Rop:A young politician would have a better chance at the General Election as opposed to By-Election

Added: 2026-05-17

[00:00:00]is a very critical. All right?

[00:00:02]Uh, I agree with her that um, in in a in a political contest, the winner is only one. And that is true. You never have a number two.

[00:00:09]Uh, but it's it's very important for us to analyze these 10,000 people. All right? Remember in by-elections, it's majorly not about the candidates. It's about the political parties and also about the the political the leaders, the political party leaders. All right?

[00:00:25]Right now, I don't even know the candidate. Uh, the name of the candidate who won, but I know he's a UDA candidate. That is a battle between, for example, William Ruto and Rigathi Gachagua. It's a battle at the national It's a battle at the national level.

[00:00:37]It's a battle between DCP and UDA. Uh, the question is these 10,000 people who didn't vote for UDA, there's something they're telling us. They're something they're telling us that one, they do not believe in UDA. And if Rigathi Gachagua was on the ballot, that would be the candidate they would elect. All right?

[00:00:52]Uh, the other thing I wanted to tell my good sister Riz is that um, just like I have said, uh, DCP is a very young party, less than 1 year old. It gets into a region, gets 10,000 uh, votes. A predominantly UDA Correct. Where ODM has had candidates before, but this time they shied because after doing their polls, after doing the analysis, maybe they couldn't even get to 1,000. But we must not undermine. Uh, and it's true, Rigathi Gachagua was able to mobilize 10,000 votes through, for example, phone calls, through great mobilizers. You cannot tell us that Rigathi Gachagua needs to go to Emurua Dikirr to do much or to Western Kenya. If he's being attacked by this government in Central Kenya where he belongs, if goons and police are being sent to churches in Central Kenya to go and attack and kill him, what would happen if he goes to Emurua Dikirr? We are not very uh, naive to the fact that um, uh, the greatest politician today is His Excellency Rigathi Gachagua and he's under immense attack. And we wouldn't want to risk to send him to regions where it would make it possible Okay.

[00:01:54]Let me to to to to to move it to Let me finish this. [laughter] I can see where this is heading. I'll come back to you. I'll allow Allow me to contradict the I don't want you to argue. I want The numbers we see from I just wanted to give him some clarity, which he should in being a political scientist. I you know You should do his research very well.

[00:02:13]It's well done.

[00:02:14]>> In a Murua Dik in 2013 Ng'eno, the late Ng'eno John won with KNC.

[00:02:20]But they voted Ruto for the presidential in the Jubilee. When you came in 2017, you won with KANU. But on presidential election So it doesn't necessarily mean if they voted for you for the 10,000 votes for DCP means it is that transferred directly to presidencies the presidency.

[00:02:37]If you study the politics of Emurua Dikir, Ruto had a candidate. Do you disagree with that assertion that by-elections are mostly about the national contest and very little to do with the constituency? Do you disagree with that?

[00:02:48]>> Yeah, we we No, I agree. It's more about the national. Mhm. The And it affect a youth more someone like me. Yeah. You know, many times when they do such kind of uh uh by-elections the big wings in the national government would always want to show them or know they can take over.

[00:03:08]Mostly the national leaders those who in the presidential in the presidential. So you realize now in Emurua Dikir whereby we have two strong candidates DCP and UDA. If supposedly there was another youth candidate who would want maybe to run in independent uh ticket or rather another party, he will be swallowed out. There were three other candidates, five in total. No one is talking about the rest. Quite fairly young. As a youth, those are challenges that you will discuss because you realize now the DCP will channel money to the DCP candidate. UDA will channel finance to the UDA candidate.

[00:03:45]>> Mhm. And therefore now the youth would want to give a try. Are you saying that a young politician, an aspiring politician like yourself, would have a better chance at the general election as opposed to a by-election. That is true.

[00:03:58]Mhm. Because, you know, you know, the general election when for now in by-election that happened in Amurwa Dikir, we do not have a presidential candidate for UDA. Neither for DCP. So, the attention goes to the by-election and they have to influence it. All attention is also the in the country, the media, and it affects, you know, in politics and more national politics, we have something called perception.

[00:04:21]You know, you realize even there are people you'll bring in to be partners, they do not necessarily have to bring forth from their region, but they'll give something like a national outlook a perception. Like the other day you were telling me that even the governor for Musalia Mudavadi is an ODM, so he's on an ODM ticket, but he was in Kenya Kwanza. So, at times you do not have necessarily to bring his force, but he we have to bring a national perception.

[00:04:45]That that that then kind of party is strong and they're leading. And that's what happens with by-elections.

[00:04:53]So, when we have such kind of attention that the national politics is pursuing, a youth might not be considered because we do not have experience since you're someone could be a first-comer coming to vie and therefore you might not be considered more on matters of being a flag-bearer of the party that you may give a a name to the party nationally.

[00:05:13]You remember Owuor Anyiko came in to be a member of parliament, it was more a battle between President Ruto and and Anyuru. And the other guy who had been in in the ground was he called Kariri Kariri something kind of he had to he had to lose despite the fact suppose he was a good candidate. Alionya, would you advise a young aspiring politician to try out try themselves out their muscles in a in a by-election as opposed to a general election? Yes, I would advise and you know, it is a good litmus test for you to know are people buying into your idea or what more do you need to do before 2027?

[00:05:50]But even to add on to what my brother is saying, that we are at a disadvantage position because of by-elections are more focused on the political parties.

[00:05:59]So, what I would advise my fellow young people is join these political parties and marshal your your muscles. I mean, don't go there as a weak candidate. Go there as a strong candidate because uh the politics of this country is more of tribal blocks, or rather political parties are of regions. So, right now we know if you vie on a DCP ticket in Central, the chances of winning are higher. If you vie on a certain or an ODM ticket in Nyanza, the chances of winning are higher. So, even as you're choosing a political party, be critical of what the people of that constituency are buying in terms of political ideology, and also relate with the people in those political parties very well. Because one problem with my fellow Gen Zs is you you want to come to a political party and step on everyone's shoulder. You don't know their contribution in that political party.

[00:06:48]So, if you can bring your value on the table clearly so that they're able to know, "Oh, we can't do without Adonia.

[00:06:54]We can't do without Musop." That is exactly how and it takes time.

[00:06:58]>> The way you gave uh the chronology of uh the number of counties that are taking part in And then lastly, I wanted to respond to my brother here. You know, you said Rigathi is hiding from visiting other regions because of goons and stuff. In 2027, it will even be worse.

[00:07:13]After the broad-based candidate wins, Rigathi will even have to hide from his Central region. So, excuses will always be given by losers, but winners will always be celebrating. All right. You know, in politics