In political polling, a candidate's lead within the margin of error (such as Harris's 3-point lead over Trump at 47% to 44%) does not indicate a statistically significant difference, meaning the poll cannot definitively predict a winner despite appearing to show a lead.
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Iowa Poll SHOCKER: Harris LEADS Trump! What It Means #shortsAjouté :
She was very accurate with her polls.
Right?
The Selzer poll just came out the other day.
It's Kamala plus three.
>> Well, earlier we showed you that surprising new poll out of Iowa. It shows Vice President Harris up three points over the former president, 47% to 44%, which is a big turnaround from the same poll in September. Now, that number is still within the margin of error, so there's no clear leader. But, a swing like this and from such a well-respected pollster with a long track record in Iowa has some wondering if this could be an indication that Harris may over perform in the Midwest Tuesday night, including even in battlegrounds like Wisconsin.
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