NBA Picks Today 5/24/2026 | Thunder vs Spurs Best Bets, Predictions, & Player Props May 24 2026

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[00:00:00]All right, YouTube. How you doing?

[00:00:02]Welcome back to the channel. It is Sunday, May 24th. We got game number four of the Western Conference Finals.

[00:00:09]In today's video, I'm going to dive into this game. We'll take our time. We'll break it down. I'll give you my prediction on the side. I'll give you my prediction on the total. We'll talk about any of their plays like player props that we like within the game as well. But as always, guys, make sure to keep an eye down on the pinned comment of this video. That's where you'll find all of my final plays so that I'm actually rolling with myself if that does interest you. It's absolutely free down in the pinned comment. All right, YouTube. How you doing? Welcome back to the channel.

[00:00:37]>> I tell you guys I'm a dummy all the time. They don't suck. They've just been sucking. Get them down to minus three for more juice than Jose can take on his prime. Tell me you're new without telling me you're new. So don't go jumping down my throat in the comments.

[00:00:49]Right. If you want to fade me or if you do want to ride me, it still leaves a bad taste in my mouth. Right. And remember, more chins, more wins.

[00:00:59]In terms of how we did yesterday in that Knicks and Cavs game, we go two and one.

[00:01:04]And man, oh man, again, guys, James Harden comes up short. That is three times we've taken his assist line in the series and he finished with five assists yesterday. But Carl Anthony Towns and Muel Bridges absolute sweat-free looks.

[00:01:18]And speaking of sweat free, how about the ride of the day from 420 anime ride of the day? Anime that rhymes pumping some crowd noise. Macau Bridges over 19 and a half P. He does it with just points alone. We are obviously capitalizing on Macau Bridges as well there. If you guys don't know what the ride of the day is, it's simple. Just use that hashtag ride of the day or ROD down in the comments. I jump on board with at least one person's play each and every day and give you a shout out in the next video. Win or loss. If you do win, we continue to roll in ready plays for the coming days. You go on a little bit of a streak. Looking forward to seeing what 420 drops our way today.

[00:01:55]What do you say we go ahead and dive into this game, guys? Hit that like button. Hit that subscribe button as well. Let's get rocking here. We got the Spurs Thunder game number four. So, the Thunder are up 2-1 in this series. Now, game number three. Oh my gosh, we were we could have been blindfolded and we were hitting everything in that game for whatever reason. Now, we only rolled with two plays, right? It was De'Rian Fox points and assists and then Devin Vel in threes. But we talked about liking the Thunder. We talked about liking the over Sha's assist. He had 12 of those bad boys. And then what was last one? Hardstein under eight and a half points or whatever it was too. So we may be seeing this series really really well. Of course I say that now.

[00:02:31]I'm probably jinxing the hell out of it.

[00:02:33]But I have a few spots in which I I do really like. And starting with the Spurs. I like their team total over in this spot. This is going to be kind of just like a blend of both the side and the total because it's probably the thing that I go to the most. Over 109 and a half I do think is very very capable or a line that they're very very capable of getting to. Um when it comes to that line on the season this year you could see uh let's put them at home, right? And just overall 81% of their games. Now the weird thing is that in that game against OKC they shot 50.6%.

[00:03:08]Now they only got to 108, right? that that was by far and away their worst offensive performance so far in this series through three games. When the Spurs at least shoot 50%, which is what they shot in that game, you could see here they averaged 121. There's only three or was it five games? Yeah, five games on the entire season in which they did not come through. Now, when they go up against a good defense, which this Thunder team is, right, three of those games did occur there. So, I do think if the Spurs even just roll out a similar game, which is kind of crazy to say, a similar game to what they did in game number three, they should be able to score another bucket, right? Uh they shot 51% or excuse me, they shot 53% from the floor, but just 31% from three in terms of uh you know what they did in those first two games from three, right?

[00:03:53]So, that again, we're talking 30. They shot 40% from three. And then that was game two. And then game number one in which I still scored 20 uh 122. They only shot 30% from three. So if they do something in between there, which I guess you could say would be this 31.

[00:04:06]That's a little bit more on the low end.

[00:04:07]If they shoot 33% from three, I do think they get to 110 points here. And let's be real, this is a Spurs team with somewhat of a feeling of their back against the wall now, right? Like they win game one of the series and it's like, "All right, let's go. We're off to the races." And I've been very um you know, highly speaking of this Spurs team, thinking that they're the team that can knock off this Thunder squad, but the Thunder have bounced back incredibly. They win that game number two and then they go into San Antonio and what would you'd consider a pivotal game and win 123 to 108. They shot uh what they shoot from the floor. Yeah, 51% from the floor and 45% from three. I don't think that they do that. Again, I think the Spurs do bounce back and get a win, but in doing so, I would think the score uh the Spurs score 110, for example. Let's get back to that team total page, right? And again, this is like a hybrid of both the side and the total. I guess you could say if you want to split it, I like the Spurs and the over, but the team total is really something I'm clearly hyperfixated on.

[00:05:05]And maybe I'm getting too much in my bag and you're getting to the bottom of the bag and it's like, when are they when do I get crumbs in here, right? I'm overthinking this. But when the Spurs do win a game, so we'll say minimum they win by one point. Check it out on the season. 94% of games they've won. So I've gone over this number. So even if you do want to say, hey, uh, and that's just, by the way, overall when they are at home, 92%, right? Hey, if they do win the game, forget the effective field goal percentage, forget the three-point shooting. If you do think the Spurs can win this game, which by the way, guys, the books have this at minus 2 and a half, they odds are going to score 109 and a half. Now, you might be sitting here being like, dude, it's the playoffs, you No, they're not going to do that. They're averaging 116 and 116.4 throughout the playoffs. At home during this playoffs, 113.9. So, yes, it is close. And yes, it does dip down a little bit. But I don't think we're going to see them shoot 48.3% like they did against Minnesota. And I don't think in that against Portland. And then one game they didn't hit against Minnesota, that was another game in which they shot really, really poorly, 27% from three.

[00:06:04]So, both of those are somewhat outliers to me. I know this Thunder team is very good. I know the defense is very good, but I do think that there's a little bit of an overreaction to the Spurs only scoring 108 last time out. So, Spurs over 109 and a half is definitely something I'd consider. I don't mind the full game over, but realistically, if I think if the Spurs win this game, which that is kind of my like pseudo lean if I think they win this game, I I think that they score 110. Like, I don't think that they suppress the Thunder enough and play that good of defense to win this one 103 to 98, right? So, yes, I'm gonna say that hybrid approach is probably what I like the most. Spurs over 109 and a half. Um, I've seen it move to 110 and a half on plenty of books. I still don't mind it, but if you can snag that 109, a lot of the exchanges have it as well. I think that that is probably the move here. Now, guys, before we do get into the player prop portion of the video, which we have been crushing in this series and honestly in the playoffs overall, I do want to talk to you guys about Bucketstobucks. That is the tool you're going to see us use.

[00:07:02]bucketstobucks.com is where you can find it or you can head over to um the pinned comment or the description. We'll put it there as well. This is our very own research tool. We made it for NBA. WNBA is in a slow roll process right now. We have sides and totals for that. Player props, big undertaking that is in the works. Very expensive to build, but we are building it. And MLB may be the best MLB tool in market. Like I'm not even saying that cuz we built it and I'm biased. Like I literally think we have more covered in one MLB tool than anyone. Check it out. bucketstobbox.com.

[00:07:31]Link will be down below in the description as well as the pin comment.

[00:07:34]My goal for this, I've told you guys over and over again. I've dumped so much ching into this bad boy because I want to build a tool that is powerful, one of the more powerful, if not the most powerful in market at a cost that is a fraction to what a lot of these other companies are offering. Check it out, guys. Link down below in the description as well as the pin comment. Let's talk some player props here. First one we're looking at here is going to be when over 16 and a half rebounds plus assists. I do think the assists could come up clutch here. I mean, even during the, you know, the the earlier games in this series, he had three and six. Honestly, actually, all three games, three, six, and three. He has 12 assists through so far through three games in this series.

[00:08:12]His assist line's at three and a half.

[00:08:14]It is juiced uh to the under. So, I mean, if we look at that, yeah, minus 120. So, they think he's going to get, but if we look at like two and a half, right, it's going to be juiced to the over. So, I do think that we could see like a three assist game from Wembyss line at, you know, 13 and a half. add three assists to that, we're sitting right at 16 and a half. And we haven't even considered the idea that he is going to be the longest guy on the court. And this is a game in which, you know, rebounding is going to matter.

[00:08:39]Like if we do look at the box score here too, right? Overall, um you could see there was a in terms of the the the rebounding, it was a yeah, in terms of defensive rebound, right? 28-34.

[00:08:50]That rebounding differential was something that I do think is minor. Not many people would notice, but Webinama going out there and only grabbing like their highest rebounder was Dear Fox at seven tied with Vel and you're going to tell me that that just so happens that they lost the game by 15 points, right?

[00:09:05]Like no, that is a big coincidence these rebounds. Wbeyama needs to be down there. He needs to be able to get some rebounds. So yeah, I don't mind his rebounds line, but I think the assists, given the fact that, you know, we might be able to, and I hate to say book it or pencil him in, but we may be able to pencil him in for three assists, I think, could be pretty damn huge because he could have some of those, um, you know, assist games where it spikes up.

[00:09:25]So, if he has a five assist game, then we're talking about him only needing, you know, nine re or, you know, 11 rebounds, that type of thing, I think that that sounds really, really good.

[00:09:33]But, if you do want to pivot just to one stat, I do like the rebounds more than the assist. I mean, this guy is averaging 27, 35. He's getting so many damn rebound chances in this series and it makes sense. It's the Thunder. They don't really have anyone that can match up with him. It's not going to be Cadet.

[00:09:47]Uh he's too weak and it's not going to be, you know, Isaiah Hardenstein. He's not long enough. He's not mobile enough to keep up with WBY for some of these rebounds that may I don't want to say bounce away. That sounds kind of stupid.

[00:09:58]But WebMyama is a unique creature. We know that, right? He's going to get the center rebounds, but he gets plenty of rebounds that bounce out to that mid-range area as well. Um so giving him over 16 and a half rebounds plus assists. I almost feel like I saw 15 and a half earlier. Uh, we don't have that, but no, I we probably didn't. I might be making that up. 16 and a half I'm definitely okay with. Here's a slight lean. Slight slight lean. Shay over 28 and a half points. The reason it's slight is because I don't necessarily love what we've seen out of him in this playoff run. Over the years, he's definitely been okay against the Spurs, right? Um, but even still, like last game out, he had 12 assists, six of 17.

[00:10:35]He did hit two threes. is if you want to pivot to two threes, I guess I don't mind that he's hit it in two of the three games so far, you're getting plus money. Um, but I like him any I I kind of said to myself after we uh talked about it in game number, what was it?

[00:10:47]Game number two he went off, right? I said if this ever gets below 29 a half again, it may be worth considering. And you could see books have this at 29 a half, right? Uh Pinnacle has it at 29 and 1/2, bookmaker has a 29 and 1/2.

[00:10:59]These are sharper books. So maybe FD, which is one of the more sharp wreck books, hanging this at, you know, minus 125, maybe some lowhanging fruit. I just think that he's going to have the volume as we know. The assists we like last time out because they were starting to trap him right at the half court and stuff like that. And yeah, he's been crushing the assists, but at some point, this number is not going to have as much value as it did in games prior. And at that point, I do think you go to points.

[00:11:22]And I think that he's going to get to the foul line. As we know, he was 12 of 12 in that last game. I just think that, you know, 30 points from Shay and we'd only be needing 29 is a little bit too low. The reason it's a slight lean is because the way the Spurs are playing him is they are trying to get the ball out of his hands. And I don't know if you guys know this, but it's really, really hard to score in the NBA without the ball in YOUR HANDS.

[00:11:43]>> YOU'RE GODDAMN GENIUS.

[00:11:45]>> IT'S WHAT WE liked last time out and it's probably what we turned to again.

[00:11:48]Uh I don't mind the under in rebounds. I don't mind the under points plus rebounds for Hardenstein. I don't see how he continues to be part of this offense if Webyama is getting going. As much as I like Hardenstein and and I do think he brings a lot to the table, he isn't the ideal center for, you know, covering Webmanyama or being in the middle there for the Thunder. Um, now it's been working for them, but you could argue, okay, well, the games in which, you know, he only played 21 minutes, I should say that, right? They didn't necessarily need him in this game. I mean, you could see you saw um Chad Holgrren play 28 minutes. Like, they kind of spread the love a little bit more. Uh Jaylen Williams got 22.

[00:12:25]Like, I would say that he is a much more capable big in terms of being able to keep up with a stretched floor com uh um concept and stuff like that. So, I'm almost saying that Hartinstein doesn't get the minutes. So, if we go 25 sub 25 minutes this season, sure, he's only hit the under in um what 14 and a half games, but if we say with chat with we'll go we'll go with C and with um and with Jaylen Williams, you could see he's been under in plenty of these games.

[00:12:52]Again, he's gone over slightly, but with those minutes with him being, you know, on the road, I think that we could kind of get behind this. It actually looks like the 14 and a half may be a look to DK and the score hanging that I didn't even realize actually before. I think this might have just changed. MGM fan like yeah we do see 13 and a halfs now so maybe we were on to something with the 14 and a half unfortunately I haven't played this yet and I don't know if I'd play it right now but I do like Isaiah Hardenstein's under yet again I would say points is also viable and there we go another one where looks like this could be moving a pinnacle sharpbook is moving this down to five and a half already everywhere else is 6 and 1/2 this is more so like if if Hardenstein plays the minutes I would not be shocked if he crushes the line that's kind of what I'm looking for right him to go out there and just kind of be phased out I think that Jaylen Williams Chad going to kind of a combo.

[00:13:35]Those are way much way better for this OKC team overall. And then we had one more Dearron Fox. This is one where I feel like the 15 points still is a viable option. The reason being is that we're still kind of getting a price I would say for him only playing, you know, 28ish minutes. He played 31 in his first comeback game, right? Like, and I know that we're not going to for every single player going to have this easy minutes to to points ratio, but the minute he plays, you know, 31 plus minutes, 76% of games in which he hit the over, 77% at home. Look at his last 20 19.4 points per game. Last 10, 18.7.

[00:14:13]He's crushing this 15 line. And we talked about it last time out, right?

[00:14:16]Yes, he is a pull-up guy. This is a team that does not allow a ton of pull-ups, which is kind of the majority of what he's doing. But that being said, he shot six pull-ups in that comeback from three. I don't know if all these were pull-ups. I shouldn't say that, but he is a guy that shoots a ton of pull-ups, and I would assume they were. This is a Thunder team that while they aren't exactly the worst pull-up defense, they struggle against a three, and they allow a ton of pull-ups. So, I think that he could have the volume. If you do want to pivot to him hitting two threes, I'd only play this for plus money, and you can't get it as of right now. But, we talked about that last time out as well, right? So, there are a few player props that we are liking in this one. Um, I love going through these player props and everything and kind of having the the the board as our oyster, right? It's like one game on the board where we can get nitty-gritty. Like we're putting hours and hours into one game and it's shown, right? Let me know down in the comments, guys, how have your playoffs been, you know, independently, how have they been tailing us? We've been absolutely red-hot in the playoffs and I'm proud of that cuz again, I tell you guys all the time, right? We have a brand called Fade Me for a reason, right? I don't consider myself as good as some of these other guys out there in terms of being able to break this game down and stuff like I just love doing this stuff and I have so much fun doing it. But man, during the hardest time of the season, your boy has been coming through and I am super super proud of that.

[00:15:23]>> All I ever wanted to do was make you proud of me, Pop.

[00:15:25]>> That's all I have to say. We'll catch you guys in the next one. All right.

[00:15:27]Peace out.