The US 10-year Treasury yield above 4.60% acts as a critical macro catalyst that functions like a liquidity vacuum, pulling capital toward risk-free yields and compressing valuations across all non-yielding assets including equities, commodities, and crypto. This explains the 'commodity paradox' where silver, despite facing a 67 million ounce supply deficit for six consecutive years, fell 7.5% in a single day due to liquidity constraintsāinvestors selling precious metals to cover margin calls in a high-rate environment.
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The Bond Shock: How Yields Impact Global Markets šHinzugefügt:
The US 10-year Treasury yield above 4.60% should not be seen as just another interest rate. It is now one of the most important macro catalysts in the world.
It acts like a giant liquidity vacuum.
It pulls capital toward risk-free yield, and it compresses the valuation of almost every asset that does not offer yield. That is why the bond shock in the US is being felt across currencies, bond markets, commodities, equities, and crypto. This is no longer just about bonds. This is about the price of money itself. One of the most striking divergences is happening in silver.
Let's call this the commodity paradox.
From a fundamental perspective, global silver is facing a large supply deficit for the sixth consecutive year. The deficit stands at 67 million ounces.
Normally, this kind of setup should push prices sharply higher. But when we look at the price action, the opposite happened. Silver fell by 7.5% in a single day, down to $75.99.
So, why is this happening? The answer is liquidity. In a high-rate environment, funds and investors need cash quickly to cover margin calls. And when they need urgent liquidity, they sell what they can. That includes precious metals.
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