Electoral fraud in democratic processes involves the deliberate manipulation of vote counting and voter registration to produce predetermined results, where the method of winning becomes as important as the outcome itself, ultimately undermining the legitimacy of democratic institutions and governance.
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So the ADC presidential primary is being conducted using the direct primary method in theory. Direct primary is supposed to be the most democratic of all primary formats. Here every registered member gets a vote. Every candidate has to face the actual people, not just a handful of delegates who can be bribed in a hotel room the night before. The idea is clean, transparent and fair. But the reality unfolding across Nigeria is anything but clean, transparent and fair.
APC did their primary on weekend and videos circulating on the social media tell the real story. At multiple venues, vote counting has left many completely speechless. Votes are not being counted one by one. They are being announced in suspicious illogical chunks that bear no relationship to any credible counting process. 10 vote here, 50 vote there, a sudden jump to 70, then 90. The numbers move in ways that make no mathematical sense if real ballots are being counted.
This is not a counting error. This is not a clerical mistake. This is manufactured numbers announced confidently by officials who did not even bother to pretend there is a process behind what they are doing. The Brazilian manner of what is being done here is what st the most. These are not people conducting fraud in a back room behind closed doors. They are doing it openly. The cameras are rolling. The phones are out and they simply do not care. ADC is equally conducting its own primary. One would have expected a different show at the ADC primary but no it is completely the same with what we saw during the APC primary. Fraudulent counting suspicious number here and there and the contest is between Atiku Abuaka and Rimi Aichi. Across the southern states, the primary is producing long queues at venues where Ruti Amichi, the former River State governor and ex-minister of transportation appears to be commanding visible support. Long lines of people are turning out and the optics on the surface looks like genuine democratic participation and the not former vice president Atiku Abubaka. The people's democratic party perennial presidential contender who now finds himself navigating the ADC landscape is also seeing cues at primary venues. Long cues, loud supporters, the kind of crowd presence that again on the surface suggests real energy and real votes. But here is the problem that nobody who has watched Nigerian politics for more than 5 minutes can ignore. Long kills and big crowd means absolute nothing when the actual counting is compromised. and the counting as videos from the ADC primary are showing is absolutely compromised.
But let us be very specific about what is happening because vague language has a way of letting people off the hook in Nigeria. In electoral counting, whether for a primary or a general election, votes are supposed to be counted in a way that any observer in the room can follow. Numbers are announced incrementally and verifiably. Every figure correspond to actual paper that can be physically checked. That is a standard that is a minimum. What ADC is doing is something else entirely.
Tallies are being read out in large round convenient numbers. A candle is suddenly jumped from 10 vote to 50 without explanation. Another jump from 50 to 70 then 70 to 120. This is not inefficiency. This is not poor organization. This is the active deliberate construction of a false result. And the fact that it is being themed and posted online without shame, without consequences, and without any apparent fear of accountability tells you exactly how deep the rot goes in Nigerian democratic culture. The people doing this are not hiding. They counting or rather announcing in front of crowd in front of cameras with the full confidence of people who know that nothing will happen to them. This is perhaps the most chilling part of all of this. The fraud is not the problem. The culture that makes the fraud possible, normal and consequencefree. That is a real crisis.
The direct primary method on paper sounds like exactly what Nigeria need after years of delegate based primaries where a few hundred handpicked people decided who gets the presidential ticket. The direct primary promised to put power back in the hands of ordinary party members. No middlemen, no delegate to bribe, just the people. But the direct primary in Nigeria has exposed a problem that goes far deeper than the method of voting. The problem is who exactly is a party member in the ADC primary as in the APC primary before it.
Many of the people turning up at the primary venues are not registered party members. They are not people who have paid dues, attended meetings or engaged with the party at any level beyond today. They are people who were contacted in the days or hours before the primary promised a sum of money.
anything from 1,000 NRA to few thousand naira and told to show up, collect their payment and vote for a specific candidate. This is not speculation. It is common knowledge. Party operative in Nigeria have perfected the art of crowd mobilization for primaries. They know every junction, every motor park, every area where young men and women with time on their hands can be assembled quickly.
On the morning of a primary, the operative move. By the time the venue opens, the crowd is there. The crowd looks like participation. The crowd feels like democracy, but the crowd has been paid. What you end up with is a primary that is structurally incapable of producing a genuine result. The wrong people are voting. They are voting on instruction. Layer upon layer of corruption. Each one making the next one worse. This is not a step forward for Niger electoral system. is a step backward away from any hope of genuine democratic representation and towards a system where power is purely a function of money and connections dress up in the language of democracy to fool the public.
Let me take your mind back to the promise of ADC. When the party began to emerge as a potential platform for the 2027 election, there was genuine excitement among a section of Nigerians who were tired of the APC PDP binary.
Two parties that between them have managed to run Nigeria into the ground.
Two parties that have recycled the same faces, the same strategies and the same failures across an entire generation.
ADC supporters argue was different. It had energy. It had figures who seemed genuinely interested in policy, not just power. There was talk of a real platform, a real program, a real alternative to business as usual. But what the ADC primary is revealing loudly, unavoidably and on camera is that ADC is not different. ADC is the same system wearing a new lab. The same money politics, the same manufactur result, the same contempt for process, the same comfort with impunity. This is not an accident. This is what happens when a party is built around the ambition of individuals rather than around a genuine ideology of vision. The question ADC founders should have asked themselves was not how do we win. The question should have been what are we winning for? And if the answer to that second question is not clear then the method used to win will inevitably default to the familiar which in Nigeria means manipulation money and manufactured result.
There is a pattern in Nigerian politics that repeated it so many time that it should have a name by now. A group of politicians become frustrated with the sitting president. They decide to challenge him. They form or adopt a platform. They build a coalition. They campaign vigorously. They talk about change, about rescue, about a new direction. But when you press them, when you push past the slogans and rallies and the emotion, you find that there is very little behind the coffin, no detailed economic plan, no credible program for fixing the structural problems that have kept Nigeria poor and unstable for decades, just the raw desire to sit in as instead of the person currently sitting there. This is the Bhari 2015 story. Mohammad Dubari ran on a singular promise of not being good Jonathan. He offered change without content. And when he got to power, Nigeria got 8 years of drift, incompetence, insecurity and economic deterioration because there was never a plan. There was only an ambition. ADC as it is currently constituted risk walking down the exact same road. The primary they are conducting today is not the behavior of a party that has thought seriously about governance. It is a behavior of a party that has thought seriously about winning. And in Nigeria, those two things are not the same. They are often in direct opposition to each other. You cannot conduct a fraudulent primary and then stand before Nigerians and say you represent integrity. You cannot manipulate vote counts and then promise to fix in neck. You cannot pay random people to attend your party primary and then claim you represent the masses. The method you use to get to power will shape the kind of power you exercise once you have it.
This is the reason why we should appreciate Peter Obi and Raima Pasu for leaving the ADC.
>> When Obi and Kangasu left the ADC to the NDC, many Nigerians were puzzled. They abandoned a platform that had been built carefully and painfully over many months. Why walk away at that particular moment? The ADC primary currently happening across Nigeria is perhaps the clearest answer to that question. Peter has spent the better part of his political career arguing that Nigerian problems are fundamentally problem of process that if you get the process right, if you apply resources where they are needed, if you make decision based on data rather than patronage, if you hold people accountable, the outcome improve. This is a simple argument, but it requires a certain discipline, a certain commitment to doing things the right way even when the shortcut is available. A party that cannot conduct an honest primary cannot conduct honest governance. A party whose officials are comfortable manipulating vote counts on camera is a party that has already decided that process does not matter.
That the end justify the means. That winning is everything and how you win is nobody business. That is not a party PW was looking for. And if the event of today are any indication, he was absolutely right to look elsewhere. I am Avalanche Media and I bring you the truth like an avalanche. Fast, heavy, and unstoppable. Stay informed, stay ready, stay vigilant. If you like this video, please help Avalanche Media to grow and reach wider audience. Subscribe to this channel, turn on the notification bell, smash the like button, comment your thought and share this video. Thank you for watching. I will see you in the next video.
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