LA Mayor Race Just Took a CRAZY Turn…

Added: 2026-05-12

[00:00:00]Los Angeles politics may be heading toward a statistical shockwave. The latest Los Angeles mayor race polling average shows Karen Bass leading the field at 22.8% but the deeper numbers reveal major warning signs for the incumbent mayor.

[00:00:16]Because while Bass remains in first place, her favorable and unfavorable ratings tell a completely different story.

[00:00:23]Let's break down the numbers carefully.

[00:00:26]Karen Bass, 22.8% support in the mayoral race.

[00:00:30]Favourability, 31% favorable, 56% unfavorable, 13% unsure.

[00:00:38]That 56% unfavorable rating is the biggest number in this entire race. It means Bass is leading the field while simultaneously carrying majority voter dissatisfaction.

[00:00:49]That creates a dangerous political position for any incumbent.

[00:00:53]Now look at Nithya Raman.

[00:00:55]Raman is polling at 12.4%.

[00:00:58]Favourability numbers, 26% favorable, 23% unfavorable, 51% unsure.

[00:01:05]This is where the race becomes interesting. Raman's favorable rating is actually higher than her unfavorable rating.

[00:01:13]And with 51% unsure voters, it suggests a massive portion of the electorate still has not fully formed an opinion about her candidacy.

[00:01:22]Then comes one of the most surprising developments in the polling average.

[00:01:26]Spencer Pratt at 11.9%.

[00:01:29]That puts only half a point behind Nithya Raman.

[00:01:32]Pratt's ratings, 17% favorable, 28% unfavorable, 55% unsure.

[00:01:40]The key number here is the 55% unsure rating.

[00:01:44]Now let's move to the lower tier candidates. Rey Wuang, 5% support, 16% favorable, 17% unfavorable, 67% unsure.

[00:01:55]Adam Miller, 4.7% support, 10% favorable, 12% unfavorable, 78% unsure.

[00:02:04]Adam Miller's numbers are especially notable because 78% of voters remain unsure. That's one of the highest uncertainty figures in the entire field.

[00:02:14]Karen Bass has the highest support level at 22.8%.

[00:02:18]But, she also has the highest unfavorable rating at 56%.

[00:02:23]Meanwhile, almost every challenger has significantly lower negatives, but extremely high unsure numbers.

[00:02:29]Nithya Raman, 51% unsure. Spencer Pratt, 55% unsure.

[00:02:37]Ray Huang, 67% unsure.

[00:02:40]Adam Miller, 78% unsure.

[00:02:44]That means the race is still highly fluid. Large portions of voters are not fully locked in yet.

[00:02:51]And there's another major statistical reality here.

[00:02:54]Even as the race leader, Karen Bass is still below 25%.

[00:02:59]In [snorts] political polling analysis, that often signals soft support rather than dominant support.

[00:03:05]The numbers also suggest a fragmented opposition field.

[00:03:09]Raman at 12.4%.

[00:03:12]Pratt at 11.9%.

[00:03:14]Huang at 5%. Miller at 4.7%.

[00:03:19]Karen Bass has the lead, but the favorability numbers suggest serious vulnerability.

[00:03:25]The challengers trail behind, but their lower unfavorable ratings and high unsure numbers leave room for movement.

[00:03:32]And with so many undecided voters still in play, this race remains far from settled.

[00:03:38]Who do you think has the momentum right now in Los Angeles? Comment below.