RUTO IN DILEMMA IN EMURUA DIKIRR GACHAGUA KICKS HIM OUT.

追加: 2026-05-21

[00:00:00]Emurua Dikir by election is actually going to serve as a litmus paper.

[00:00:06]And we are having a very competitive by election in Emurua Dikir.

[00:00:13]And the competition is between UDA and DCP as a political party.

[00:00:22]UDA which is the party of John Ng'eno must prove that still it is the party of choice in that place.

[00:00:37]And this by election is actually going to shape the kind of politics which is actually going to happen in the Rift Valley.

[00:00:50]And also this by election is going to matter a lot about what is what will happen at the presidency level late come 2027. And that is why this by election is a do or die for both parties, that is DCP and UDA as a ruling party.

[00:01:13]So, I would like to read this article so that at least you can really be able to understand very well about Emurua Dikir. So, let me read it for you.

[00:01:29]The Emurua Dikir by election scheduled today serves as high-stake litmus test for the shifting political landscape in the Rift Valley.

[00:01:40]Following the unfortunate passing of Honorable John Ng'eno in an helicopter crash on February this race has evolved beyond a local contest into a proxy war between major political factions and that is UDA which is the ruling party and DCP the United Democratic Alliance enters this race with a heavy burden of expectation.

[00:02:15]Having been the party of the late MP anything short of landslide victory for their candidate Dammit Ketel could be framed as a decline in President Ruto's grip on his backyard.

[00:02:33]That means for UDA it must prove that it is still controls the ground.

[00:02:42]But if DCP is going to penetrate and become the winner this is going to create a kind of momentum across the nation and more so with DCP and [clears throat] other political parties in the United Opposition.

[00:03:01]And let me continue.

[00:03:05]The UDA nomination in March were actually marred with the allegation of rigging particularly from supporters of Bernard Koigi Kinuthia, the late MP's assistant.

[00:03:17]This internal friction has created an open for rivalry parties.

[00:03:24]The DCP often associated with the third force movement has positioned itself as the only alternative for disgruntled voters.

[00:03:40]Uh voters a strong showing by DCP could signal that the Rift Valley is no longer a monolithic voting block. Because remember Rift Valley is a stronghold of William Samoei Arap Ruto.

[00:03:59]But if this election is going to allow this what? This election is going to be won by DCP as a political party, then we can say that nobody owns a certain particular region.

[00:04:17]That is actually what it will mean.

[00:04:19]You Actually, last time when there was this by-election in Is it in Meru?

[00:04:27]I think in Meru. When the UDA was able to penetrate there was that narrative which was actually created that the mountain is also open and that still UDA has a specific control in the mountain.

[00:04:47]And this is also what is going probably to happen in this place of Emurua Dikir.

[00:04:55]So, if DCP will win this by-election then it is as if Rift Valley is actually open for grab.

[00:05:04]And that means any political party will actually try uh to have a candidate in any election which is going to come in the Rift Valley.

[00:05:16]But if in Emurua Dikir the party which will maintain that seat is UDA then it means the entire Rift Valley is locked and is safe for William Samoei Arap Ruto. So, that will be the signal which is actually going to be what? To be sent outside uh the regions.

[00:05:40]So, Emurua Dikir is predominantly inhabited by the Kipsigis community within Narok County.

[00:05:46]There is a subtotal and a current regarded as the influence of external party structures in a local affairs.

[00:05:55]Voters in the constituency have historically been fiercely independent.

[00:05:59]John Ngeno himself won in 2013, 2017, and on Nani ruling party ticket.

[00:06:09]That is KNC and Ego coalition before actually it could join UDA.

[00:06:18]And that means that because of the history of Emurua Dikirr because people who have been winning elections in that what? In that constituency have actually been coming from the side of opposition. And that is why it's quite dangerous because now the party which is representing a candidate from the side of opposition is DCP.

[00:06:42]And therefore, there is hope that also DCP might get what? Might get that seat.

[00:06:49]So, the Gashua uh from the side of Gashua, which is actually uh the side with a candidate in DCP, might likely be able to win.

[00:07:05]Because as I have said, is that that constituency historically we have different political parties which have been winning and they have been from the side of what? From the side of opposition.

[00:07:18]So, political analysts are closely watching the influence of the deputy president.

[00:07:28]Any perceived disconnect between the national the national UDA leadership and the local grassroots could manifest a protest vote. So, if we are not going to have a very good coordination in that by-election within the DCP hierarchy from top to the what?

[00:07:46]To the bottom. Then that might bring a challenge and that might enable the DCP party to win that what? That that by what? That by election. And I have said categorically that this is a by election which is a do or die for William Samoei Ruto and for Rigathi [clears throat] Gachagua. And that is where it has been reduced up to.

[00:08:13]Because now it is not about those who are competing at the presidential level.

[00:08:20]But it has been brought up to be such a a big fight to represent at the presidential level.

[00:08:28]Because if the UDA cannot win then it has opened that also even the president is not in control of his stronghold.

[00:08:39]And that is actually even what is going to happen in July 16th at this what? Urika Rao constituency. So there's a big fight.

[00:08:49]And because today is the 14th day even if there are reports that this morning there was some situations which was nasty a bit because of the what? Of the wounds who actually was seen and they were harassing people in Emurua Dikir.

[00:09:07]But we expect that this election should be peaceful. This election is going to be conducted in the best way possible so that it can reflect the will of the people. And we don't expect at this time to start seeing people using wounds.

[00:09:28]Because if people start using wounds at this level, then where are we heading as a nation?

[00:09:35]So let the best candidate in Amuradi kill uh actually win.

[00:09:42]I really don't know what you are saying about what is going to happen in Amuradi kill.

[00:09:47]Which party do you think is going to win that by-election which is ongoing currently as I speak?

[00:09:54]Is it UDA or is it DCP as a party from the side of opposition?

[00:10:02]Please, I would like you to drop your comments in the comment section below.

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[00:10:30]Goodbye.