By-elections can create strategic pauses that benefit political leaders who are polling second in leadership contests, as demonstrated by how the upcoming by-election provides Prime Minister Starmer with a five-week pause despite his 31% support compared to Andy Burnham's 47% lead in the Labour leadership poll.
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How by-election has a surprising benefit for Starmer | Cheat SheetAdded:
There is a big big hurdle to overcome for winning the bi-election in the first place. But if he does that, I think it is almost inevitable that Andy Bernham becomes leader and this Yuggov poll of Labour members done together with Sky News shows pretty clearly that he would storm it right now if the position doesn't change. So 47% of members say that Bernham would be their first preference in second place with Star War 31%. So that is a massive lead and also he wins basically all the head-to-heads.
So if members were asked to choose between Bernham and Starmer 59% say Bernham. It's even more stark with West Streeting. 80% of Labour members would choose Andy Bernham over West Streeting.
>> Do you know what I think is really interesting about this? Star comes second. Yes, only on 31% to Burnham's 47%. But if Burnham doesn't win, you know, again, I said yesterday how, you know, the prime minister is not in a strong position, but this bi-election being triggered does create at least five weeks of a pause for him and he comes second on this poll. By the way, the others that we all talk about are all singledigit. Rain at 8% Streeting 4% Miban 3 Koopa 3 Mimmude 1 KHN's zero
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