Iranian political analyst Mohammad Marandi argues that Iran's rejection of U.S. demands regarding the Strait of Hormuz stems from its critical importance to national sovereignty and survival, as the strait controls approximately 20% of global oil supplies. Marandi contends that Iran views continued U.S. military pressure, including airstrikes and sanctions, as existential threats that necessitate resistance, and predicts that any renewed conflict will involve broader regional actors like Yemen and Iraq, potentially causing catastrophic global economic disruption through disruption of oil and LNG supplies.
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Iran Rejects Us Terms Regarding The Strait Of Hormuz - Airstrikes To Continue.|Mohammad MarandiAdded:
and orientalism at the University of Tehran. May God bless you, professor.
It's always a delight to see your beautiful smile. Um, are you smiling in anticipation of an agreement or because you've got a lot of cards up your sleeves if the agreement doesn't materialize and war begins again?
>> Well, thank you, George, for inviting me. smiling because of your uh kind introduction uh too too kind. Um I think from what we are seeing so far uh war is almost inevitable and uh it uh the United States will probably and the Israeli regime will pro probably carry out an assault in the coming days.
Nothing is for certain, but the speaker of parliament who's also the chief negotiator, uh he has come out today and said that this is the first time that he said that he believes that an attack is imminent.
So the Iranian armed forces are fully prepared. Uh I think that u Trump uh is uh either being misled or he he feels that he has no option but to attack uh Iran. Maybe uh be right before I came on air. Uh, I heard you speaking. I think it was recording from before that a a a lady was saying that she believes that uh Trump is uh his problems in the Epstein piles must be very serious and you acknowledge that it's for me this seems to be the most plausible answer because nothing that Trump does makes sense um from what we heard from people who used to be closer close to Trump like Tucker Carlson. He says that when he went to see Trump, it was clear to him that Trump didn't want to have this war and that he knew that it was not a good idea. That was my understanding from what Tucker Carlson said. So, uh that means he was forced to go to war and uh after 39 days of uh a genocidal assault, he failed. Then um afterwards during the ceasefire he violated the ceasefire. He imposed a siege on aian siege. By the way, George, what he is int what he is attempting to do is to prevent Iranians from uh importing medicine and food.
This is a starvation siege. This is not just a siege for like equipment or uh factories or anything like that. He wants to deny people uh the right to survive. And of course, this is what the Americans have been doing for decades through their maximum pressure sanctions. But you won't hear this in the Western media. But in any case, that is failing too because he carried out an operation 3 weeks ago or so, which also failed. So the siege failed, the war failed, the operation failed. And now um he is hoping to carry out another offensive which I believe is inevitably going to fail.
>> We uh know from Shakespeare's time about the dilemma faced by such men in the middle of a river or blood whether it's bloodier to go on or to return. Uh it's an age-old uh question. I do think that there's uh reason to believe that Trump does not want to go to war. Uh one is the testimony you've cited of people like Tucker Carlson who know him well and who've spoken to him intensively uh over this question over the last few months. Uh, another is the opposition to it, which is clear enough of the vice president JD Vance. Another is the fact that the Republicans are about to lose Texas, about to lose Florida. uh they are actually hemorrhaging support in the upcoming midterms in a way that poses an existential danger to Trump because of course they can afford to lose control uh of one house. if they lose control of both uh then an actual impeachment followed by removal from office has all kinds of perils for uh Donald Trump. And all polls show that this Iran war is the most unpopular war there has ever been in the history of the United States. And there's the constant lying that he is on the verge of a of a deal. So I personally believe that Trump would like to get off the hook, which as you say makes the whole thing even darker because it means that somebody else above the president of the United States is calling these shots. And that person's Netanyahu, isn't it?
>> Yes, indeed. I think uh there is no doubt about it that if the United States goes to war again uh it will be Netanyahu, the Zionist lobby and the Israeli regime that uh is the uh decider as was once said by Bush. Uh the the bond market right now is in is in terrible uh is under is facing terrible stress. The US economy is not doing well at all. Uh Trump is manipulating the markets right now. He's they're speaking of some sort of agreement which is uh so far there's no indication of us moving in that direction.
But even these manipulations at the end of the day, George, they're going to make things worse because when you artificially bring down the price of let's say oil, even though it's paper oil, uh it's not uh the spot market. uh but uh you you are increasing demand, you are uh preventing uh especially when he keeps saying that this is going to end soon. Uh companies who want to invest or increase production then they're going to refrain from doing so. So in a sense in the long run what he's doing is he's going to make the crisis even worse when the manipulation no longer works. But I think it's quite clear that if there is war that it means that he is not in charge and I think everyone across the world sees him as a weak president. We saw when he went to Beijing there was no joint statement. We saw the Russians and the Chinese had a joint statement. We saw all of his claims about what President Xi said in private to be false. That the Chinese did not confirm any of the claims made by the Americans.
things are not going well at any at any level. And um George, I think that what they do not understand or maybe maybe he they do understand, but this is a sort of a final roll of the dice. Uh they may not comprehend that the Iranians are prepared to suffer. The Iranians are prepared to accept the pain and the hardship of this starvation siege because they know that this is a fight for their survival. They know that because of their support for the Palestinian people, the Americans, the Europeans, the West wants to wipe them out. So they know that it that there is no way that they can appease the Americans and uh remain standing. So they have to be steadfast. On the other hand, the entire world their suffering is increasing by the day and soon it will become much worse and they're all going to be asking themselves why do we have to suffer for the the Zionist regime, for this genocidal regime.
Americans are going to ask themselves why do we have to suffer? And I actually think that all of this is going to make things much worse for the Israeli regime in the United States itself in the coming months and years. In fact, you may I may be wrong, you may disagree, but I think that uh Congressman Massie's defeat at the hands of uh Israel is in fact bad news for the Israeli regime because this is going to create greater anger uh about the Israeli regime, more uh awareness across the country about the Israeli regime And when uh the election comes, the the Republicans, which uh their supporters uh percentage-wise uh are still the a larger segment of them support the Israeli regime, they're going to be defeated even more badly because of uh events like what we saw with Congressman Masi. I think that all of these are bad signs. I think the Israeli regime is miscalculating from beginning to end. They miscalculated in Gaza. They're miscalculating in their genocidal assault on Lebanon. They're miscalculating in trying to continue the war with Iran. They're miscalculating by antagonizing young Americans. And this is going to uh ultimately uh bring about their their downfall in the United States.
>> No, I don't disagree uh at all. Now, uh, the last time we spoke, I asked you about the shoe that hadn't dropped, uh, namely the Yemen, uh, but there's, uh, uh, indications today that if the US does return, uh, to the scene of its, uh, crimes and begin again a genocidal assault, that this time and with all the strategic implications, Yemen will be on the side of the resistance. Can you confirm that and what might that look like?
>> Well, as you know, Yemen was always with the resistance and so was Iraq. But in the previous war, the Iranians did not want to escalate too far. They wanted to manage escalation. And uh so they felt that there was no need for I mean the the alliance felt that there was no need for Yemen to get involved.
In the case of Iraq, the resistance in Iraq did get involved but to a degree.
But from my understanding, if there is a renewal of war, if there's another aggression by the Israelis and the Americans, Yemen will become deeply involved.
They will have a major impact on the battlefield and on global econom on the global economy and the resistance in Iran is in Iraq is going to be far more active and far more assertive than they were during the 39 days of onslaught. In addition to that, again, my understanding from what I'm hearing, the Iranians are going to hit much harder and they're going to be more decisive and no no punches will be pulled. So, in a sense, the battle ahead is going to be more decisive than the 39 days war, the 39 days of war. And uh I don't see the United States winning this war and I don't see the Israeli regime winning. But George, if Trump and Netanyahu target Iranian critical infrastructure, which is highly probable because after all, these are barbaric animals. As I said, there's a starvation. They're preventing medicine from getting into Iran right now.
Actively doing so. Western media is completely silent because they're owned by DevClass.
Although although uh Sky News I I'm maybe you saw the uh the quest the reporter who asked the question of Admiral Cooper about the school. I applaud that reporter for for his courage but in general Sky News and the rest of them they are useless. But that was that reporter it took courage uh for him to do that. I advise people to watch it, but to to take a look. But if they attack Iran's critical infrastructure, Iran will retaliate and the Israeli regime's critical infrastructure will will be targeted and destroyed. And the critical infrastructure of the regimes in the Persian Gulf who are complicit in the war will be destroyed.
We are nearing the month of June. All people have to do is go right now and look at the weather in Dubai or in Abu Dhabi or elsewhere and see that the weather there is very very very difficult to tolerate unless you're in a very good car or your your your your cooling system is working very well at home. If there's no electricity and no water, the country is finished. people will have to immediately go to Oman or to Iraq. They'll have to empty the country, whether it's American forces or whether it's the royal family or anyone else. So the critical infrastructure in Iran, if it's struck, Iran and Iran retaliates, that means these regimes in the Persian Gulf will probably collapse.
And then that means that uh in future there won't be any oil or natural or LNG or anything else for the global market.
So what Trump is doing is he's playing with fire. Already the situation for the global economy and the American economy is terrible. But what he and what he and Netanyahu were pushing for is a a global economic depression far worse than the 1930s in the previous century.
>> Now finally uh professor I saw you say today I was a little surprised uh because it's the first uh difference I've ever had with you. Uh you uh you said that you had never been a fan of Ahmedina Jad, the former president of Iran, twice president. Uh I I actually quite liked him and I interviewed him once. Um but uh I think we're both agreed uh that the attempt by the US briefings to media uh to paint uh Ahmed Jad as a traitor uh to Iran who was somehow involved in a regime change plot which would have benefited himself and the uh puppet masters in Tel Aviv and the United States. uh tell the viewers if you would about that uh and uh how it's being viewed in Iran. Well, my criticism of uh former president Ahmed is largely has largely to do with internal politics that um he was very divisive in general which I think a president should refrain from uh being in but but also he he did not listen to uh he he he made a lot of decisions without consulting experts. that that's my opinion. But um yes, the New York Times that that article I think is just uh sheer nonsense. Uh if if he indeed former President Ahmed was a is a CIA asset, why would the CIA put his name out there in public? Why would they tell the New York Times that he is our asset? that basically is telling anyone across the world uh who is contemplating working for the CIA or who actually is working for the CIA that they better uh do do something to save themselves because they could be uh handed over to or uh or their names could be revealed at any moment. So, it doesn't make sense for the CIA to give out his name. Second of all, um what is you know what what is the evidence of him being involved in some plot against the country if he is truly a traitor uh that they that they say he is they don't provide any evidence the the article is just saying that Ahmed Nhad was uh they were going to kill the leader and Ahmed Nhad was going to take over where is the evidence because at the end of the Today uh Iran has a constitution.
Iran has there we have a very strong civil society.
State institutions in Iran are real and meaningful. We saw the margin of leaders both during the 12- day war and this war and nothing happened. Why? Because our constitution works. This I think this very article is full of uh orientalist notions.
This where uh in a in a place like Iran in the eastern in an eastern despotic regime as they would like to see it the rule of law means nothing. State institutions mean nothing. One despot just replaces another. Uh that's how the the western elites like to introduce or to uh to describe leaders from the rest of the world from the global in the global south you know strong men and whether it's Russia or whether it's China or whether it's Iran or anywhere else any country that they do not like they delegitimize them and introduce and and and describe those societies as as societies that have no uh you know state institutions have no legitimate constitution and if it does have a constitution it doesn't really mean anything which is all nonsense and this either shows a a major lack of understanding by the New York Times western intelligence agencies or whoever is behind this uh this article uh which is probably out there to create division in Iran uh which no one everyone no one takes it seriously here. I I haven't seen anyone take it seriously. But uh but also I think in addition to that, it just uh shows how the New York Times is such a discredited news organization.
>> Yeah. that if if they do indeed have uh I mean they're just basically giving uh out what the intelligence services in the United States are handing over to them without even thinking why would the CIA let's assume that the CIA they really believe that the CIA sincerely gave this information to them why would the CIA do that what is the agenda of the CIA so it nothing makes sense in this it is just propaganda but in my opinion it's deeply orientalist. It is racist and it shows a clear lack of understanding about the sophistication sophisticated nature of Iranian civil society of the constitution and this and state institutions and of course the the role that Iranian civil society and ordinary people play. uh when the leader was martyed, we had a uh for a full week we had a leadership council a leadership council until we could get a new leader. The country was at war.
They fought. State institutions worked well in accordance with the constitution and when a new leader came to power, it continued to function well. I think that shows that the Iranian constitution works magnificently well and therefore what the New York Times says either again shows how ignorant they are about Iran and how racist and orientalist they are about Iran uh in putting out this sort of propaganda which no one in Iran takes seriously.
>> Uh actually your constitution works a lot better than the American constitution is working right at this moment. Uh we'll be taking a deep dive on Sunday uh into the big summit in Beijing between Putin and uh Ji Jinping.
Uh but preliminarily, what were your thoughts as you saw it?
And have you had a chance to look at their joint declaration yet, professor?
Well, George, uh, the the joint declaration, I think, was very good for the global south, for the Islamic Republic of Iran, for the axis of resistance.
It was not good news for the United States. It was not good news for the empire. It was not good news for the Israeli regime. And the very fact that Trump's trip came right after the Iranian foreign minister's trip and then right before the Russian president's trip, I think says a great deal. First of all, it shows that the power has transitioned already to Asia >> and that uh the Trump is is clearly not the equal of the Chinese president. But second of all, it shows that the Chinese are in full coordination or at least they're highly coordinating their efforts and their positions with the Iranians and the Russians. And that should be something that the Americans uh think about a bit more uh carefully. Uh the United States is is losing ground and if they start another war, it is going to get much worse. And it's going to get much worse, much faster than before. Uh, George, if the United States attacks Iran again, Iran will be relentless. And if the United States runs out of ammunition, they shouldn't expect Iran to stop fighting. The Iranians will stop fighting only when all of their objectives are achieved. The same is true with Yemen. The same is true with Iraq and the same is true with the resistance in Lebanon. At the end of the day, the Iranians have demands that have to be met. The control over the Strait of Hormos will remain Iranian. Iran sovereignty will have to be preserved and Iranian allies across the region have to live in peace. And until that happens, the United States is going to have serious trouble in the state of wars.
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