A government-commissioned report by former Labour Health Secretary Alan Milburn warns that the number of young people not in education, employment, or training (NEET) could reach 1.25 million by 2031, up from 1 million currently, representing a 'lost generation' facing systemic barriers including rising university costs, housing challenges, and a job market that no longer provides entry-level opportunities. Simultaneously, diplomatic negotiations between the US and Iran remain stalled, with President Trump demanding a 'perfect deal' while Iranian state TV claimed a potential agreement was being finalized, illustrating how conflicting objectives and political pressures can complicate international diplomacy.
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Confusion reigns over Iran peace deal negotiations | The Wrap with Gillian JosephAjouté :
Tonight on the Rap, confusion reigns with the US and Iran at odds over the prospects over a deal to end the war.
The White House rubbishes details of an apparent settlement coming out of Thran.
The president tells his cabinet he's prepared to wait.
>> We can make a good deal right now, but maybe not a great deal. And if it's not a great deal, we're not making it.
>> More woe for patients in England after resident doctors announce a new series of strikes next month.
And breaking news, the Eagles saw to victory as Crystal Palace win the Conference League in Leipzig, setting up a possible European clean sweep for Premier League teams.
We discuss the day's biggest stories with the former Conservative special adviser Salma Sha and the economist and broadcaster Steve Richards. Plus, the first look at the front pages of tomorrow's newspapers.
Well, all of that still to come, but we want to start with the breaking news from the world of football tonight. And it's more success for English clubs in European competition after Crystal Palace beat Spanish team Rio Valencano to win the Conference League. Well, that means that Premier League clubs have now won two out of the three European trophies following Aston Villa's win in the Europa League final last week. And it could of course be a clean sweep if Arsenal beat PSG to win the Champions League on Saturday. Well, they took the lead in the 51st minute after the Rayo Balako goalkeeper could only parry midfielder Adam Warton's long range effort straight into the path of Palace striker Jean Phipe Mateta, sending their fans in the stadium and at home into a frenzy.
and the fans at home are absolutely ecstatic at that win. Um, fantastic news for English football, isn't it?
>> Yeah. Just a warning, about a year ago, my team Spurs won the Europa League. My son went to Spain to watch it. He bumped into the blue labor law glassman who slept in a doorway in Euphoria as Spurs One.
>> And last weekend, we only just escaped relegation.
>> So be warned. It doesn't necessarily lead to glitter forever.
>> Can let's just Okay, let's not go in the whole doom and glitter.
>> Just for those who have an instinct for misery, I just thought I would mention that. Um but no it's for it's f it's exciting and you know as I'm supposed to I hope Arsenal win at the weekend. I mean it'll be a Yeah, I do actually. I'm not tribal. I'm not tribal.
>> It's international now. It's international. I think we can all safely say we need we need the good news, don't we? Really?
>> Yeah. Yeah. But anyway. Yeah.
>> Okay. Should we go and get some actual action from uh the uh pitch side? Let's go to Sus Park in South London. our correspondent Amelia Harper who looks like she's struggling to hear anything.
I hope she can hear me. Uh Amelia, what is the the atmosphere like there? I mean, we can see actually.
>> Yeah, it is absolutely pretty right here. We're at the kitchen. This is what it means to Crystal Palace fans. They have won the Conference League. They have won. I'm told you can't quite hear me. Crystal Palace have won the Conference League. This is their first trophy in Europe that this club has seen ever. This was their biggest match of the season. Everybody has come onto the pitch now for a friendly pitch invasion postmatch. Their team has been playing all the way over in Germany. But the way this crowd have been shouting, the way this crowd has been shouting means that this team have heard them all the way over in uh in Germany.
>> How do you how is it? What's your reaction to what's happened? You >> mate, it's amazing. IT'S JUST MY HEART'S POUNDING. It's amazing TO BE HERE. THE ATMOSPHERE IS CRAZY. I mean, what more could I want?
>> What more could they want? Exactly.
Well, this has been a a really important match for this team. They won the FA Cup in order to actually get here. Let's have a look around though. I think if we can keep going around, you can get an idea of the atmosphere.
It was 000 at Halime. They came back fighting. Crystal Palace caught their first goal just before 50 minutes. There were a couple of close calls just moments later.
This is not the competition that this team wanted to be in. and they wanted to be in the higher ranked Europa League.
WE'VE GOT A LOVELY FAMILY HERE WHO WANT TO HAVE A CHAT with us. Give us your reaction to their win. I can't believe we just did that. We just DID IT TWO TIMES IN A ROW. FIRST OF ALL, GO NOW THE EUROPEAN CUP. WOW. How are you feeling, Daz?
>> Oh, it's amazing. LIKE MY DAD AND MY GRANDDAD NEVER SAW US WIN anything and my kids have seen us win three trophies in the space of a year.
It's unbelievable.
>> The man is just on his way out. DO YOU IS THAT A REGRETFUL CHOICE NOW THAT YOU'VE HAD THIS?
>> Whatever he does, good luck to him. WHAT HE'S DONE FOR US AS A CLUB IS UNBELIEVABLE. And he'll always have always have the respect of the fans.
Like he's been amazing.
>> Emotional night for you then.
>> Oh, emotion. Yeah. It's not the words.
>> What about you? Happy.
>> You happy? The Eagles.
Well, there we go. Everybody here absolutely thrilled. Their win tonight means that they are heading up to the next rung of European football. They are headed to the Europa League next. But for everybody here, they're going to spend the whole night celebrating.
That's for sure.
>> Absolutely. Absolutely. I love that quote. Wowers.
>> Well, that little boy, my heart was uh pounding. Well, should we take a look at the winning moment? Um, we've got the pictures. Let's have a replay of that, sheer joy and um probably disbelief from many of of the fans. So close, but I mean within as as you were saying, Steve, you know, within the grasp, but it could so easily be lost. what subsequently you need in terms of what happens next. It is really interesting football and all those young kids you say it's very moving you know because it does give a sort of fleeting unqualified joy doesn't it I mean it's all irrational I mean they none of us know these players and all but but briefly it does create a sense of collective excitement that you don't get in much of life these days. No, no, absolutely.
That that sense of euphoria is hard to replicate, isn't it?
>> What I thought was interesting was uh dad there saying, you know, his granddad and his dad didn't see them witness, you know, anything, but his children have managed to see three victories. So, I think, you know, going back to your earlier point, Steve, it's fantastic.
But, of course, you know, they're used to winning. So, let's hope that they carry on for their sakes and that there isn't a downward turn at some point. I mean in terms of what what you were saying that it does lift this the spirit even you're not tribal in terms of uh football clubs but it does lift everybody's spirit doesn't it because it's success particularly for for England clubs this is a one of three that will go through to to making uh championships within Europe.
>> Yeah. Although it's interesting to see the World Cup is about to start with England again and indeed Scotland.
there's going to be high excitement, but I've got a feeling that um because England never win the World Cup apart from 66 um that we almost sorry to go on about misery, but we almost enjoy the buildup and then the defeat, the inevitable defeat of, you know, the missed penalty.
>> Do we enjoy the defeat?
>> Yeah, I think we do. On one level, I think we enjoy the misery because >> I think that's just you, Steve.
>> I enjoy I kind of >> this type of analysis of course.
>> Yeah. No, no, it is it's it's delving deep here in into the psyche of of us all. Um I I don't know whether we would quite be able to cope with England, say winning the World Cup, but in the Premiership, um there are these teams. I mean, they're, you know, the Premiership is drowning in money. I mean, these are well- paid players and teams, and they've been doing well for a long time now in these competitions. So, all eyes on Arsenal on Saturday. Could they win the Champions League? Are you a goona?
>> No, I'm not.
>> Who do you support? S. Do you support a team?
>> I do. Aington Stanley.
>> Oh, yeah. Well, there now you.
>> Yeah.
>> Now you're talking. No, I don't remember the advert, but it has haunted me forever. But I It's my hometown. That is my team >> really.
>> So, always one for for Akrington Stanley. But I've got to say, you're absolutely right on the Premier League.
It is It has a lot of money. it has a lot of investment and it's really good to see that paying off across Europe and I think that's going to give you know brand Britain and export powers um you know a real boost and just just as we need it as a nation.
>> Okay. Should we turn to more serious fair now and uh international uh politics and the war in Iran? The long and confused journey to a potential peace deal between the US and Iran continued today with Iranian state TV publishing details of a potential agreement. That was quickly rubbished by the White House with Donald Trump telling his cabinet this evening that he was in no rush to make a deal that wasn't perfect.
>> It's got to be perfect. I'm not going to do this. I didn't do this to get a crummy agreement. We can make a good deal right now, but maybe not a great deal. And if it's not a great deal when I'm making it because we can make a great deal with this guy right here and uh but it's, you know, it's a lot nastier. Probably wouldn't go as quickly. Wouldn't be talking about as quickly, but it would be foolproof.
Uh but I think we're doing very well, Steve. I think we're doing pretty well in terms of the negotiation, but we'll see.
Well, >> let's bring now US correspondent now, David Bleven, who's in Washington, DC for us. And David, what are we to to believe? Are the Americans and the Iranians any closer to an agreement tonight?
>> I'm not sure they are, Jillian. This report of a draft deal is only coming from one source. It really only addresses one issue, and that is the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. And to a large extent, it is what you would expect the Iranians to be saying right now if they wanted to create the impression that they had brokered a great deal. So, not entirely surprising that the White House is dismissing it as total fabrication, telling us not to believe it because, in their words, facts matter. And they do, but we're not getting many facts from the president of the United States either. During that cabinet meeting, he said Iran wants to make a deal. They're not there yet, but they will get there. Otherwise, we will just have to finish the job. So again threatening a resumption of war on reports that a draft deal could lead to the US military lifting its blockade and shipping returning to normal in the street of Hormuz under the control of Iran and Oman. President Trump said it'll be under the control of no one because it's international waters and Iran will have to behave or we will quote blow them up. Secretary of State Marco Rubio was a little more consily.
He said there had been some progress. we would find out in the coming hours and days if there was going to be a deal.
The cabinet meeting at the White House lasted one hour 20 minutes. For me, the most telling thing was the fact that they talked as much about Venezuela and Cuba as they did about Iran. Perhaps that's because they don't have very much to say about Iran and the prospects of a deal right now.
>> Indeed, uh, David for the moment. Thank you very much. Osama and uh Steve, very mixed messages coming out of the the White House uh today. Them completely disregarding the statements uh from Iran that were broadcast on on Iranian state TV um and saying that there is some progress despite saying, you know, that those statements were were false. Marco Rubio, as David was saying, a bit more consiliatory saying that there has been some progress. Yeah, I mean David's a brilliant Washington correspondent and I tune in most evenings and he's having to analyze some claim or other uh in regard to it's becoming surreal. So a few days ago I don't know if you were on Jillian you know Trump was saying he had got a deal >> and then his some of his people were saying well hold on a second this deal is not as good even as the Obama deal that you have condemned unequivocally.
So that went away. Now, we've got this claim from Iran that there's a deal that Trump is sort of downing >> and um and and Washington correspondents have to pop up every night. It's been going on for months interpreting what appear to be sort of fantasy claims from one side or the other. The depressing thing is the resolution to this nightmare is is is by no means clear and and that's still the case tonight. the what what the Iranians uh broadcasted was that in their framework Iran would restore um commercial shipping in the straight of Hormuz to prewar levels within a month and also the US would withdraw their military presence and cease the the blockade.
>> Yeah, I think what we've got to assess here is whose interest is this in and what are they trying to push on at the moment? And it's very telling when the US president sort of makes certain statements because the Iranians are clearly attempting to apply pressure uh from a from a domestic perspective. We know that there are midterms in the US.
We know that the pressure on US consumers in fact global consumers were feeling it here too will be a huge pressure point for uh democratic nations and pressing that point uh consistently to say there is a way out and and sort crystallizing it. So that perhaps the white house is forced to take that decision I think has prompted the president to really double down and come out with these statements where he is saying this is about nuclear weapons.
This is about the safety of the world not just US interest and I'm not interested in what happens to the consumer because it's that important. So there are nuances and pivots in this in his positioning because clearly there is a motivation to get it done but the pressure I think the Iranians think is going to come from uh the economic pressure that's being exerted to force the US hand. And just one more point if I can quickly Julian we can't separate this from the sort of wider nexus of other conflicts you just talked about Cuba Venezuela um there is also the dynamic of what is then going to happen in Russia Ukraine and then also what could then consequently happen uh with China and and Taiwan. So all of this has to be tied together in some way is not just about the economic pressure but what it does to those conflicts all around the world. the the objectives for this war um were quite muddy in in the beginning and haven't um got any clearer as we go along. One of them is to reopen the the straight of Hormuz which was open before the conflict began. Uh, another is that Iran doesn't have um the proficiency to develop nuclear weapons and to move away from the Obama deal, which quite frankly, if that was offered to Donald Trump now, he he'd bite their hands off.
>> Bite their hands off, having condemned the Obama deal. And you're absolutely right. I mean, one of the ominous signs at the beginning was the lack of clarity as to what the war aims were. And as you say the one of the aims now in these negotiations is the opening of this area which has now been closed off. So I Iran has discovered leverage that it didn't know it had before and uh it is a complete disaster. uh the the the US and Isra Israel had or Netanyahu had different objectives to Trump and and and and therefore sort of establishing an end game becomes even harder in a way when you weren't sure what you were trying to do in the first place.
>> Well, this is this is also fascinating because of course you do also have the White House pressure pressuring other Arab and other Southeast Asian nations into normalizing their relations with Israel. So you cannot take that uh dimension out of it because there are still um incursions into Lebanon uh on the Israeli side and so the situation in the Middle East isn't doesn't seem to be getting uh any less volatile and the fractures between nations that were attempting to normalize seem to be wider than ever. And I think that is really critical in thinking about how that dynamic is either going to within the region is going to push to a solution or actually people are really going to entrench into their widened positions.
>> Yeah. It be interesting to see that those Arab nations their their response to Donald Trump saying that he's not going to sign any peace deal until they normalize relationships with with Israel.
>> Well, I mean I think they roundly rejected it so far, but and well so far.
Let's see if they do move. You're right.
Okay, let's move on to uh domestic politics and uh resident doctors in England have announced they will go back on strike next month as part of their longrunning pay and jobs dispute with the government. The British Medical Association says doctors will walk out from the 15th to the 19th of June and they warned that further strikes could come in July if progress on a deal isn't made.
>> I don't want to beat about the bush. We are facing a genuine crisis in medicine from a workforce perspective at the minute. I think it's absurd that we are talking about literally hundreds if not thousands of doctors actively looking to leave the NHS in just a few weeks. We're saying we can look to avoid that by offering jobs, bringing jobs onto the market, giving people more secure employment, and crucially valuing for valuing them for the work that they're doing.
>> Well, the decision to strike hasn't gone down well inside government. Here's the response from the health secretary, James Murray.
>> The offer on the table for this year is as far as we're going to go. It's 4.9% on average increase over 7% for some of the lowest paid. And to be clear, that's on top of a 28.9% increase over the last 3 years. I think most people would see that as being a very good offer and going any further is simply unaffordable and not realistic. Uh when it comes to other aspects of the offer, as I made clear to the resident doctor's committee today, my door is open to discussing that to make sure we can do the best for resident doctors across the country.
>> Well, the health secretary saying that it's uh totally avoidable and unnecessary and the government simply can't afford it.
>> It's interesting, isn't it? Because of course, up until a couple of weeks ago, Wes Streeting was the health secretary and he tonally was very robust with the BMA. uh James Murray is a much more mildmannered figure but the message is the same. They they haven't got the money to uh meet this and it comes on top of the very big pay award that was given immediately or very soon after the 24 general election. So on a of course a much smaller scale than what we were just talking about the nature of the coming together here is very unclear and it's a sort of running theme and the government is investing tons of money in the NHS um and yet this disruption sort of threatens to jeopardize some of it. M the 28% pay rise that they were given that the labor administration gave them actually very soon into to their administration um not seen as enough and because of that public sympathy has has waned for resident doctors, junior doctors of old but resident doctors now.
Um there is no public sympathy for for this strike is there?
>> No. But even though there's no public sympathy, if if the BMA um resident doctors uh you know pass their thresholds and decide that they are going to take strike action, there is going to be massive public consequence because of what it will do to surgery to um waiting times etc. So there is really meaningful consequence and there isn't really anything that you can do to prevent it. The macro factor here is the instability in government because I can you can we honestly say that there isn't a motivation to go back with a new health secretary and think about trying again because we're treating as as health secretary was so firm about saying no more and whether James Murray might take a different >> the same thing >> right now he is but if he's faced with the strikes does it bring him back to the negotiating table I hope that they will stay firm on it because the underlying logic of is fair. There isn't enough money to to pay for further rises. It is going to have a big detrimental impact on colleagues and the and the health service more broadly. But the instability of government means that actually you may see more of this kind of action coming back when what the government thought it was doing was dealing with it early and trying to get themselves on an even keel.
strategically in terms of political strategy. This is actually quite a danger zone because we are still really in limbo about what may or may not happen with the Labour leadership.
>> Steve, what what about um Chem Bedno's idea to ban doctors from from striking at all, similar to police officers that can't strike. She thinks they shouldn't be allowed.
>> You you've just had a quote from the BMA saying that loads of doctors are going to leave Britain. Now um I I wonder about that in the context of this particular dispute but I think if something like that was attempted uh there would be consequences. Um so I don't think it's workable to be honest.
Um uh you you know there is an argument you know that essential services uh the police can the police the police can't strike. So so you could argue this is as much a service as that. uh but um the this issue of retention which is an important part of all of this would become really really tough.
>> Just very quickly Isama do you agree with that conservative um policy because they've repeated their calls today for a ban on on doctor striking?
>> Yeah, I understand the motivation exactly for that reason. and the essential service levels. I think there probably is a negotiation that you can have about what what kind of service levels you should maintain, but fundamentally I've always believed that the right to withdraw your labor is the right thing to be able to do. And as as a Tory, I've I've always maintained that. I don't think unions are a bad thing. I think not everything is run effectively and and we might not agree with one another, but an individual's right to withdraw their labor is fundamental.
>> Interesting difference in opinion on on the Tory Tory bench there. Uh well this time last night we were talking about Tony Blair's critique of the country and the political system. It's predictably provoked quite a response including from Andy Bham who said Sir Tony didn't understand modern politics and from Westing who said that the missing word in the Blair essay was inequality. We also had this from the Green Party leader Zack Palansky speaking to our political correspondent Rob Powell.
Well, I think it was 5,600 words too many. Tony Blair is a former prime minister that dragged this country into an illegal war in Iraq. And I think it's pretty grotesque to see him selling the future of our children and grandchildren down the river through the kind of climate delay tactics, talking down clean energy and the security that we need. And I just don't think this is a sensible intervention in a day where we're speaking in these extreme temperatures to have someone who should hold a position of responsibility or a former position of responsibility to be speaking like this. I mean, this wasn't all just privatization in the Iraq war.
Is there nothing that you can glean from it that you think you could, you know, learn from? This guy did win three elections after all.
>> I think there are positive things and so it's important to put that nuance in there. But to hear the rejection of neoliberalism, I think misses the entire point that sold off our public services on a bonfire of services, whether it's our water companies or our energy companies, and normal people have paid the price ever since.
Uh Steve, do you think his um criticism of uh Tony Blair's essay, so Tony Blair's essay, do you think that is warranted? Is is it fair?
>> Who Zach Palansky's I think the much more significant response is the the responses from Andy Burnham and Wes Streeting. Um because they are part of uh what appears to be an embryionic leadership contest. We will have to see whether it actually uh happens. And I think what we are seeing finally is a move away from the sort of new labor era. We have Peter Mandlesson who was a big influence on the early Star period uh sacked from Washington etc etc. Um, and now we're having people like Wes Streeting who were close to Blair um, uh, distancing himself from what I think was a rather he talks about a lack of a coherent plan. I think we haven't got time to explore it in depth, but I think his ideas were contradictory, incoherent. Um, and um, uh, kind of he keeps on saying there's no left or right, but then he says Labor are moving to the left and that's the wrong response when the country is moving to the right. And yet is the country moving to the right when Zack Palansky is picking up votes and winning a bi-election in the seat that Bernham wants. I I think it ra he Blair is brilliant at conveying a sense of clarity which is actually nowhere near as clear as it appears to be >> but you can't >> that's an interesting >> but you can't get away from the fact that the response of Zack Palansky is really interesting because that is where the soft left that Tony Blair thought he had shifted in the same way that you know David Cameron thought he'd brought the Tories into the center ground that hasn't lasted and so sort of what Palansky says will be funnily enough quite potent to a lot of those Labour MPs who've even talked about defection if Andy Bernham doesn't become the next leader of the prime prime minister of the country and the leader of the Labour party. So I think really Zach Palansky on this side much like Nigel Farage on the right has this outsized um influence on what Labor MPs might end up doing. So I think the fact that he's just got this very headline rejection going back to the Iraq war discrediting Tony Blair will have a lot of resonance with a generation like us well younger than us who didn't witness Blair in his prime as prime minister. I >> I think the most cutting line from from Andy Burnham in all of this is that Satonyi Blair doesn't understand modern politics.
>> Well, it's like it's like going to a family wedding. They've just won the election, but all this simmering resentment that's been there, everybody's had a drink and they've all now >> bubbling up to the surface.
>> Bubbling up to the surface. Coming up next, we're going to take a first look at what's making the front pages of tomorrow's newspapers. Do stay with us if you can.
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I urge you not to look away. If Hamas hands the hostages over, they will end this conflict. The world has been watching. Good to see you again. How are you?
>> Did she say how he was?
>> The conditions are awful.
>> The jets were ordered to combat historic day here today. How will you respond if India does launch air strikes?
>> They will be all over. Uh, I'm just going to put uh some body armor on. I'm g >> Let's bring you some uh breaking news straight away. And we're able to bring you details of a report that's going to land tomorrow from the former Labour Health Secretary Alan Milbour about the growing problem of so-called needs, that's young people not in education, employment, or training. We'll get more in a moment, but first we've been speaking to young people in Dudley.
Here's a flavor of what they told us.
>> The job market is just horrible. Just it's it's shocking. Like on Indeed, all you see people make Tik Toks about it, joking about it all the time on my four page. It's care army care army or or you could be a retail manager, but you haven't got the experience. So, you can't apply for those jobs. There's no jobs you can apply for. I feel like the teachers are very out of touch with what the kids are going through nowadays.
It's really hard in this generation especially.
>> Well, we'll hear more voices like that in the next hour. But first, our political correspondent Alex Rogers joins us now and tell us a bit more about uh this report from a Labour party grande.
>> So, Alan Milbour sort of laying out how bad the situation is. The full report lads tomorrow here are the kind of key warnings. He war he warns that the number of young people not working or learning could reach 1.25 25 million by 2031, up from a million currently. And he warns of a bedroom generation and a lost generation. And the picture that he paints for young people now is is really stark. He's saying that the entry- level jobs that we we were kind of used to working in a pub or a restaurant are just completely drying up because the economy is so poor. So 1.6 six fewer uh low and medium skilled jobs, vacancies in hospitality havinging and he's very clear uh that this is not the fault of young people. He says this is not the failure of young people. This is the failure of a system stuck in the past and unable uh to meet the needs of young people now. Um and I think it just speaks Jillian to like the the wider barrage of issues facing young people.
the cost of university going up, the interest uh the eye watering interest on student loans, rents rising, it really does feel like young people are bearing the brunt of a struggling economy, and that's what uh these findings lay bear at the moment.
>> But Salman, it's interesting that he's saying it's not the fault of of young people. It's a a system that that's that's broken essentially.
>> Well, I mean, I'd be really intrigued to read the full report on this because I think what are the solutions is is the first question that I would ask. um but also what does he actually mean structurally because we're also talking about a generation who probably u were coming of age during a pandemic. So that is also something that we need to bear in mind around what lockdown did particularly to education at that time. I think we also need to understand structurally in the economy what can we actually do that's going to assist people into those vacancies. So it ties into that question of lowkilled migration coming in and sort of supporting the hospitality sector. what are we doing actually to help upskill people um to get those get them into those jobs and make them really productive to be able to work their way way up the career ladder. I think most of us could probably recognize what he's saying. I think there's probably experience within our own families within our widest communities and societies that bears um what his findings to be true. I think the question is what are the issues and if that is basically going to be around more government spending is it going to be productive government spending would be the things that I would be looking to understand before we raise any specific challenges.
>> One of the things he is saying Steve is that um anxiety linked to social media is driving economic inactivity amongst young people. So we get back to the social media argument.
>> Yeah. Well, that's one issue and and that as you I bet you discussed that last night, you know, whether you should ban teenagers from access to some of these things, but I mean uh as Salmon suggests, we all know the challenges. I mean, at at it stepping the furthest back, you know, and again, it's this is a bit of a cliche now, but the amount of help elder people get, older people compared to young people, triple lock pensions, free bus passes, free train things, third off train fairs. And then you see the challenges young people have faced which you've just some of which you've just outlined. There are other things rent if you go to university student fees going up and up and so at a very basic level I think there needs to be a focus much more on how government can help young people compared to the focus on older people who vote. Uh but then the specifics are far more challenging. If jobs that we probably all did, you know, going working in a pub and all that, they have all gone, what replaces them and what is the impact? Blair's right about AI. It's not that original idea, but loads of jobs are going to go through AI.
>> So, how can government help in these areas? And maybe this is is it in the report? Does he come up with a load of propositions as well?
>> Actually, the recommendations aren't expected to be set out until later in the year. So I think this is him just sort of setting out an overview scale of the problem. But but how has the government responded to >> Well, they've welcomed the report and they say that they acknowledge everything's in it. They would point to things that they've done, including a youth employment scheme where businesses get a grant if they uh employ someone who's out of work but looking for work.
Um and they would also point to things like the minimum wage. You know, they've tried to increase the minimum wage, but we know that's one of the uh the one of the cost pressures on businesses that are forcing some of them to close. So it really is a kind of catch 22 uh situation there as well.
>> This but this is going to be the the perennial question that comes up is that the the single most important thing that any government can do to assist with all of these issues is to work out how to get the economy growing.
>> Yeah. and the the the sort of instinct always to think I'll pull a lever that deals with this very narrow issue here rather than looking at how we support the wider economy I think is really difficult. I mean even though he's not been prime minister for such a long time obviously Tony Blair still looms large over the things that he's saying. So he's actually challenging everything that the Labor government is doing whether it's on net zero um you know whether it it's it's around you know the AI issue and sort of thinking about how he's moving the Labor party more to the center in terms of policy fundamentally the thing that you know Blairism was about was the economy and supporting the economy and I think a lot of businesses and a lot of people who are taking that risk and sort of saying to the government we would hire people if they had the skills to be able to do it.
would hire people if you didn't constrain our B balance sheet so much with the new NYX charges that they brought in almost in the first budget then this would not be a problem that we would be suffering with to this extent that >> that that is all true but the nature of work is changing um and and and so that has to be addressed and as I said there are these other issues the cost of housing the shortage of housing um are also issues that affect the young far more than other uh >> yeah and many many young never expecting to to own a home in their lifetime because of the current situation. So all of those things maybe attributing or adding to >> adding to it's a huge and complex set of challenges.
>> Uh we are going to see what's making the front pages of tomorrow's newspapers.
Now we're starting with the mail which leads uh with this report landing tomorrow from former Labour health secretary Alan Milburn over the issue of young people not in education, employment or training.
Front page of the Express is Sir Tony Blair branding Ed Miban's net zero plans a fantasy amidst rising bills and prices.
Temperature falls, costs rise. That's the lead story in tomorrow's metro as we learn the price cap is going up 13%.
>> Oh, thanks. Overwhelmed by my notes.
>> Be safe in water or more will die. A stark warning as seven children die in water related incidents during heatwave.
The Financial Times is leading with the news that the official fund for Donald Trump's board of peace is empty, which could leave its plans to rebuild Gaza in limbo.
And on the front of the star, it's a coming drone. This is the news that England's World Cup base in Kansas City will be guarded by hunter catcher drones to stop rival teams spying on training.
Oh my goodness. Uh the world of espionage meets meets football. Um we'll see if we can have a little chat about that that story. But we're going to start with the metro and heating bills up. Britain's gone barmy. Millions of families face a scorching 13% rise in bills for heating their homes from the end of as early as next month. Steve, >> yeah, I mean the just position of Britain sizzling in heat and the heating bills going up. Uh that's not the connection. You know, it's not going up because it would be a da wouldn't it if we're all sort of spending a fortune on heating, you know, as temperatures reach 34 degrees. And as the uh paper goes on to point out, wholesale prices have soared since what we were just talking about earlier, the war in Iran and the blocking in the straight of Hormuz. And until that's resolved, uh this is going to be a huge issue, the cost of uh energy. When if it's resolved, um as Trump keeps on saying, you know, some of these prices will come down. Now it doesn't mean there will be other pressures on energy um but that is one of the main factors driving energy costs at the moment.
>> Yeah indeed uh as as offge gem um claim also uh a typical household's electricity and gas cost will go up £18 a month to about £221 a year and to an annual cost of 1,862.
significant rise.
>> Yeah, a huge. And uh I think the issue here is not just um the fact that we know that this conflict is going to have a massive impact on not just energy prices but consumer prices across the piece. But what can the government actually credibly do about it? Now the conservative position's always been very clear on this which is we need to help people in terms of the cost on their bill that comes from government whether it's sort of you know the the net zero cost if you like on the bill. um and thinking about our energy security longer term, which is to lend a phrase, drill baby drill with in the North Sea, to think about how we um secure our own supply. And I think the government does need to start taking that a little bit more seriously because it doesn't look like we're going to see an end to what's happening in Iran, even if we see an end to it for the duration. um it actually forces us to um think about where is our energy supply and our security in a way that I don't think we've had to for a long time.
>> S you say the conservative position is very clear. It's a relatively recent conservative position. I mean not relatively recently they were in favor of this uh net zero target and Boris Johnson was absolutely committed to it.
I well ultimately absolutely committed to it. Um, so it's a relatively recent Tory position. And in terms of North Sea oil, how sure are you that there is still this oil ready to be tapped that would make Britain uh protected from external price shocks? I mean, I there's no evidence that there is and and drilling is continuing anyway.
>> So, this is not about the North Sea oil option being the long-term option. It is about being able to manage our transition to something and I would always philosophically support where we want to go in terms of net zero but there is a practical question that's in front of us about cost of living for people that we can't just avoid because it's going to be real pain and as much as I support the objectives of net zero we absolutely have to consider the reality for the for the people out there in including everyone here who is going to have to face that cost.
>> But but if the government >> it doesn't mean you've got to it doesn't mean you've got to give up on your climate objective. It just means you've got >> tomorrow. You know what's the Trump rate drill baby drill in the North Sea? A there's quite a lot of drilling going on anyway and B any subsequent drilling would not address this immediate crisis.
It takes ages, you know, to find where this oil is and get it out. So I keep on hearing, oh yeah, that's the solution, but it can't be for the short term.
>> Certainly not. Certainly not an overnight solution. Let's move on to the uh mirror and this warning coming off the the back of the the deaths that we've seen in um this hot weather, this freak hot weather that we've been having. Be safe in water or more will die. That's the warning on the front page of the Mirror Salma.
>> I know. Yeah. And it's really it's terrible and it's and it's tragic and it's really important that we um talk about this and I you know kudos to the mirror for putting it on the front page because you know it's it's not something that necessarily will impact everyone but people need to be aware because this is a proper public safety um issue um in terms of uh outdoor swimmers and the risks that they're taking um because of uh risk to life because of drowning.
because people have decided in the hot weather they can just go off and take a dip. So I think everybody's got to be really careful about some managing some of the risks that they're taking and that it's not going to be just necessarily an adilic swim out there.
Take the right safety precautions and I think the government should do something that just gives a bit of a public message about the safe way of swimming outdoors.
>> Steve, take us to the FT and uh Trump's girls aboard of peace um appears to have run out of money. Yeah, I mean, um, Tony Blair keep on referring to, but he was interviewed today about this essay and he was asked he he's he's on one level of this Gaza peace initiative. I don't think he's on the board as such, but the one below. Um and it it it seems to me again, you know, we talk about Iran, the lack of clarity about the role of this board, how it would function and as the FT suggests, who would finance it um has been unclear from the very beginning and um it it again is it it it is a worry. I mean it always had elements of absurdity to it. you know, when you looked at some of the people who were going to be in this board of peace weren't known as peacemakers. Um, but it was the agent for which a kind of very fragile, not brilliantly uh imposed uh ceasefire had taken place >> and yet nothing seems to be happening with this >> and more importantly funds were were to be used to to help projects rebuild Gaza. So they are all on hold now.
>> Yeah. I mean and this is it was supposed to be managed by the World Bank as well and so you know sources have said that zero dollars have been deposited. So even the sort of charitable humanitarian aims of this which might have been a reason to support um you know this this board uh don't seem to be functioning and I think that it's it's goes back to that whole thing about talking big but not delivering very much. And I think if if we if we are going to back something like this and indeed if Satan Blair was going to be part of this board of peace perhaps one should go and search in his 5,000 words to see if it's mentioned.
Um, should we end with something a little lighter? The Star, the England football team's training camp, will be policed by drones to deter other drones.
What's happening, Steve?
>> Well, it just shows that we're in this sort of drone era. And um, it is it is interesting. You know, all this talk about when you've got to get up to 5% of GDP on defense and so on. And um drones seem to be a really effective way of protecting. I'm not comparing protecting the England football team with protecting an entire country, but I sort of am actually. You know, they are very, you know, it's it's the new um technology, but drones to deter other drones um is all getting a bit surreal.
>> It's quite sci-fi, isn't it? I think it look I mean, are we going to start seeing these drone walls in the sky above pictures and things like that?
Yeah, I'm quite intrigued by it.
>> To stop rival teams spying it, >> especially as viewers who were here from the beginning know England are going to lose anyway. So, we're going to spend all this on drones.
>> Can we get a drone to pick him up with negativity and get him out?
>> Yes, let's order him up.
>> So, uh let us tell you what's coming up.
We're going to be talking about the daring rescue of five villagers trapped in a flooded cave for over a week. So, stay with us.
Big stories don't always come from big cities. I'm Lisa Dow and I'm Skye's Midlands correspondent.
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This is the exact spot in Nottingham where their 19-year-old son, Barnaby Weber, lost his life. I just think it's so cruel and so harsh.
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Five villagers stuck in a flooded cave in central Laos for more than a week have been found alive with two still missing. This video appears to show the villagers when they were found by rescue workers, each wearing a headlamp and sitting on a rock surrounded by flood water. They were trapped after heavy rain triggered flash flooding but blocked the exit.
And this footage shows the moment the rescue divers returned to the surface after successfully locating some of those trapped. Divers who took part in the complicated 2018 rescue of a Thai junior football team. a part of this team.
But it's just uh remarkable and uh the fact that they're the same rescue workers who who took part in that that previous um rescue. They must have drawn on everything that they required the first time around on this.
>> It's sort of it's sort of really striking, isn't it? the the complexity of human achievement to be able to deal with and cope with uh as what could have been a tra a tragedy and to to rescue people out of what seems like a hopeless situation.
>> Um and the fact that they're able to capture that knowledge as well and be able to apply it in different places I think is really important because that's the one thing that's really fundamental to progress is being able to understand what worked last time and how you apply it to different situations. But very glad that people have been found and hopefully the final two missing people will be brought out as well.
>> Yes. Yes. Yeah. We pray for that. But the the mental strength that those who were trapped must have had to um stay alive and believe that they they would be rescued because you imagine that the dark thoughts that would be going through their minds sitting there.
>> Yeah, I'm sure. Um it's it's a nightmare which had a happy ending in their cases.
And um I suppose in these situations which are beyond imagination, you acquire hope, don't you? You have to I guess. And these geniuses came in, these courageous people. We were saying the claustrophobia alone would put us off doing this kind of stuff even if we had the skill. And the fact they've done it twice in these sort of high-profile cases. And of course now with modern technology and phones and everything, these moments can be recorded. So these pictures are extraordinary really.
>> No, they are. They are. And as I say, we we uh pray that the the remaining two are also found um alive and well.
>> Let's take a look at the weather for you now.
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>> All Clear Travel Insurance sponsors Sky News Weather.
Well, the heat will build again in the south tomorrow, but we won't beat yesterday's record. Then temperatures will gradually drop, returning to near average by Sunday. Expect another largely fine and warm start tomorrow, but southwestern parts will be rather murky. A few showers will affect central Britain. They'll fade through the morning to leave most places dry.
There'll be plenty of sunshine, but misty low cloud will linger across parts of Ireland and southwest Britain, especially Irish Sea coasts. Northern and eastern parts will be warmer than today, and it'll be hot over central and southeastern England. Again, 33 Celsius is possible in London or the East Midlands. The afternoon will be largely fine, but the west of Ireland and southern Britain will see a few thundery showers. Friday looks cloudier across Britain with a few showers possible.
Locally thundery. It won't be as hot as recently.
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>> Coming up, former health secretary Alan Milburn warns almost a million young people have been locked out of work, education, and training, and it's set to rise.
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>> Trusting us to tell her story. The battle for number 10. Sky News has been given exclusive access. Let me give you a sneak peek. It was the day those present would never forget. Why did you decide to to open up and tell your story?
>> I urge you not to look away. If Hamas hands the hostages over, they will end this conflict. The world has been watching. Good to see you again. How are you?
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Historic day here today. How will you respond if India does launch air strikes?
>> They will be all over. Uh, I'm just going to put uh some body armor on. I'm g Tonight on the rap, fears of a lost generation of young people. In a new report commissioned by the government, former Labour Minister Alan Milburn warns that the number of 16 to 24 year olds not earning or learning could top 1.25 million in the next 5 years with the first rung of the career ladder simply out of reach.
I just feel like the teachers are very out of touch with what the kids are going through nowadays. Like it's really hard in this generation especially tonight. The White House rubbishes details of an apparent peace settlement coming out of Tehran. The president tells his cabinet he's prepared to wait.
>> We can make a good deal right now, but maybe not a great deal. And if it's not a great deal, we're not making it.
The cost of the war in Ukraine to Russia revealed as new British intelligence estimates that almost 500,000 Russian soldiers have been killed since the conflict began.
And Crystal Palace are European champions after winning the UEFA Conference League final in Leu.
>> Crystal Palace. We discuss the day's biggest stories with the former conservative special adviser Salman Mashar and the columnist and broadcaster Steve Richards. Plus, a first look at the front pages of tomorrow's newspapers.
Good evening. The UK faces the prospect of a lost generation. That's the warning from a report commissioned by the government into the problem of so-called needs, young people not in education, employment or training. The review by former Labour Health Secretary Alan Milbour projects that the number of 16 to 24 year olds not earning or learning will rise to 1 and a4 million within the next 5 years. Responsibility lies with a system, the report says that is stuck in the past. Can you identify with that analysis, Selma?
>> Look, I think there might be elements of that that I think are are true, but you know, reading the front page of the Times, a quote from Alan Milbour says that uh we're facing a generational fault line and that the schools, the health system, and the labor market are no longer fit for purpose. And the whole concept of the problem seems so vast that it doesn't really prioritize the things that the government should be focusing on. Now the recommendations for this report are going to come out later.
But I think setting something out that is really challenging for people without saying what we can be done about it I think leaves a sense of hopelessness rather than saying that here are the things that we're going to tackle. Yes, we see this happening to a lot of people. We'll know people that are struggling with this, but it's not so seismic an issue that we can't focus on what we need to do in order to change it.
>> Steve, your thoughts? Yeah and uh Salma spells out the sort of massive challenges but actually uh the report again according to the front of the times is precise about the main driving force which is school absence and exclusion. So there's a relatively narrow cause of um uh of the various driving forces. There's that very precise one um which presumably can be addressed. I mean, even that's complicated, but not as challenging as sorting out those big areas that Samurai identified.
>> But it but here's the thing. It's say it's it it's sort of it says a lot in this which I think is really difficult to take in. So on one hand, they're saying that um universities are no longer a path to social mobility. I think a lot of universities would challenge that in terms of the education that they're producing. So there seems to be a lot of blame that's important here without actually understanding the barriers and the challenges that some of these institutions are facing which is you know really sad I think and then it does talk about that the welfare system is exacerbating inactivity. Okay well if that's the analysis I'd be really interested to see what the recommendations are as a consequence of that. But I think just talking in these broad terms makes it feel like it's so such a big problem that there isn't very much that we can do about it. But I don't think that's the case. But the aortioning of the blame around universities and the fact that it's about people that could be on on the lower end of the income spectrum, but also university graduates as well shows that actually it is quite a big issue, but we need to be more precise about what we're doing.
>> Well, let's hear from some of those concerned in that age bracket. Our correspondent Phoebe Southworth went to Dudley in search of needs. Here's her report.
Almost a million young people in the UK are part of what is being called a lost generation. They're not in employment, education, or training. So, how has this happened? Well, we're here in Dudley, where many 16 to 24 year olds find themselves in exactly that situation.
>> Alex grew up in care and left school at 16. It wasn't.
>> I've got at least probably about two friends that got jobs out of 20 or 30.
>> It's mad, isn't it?
>> Yeah, I know, man. And that's only because they've got it from family cuz their dad works with them or something.
You know what I mean? I can apply for Universal Credit, but I've already done it, but I don't want to stay in that for even longer than 2 3 months. I want to find a job ASAP. You know what I mean? I don't want to be on the door at this point. I might as well go into the army.
You know what I mean? because that's the only thing that's on these job application websites because you don't need any experience.
>> Unless something is urgently done, the number of young people in this position is predicted to rise to one in six in the next 5 years. But the majority really want to work. It's a catch 22.
Young people are being told they don't have enough experience when they apply for jobs. But how will they get that experience if they can't get a job?
>> The job market is just horrible. just it's it's shocking like on Indeed all you see people make Tik Toks about it joking about it all the time on my for you page it's care army care army or or you could be a retail manager but you haven't got the experience so you can't apply for those jobs there's no jobs you can apply for >> Courtney went to seven different schools within a few years because of her disruptive behavior she thinks she'd have kept studying and got a job if she'd had the right support >> I feel like the teachers are very out of touch with what the kids are going through nowadays it's really hard in this generation of specialists. By the time I was in year 11, I was going into school for an hour a week. So really, I knew there was no chance of me passing my GCSEs. I only sat two of mine.
>> And for some who do finish school, the struggle to find work can lead them down a path of crime to make money.
>> Some of my friends, they didn't go to college. They left after school, stopped uh stopped learning, and uh now they can't really find a job because of that.
And obviously now their life, you know, they might resort to something illegal or something that's not not good for them, you know. So it's, you know, that's how it goes.
>> Cycling in the park during school hours.
16-year-old Mason doesn't know where to start.
>> With school, I got kicked out at 14 cuz of like truency and behavior problems. I don't like being in the house, so like I wouldn't want to do the benefits thing.
I'd rather try and find a job and like get get to doing stuff.
>> A lot of the young people we've spoken to are smart and capable and articulate, but for one reason or another, they've fallen out of the system and no one has pulled them back in >> and that that's the issue. They seem to have I mean certainly from that report fallen out of of the system >> and for a variety of reasons. Um it was very interesting when the um that early attempt at welfare reform failed uh this government's attempt there was a lot of talk about the need to invest first of all it was to save money there welfare reform but the need to invest in what they call pathways to work um and you have to find people who can lead the pathways into work but this raises issues about if if the nature of work is changing you know what jobs are available in that vox pop they they're saying there's just nothing apart from going into the army um and so you know with this AI revolution with the cost of employing people certainly in the leisure sector which used to be a big employer of young people pubs hotels and all the rest of it um what are the work that the the pathways can lead towards I mean it's a it's a big issue that Melbourne is exploring boring in terms of the challenges but as Salma suggested earlier the the solutions uh you know he says the health service isn't fit for purpose blah blah blah well this is massive you know um welfare clearly does need reform >> but it needs to be a bit like beverage in the 40s it needs to be huge and thought through uh what are what are the pathways to work and what is the work >> yeah and those recommendations we know are not coming until um much later down in the year. But one of the other things that the the report points to is that six in 10 have never had a job and 20 years ago that figure was closer to to four in 10.
>> Yeah. And it's going to get worse according to the report as well. But I there's one thing that I think is really striking about this. So you know the report was talking very much about people who had had issues in school um who have grown up in the care system.
And I think one of the things that we actually need to address as a society is whether that number of those children is actually getting bigger. Um because this is then going to be a compounding problem of the children who fall out of the system. Why is that happening in the first place? So there is something about what happens at the end state in terms of the economy and employability but something that goes before that which is why are children ending up in a situation where they do not have qualifications where they do have disruptive behavior and is that number getting bigger and it sort of speaks to you know children going to school at five not being potty trained correctly not having the right nutrition and so we definitely also need to look at that end of the scale as well as what's happening in the future because this is also you know graduates who are going to be impacted by AI disruption. So I understand that this is big but there are places that we can start asking ourselves the right question to extract the right data to find the right solutions and there are some that that that say these are all the the repercussions of of COVID because we know that young people suffered enormously during that that period and and very many haven't even returned to the education system following that period.
>> Yeah. Well, according to the times, as I was saying earlier, absenteeism from school or exclusion from school is the main is the biggest driving force and during COVID, of course, that was a big big theme.
>> So, let us uh move on, shall we? We're going to um move on to the big international story that uh we've been covering since uh it started, and that's the war in Iran. The long and confused journey to a potential peace deal between the US and Iran continued today with Iranian state TV publishing details of a potential agreement. That was quickly rubbished by the White House with Donald Trump telling his cabinet this evening that he was in no rush to make a deal that wasn't perfect.
>> It's got to be perfect. I'm not going to do this. I didn't do this to get a crummy agreement. We can make a good deal right now, but maybe not a great deal. And if it's not a great deal when I'm making it because we can make a great deal with this guy right here. And uh but it's, you know, it's a lot nastier. Probably wouldn't go as quickly. Wouldn't be talking about as quickly, but it would be foolproof.
Uh but I think we're doing very well, Steve. I think we're doing pretty well in terms of the negotiation, but we'll see.
Well, as the diplomacy continues to stall on the ground in both Lebanon and Gaza, the Israeli military has continued its operations. Here's our Middle East correspondent, Adam Parsons.
>> Israel has launched significant new military offensives in both Lebanon and Gaza over the past 24 hours. So, here is the latest. This was an attack on one of Gaza's busiest market areas. The Israelis were targeting one man, the head of Hamas's military wing, Muhammad OD. He was killed only days after starting his job. His predecessor had been killed by the Israelis earlier this month. This time, a residential building was hit. You can see here people being taken to hospital. Local medics say that at least three Palestinians were killed.
Presumably, one of them was Muhammad O.
Dozens were injured. Meanwhile, in Lebanon, the Health Ministry says dozens of people have been killed there by Israeli strikes as the Israeli army pushes further into Lebanon. It's one of the deadliest days since so-called ceasefire came into effect between Israel and Hezbollah, the group that is backed and funded by Iran. Israel's military says it's targeted more than a 100 Hezbollah sites across southern and eastern Lebanon to stop a growing number of drone attacks that have hit both soldiers and northern Israeli residents.
So what has Israel been saying about these strikes? Well, Benjamin Netanyahu is clearly putting pressure on two fronts. He's vowed to continue stepping up military action, especially against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Just this week, the Israeli prime minister said he had instructed his military, in his words, to press the pedal even harder.
But there are many here who wonder whether Netanyahu's aim is to occupy as much land and do as much damage to Hezbollah as possible before a possible new peace deal between America and Iran because that could bring in a new and potentially much more binding ceasefire in Lebanon.
So the non-existent ceasefire in in Lebanon, we we have the health ministry saying yesterday we heard there 31 people killed um because of Israeli air strikes and also 40 injured. This is not a ceasefire.
>> No, indeed it's not. And I think that you know the last point made in that report is the critical one is that none of this exists in a silo. It is all interconnected with what is happening in Iran. The US is at the forefront of most of the negotiations that are happening in conflict zones in the world. Uh we know that uh Israel's ultimate aim with you know it's it's pressing on with its um offensive action in its conflict has been around uh Iran that has uh frankly always maintained its uh position for Israel not to exist. this is an existential threat to them as a nation and I think that that has given Benjamin Netanyahu his justification to continue pressing.
If there is a deal, then what we are hoping will come of it is um a sort of calming in that region, which is possibly why the White House was always also asking for surrounding nations within the regions to normalize their relationship and relations with Israel.
But it feels like it is still a long way away and whilst that continues, we are going to see um frankly quite horrifying news about how humanity plays no part in this negotiation.
Israel saying that they are um acting against threats on uh their people. Um the Israeli people um and Hezbollah are using a new type of drone and therefore their their aim is to decimate Hezbollah. It's not a fight against the Lebanese people. Well, we're not on the ground, so we can't uh make a judgment beyond. They used to say the same thing to justify some of their actions in Gaza. Uh which um uh have have been deemed violating international law repeatedly.
Um and it I'm afraid it's part of the problem. The Netanyahu regime is part of the problem uh in trying to get any kind of resolution to what's going on. that the attacks on Iran began as a joint USIsrael initiative and yet Netanyahu's objectives were wholly different to Trump's as far as Trump was clear about what his objectives were and it's one of the reasons why we're in this mess. Um the fact that uh the current Israel government feels the freedom to do basically what it wants. Um I I don't as the British ambassador was reported to be saying the special relationship is between America and Israel and it seems to give this Israeli government freedom to do what it wants.
>> And Salma is is the goal of Israel to cause as as much damage and and occupy as much land as as possible before perhaps a a real ceasefire is brought in. I I think that this as you say the ceasefire really is non-existent and continuing uh with a conflict to be able to inflict in military or strategic terms as much damage as they can before there is a normalization. I think that is you know a potentially valid assessment of what Israel is doing at the moment. But I think everybody's position is so entrenched now that there has to be some kind of break not just for consumers in the US in the west in all over the world because of the straight of hormoods but also because there is this continuing uh unfolding humanitarian issue where people are dying and they are it looks like that we are seeing indiscriminate action um that is impacting uh civilians and that has to be a feature of why we are trying to achieve peace. And I and I do find it worrying that that doesn't seem to be, you know, what western powers are focusing on. It's not to say that people don't feel legitimate in the actions that are being taken, but surely this is not the solution that anybody is looking for. We need to find peace pretty quickly.
>> Trump faces a real dilemma. I mean, he's very self-confident in these press conferences and public appearances, but Americans, consumers, as as some would suggest, want this to end. And yet, the only deal currently on offer appears to be one that is flakier and worse than the Obama deal that he was scathing about for so long. Um, but in America, what that this has wasn't popular from the beginning.
>> But it's the term it's the term perfect deal. And the reality is there is no such thing.
>> There's no such thing not in diplomacy, not in politics, there is no such thing as 100%. And as as we used to say when I was back in government, 70% is a first class degree. If you can take the win, take the win.
>> Yeah.
>> But he's saying he's not prepared to make any concessions.
>> And and then he says, "If we don't get it, we'll go in and finish it." Well, what does that mean?
>> Yeah.
>> So So there's a lot of imprecision around perfect deal. We'll go in and finish it. Meaningless almost.
>> Yeah. Yeah. uh how will it all all end and the the implications for for Lebanon? Um uh we don't know. We are at the whim of one man seemingly. Coming up, the full extent of the threat posed by Russia to UK interests is laid bare by the new head of the spy agency GCHQ.
Stay tuned to find out more.
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The best thing about being a Sky News journalist.
>> Hi darling.
Beth Rigby Sky News >> is being a Sky News journalist. You said to people, "I'm not coming back for more." But you have come back for more.
And well, let's kick off and make a statement. What can our prime minister say to you to not impose Paris?
>> He's coming out.
>> What more do you need?
We're trying to see as much as we can.
We're in an area that's just been reclaimed. Mr. Zuma Sky News. People are directly protesting. The whole neighborhood has rallied around her.
It's been impenetrable to journalists over the last 2 years of war in Sudan.
>> Been waiting for this for 2 years. It doesn't feel like a big homecoming.
>> It was never going to be pretty. War isn't pretty.
>> What's the best thing about being a Sky presenter?
Perfect.
Let's bring you some breaking news.
Being a Sky News presenter, >> I began by asking.
>> Thank you so much.
>> Trusting us to tell her story. The battle for number 10. Sky News has been given exclusive access. Let me give you a sneak peek. It was the day those present would never forget. Why did you decide to to open up and tell your story?
>> You are watching the rap. Now, the full extent of the threat posed by Russia to UK interests were laid bare today as the new head of the spy agency GCHQ spoke publicly for the first time. Anist Butler also set out the cost of the Ukraine war to Russia, saying that her agency estimated that almost half a million Russian soldiers had been killed in the conflict. Here's our security and defense editor, Deborah Haynes.
It's more than four years since Vladimir Putin launched his full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and the head of GCHQ has just revealed how many Russian troops the UK believes has been killed. The figure is staggering. As we remain steadfast in our support for Ukraine, Putin is going backwards on the battlefield.
With new intelligence showing that almost half a million Russian soldiers have been killed since the conflict began, Keith Butler was giving the first of what will be an annual GCHQ lecture. She used it to warn of the growing threat still posed by Moscow and the risk of miscalculation that could lead to wider war. Russia is scaling up its daily hybrid activity against the UK and Europe, stretching from the seabed to cyberspace, relentlessly targeting critical infrastructure, democratic processes, supply chains and public trust.
But let me be clear that in the face of such aggression and chaos, GCHQ is working tirelessly with intelligence and defense partners to degrade and reduce the Russian threat. The speech wasn't just about the Kremlin. The spy chief also talked about risks and opportunities posed by emerging technologies from artificial intelligence to quantum computing and cyerspace to outer space. She said everyone on this new digital front line must think more carefully about their own defenses. At home that means taking important action to switch from passwords to pass keys. And for wider society, it means hardwiring security into new technologies, protecting supply chains, and making cyber security 10 times more urgent.
>> She gave the speech here at Bletchley Park, the wartime home of GCHQ, and a reminder of the vital importance of intelligence work at a time of global uncertainty.
So I mean the clear message there, one of the messages that you know we have to stay really vigilant that that Russia is on the the the war path. Maybe not literally but sometimes in terms of of cyber and everyone in in the UK has to be on their toes. Well, it's import this is really really critical because uh the government in the in the king's speech have talked about cyber resilience and a and a bill that's there and one of the things that lots of military particularly those ones that border Russia and the in the Finnish case this is uh absolutely true that they are uh thinking about how they remain vigilant against Russian threats and I so I think that some of the legislation that's coming in is underpinning exactly what she's talking about. Also interesting that she is articulating what the Russian losses look like on their side because I think we do get a feeling that uh the president of Russia is pretty happy to pay play a waiting game um and just you know send continuously send people to the front lines um and not have to really suffer the consequences.
I think what I heard there was fascinating is that that there are shifts even in a society like Russia's um where people are starting to feel if not the economic um slowdown from sanctions etc but also the personal about people being sent to the front and people losing uh loved ones in their communities in their families. I think that is a really important thing to to understand because it might give us the shape of the end of this conflict at some point too.
>> Yeah, fascinating to hear that that figure revealed by her in that uh inaugural um annual lecture at GCHQ.
Nearly half a million Russian troops have been killed in the war.
>> And as your correspondent said, it's a or or whoever it was a staggering it's a staggering figure half a million.
>> And I think it raises all sorts of issues. One of which is, as Salma says, how long is that sustainable that you carry on sending people another 100,000 million being killed? Um, but it also suggests to me and and sorry to quote Blair again, I was critical of a lot of the Blair stuff. But where I agree with him is he thinks it's highly unlikely after this Putin will say right now we'll go somewhere else and somewhere else. This clearly has stretched resources to a point which is in itself becoming uh unsustainable. However, cyber attacks is a different issue >> that you don't throw bodies never to return to Russia with cyber attacks. So I think the much of the focus now needs to be defending institutions from cyber attacks. That's that's where the focus >> well and case Butler was saying that it even comes down to the individual that everyone has to be vigilant and and one thing she was saying is that everyone must think about their own defense at home. People should switch from passwords to to pass keys and we all have to be thinking about how we can improve our security.
>> Yeah, absolutely. because well you never know how somebody might be trying to access the system and it's not just kind of you know I mean I don't think there's anything exciting on on my emails in particular that the Russian state might be wanting to get their hands on.
>> I don't know I don't know >> um you know unless they want to do my admin that's absolutely fine. Um but I think that when we think about how we log into something you might not necessarily think about your part in a wider system and how that could potentially build bring a network down.
So fishing requests and through one device how people might be able to access other systems. I think that is also really important. And now that you said it, I really must spend some of tomorrow doing a bit of a check on that just to work out whether I'm secure or not.
>> Well, actually, when I heard her say that, I just turned down a request to move from a password to a pass key. I thought, oh, I don't need to bother with that. But the fact that that she's saying at GCHQ director um that we all have to make these little steps really didn't quite worry me.
>> Yeah. Well, you you you're turning to me. I don't know what is a pass key compared with a password. I haven't even got to the point where I understand the difference. So, obviously I'm vulnerable to a cyber attack right away. Um but no, yeah, the these things uh it it it seems to me this is where any country can become vulnerable very very quickly and we've seen it with the NHS. You know, that is such an obvious target unless you have the most sophisticated defense against uh a cyber attack. Um and >> the point is you don't need a sophisticated defense. What you need is for people to understand how it's going to be accessed because quite often cyber attacks happen at the fishing level where you just click a link in your email and all of a sudden you get malware into your machine. Yeah. What I think would be really helpful alongside what is, you know, a very grandiose format of giving a speech at GCHQ is a proper public service. Yeah. Um campaign that really says is what and I I say again, you know, I'm a I'm a trustee at Policy Exchange, a think tank in the UK.
We've had lots of work um you know around this about what does it take to build a resilient um nation and there are other countries that do this and so we need to get serious about how we build resilience and that it's something that's understood across the nation and not just in these small bits of information that come out.
>> Yeah. No, that's a very very interesting point. Maybe you could head the campaign or kick it off.
>> Happy to call GC.
>> I'll help out. I mean, you know, there's public editor.
>> Yeah, you better find out more about it.
But public education is is a really important part of that and actually uh just doing an event today at GCHQ or whatever it it hardly begins to educate us on what will be >> but the wider point is that that you have to hardwire security into new technologies as an was saying today. Uh let's take a look at what's making the front pages of tomorrow's newspapers for you now. Starting with the Mail which leads with the report landing tomorrow from a former Labour health secretary Alan Milburn over the issue of young people not in education, employment or training.
And that's also the lead story on the eye call for welfare reforms to save young people from becoming lost generation.
Front page of the express is Sir Tony Blair branding Ed Milliban's net zero plans. a fantasy amidst rising bills and prices.
The Times also leading on Labour's net zero plans, reporting that Saki Starama is under mounting pressure from his cabinet to rethink the party's opposition to new North Sea drilling.
Temperature falls, costs rise. That's the lead story in tomorrow's metro as we learn the price cap is going up 13% this summer.
Be safe in water or more will die. A stark warning as seven children die in water related incidents during the heatwave.
The Financial Times is leading with the news that the official fund for Donald Trump's Board of Peace is empty, which could leave its plans to rebuild Gaza in limbo.
And on the front page of the Star, it's a coming drone. This is the news that England's World Cup base in Kansas City will be guarded by hunter catcher drones to stop rival teams spying on training.
But we're not starting with the star. Uh we're going to start with the male and this is um the story the ex Labour uh health minister Alan Milburn um has done this report a lost generation of needs not in uh education employment or training and he paints a very bleak picture but not with many answers to the the questions that he poses. No, indeed.
You know, he's he's sort of talking about people falling out of the system and there being a a real rising challenge as we go forward of young people not being able to uh get on the on the um job ladder. Um it's sort of slightly worrying that the recommendations aren't going to come alongside this report that they're going to come down later. I think politically that might be difficult because the of the vacuum that it leaves and what ideas are actually going to fill it and what political push is going to happen in the meantime. But it is incredibly worrying and as we discussed earlier I think it's not just about what happens at the end of the process and what you're going to go and see in the jobs market but it's also about how are people falling into this neat situation in the first place.
Is it that children the number of children in care is going up? Is it that the education provision is not um fulfilling obligations to certain types of children that might have difficulties learning? Is it that we are um facing a generation that was also impacted by co?
So I think we need some data points about how we got into this position and why this number is potentially expanding as well as looking at what the job opportunities are further down the line.
One one of the things that um Alan Melbourne talks about in his report is a bedroom generation and uh suffering with anxiety and linking that to to social media and um driving this economic inactivity amongst young people.
>> Yeah. but also as summarized in uh on the MailFront page is um it's much worse according to the Melbourne report than in Greece, France and Spain and other equivalent countries. So why and it seems to me that the the motif of the last general election still applies. You the the running theme of the last election, nothing works and and Britain needs to change government and things need to start working again. And uh here clearly um the situation is more worrying and critical than other equivalent countries. Now I haven't read the report. We've just read the reports of the report and it'll be interesting to see why he thinks that is the case >> and maybe within that we can start coming up with with with measures and it will need uh agile active government intervention um to address some of these things. Yeah, my my cynical head um is uh really describing the the distance between the the report and the recommendations as perhaps a period where other people can make suggestions that perhaps the government can steal, but I didn't say that.
>> Could could be could be true.
>> The metro heating bills up, Britain's gone balmy. Millions of families face a scorching 13% rise in bills for heating their homes uh from as early as the end of next month. summer.
>> Yes, this is troubling because of course usually you don't see these kinds of rises when you're going into summer. And I think the thing that I would be concerned about as a result of this because we know what's driving these price increases, it is the wholesale price of gas, which is um being impacted by the conflict in the in Iran. Um I do worry about what this is going to do in winter and when we see another price increase um and what that is going to do the cost of living. But then of course this is going to have to force the government to rethink the way that it it is thinking about perhaps the net zero cost on energy prices and what more it can actually do to intervene without providing direct subsidies. I think there's a cost implication to it. But energy security and bringing down those bills is going to be really at the top of the government's agenda. What what do you think people will make of the advice from offjem chief executive Tim Jarvis saying that um families he's advising families to explore fixed tariffs or use different payment methods to cope >> well um there's nothing wrong with exploring these but the fundamentals are unchanged which is as long as this Iran crisis continues there's going to be an energy crisis and at the moment the resolution is not at all clear and if this is continuing into the autumn uh this is going to be the biggest political challenge because the government or Karma has been saying look cost of living is his priority and you can see why he says it he looks at the focus groups and they all say cost of living is the top thing but it's not wholly by any means in the government's control the cost of living and it's made clear or Rachel Reeves has made clear they're not going to intervene in in the same way obviously that Liz trusted to astronomical cost at keeping bills down when she was fleetatingly prime minister. But it is the autumn and the winter where this will become potentially a huge story less so in the summer and people will use a lot less energy with 34 degrees >> temperatures absolutely >> out there in the real world >> but the chief executive offer is basically I think maybe parishing uh Martin Lewis. So I think there is there is some good advice out there on how to change your tariff and how to have different payment plans.
>> Martin Lewis is running the country basically. Martin >> I think there is a campaign to make him PM. Actually coming up next we'll take a look at more of the top stories in the newspapers. Do stay with us.
Heat. Heat.
Heat. Heat.
Heat. Heat.
Heat. Heat.
Heat. Heat.
Heat. Heat.
I urge you not to look away. If Hamas hands the hostages over, they will end this conflict. The world has been watching. Good to see you again. How are you?
>> Did she say how he was?
>> The conditions are awful.
>> The jets were ordered to combat.
Historic day here today. How will you respond if India does launch air strikes?
>> They will be all over. Uh, I'm just going to put uh some body armor on. I'm gaim.
>> We're still taking you through the newspapers. We're going to kick off this section with a look. Uh, we're going to go inside the eye. And the story there is Burnham supporters come out swinging after XPM's attack. Um, who's speaking up for Andy Burnham?
Thma. Um well I I haven't seen who's actually speaking up for Andy Bernham apart from the fact oh it's the Luke Charters is a moderate moderate MP it says here who backs Burnham um saying that Blair's diagnosis misses the point.
Um so I think this is another chapter in the Labour family feud that's sort of unraveling um I mean unfortunately the whole country at this point in time. I do think it's interesting though that you have Burnham who served in a Blair cabinet. you have um Gordon Brown and Harriet Harmon returning to advisory positions and we've talked about Sir Tony Blair more than we've talked about Sakir Starma this evening and it it does really feel like we're having a bit of a late 90s retread in our music our fashion and our politics. Um and I I'm not sure that um going into this if Bernham is going to go for the Labour leadership, continuing that level of feuding instead of trying to unify all these various factions within the within the party is actually going to bode well for for government unity and um government uh efficiency.
>> You mentioned there Gordon Brown uh being called back in advisory role. I heard a commentator today saying that perhaps um Sir Tony Blair was a little bit miffed that that he hadn't been called upon for for advice and hence his >> yeah 5,000 words quite possible not the only reason but perhaps a reason but uh I I I take a different view from Sam I think this might be quite significant >> labour have had problems breaking away from Blair and the Blair era especially Kier Starmer who was hugely influenced by Blair Peter Mandlesson and and others in the buildup up to the election in the way that the Tories have really struggled to break away from Margaret Thatcher. I wonder whether this may be a moment where uh Labour do break away uh from from him in that uh Burnham himself is going to respond in detail to the Blair critique uh tomorrow I think and we've got an article in tomorrow's Guardian from Wes Streeting where he distances him and he he was seen as a Blairite. Now, of course, they're all positioning themselves for a possible leadership contest where the membership is in a different place to Tony Blair, but I think they genuinely believe he has misread the current political mood um in on on many fronts. So, so perhaps instead of it being a wallowing of 1997 style nostalgia, there's going to be quite a move away from the sort of Blairite interpretation of what's happening.
>> Right, we're just going to move on to the eye because we're running out of time. Want to get this story in and that is that the man who created Malcolm Tucker is writing the next Paddington film uh we read in the eye. Who is he Salma? Well, this is um Armando Ianucci, brilliant uh British writer. I have to say the way that they framed it that it's going to be the writer that created Malcolm Tucker going to I mean is this a new dark chapter of Paddington, a new swary chapter of Paddington? You know, is that what we're is that what we're expecting? Taking >> Grant played a baddie, didn't he? In Paddington, so maybe there'll be a maler type figure in the new film.
>> Hugh Grant was a brilliant baddie. He should do more baddies. He's actually quite >> very good as a baddie. The the the films so far have been wonderful. Uh but and he's a huge talent. So I'm sure the next one will be good.
>> Oh, will Paddington take a a more sinister.
>> Yeah. Well, I'm not sure he's going to be having tea with the king, is he? You know, in this in a new Malcolm Tuckeresque in Yanucci style.
>> No, I can't I cannot imagine Paddington swearing. So I think we're safe. We're safe on that front if on no other.
>> No. Notoriously wellmanaged. Yes, that exactly.
>> Exactly. Exactly. Steven Selma, thank you so much for taking us through uh the papers. Uh coming up in the sport, Crystal Palace become European champions after winning the UEFA Conference League.
>> Big stories don't always come from big cities. I'm Lisa Dow and I'm Skye's Midland's correspondent.
>> You are not getting in this elevator.
Okay.
>> The judge made it very clear that she could see no justifiable reason why Sakulas wasn't here facing British justice.
>> I promised I would get him justice.
>> Free wherever you get your news.
>> This is what they're up against. That the wind is the really big problems. It is backbreaking work and the smoke is thick.
It's been working well. Water levels are dropping, but no one knows what impact further rain will have.
>> What would you do if this place wasn't open? So, this is the exact spot in Nottingham where their 19-year-old son, Barnaby Weber, lost his life.
>> I just think it's so cruel and so harsh.
>> It's really scary. If we can fade >> in this community, I'm told that everybody knows someone affected by coy.
This will be the last week.
>> Sky News gets the full story first.
Change seems tantilizingly close in this corner of the UK. Wales was the first to introduce the plastic bag charge.
It's legal to let go. Set the speed and take the hands off. It's almost driverless, but not quite.
>> Hans is a highly trained police dog. The force ah it's incredible.
It's It's really frightening actually.
This is my patch, my specialism. It's also my home.
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