the day underway, a few more showers developing like just to the west of Eufaula and also down by Red Oak. Further to the north though, we've had a few very light showers develop and now they are all but sprinkles as we see this little shower approaching Highway 69 there. Not much going on around Tulsa, a few sprinkles down by Kellyville and Keifer and as we look back outside atop the BOK Tower in downtown on the Bob Hurley RV Weather Camera Network, it is 79°. High humidity and with light winds, it's feeling a little stuffy out there and it will continue to warm up further into the afternoon with a mix of clouds and sunshine. 83, that temperature in McAlester. If you're in Bristow, 82. Our friends in Bartlesville, 78° on our thermometer there. And this evening, those temperatures will be in the lower 80s. So, if you've got outdoor plants, maybe you're heading to the Drillers game, out to enjoy some time with family, temperatures will be warm. You won't need a jacket, but you'll want to stay weather aware because by evening, a few storms may be approaching our western counties and those storms may have a limited threat of severe weather.
The primary concern would be stronger winds. There is a medium threat. There could be a few warnings involved for that. Tornado threat this time of year is rarely zero, but it's in the very low category. Hail could occur, but I think those storms are weakening as they approach Green Country and not a major flood threat or at least as widespread.
By 7:00 though, storms have fired to our west. You can see a few of those pinpoint storms in northwestern and central Oklahoma. Those storms could be reaching us as early as 8:00, but this computer model, our high-resolution data showing it showing up maybe closer to 10:00 in western Pawnee and Osage County if this does occur. An initial wind and hail threat may accompany that, so we'll stay weather aware. Have a way to receive warnings tonight. Those storms may be on hold for Tulsa until the wee hours of our Saturday morning. Those storms could still be strong or severe, but the threat will likely lessen with eastward extent and with time. We'll be left with maybe a few lingering showers towards morning, but if you're heading out early to take part in the Capital Cruise or just enjoy the route along Route 66. Right now I'm counting on mostly dry weather. There could be a shower or two out there, but most of the day looks dry until we get to the evening and a few more storms if they fire to our west and move in could be strong or severe. We'll keep a rain chance going into early Sunday morning.
That threat of severe weather updated outlook showing areas mainly northwest of I-44 with a threat of hail and wind primarily. For the rest of the weekend though, we can't rule out a round of storms there Saturday night. Can't also have a rule out a shower storm there on Sunday, but look at those temperatures.
It is looking a bit like summer as we move into the final days of May and then as we extend that forecast out into June, we'll get beyond these highs in the upper 80s and drop back to the mid-80s next week, but notice we have daily storm chances with us. The higher threat of storms appears to be about middle of next week, but that threat may carry on into the first weekend of June and that is happening to be Tulsa tough.
Might have to dodge some showers [music] and storms for that big event coming to Tulsa.
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