LIVE: Hurricane Season Begins, Tracking a Rainy Season Cold Front

本站添加: 2026-06-02

[00:00:18]I know.

[00:01:18]You do need Heat. Heat.

[00:02:04]Hello there. Happy Monday. Happy June 1st. And yes, we all know what that means. Especially if you are someone that has lived in the Southeast, lived in a hurricane prone area of the nation, including us right here in Central Florida. June 1st marks the start of hurricane season, which we have been talking about for quite a while, trying to get you prepared, trying to get you ready. If you have not watched not seen our track in the tropics 2026 hurricane season preview, make sure you go and check that out because that is a great way to get prepped and get you in the mindset of a brand new hurricane season. Um, it's available on not just fox35lander.com, but it's also available on our Fox Local app. if you haven't downloaded that yet.

[00:03:06]>> All right, let's see. And if you're just hopping on, we're live on Facebook, we're live on YouTube, we are live on Fox Locals, if you want to join the conversation, weigh in, maybe have a weather question, please let me know.

[00:03:21]Um, thinking about it, I'm going to share it on my Facebook page as well.

[00:03:27]All right, I see 10 of you watching on Facebook, which is great. So, appreciate it. Pull up uh pull up YouTube over here real fast. Make sure I'm not missing any uh any comments over here. Doesn't look like I see a couple of you watching.

[00:03:46]Well, thank you.

[00:03:49]How was the rest of your weekend? And hopefully if you got out and did something fun, you stayed dry because we definitely did have some uh some stronger storms at times, some storms that dumped a lot of rain and we're going to have that potential once again as we still have a lot of moisture in the air, but we're going to get a little relief from that it looks like later on this week. So, that is going to be something we're watching in the storm center because it's not too often that we can say we get a break from the humidity this time of the year as we are typically dealing with due points that are in that low to mid70s range, that air you can wear kind of feel, which is what we've had over the last really week to two weeks. But we're actually tracking a a rare late spring coldront, a rare rainy season coldront. So, that's something that uh we'll be h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h h hinting at over the next next couple days. But, let's dig into what we're seeing out there right now. If you are planning on hitting the road for anything, maybe you have to run some errands, maybe you need to uh take the dog out for a little walk or something like that. Maybe you're, you know, now that we're out of school, maybe you're hitting the theme parks.

[00:05:15]Maybe you're heading out and having a little afternoon and evening in Disney or Universal, SeaWorld, Legoland.

[00:05:23]Right now, everything is is widely scattered. We had some downpours work through Orange County a little earlier on in Seminal County. We have some more out to the north and west. A little upstairs energy in the atmosphere. Uh, watching that seab breeze trying to come in. We've had this dominant westerly wind. It's really pinned the seab breeze and pinned a lot of the a lot of the activity, a lot of the storminess uh closer to the east coast, closer to the I95 corridor.

[00:05:54]Excuse me. Apologize.

[00:05:58]>> Don't leave us now.

[00:06:00]>> I don't even know what just happened. Oh my goodness. Took my breath away. That's terrible. Sorry about that everyone.

[00:06:06]>> That's how amazing the Storm Tracker radar is, TJ. Almost brought me to tears. No.

[00:06:12]Goodness gracious.

[00:06:14]>> Wow. Goodness gracious. Great balls of fire.

[00:06:18]Cheers.

[00:06:19]>> Oh, yeah. I'm good. Thank you.

[00:06:21]>> I was about to tag your hand. I was like, I don't know. I'm I'm at a loss for words. Um but yeah, we we've seen a lot of the a lot of the moisture over the weekend. It's really been favoring our East Coast beaches, but um we're going to get a a bit of a shift as a whole as this cold front starts to work in tomorrow. And we'll still have a little bit of lingering moisture around on Wednesday. Still a few showers and storms while we have a little bit of upstairs energy in the atmosphere there as well. But right now, everything kind of widely scattered. There's a live look out at MCO. We we're seeing some sunshine, a little bit of sunshine at the beach right now. Still get those nice rolling waves with this westerly wind. Looks looks pretty nice out there.

[00:07:04]At least the rip current risk has calmed down. Uh wasn't as bad to deal with that over this uh past few days if you hit the beaches. Looks a little gray in Titusville.

[00:07:14]A little gray. A little breeze though.

[00:07:15]We'll take it. Yesterday, and I know Noah can can uh attest to this as well.

[00:07:20]We were both at the parks yesterday and the air was as still as could be. It wasn't a breeze to be had. It felt like just just walking around in a sauna. It felt like at least there's a little breeze out there. Lake Fair View right now. Um, and if you're hopping on, just joining us on Facebook or YouTube about 3:30 between 3:37 3:38. If you're watching us on Fox Local, we'll be taking a quick little break here in about five minutes. So, if you don't want to miss anything, you can join the conversation on Facebook and YouTube, my Facebook page, our Fox35 Facebook page, and our Fox35 YouTube page. But being that it is hurricane season, we'll get back to our our sensible more local weather here in a minute. But I do want to jump back into the tropics here because that's going to be a a topic just because now that we are officially into hurricane season, we'll be talking a bit more about watching things. We we've kind of had some areas of interest that myself, Noah Brooks, the whole storm team, Jess and Laurel, we've all been watching. Um, you know, the the water water's warm. Um, but you've heard us talk a lot about El Nino this year and how it's going to potentially impact the hurricane season as a whole. And we already have an outlook in the uh Pacific.

[00:08:40]Um, but that's where we're likely going to see a lot of the activity this year just because of uh the warmer water there. But when you get the storminess there, you know, it impacts us here in the Atlantic and in turn we get a lot more wind shear which tears apart the tropical system. So we we've talked a bit about this already this season, but Noah and Colorado State University obviously two major organizations that we look forward to seeing their expertise and their outlooks each season. and Noah and Colorado State all expecting a below average season, but we've been saying this all year long throughout the spring. We've mentioned it in our tracking the tropics hurricane special. We could have one storm all year long, but if that one storm is a major hurricane, we're all going to remember that, right? Especially if it were to make landfall somewhere in Florida or somewhere where we have families, somewhere on the eastern seabboard. So, we're we're just trying to get you prepared now, sooner rather than later. And myself and Garrett were talking about this on Florida Live earlier today. Doesn't even take much.

[00:09:48]Maybe you're just at the store. Maybe you're getting a couple things and you're saying, "Oh, hey, let me grab a extra jug of water or two. Let me grab a couple of non-p perishable food items.

[00:09:58]Let me grab a a bag of mulch that I could use maybe for the yard, but you maybe throw it against the garage uh in case of a, you know, a storm were to were to impact. It's just just little things to kind of get your get your mind back in that kind of mode. As you know, last year we didn't really see much of anything, which we were so happy after having such an active year in um you know, 2024 with with Milton, Helen, Debbie. I mean, it was it was a very it felt like it was rough for so many and it was rough for so many of us. Um, but let's talk a little more about El Nino here, shall we? Kind of showing you the the setup across across the Pacific and the Atlantic. So, with the warmer water in the Pacific, that's El Nino, right? You hear El Nino, Lan Nino. The warmer water in the Pacific, that's El Nino. And you get more hurricanes due to reduced wind shear, the warmth there. but fewer hurricanes in the Atlantic, the Gulf, the Caribbean because of more wind shear, that hostile wind definitely playing a factor. Um, well, I'm thinking about, let me just check YouTube here real fast. Make sure I'm not missing anything on YouTube. I don't think so. See three of you watching, which we certainly appreciate.

[00:11:16]Hello. Hello. But this is the setup.

[00:11:18]This is the setup this year. And as we go further into hurricane season, that El Nino going to continue to develop and likely strengthen and that's going to likely play a role in the season as a whole and hopefully keep and kind of mitigate our hurricane season just a bit. The 2026 names, you've heard us uh mention these. Arthur, the first name on the list this year, followed by Bertha, then Christoal, then Dolly, then Edward, Fay. Hopefully, we don't get too far down this list. Uh, you know, Kyle, Leah, Marco, and finally we end Teddy, Vicki, and Wilfred. Hopefully, we won't see any of those names, but those are the names this year. Uh, Josephine, Renee, Pette. It's always fun to see if you know if you have family members, right, that maybe have a name in common with the list. But those are the names for the 2026 hurricane season.

[00:12:18]Talking about climatology, when do we often see these hurricanes forming?

[00:12:24]Typically, on average, usually August 11th is the average date we'll already have a hurricane. August 26th, we'll usually have a second hurricane and so on and so forth.

[00:12:36]Typically, by September 28th, we've already had and seen our fifth hurricane. So, that's on average what we we would see, but because we're expecting a below average year, these numbers and dates might not quite line up, which is okay. Now, if you have not lived in Florida before, you're new to the state, you're new to an area prone to tropical development, prone to hurricanes, wanted to talk a little bit about tropical outlooks. But we're coming up on a break. So, I think we'll talk a little more about that when we get back from break.

[00:13:14]But if you are watching us on Fox Local, you can hop on YouTube, hop on Facebook, and join the conversation so you don't miss a dang thing here on Fox 35 Weather Plus. But we'll be right back on Fox Local in uh just a couple minutes.

[00:13:30]Meanwhile, I know yesterday when I was on with Hannah, we weren't seeing some of the comments, and it looks like that's happening again. Oh my gosh.

[00:13:38]Okay.

[00:13:40]Yep, it's doing it again. I don't know why Facebook's Facebook's been giving us some issues. Hey Dan. Hey Alice.

[00:13:48]>> Harry, how are you? William, what's up?

[00:13:52]>> Dan. Yeah, sadly no Hannah McKenzie.

[00:13:56]>> No Hannah today. She's off.

[00:14:02]All right. Well, yeah. When we get back, we'll talk a little more about hurricane season as a whole. And of course, we'll talk a little more about about this coldfront that we're tracking here later in the week tomorrow into Wednesday.

[00:14:23]>> All right.

[00:14:26]And if you hear Noah, he is he is uh doing a couple of weather updates right now. So, I'm trying to >> lower my voice just a little bit here.

[00:14:42]Okay.

[00:14:47]All right.

[00:14:51]Well, if you want to weigh in on your weekend, if you did anything fun, please let us know.

[00:14:58]Yeah, as I was saying, Noah and I were both at Hollywood Studios yesterday, which is so much fun.

[00:15:05]Sally didn't see each other, though, but we were there at the same time.

[00:15:12]>> Oops.

[00:15:33]Alrighty.

[00:15:36]Welcome back. Welcome back. Excuse me.

[00:15:38]Welcome back. I'll be back.

[00:15:41]Welcome back, Fox Local friends. How are you? If you're just joining us, you're watching Fox35 Weather Plus, live on YouTube, live on Facebook, and live on Fox Local. So before the break, we were talking about hurricanes and hurricane season beginning and we were talking about tropical tropical outlooks. So let's dig back into that here. We have about let's see about that right five 13 more minutes left 13 more minutes left of Fox 45 weather plus. If you have any questions please let me know. I also want to pull up Facebook on my phone again. Make sure um I'm not missing any of your comments because I feel like feel like we're for whatever reason comments not coming in.

[00:16:38]Okay.

[00:16:42]All right.

[00:16:43]>> Whoops.

[00:16:48]>> You and how are you? Sorry, >> Dan. I will definitely ask him when he gets back over here. He can weigh in.

[00:16:55]You and I love that you're coming over to Orlando from Scotland on Thursday.

[00:16:58]It's actually looking like a great great weekend. How long are you over here for?

[00:17:02]That's awesome. If you're here, you know, through the weekend looks dry, humidity a little bit lower.

[00:17:10]Dan, I will get to that. The weather Magic Kingdom looking pretty good. I I'll show you that in just a moment. We we'll finish up our tropics talk here and jump back into our uh our daily weather and as as I hit on this this cold front. Okay. So, once again, if if we'll be showing these outlook maps a lot and if you're looking at these outlook maps on the National Hurricane Center's website, this is kind of what you'll see and you'll see them on our maps, too. But when you see that depression, an area of low pressure that's starting to organize, that'll be notated by a circle. Of course, the tropical storm icon and the hurricane icons are there, but the colors that you see on the map, that might be the point of confusion at times, especially if you don't look at these maps. And you're not really familiar with with them. So, the yellow, that's a low chance of tropical development. And this can be over the next 48 hours. This can be over the next 7 days. It just kind of depends on the setup that we have, what's churning in the tropics. When you see the orange, that's a medium chance of tropical development, a 40 to 60% chance. And when you see the red, that means that there's a likelihood of tropical development. Now, one thing that has changed is the the cone this year, and we've talked a lot about that already. There is a brand new hurricane comb that is going to be getting put out from the National Hurricane Center and it's going to look a little bit different. So, I want to show you what that cone will look like and then talk a little bit about the colors in greater detail. So, here is the new hurricane cone and you can see the reds on the map indicating hurricane warnings.

[00:18:54]But what you might be seeing that's different this year is that we're not just getting these alerts, these watches and warnings along the coast, but we're also getting them inland, which kind of stands up and gives us a clearer message, right? Hopefully that that was the goal of all this to kind of get a better better imagery on how to handle a tropical system. And that's what this is now from the National Hurricane Center.

[00:19:20]When you see those hash blue and pink areas, those are, you know, communities that are both under a hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning. So, you can be under one or the other or both.

[00:19:37]But when you're under both, you'll see those hashed blue and this hash blue lines under that pink shading. And that's what's going to notate you being under both, which means getting tropical storm conditions, but there could be a point where you eventually see hurricane conditions. That's why you'll have a hurricane watch as well. So, that kind of breaks down that. Now, the good news is over the next seven days, we're not expecting any tropical development, which is spectacular. Whether that be in the Caribbean, the Gulf, the Atlantic, there's that area that I was talking about, though in the Pacific, there's a low chance of development there. There's a high chance of development in the uh >> western Pacific. So, that is great. And we've been watching again a couple of areas of interest over the last couple weeks, last week or so, but thankfully nothing right now. There is the potential, and I mentioned this over the weekend, an area of low pressure that comes off the eastern seabboard with this cold front that is pushing southbound toward us. There could be an area of low pressure that develops in the western Atlantic and works off to the north and east. If that's the case, that'll be a fish storm that won't be really impacting much, but it's something we'll continue to watch. But right now, uh, nothing of major concern.

[00:21:04]So, let's jump back into our local weather. Another look at radar here. We are seeing some showers and thunderstorms right now. working closer to Grand Varia just to the south and east of Uiko some up toward we've seen a couple get through South Patrick Shores little shower little downpour there just to the south and east of Davenport south of CMI working down closer to the turnpike that's just gotten through Siana and there's a little more activity that's been working through uh Marian County we had a stronger area of storms that worked through Marian County earlier on this afternoon. Right now, everything hit or miss. Widely scattered. Not all of us seeing rain, but nonetheless, some downpours, some storms out there. It's still hot. It is still humid. Temperatures up close to 90, if not in the 90s in Winter Haven.

[00:21:59]Feeling a bit better with the seab breeze now coming in. 83 in Daytona, 81 in Titusville. A little relief near the coast, but it is going to be another humid night. Lows staying above average, only falling into the low to mid 70s, especially watching out for some lingering showers and thunderstorms mainly near the coast. I'm thinking we're going to see these all kind of fade away as we progress through just after dinner time. Probably between 8 and 10, we'll see a lot of this activity uh fading away. And I'm going to hop back in. I feel bad. I know Facebook has been giving us these issues.

[00:22:36]You in 14 days, that's awesome.

[00:22:40]Dan, yeah, the 407's coming up in eight minutes with Mara Lisa. I'll actually be in the 407 today talking more about hurricane season.

[00:22:48]And yes, I'm going to talk about the forecast in Magic Kingdom on Thursday. I want to make sure I'm not missing any um comments on YouTube. I don't think so. I see eight of you watching though, which is great.

[00:23:02]Definitely appreciate it. Okay, now tomorrow, because this is going to kind of kick off our more pleasant trend, but tomorrow we do have a risk of severe weather. We have a low-end risk here in the green. This includes this includes portions of Levy County, Gilchrist County, and far uh eastern um and northern Dixie County, all of Elatcha County. Then it goes right down into Orlando.

[00:23:33]um all of the Space Coast, I mean a good bit of the Fox 35 viewing area and our Fox 51 viewing area under the gun for at least the potential for some stronger storms tomorrow. So, the reason why we have this cold front coming in, we have the humidity, we have the instability and that's what's going to all come together. We also have a little more wind energy as this uh front swings through. So, we have the potential for a few stronger to even severe storms.

[00:24:01]could be seeing some warnings. So, let's time things out here on our Fox weather model through the rest of the rest of the day. So, this is essentially heading into our 4:00 hour.

[00:24:15]We've seen showers and thunderstorms kind of working from northwest to southeast and that continues through dinner time, mainly favoring the east coast through dinner time, fading away.

[00:24:26]And then notice we dry out through the overnight. Could have some patchy fog.

[00:24:30]And then Tuesday morning looking mainly dry. The sunshine comes out, but that starts to boost the instability. And that starts to in turn boost the potential for some stronger to severe storms. Watch what happens here.

[00:24:46]1 2 3:00. Numerous showers and thunderstorms as this area of low pressure and cold front swing on through. And we still have that front in the vicinity of us as we head into Wednesday. Okay, so let's go back here.

[00:25:01]So here's here's 3 4 5:00 tomorrow.

[00:25:08]And as what we're going to have to watch out for now, the main hazard tomorrow is I would say gusty wind. Gusty wind, torrential rain, frequent lightning. As that seab breeze is trying to come in, we have the front, we have the aerial pressure, there could be some rotation in any storms, especially near near the coast. And that's where we we'd have to watch out for maybe a brief tornado or a brief water spout. Not a not a I mean, it's a really low chance, but when you have something like this happening, it's just something we're going to have to watch. But the front gets through Wednesday. We still have some upstairs energy working through, so we could have some showers around for the morning commute.

[00:25:48]Maybe a couple storms, but the wind coming in from the northnortheast drying things out. We with an onshore flow, we may see a couple sprinkles near the coast on Thursday, but overall we are going to cool down and dry out. Dan, overall looking like a great day to be out at the parks. Cooler conditions, relaxed humidity. It's going to feel really, really nice. So, that is super exciting. if you have plans to be outdoors on Thursday, even Friday. Now, we've been talking about this a lot. All the tropical moisture, right, that's been overhead, that's been giving us that potential for tropical downpours, some minor flooding.

[00:26:34]And on as we head through time on Tuesday, you can see those lighter shades of green.

[00:26:40]Still a saturated atmosphere, but look at the dry air coming in. Wednesday, Thursday, we're tapping into that drier air and that's going to help relax the humidity just a bit. But you can see on Tuesday and Wednesday, the potential for some downpour activity could lead to rainfall amounts between 1 to three inches in the shades of green to the yellow to the orange and red.

[00:27:06]especially in places, you know, like Titusville, places that haven't really seen the rain over the last few days, last week or so even should get some much needed rain. But it's definitely going to bring some more pleasant feeling conditions as we progress into late week. Now, tomorrow we have the low-end threat of severe weather. We also have the low end threat of flooding because of all the tropical moisture near the front. And this includes um just about Orlando, northern Orange County, Lake County, Sumpter County, Citrus County, right up into our Fox 51 locals, Valuchia, some of Northern Bard, Flaggler. So there could be well definitely there could be ponding on the roadways, but there could be some lowlying flooding and there could be some um minor flash flooding if we were to get a storm that dumps a lot of rain in a really short amount of time, which is certainly a possibility.

[00:27:54]But look at this. This is what we're basking in. Due points back in the 60s finally by Thursday and Friday. So feeling much better. Going to get some relief from this heat and humidity. It is just about 3:58 though and it's just about time for the 407. So hopefully you stay with us for some fun a fun-filled hour with Marisa on the 407. I'll be there talking about the tropics and hopefully you stay with us for the news edge at 5. Fox 5 News at 5, the news edge at 6, 8, 10, and 11. We'll see you same time, same place tomorrow. Have a great night.

[00:29:10]Hey, hey, hey.

[00:29:13]Heat. Heat.