This video analysis explains that escalating tensions between the US and Cuba stem from multiple factors including the US indictment of former Cuban leader Raúl Castro for the 1996 plane attacks, the deployment of the US Navy's Nimbits carrier strike group to the Caribbean, and the historical economic dependence of Cuba on foreign powers like the Soviet Union and Venezuela. The analysis suggests that the US may be preparing for potential military action, as indicated by symbolic gestures like the Freedom Tower press conference in Miami, while noting that Cuba's aging infrastructure and economic vulnerabilities could create opportunities for intervention.
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🇺🇸USA GOING TO WAR WITH CUBA?🇨🇺Added:
Cuba is vowing it won't surrender to the US. The country's military posted this video to Facebook. The caption reads, quote, "The ceasefire order will never be given if it implies capitulating to the enemy." Last week, federal >> y'all seen dude just come out to Earth like that. I feel you.
>> Prosecutors indicted former Cuban leader Rahul Castro on charges of conspiracy to kill US nationals over fatal attack on two planes in 1996. Now, US and Cuban officials are negotiating in Havana.
Let's bring in ABC News contributor, former Republican chairman of the House Homeland Security Committee, John Katcow, for more. John, thanks for coming on. So, it's been nearly a week since US officials unsealed that indictment against Ral Castro publicly.
Now, Secretary of State Rubio said he wouldn't reveal any plans to bring Castro into custody. So, where do you think that stands now?
>> Well, Diane, it certainly uh is at a standstill at the moment, but I think it's only a brief respit. I mean, let's >> Yeah, I can't see us really bringing a 94 year old in.
Of course, he'd be in bed just like Baduro was, but um I can't see us bringing them in, man.
I can't see it. I don't know.
>> Let's take a look at a few things.
They've indicted the titular head of Cuba, Real Castro, and several others.
Uh the the Nimbits carrier strike group is in the Caribbean right now for so-called uh pre pre uh scheduled uh maneuvers, but they're there. They're in the Caribbean. They're right near Cuba.
And uh you have a lot of other things going on. When they had that press conference last week announcing the indictment against uh Castro and the others, they did it at the Freedom Tower, which is highly symbolic in Miami. That's where all the Cuban refugees came over in the early 60s and were processed. It's considered a sacred site and it's clear to me that they've sent all the signals that something's coming and the question is not if. I think it's question is when.
>> The US-led oil embargo has crippled Cuba's energy infrastructure. How much pressure is the current regime under?
>> Whoa, whoa, whoa. I'mma let him talk his talk, but check this out. Cuba's electricity grid is pre 1959, I believe.
which would make it um about 65 66 years old, possibly older. And um like I said, I've been to Cuba 29 times. Um as far back as 2017, as recent as a month or a month ago, maybe.
Um, and I can tell you right now, the embargo and the blockade or whatever you want to call it has nothing to do with what's going on with electricity in Cuba.
I think the current regime is under a tremendous amount of pressure. Their grid is on the verge of collapse. And that's not because of anything the US has done. It's because of the incompetence of the leadership in Cuba.
I mean, Cuba has always been propped up since its inception in 1959 by foreign uh countries. The Soviet Union kept the lights on for them for for decades. And when the Soviet Union broke apart in the late 80s, that really put a financial strain on Cuba that would that they really haven't recovered from. Uh Venezuela then stepped in and other bad actors like Iran and China have helped out. But the bottom line is they've never been able to stand on their own two feet. And uh it's not going to take much really tightening the sanctions for for them to really literally turn the lights out. The question is what are the the Cuban people going to do? And can they do it on their own? And if they can't do it on their own, is the US going to step in? And that's the real question.
>> Do you see the US lifting the embargo if Cuba hands Castro over?
Huh? So, y'all heard what she just asked. Man, regime change, right?
I don't think, man, regardless who you elect in Cuba, they're going to have something to do with the family, the Castro family. Um, the former president, I mean, the current president now, of course, he has a lot to do with the Castros. He wasn't just some random guy that was picked or elected. They had him in place. They taught him up. I'm sure that 100%.
>> I don't see the US lifting the embargo unless and until the uh the Cuban government uh allows free and fair elections. There's something that was passed here uh in the in the Clinton administration called the Libertad Act.
And that basically forbids them from uh stopping the sanctions and other things against Cuba unless and until there's free and fair elections amongst other things. And that's going to be really the lynch pin. uh if communism ends then of course I think the sanctions will be listed and lifted and you know let's not forget uh there's an awful lot of money there's billions and billions of dollars in in South Florida and elsewhere ready to go back into Cuba and people ready to go back to their homeland from from the United States to help run a free and fair uh Cuban democracy and uh that's the exciting part that happens after whatever happens now but it's really a question of whether the once once and for all the communism is going to be uh uh uh knocked out in Cuba. And that's the real question.
>> Why do you think Washington decided to make Cuba a priority now? What changed from a year ago?
>> Yo, that's what I've been asking myself, right? Why are we waiting 30 years?
Why we wait 50 or 60 years? We could have really got Fidel Castro, y'all.
Like, we know our power in comparison to a Cuban like military or power. And I feel like my opinion, my theory on it, it was drugs, man. It was drugs. Like, I'll be honest with you. I believe that our prior presidents were getting kicked back and, you know, from Cuba to let the drugs in because you like, if you remember in the 80s and 90s, it was a big influx of drugs coming into the United States. It was cocaine, you know, it was cocaine, you know, was being cooked into crack. We had heroin going crazy. Uh, you know, things like that. So, my thing is I believe it was kickback. And I know Trump Trump is not a drug president. Trump is a businessman. Trump, okay, he'll go in there and he'll want to build some of his stuff on your land, you know, whatever. But, um, Trump's not a drug president. I don't think he likes dope at all. Um, that's my opinion on that. I think they were getting kicked back because it was nothing to go get Castro, bro. I see it now. Like like we done that in Venezuela. I know it was nothing to really get Castro.
>> No, that's a great question. I don't know what it is. I don't know if it's because uh things weren't going as well as planned in in Iran or uh or what, but there a couple unmistakable facts. uh uh primary of which is that Marco Rubio, the Secretary of State, is of Cuban descent and many other leaders uh in Washington are of Cuban descent that are in positions of authority. And uh I think they finally got the era of this administration and told them enough is enough. And I think once they went into Venezuela and took out the Venezuelan dictator who was really causing a lot of problems with by coing up Iran and China and North Korea um that once they did that it was almost like the domino effect because they once US took control of the oil they basically said you're not getting you're not sending oil to uh to Cuba to prop up that regime. Let's not forget the Venezuelan regime was basically being protected by Cuban intelligence uh service officers who were all over Venezuela. So there was a lot which also shows the loyalty of Cubans, right?
Um I know several Cubans.
They're secretive people. Very secretive. Um, I'm just finding out on my 27th or 28th trip from a Cuban friend about how they're supplemented like every month from the government. They get like what we'll call here a commodity box. Um, they're able to get pan bread, rice, um, meat, of course, homeowner, pork. Um, and this is the crazy part about it, and it actually made me laugh for a minute.
They get four packs of cigarettes included in that box and um everybody in the household gets that box as well. So they get like commodity or what do they call it? Rationing rationing box or whatever. And um yeah, that would be our problem. Um we can't infiltrate like we did Venezuela. I believe Cuba is solid right now. I don't think I don't think we have too much intel other than what we can get out the sky um you know from our drones or whatever but I don't think we have any inside intel man and so it's very little and they don't know much because I can't see Cuba being a huge operation >> lot of intertwining of the two countries and I think once once we took action against Venezuela it was inevitable that something was going to happen with Cuba >> John Co, always great to have you. Thank you.
>> Yeah. So, like I said, man, we don't know. Um, let me know what y'all think. I think it's going to go up and I think it's going to go up soon.
Um, I love Cuba, man.
I love Cuba. But, um, so I'mma keep it at that, though. I'mma keep it at that.
Yeah. That's crazy.
Peace.
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