This video explains how meteorologists forecast severe weather patterns, including storm movement, rainfall probabilities, and flooding risks. The forecast shows storms approaching from the Hill Country toward Austin, with flash flood warnings in Mason County and San Saba County. Key safety advice includes avoiding flooded streets and monitoring streams. The forecast indicates increasing rain chances through the weekend, with a flood watch issued for central Texas from tomorrow evening through Monday, and a wetter-than-normal outlook through June 4th.
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Storms a continued risk for tonight with more on the way | KXAN weather update May 21Added:
We've got some storms of our own out there right now. This is the view in Marble Falls with rain and storms approaching the area from the Highland Furniture and River City Grill camera.
You can see some of those sheets of rain uh there and the wind picking up as well. And then as we go back to the Horseshoe Bay Resort camera, that rain now much closer than it was when we started our newscast here uh just after 4. And the rain and storms will continue to spread through the Hill Country and they're going to try to push into the Austin metro. They are exclusively in the Hill Country now with locally heavy rain and certainly a flash flooding uh potential there. Uh especially in Mason County and southwestern San Saba County where we have flash flood warnings. Now certainly turn around, don't drown.
Never drive through flooded streets and keep an eye on those streams and creeks uh as they may rise rather quickly.
These storms will very slowly drift toward the Austin metro as we go into the evening and at least the first part of the night. They may lose a lot of their punch as they do drive southeast, but we are expecting increasing rain coverage in the metro here as we get into the evening. None of our computer models handling handling this perfectly.
I think this is the best one though. You could see 5 6:00 we start seeing some of the showers and storms arriving in the metro. Although certainly the rain coverage will be highest in the Hill Country. Even our eastern counties may get in on a little bit of the rain with a lower probability though for you. And then by late evening, we see the rain and storms uh wrapping up with just a low rain chance continuing overnight.
Should be a much drier day on the way for tomorrow. I have upped the rainfall forecast from the rest of the afternoon and into the evening to now 60% of us seeing measurable rain. Overnight lows getting down to 68. Looks like a good quarter inch to inch of rain along and west of 35, but isolated totals up to 2 in. Then east of 35 should be a weaker system by then with most of us getting under a quarter of an inch for those that see the rain at all. Friday starts with clouds, isolated storm or shower still possible, but in general we'll be increasing the sun as we head through tomorrow. Should be one of our drier and sunnier days of the next week with just a 20% rain or storm chance. But don't ignore those many chances. You certainly still want to stay weather aare and have your head on a swivel here over the next week with rounds of rain and storms ahead. gets way more active as we head into the Memorial Day weekend. Look at those rain chances Saturday, 80%. And with that, it's going to come a flash flooding threat. Slowmoving, heavy rain producing storms on Saturday. Rain coverage is lower on Sunday. 50% chance.
And the driest day of the holiday weekend looks to be Monday, Memorial Day itself. But still a few downpours and storms possible then. Now, the concern for flooding has grown and the confidence in location of some of those slower moving storms has grown that the National Weather Service earlier today issuing a flood watch for the majority of central Texas. Not Milm County, not Lamp Passes, San Sabba, and Mason counties. Yet, this begins tomorrow evening, but lasts all the way until Monday evening. A flood watch means the potential exists for life-threatening flooding and you should be weather aware here uh not just now but through the weekend. Here's how it looks on our first warning weather 7-day forecast.
Every day has a rain chance. Some of those chances are higher than others and we're thinking a good chunk of rain comes here on Saturday into Sunday.
Lower rain coverage on Monday and then our rain chances start to ramp back up again with scattered showers and storms on Tuesday, scattered to numerous showers and storms on Wednesday. More rounds of rain continuing on Thursday.
Still no end in sight to this wet pattern. The 8 to 14 day rainfall outlook that stretches through June 4th.
Still wetter than normal. All right.
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