🚨 Breaking NEWS: Iran CLOSES Strait of Hormuz AGAIN!! BRACE YOURSELF for MONDAY!!

本站添加: 2026-05-05

[00:00:07]What's up everyone? It's K with Moneyst.

[00:00:08]So, Straight Moves is now closed for business again. So, there was a lot of updates that came out 20 to 30 minutes ago in about an hour ago. Lots of updates coming out which I wanted to break down in this video and the implications of this over the weekend and what the markets might do on Monday because we just wrapped up a very very strong week in the S&P and the NASDAQ.

[00:00:34]It was up anywhere from 7 to 8%.

[00:00:37]Absolutely incredible gains and the markets have fully recovered. They have traded back up to all-time highs. Three straight weeks of gains here and that might be changing or that might be ending potentially starting next week as Iranian state media has said the straight muse has closed again. So straight over moose shut down again over US piracy over the US blockade. So just Iranian officials issue the statement after closing the straight moose again until the US lifts its blockade. They say and I quote, "We warned you and you ignored it. now enjoy Hormuz returning to its previous state. So again, Iran's military says it's reimposing restrictions on the straight of Hermuz as the US continues its naval blockade.

[00:01:24]So there's a lot for us to discuss here because there's a couple updates uh from the Iran's deputy foreign minister saying that Trump's talks too much basically um and when asked about the current uh comments or the recent comments from President Trump suggesting that US would quote unquote start dropping bombs again if no deal is reached with Iran by Wednesday. So again, Wednesday is the deadline for that twoe ceasefire. He says and I quote he said a contradictory things within the same statement. I don't know what he exactly meant. We will fight uh until the last Iranian soldier and war cannot lead to any anything positive outcome, but it's ready to keep defending itself if under attack and any US breaches to be met with appropriate response from IRGC. The IRGC's Navy command has reiterated that straight of muse has returned to its prior restricted status as long as the movement of the vessels from Iran and to Iran is under threat.

[00:02:22]So there is a naval blockade from the US. The status of the Ormuse straight of Mmuse would remain to its previously closed state here. Any breach of commitment by the United States will receive an appropriate response. So as unfortunate as it is, we are looking at sort of backtracking some of the progress that we have made over the last couple weeks here with the ceasefire, the peace talks, the server moves finally opening. There was a huge confirmation on Friday, but that is now returning back to its previous state.

[00:02:51]And this right here was Michael Schub, director of strategic analytics analysis Australia think tank. And he says, and I quote, "The shifting status of the straight of rem jeopardizes potential US Iran negotiations." Um, if US and Iran can't implement a ceasefire, reaching a deal, quote unquote, hard to believe.

[00:03:10]And I could not agree more because the first step to reaching any kind of deal is to make sure that you're not attacking the other party. And this again, we're going to find out what happens over the weekend. I'm sure President Trump is going to comment on this. Um, and there's going to be some updates from the US military as well.

[00:03:28]Um, because I I do think that the blockade needs to be lifted in order for us to progress through these escalations or excuse me, progress through these negotiations and deescalate and not go through with these escalations. Um, and so these blockade need to be lifted from the US. Um, so Michael Schubert says, and I quote, "Seeing those first tankers come through the straight, I think was very wellreceived across the world. But seeing Iran close the straight again, uh, because America hasn't lifted its blockade of Iranian shipping is a real setback." And I do agree with that. The problem here, I think, is President Trump has overplayed things because he wants to desperately portray himself as winning. Um, he also added, and I quote, "We've heard from Trump that an agreement is very, very close, but that would be very hard to believe if they can't even get to the starting point, which is seeing the ceasefire terms come into place. And more importantly, America may need to shift their position again here. So they do need to lift the straight of Hormuz blockade in order for the straight of Hermus to open back up under Iranian supervision or at least a combined coalition between the US and Iran for uh the moments while they are agreeing or discussing the ceasefire and the peace talks and the terms as well.

[00:04:43]So given that this is a brand new development, I would not be surprised to see oil prices move back higher. So, oil prices were of course down almost 10% on Friday on the back of this big update that trade movies has opened, but because we're reversing back higher, I would not be surprised if we're trading here in the mid90s uh once again. So, I would not be surprised to see it at 92 93 $94 a barrel. Um, and of course, volatility to also start making some moves back higher given how oversold we are on volatility and how overbought we are technically on the markets as well.

[00:05:17]Now, before we jump into the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, make sure that you do drop a like and of course subscribe to the channel. Again, links going to be down below if you're interested in joining being a part of our Money Vest community and of course getting access to everything including the Money Vest platform, the trade alerts, the Discord channels, everything is going to be available through that one subscription.

[00:05:35]So, first things first, let me just go over to the RSI dashboard. This right here is the current status of the S&P 500's RSI and we are clearly in the 95th percentile which is a rare reading in the markets. Right? So the highest we've ever gone to is 86 RSI. Right now we're at 73 and the lowest is 11. And right now we are in the 95th percentile which in itself is a pretty overbought reading technically speaking. And this right here is market breath. And once again you can clearly identify the level that we are at which is at almost 80%.

[00:06:09]Anything anytime we are inside this red rectangle or close to it is an overbought technical level for the market. So I'm being very clear in this market update. I don't want there to be any confusion or misunderstanding. This is a market which is unfavorable on a risk-reward ratio and technically overbought and stretched to the upside.

[00:06:29]I can go over so many stocks right now that are sitting at overbought levels.

[00:06:34]Amazon overbought. Nvidia overbought.

[00:06:37]Advanced Micro Devices overbought.

[00:06:39]Broadcom overbought. Uh Meta Platforms overbought. Google overbought. Um if I go over to Crowd Strike, probably not.

[00:06:48]So very neutral right now. But let's take a look at um another Magnificent 7 stock. Microsoft overbought, right? RSI is over 71. Um, and again, the list goes on and on. There's a lot of stocks, there's a lot of names right now that are trading at near overbought, stretched out levels. So, a technical pullback or a technical dip or technical uh sell-off is very possible. I'm not saying it's going to happen because nobody can predict the markets, but it will happen, right? So, the idea is not for us to figure out when um if it's going to happen, but the idea is for us to figure out when it's going to happen because it will. We just don't know when. Right. So, that is the whole S&P 500's remarks right now given how overbought we are. And of course, we've been on this multiple 3-w week streak for the market. So, that is also available on our Money Vest dashboard.

[00:07:40]As you can see right here, we've also put down a counter to take a look at the next FOMC meeting, which happens in just over 12 days. Uh the latest CPI numbers, the PCE numbers, all of that is going to be available on this uh Money Vest platform now on the dashboard. But if you scroll down, you'll notice that we are on a 3-w weekek um winning streak here. The NASDAQ is on a 13 days winning streak and also on a 3-week uh winning streak here. And S&P 500's been going up for five straight days. So that's where we are with number of days spent above the 50 and 100 simple moving average is anywhere from 7 to 8 days. So it has been well over a week the markets have been trading um above their moving averages. And of course the market index money index is trading at optimism at 3.75 for the S&P NASDAQ sitting at 3.66.

[00:08:29]So what am I doing in this entire environment? The idea is simple. Um with the blockade um you know obviously causing more problems and we are going back to its previous state for the straight moves being closed down. Water prices in my opinion on Monday are going to once again see a little bit of a lift. volatility could be on the rise as well. Um, and when we talk about S&P or the NASDAQ, you know, given that we are pretty overbought right now, technically overbought as well as this catalyst coming in, I would not be surprised to see a little bit of red going into Monday, Tuesday, or next week overall because of the 3-week win streak that we are in for the markets. Now that only creates opportunities for us to DCA um and of course buy once again because eventually I think we can all agree that there is going to be some kind of ceasefire peace deal some kind of deal that is going to be executed and structured between the US and Iran and so we are once again going to get some buying opportunities and some dollar cost averaging opportunities. So what am I doing? My cash exposure right now at these levels given how overbought we are is going to be going higher. So in my previous videos also I mentioned that I'm being cash ready or I'm being prepared for more opportunities to dollar cost average into it because the market's riskreward is certainly not favorable right now. So there you have it. That's the entire update on this market which is crazy. Uh Bitcoin is also responding to this. So it's down a little bit over 1% trading back down to $76,000 right now as Ethereum is also coming down over 2 and a half%. So, back under 2400 as both Bitcoin and Ethereum are responding to this latest update. We're going to find out where crude oil and volatility also trade on Monday morning as pre-market, of course, we are going into this weekend, but we'll find out where markets are trading on Sunday evening when the futures open. As always, make sure that you drop a like, subscribe to the channel. Links going to be down below if you're interested in joining us. As always, happy investing.

[00:10:31]And I'll see you all in the next