MORE BAD NEWS FOR TRUMP...

追加: 2026-05-22

[00:00:00]What have you said to to Prime Minister Netanyahu about Iran and how long to to hold off on strike?

[00:00:05]>> Fine. He'll do whatever I want him to do.

[00:00:06]>> The negotiations with Iran continue. Uh Iran says they're reviewing the US proposal.

[00:00:12]the US has effectively kind of held off on resuming bombing um Iran because Iran has so effectively themselves used their geographic leverage over the straight of Hormuz and have been uh very successful at making the west feel economic pain for this and the rest of the world in many ways. Um, Trump uses his social media to threaten bombing and violence, but no one believes the paper tiger anymore. The markets don't believe the p paper the cheetah. Get it? Cheeto.

[00:00:54]Anyway, um, >> okay.

[00:00:57]>> Packed show everybody.

[00:01:03]>> Okay. Uh Iran though does say that like over 30 ships have passed through the straight of Hormuz as of this morning and this comes on the heel of the US China summit as well. It appears that Iran is charging tolls which is objectively a uh strategic defeat for the United States and Trump because the Israel lobby is more focused on this part is fixated on the nuclear weapon piece. Now Iran can concede things as it relates to uranium enrichment. Um I think because they have so effectively used the straight of Hormuz to defend themselves and the economic leverage that they have over the rest of the world. But uh Israel is constantly moving the goalposts about uranium enrichment and uh much of the lobbying effort that defeated the JCPOA and Trump gladly uh undid it because Obama was the one that negotiated it. uh was about lying about Iran's level of uranium enrichment and that continues to this very day as a way to keep the United States embroiled in this criminal war in Iran. So there's apparently a schism here. The new Ayatollah doesn't want to send the uranium abroad to be warehoused elsewhere. Uh perhaps some of the more moderate factions in Iran have a different opinion, but Trump is upset about it. He doesn't like dealing with the new Ayatollah because it reminds him that like you can say it was regime change as many times as you want, but it's the exact same regime, just not the old guy that was in charge of it before.

[00:02:42]But the bad news too is that Israel's continuing to bomb Lebanon and and Gaza amid these negotiations. The genocide in Gaza is ongoing. Um, that means in my view, at least from watching from the outside, that the US and Israel have gotten Iran to effectively kind of soften their demands um as it relates to the so-called axis of resistance with Hezbollah included and Hamas as a part of it as well. Um, Israel is trying to escalate their bombing campaigns in both Gaza and Lebanon as a way to undercut these negotiations. And as I mentioned in headlines, Axios, like we're in Biden, uh, Biden's term once again, says Trump and Netanyahu had a very tense call and the Israelis were really upset.

[00:03:33]Oh my gosh, who's falling for Barack Ravid's Kabuki theater anymore? I'm not sure because uh at the very least here Trump kind of just says what's on his mind about how he feels about Netanyahu in particular and how he feels about Israel.

[00:03:50]It seems like Israel has captured his heart.

[00:03:54]>> What have you said to to Prime Minister Netanyahu about Iran and how long to to hold off on strike?

[00:03:58]>> He's fine. He'll do whatever I want him to do. He's very very good man.

[00:04:03]uh he'll do whatever I want him to do and he's a he's a great guy to me. He's a great guy. Don't forget he was a wartime prime minister and he's not treated right in Israel in my opinion.

[00:04:16]I'm right now at 99% in Israel. I could run for prime minister. So maybe after I do this I'll go to Israel, run for prime minister. Had a poll this morning. I'm 99%.

[00:04:28]So that's good. But uh no, he's a wartime prime minister and I just don't think they treat him well.

[00:04:34]>> MR. PRESIDENT, YOU >> I THINK THEY have a president over there that treats him very poorly.

[00:04:39]>> You're on the same page with them on Iran.

[00:04:42]Yeah, >> you know, if we had a competent opposition party, that ad would be played all over the airwaves, given the level of toxicity and hatred that people feel in this country for the state of Israel, dragging us into a war with Iran that is materially impacting every single person with these crazy crazy gas prices. I saw that there was an analysis released uh the other day, yesterday, um from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy showing that over just this holiday weekend that's upcoming, Memorial Day weekend, Americans will collectively spend $3.5 billion extra on gas because of this war in Iran. So like, yeah, you can there there are many people that don't care about children getting bombed and a massive uh genocide with a drastically underounted death toll in Gaza and Israel's expansionist aims, but damn do they care if they're paying that much more for gas at the pump and it's impacting their lives. So you have Trump going out there saying how much he loves Netanyahu, which everyone associates Israel with this war now. And there's no amount of capture from Zionists of media organizations and social media companies that is going to change that fact. Um, we're I I I sometimes hesitate to emphasize this because I don't necessarily think that this changes things electorally and I don't want to overstate it, but I can't ignore some of these numbers that are coming out with Republicans on this because it's bad for them and I want to incentivize a fracture in the Republican base. And the more that the Democrats could do this potentially by emphasizing Israel's influence over Trump, again, I won't hold my breath with leadership, but perhaps there's some competent Democrats that will do this. Um, the better it is for defeating fascism.

[00:06:37]Scroll just to the bullet point portion here. This is on young Republicans in this New York Times Sienna poll. This is perfect. Thank you.

[00:06:44]Um, on almost every foreign policy question asked in the poll, the 18 to 44 year old segment of the Republican coalition takes a dissenting view. This is the difference between older Republicans and younger ones, and it's really stark. A majority disapprove of Mr. Trump's handling of the war in Iran, and only 40% say he made the right decision in choosing to attack Iran.

[00:07:08]only 33% support providing additional economic and military support to Israel compared with 72% of those 45 and older.

[00:07:17]I just want to linger on that for a second. 33% of Republicans under the age of 44 support additional uh military and economic support to Israel compared with 72% of those older than 45.

[00:07:36]That is more than double the level of support. It's a ma it's a massive gener I mean for all of the talk in our mainstream press about how it's Jewish people that are buoying support for Israel in this country and how anti-ion anti-ionism would be an electoral liability in more Jewish areas of the country.

[00:07:58]Are you kidding me here?

[00:07:59]>> More evangelical areas. evangelicals and old Republicans that are maintaining support for this genocidal settler colonial project.

[00:08:07]>> We covered it yesterday, but the only age group Ed Gallerin won was over 65.

[00:08:12]>> And and you did you did you see his part his election party that had 12 people at it?

[00:08:17]>> Yeah.

[00:08:17]>> I mean like let's let's >> It was past his voters bedtime.

[00:08:21]>> Let's pretend let's pretend that we're living in a democracy, please.

[00:08:25]>> I mean it's crazy. and and and with that race, not to to go too far a field, but the the three most expensive primary races in the country have all been successful uh attempts by the Zionist lobby to take out anti-Zionist or voices that were critical of Israel. They in those three primaries, they were unfortunately successful. So, how can we call it a democracy when you can have the Israel lobby take out Massie, Bowman, and Bush in the three most expensive primaries in the history of this country? And we act like the voters really matter here.

[00:09:00]Um, a majority, 54% say Mr. Trump has been too supportive of Israel compared with 16% of those 45 and older.

[00:09:10]So, a majority of Republicans under 44, 44 and under say Trump's been too supportive of Israel, compared with 16% for older. Nearly 3/4 say America should pay less attention to problems overseas, compared with 40% of Republicans 45 and over. And this part is key. The opposition isn't mostly about young Republicans wanting the party to be less conservative more generally. While younger Republican supporters are less likely to identify as conservative, only 28% said the Republican party is too far to the right compared with 16% of those 45 and older. So there you go. the young Republicans, you know, the teenagers that are 38 years old talking about how much they love Hitler in the group chat are the ones that are motivating the critiques critique of Israel here.

[00:10:03]This is not some this is so I I want to be clear, this is an opportunity to break apart the Republican coalition, but this is not an opportunity to grab those voters. Uh, you know, we we played that triple Trumper guy who said that he was scammed and after voting Trump for a third time, the real question is like who are you gonna vote for next time? Is it gonna be Marco Rubio or is it going to be AOC? Is it going to be JD Vance?

[00:10:30]Is it going to be, you know, Chris Van Holland or whatever? Like we they'll still probably vote in that direction.

[00:10:37]And it is very terrifying this rise of anti-semitism amongst the young right and the fact that that's motivating it.

[00:10:44]But as an opportunity to hurt Trump and his coalition, we should not turn our nose up at it is my real uh assessment.

[00:10:52]I >> I would make another observation about the um what this is going to create among in the minds of young conservatives who uh don't like that their candidate gets wiped out by Israel money. Um it is going to create anti-semitism in those people. Those people are fertile ground for it. In fact, that type of Christianity is where anti-semitism came from. Y and I'll make two observations that I know are true and one that I think is true. The first is that Israel knows that that's happening. And the second is that Israel doesn't care that that's happening in those minds of those people. And the third is because they're doing it intentionally. They because anti-semitism is a justification for the ethnostate of Israel. Uh BB Netanyahu, Bengavir, they do not care. They do not care one iota if Jews in America are more under threat. In fact, I I take that back. They do care. They want it.

[00:11:40]They want it. They want ex that they in the way that Zionists uh critique I guess victims of the Holocaust, the real extreme Zionists in Israel say that they were the weak Jews. If you're a Jewish American that wants to live side by side with other people of other faiths and religions, and you're not moving to Israel to fight the good fight of destroying uh the the Palestinian people, of committing genocide, of you know, joining taking up arms to slaughter Arabs, then how could you be the strong Jew that is worthy of survival? And I just want to play a little bit before we go to our break just to emphasize that while this is you should take that data as an opportunity to fracture their coalition, there are whole swats of voters that are getable that aren't, you know, Nazis or aren't taking you down a path of trying to pursue their votes when the it once Trump is cycled out and they can get a new fresher far-right figure head, they're going to be more drawn towards this person.

[00:12:52]These are the voters we got to get.

[00:12:54]Listen to these numbers from Harry Anton, our wonderful theatrical friend about non voters in 2024 and where they're at with the president >> are changing that are moving that are different than the last election.

[00:13:10]>> You know, you mentioned the Republican base in your intro and then obviously there's the Democratic opposition, but what about those who didn't cast a ballot at all in 2024? Those who didn't show up to vote, well, they have become absolutely perturbed. I dare say they are pissed off at the president of the United States. Voters who didn't cast a ballot in 2024. Trump's net approval rating back in November of 2024, just after the election. Look at his net approval rating was plus four points for his plans in office. But look at that.

[00:13:39]It is fall. Yeah, there you go, Sarah Sidner. That's the only sound you can make. It has fallen through the floor.

[00:13:45]Look at this. minus 50 points on Trump's net approval rating among voters who did not in fact cast a ballot in 2024. That is, you don't have to be a mathematical genius, an over 50 point move against the president of the United States among those who are kind of like me, you know, in terms of voting in 2024. But now they are pissed off.

[00:14:07]>> Okay. Well, they're pissed, right? But the question is, will they go out to vote? And so, you know, there were around 90 million Americans that did that was were eligible to vote that did not vote in the election. Turnout, it was less than 2020, but it is in terms of like past elections, turnout has increased over the years. Um, voter participation, however, there were many, many voters that sat out because of Gaza, because of the economy, because they didn't like both choices. They do not have ideological Nazi views that are driving them away from Trump and fracturing the Republican party. They are not going to be swayed. Those voters that I just mentioned from uh on the Republican side, those are not the the the the group of voters that we should be targeting. In the same way that the establishment Democrats are obsessed with targeting the moderate Republican, the online media ecosystem that wants to talk about how Marjorie Taylor Green is the new GOP or whatever is also overemphasizing the getability of the anti-Israel right. The voters that Anon just described, that's the pool of people that need to be targeted and that requires mass mobilization. That requires door knockocking, that requires a movement, not microargeting that enriches consultants.

[00:15:34]>> Uh, real quick, uh, there's a media companies.

[00:15:36]>> New York Times Sienna poll just came out. In order to win the next presidential election, a Democrat party needs to move left, right, center, whatever. This is >> same poll, by the way.

[00:15:43]>> This is of a potential Democrat supporters. In other words, people I don't really care to listen to on crime, immigration, or trans issues. But the key number there is that they all think the party, even the people that think they're too far to the left on trans economic uh or immigration issues, they all want them to go further to the left on healthcare issues. And the problem with the Democratic party is uh who which party won uh health exec donor funding in the last election? Well, it was the Democrats. So, uh, that's why that's that's the reason the opposition party isn't really responding to this, but it's the reason why the left is having an insurgent success in places like Pennsylvania, for instance.

[00:16:20]>> Yep. Well said.

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