BREAKING: Losing it, Intelligence delivers bad news to Ruto ahead of 2027.

Added: 2026-05-27

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[00:00:46]If they are the first people to know the outcome of an election, it is the National Intelligence Service.

[00:00:57]The National Intelligence Service are the first people to know.

[00:01:02]Even in by-elections, at the ward level, at the constituency level, they know which party is popular, they know which party is unpopular.

[00:01:12]That is why the government gets first-hand information on how to deploy goons and disrupt elections when they know they are going to lose in a particular area. An example is Embakasi North.

[00:01:30]Another one, here up up at Narok here.

[00:01:35]You know, before an election is conducted, NIS goes to the ground.

[00:01:44]It interviews people.

[00:01:48]You are talking to a person you are thinking is your friend, but this person is collecting data.

[00:01:53]At presidential elections, before even the final results are announced, NIS are the very first people to know the outcome of that an election. Why?

[00:02:10]Why?

[00:02:11]They have ways of informing themselves and informing those in authority. Now, the National Intelligence Service gives reports on the ongoing by-elections. I'll do my analysis on the Ol Kalou by-election and the report that has been given.

[00:02:41]BUT ALLOW ME ALLOW ME TO DISCUSS THE national politics.

[00:02:48]The national politics, we have the Mount Kenya region that is currently being controlled by Rigathi Gachagua.

[00:02:59]We have the coastal region, a battleground.

[00:03:04]We have Western Kenya, now controlled by Sifuna and Natembeya.

[00:03:11]We have the Luo Nyanza.

[00:03:15]Because Oburu power.

[00:03:17]Mara anataka senator.

[00:03:19]Mara an attack Linda ground.

[00:03:23]I'm a changaniqua kidogo. So, we can't tell where he's heading to.

[00:03:28]The Gusii region, already being taken away by their very own son, Dr. Fred Matiang'i.

[00:03:36]Rift Valley, we assume it's Ruto, but it's also a battleground. Because the people back home wamesema kwamba sisi Ruto hatujawahi muona since he became the president.

[00:03:50]We have the northern part of Kenya, the northeastern part of Kenya.

[00:03:53]This one this time round it seems that it is somehow behind William Ruto.

[00:04:03]And the kind of development they have received there it is like the likes of Aden Duale and the rest they are trying to shift the support to William Samoei Ruto. But then, let us analyze the number of votes the number of votes per region.

[00:04:27]They know very well because they are always pala kwa ground. They know. And I am sure they have delivered this information.

[00:04:38]Mount Kenya region is the highest region with the highest number of voter registration. And this one I am basing it on the 2022 IEBC register.

[00:04:58]So, if a region has 7 million expect bigger 7.2.3 up.

[00:05:07]Mount Kenya region they have a total of 7 million votes.

[00:05:12]Coastal region 2 million votes.

[00:05:16]Western region 2.2 million votes.

[00:05:20]Lower Nyanza 2.1.

[00:05:24]The Gusii region, the two counties, Kisii and Nyamira 960,000.

[00:05:30]Rift Valley 5.3 million.

[00:05:38]Then, to go to the northeastern part of Kenya it is 882,000 votes. Now in these regions, we want to understand how the votes will be distributed across the politicians who want to vie.

[00:06:03]The Mount Kenya region, we have Uhuru Kenyatta as kingpins and Gachagua.

[00:06:11]The two seems to work together towards the same possible basket.

[00:06:18]GACHAGUA, FROM HOW things are right now, and from his impeachment, he might not contest for the presidency.

[00:06:30]He [snorts] can only be a kingmaker. He can only endorse someone. He can only support someone.

[00:06:36]If Gachagua is to support someone, and Uhuru has already chosen Matiang'i, and Gachagua says they are working together with Uhuru, then it means the Mount Kenya region preferred candidate is Dr. Fred Matiang'i. And I will tell you why. Matiang'i stands a chance to beat these people.

[00:06:59]That's to beat William Ruto in 2027.

[00:07:03]The Mount Kenya region, with 7 MILLION VOTES, IT DECIDES to support FRED MATIANG'I.

[00:07:10]SO, MATIANG'I will have 7 million votes.

[00:07:13]Let us do the math.

[00:07:15]Matiang'i will be having 7 million, yeah?

[00:07:20]7 million plus the votes from the Gusii region, that's about 960. So, let's say we get about 1 million also.

[00:07:29]So, that's Matiang'i WILL STAND A CHANCE, YEAH?

[00:07:35]OF winning with 8 million votes. Kuna region ingine sijaiweka. Let me refer my record.

[00:07:44]There is one region let me refer to my record in a few minutes.

[00:07:51]Kigogo to kigogo to kigogo to.

[00:07:54]Kigogo to kigogo to yes. Could I really do me so how?

[00:07:58]You know it to become Bonnie yes.

[00:08:02]You can Bonnie from where you just say ABC. So that you only you can Bonnie equal to and got Yes. You can Bonnie walk on a 1.7 year you can Bonnie.

[00:08:14]You can Bonnie it is 1.7.

[00:08:18]So This is what I'm saying.

[00:08:22]The Mount Kenya region is being controlled by two individuals.

[00:08:26]That is Um Uhuru Kenyatta and regard the shower you see.

[00:08:34]Regard is not going to contest. I'm 100% sure.

[00:08:38]Meaning He will support someone.

[00:08:40]So that he can become a kingmaker.

[00:08:43]If you got showers to support someone from the United opposition AS THINGS STAND GASHUA HAS NOT settled on a candidate.

[00:08:54]But then Gashua in other region he says we are working with Uhuru Kenyatta.

[00:09:01]So if Riggy G is working with Uhuru Kenyatta then definitely Uhuru Kenyatta is supporting Matiang'i then it means Gashua may definitely also support Matiang'i at the end of THE DAY. SO MATIANG'I WALKS home with about 8 million votes.

[00:09:23]RIGHT?

[00:09:25]COAST REGION TO SAY HOW YOU NEED BATTLEGROUND.

[00:09:29]Western region to go to see fun now.

[00:09:32]Right?

[00:09:33]If see fun now decides to work with Matiang'i They have 10 million votes.

[00:09:39]Because Western Kenya equal to 2.2 million.

[00:09:43]Nyanza, how I want to say I want to power what channel and wow.

[00:09:46]Rift Valley in your William Ruto 5.3.

[00:09:51]Yeah, 5.3. So, 5.3 even if the coastal region you want to take Nyanza you want to take to say may support Ruto. Those are 3 million votes.

[00:10:03]5 6 7 8 those are 8.3 million votes.

[00:10:07]So, even if William RUTO DECIDES TO WORK with Nyanza to work with the coastal region, right? Then it means it will only have 8.3 million votes against 10 million.

[00:10:25]To go to go to Kalonzo.

[00:10:27]Right?

[00:10:28]If Kalonzo decides to go with Matiang'i for instance, then we will have that is will have 8.7 million votes.

[00:10:40]8.7 million votes if Sifuna decides to come in in a coalition as maybe the prime minister, then plus three uh plus two then we have close to 11 million votes against 8.3 of William Ruto. So, Matiang'i, Kalonzo, Sifuna ticket in either way is likely to defeat William Ruto in 2027. All we need [screaming] is the United opposition to sit and produce one candidate and a running mate. It's almost God bless you. So, the next episode.

[00:11:19]Asanteni sana.