Phase Zero refers to the preparation stage before open conflict, where Russia employs hybrid warfare tactics including sabotage, cyberattacks, GPS jamming, propaganda, and political pressure to weaken democratic societies and NATO's resolve, with the goal of making Western democracies argue themselves into paralysis before any direct military confrontation occurs.
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Phase Zero: Russia’s Shadow War Against NATO Has Already Started - #angryveteran追加:
Some European defense analysts are now saying something uncomfortable.
We may already be in phase zero of the next war with Russia.
That does not mean open war is inevitable. It does not mean Russian tanks roll into Poland tomorrow.
It means the preparation phase may already be underway.
Sabotage, cyber attacks, GPS jamming, propaganda, airspace probes, [music] political intimidation, and information warfare [music] aimed at making democratic societies tired, divided, and easier to manipulate.
Russia does not need to beat NATO in a clean fight. That would be stupid, [music] and Putin is many things, but he is not stupid >> [music] >> in that way.
The smarter move is to stay below the threshold, hit the cables, jam the signals, fund the useful idiots, flood the media space, [music] make voters angry at each other, make Ukraine look like a lost cause, [music] then wait for Western democracies to start arguing themselves into paralysis.
And if Russia succeeds in Ukraine, the next pressure point may not be Berlin or Warsaw.
>> [music] >> It could be Moldova. More specifically, Transnistria.
Transnistria is a Russian-backed breakaway region inside Moldova, sitting along Ukraine's western flank. It is not just some frozen [music] Soviet souvenir. It is a lever.
A place Russia can use to pressure Moldova, threaten Ukraine from another direction, and test how serious Europe really is about defending the gray zones.
Right now, the map may look bad for Russia in some places and [music] bad for Ukraine in others.
War is ugly that way.
The immediate results can look fixed until they turn on a dime.
A front can freeze for months, then crack in a week.
A government can look stable, >> [music] >> then suddenly panic.
An alliance can look tired, then remember why it exists.
So, phase zero is not a prediction. It is a warning label.
Russia is already preparing the battlefield, not just with soldiers, >> [music] >> but with fear, confusion, sabotage, and lies.
And the center of gravity is not only Ukraine. It is NATO.
NATO is not charity. It is not some dusty Cold War Club with flags [music] and catered meetings. It is the reason Russia has to think twice before [music] testing the borders of Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Finland, [music] or Romania.
It is the wall that turns one country's border problem into an alliance problem.
And that only works if the treaty means something.
So, if you are American, contact your representative. [music] Contact your senators. Tell them plainly, honor the NATO treaty. Defend Article 5. Support Ukraine.
Protect the alliance before we find out what Europe looks like without it.
This is not about loving every NATO member's politics.
>> [music] >> It is not about pretending Europe always carries its weight.
It is about [music] understanding that deterrence is cheaper than panic, and alliances are cheaper than world wars.
The question is >> [music] >> whether democracies recognize the war before it becomes the kind everybody [music] finally agrees to call a war.
Because by then, the cheap options are usually gone.
>> And now it's time FOR THE THROW BOT.
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