60-Day Ceasefire, $12B Qatar Funds, Hormuz Open… Why Won’t Trump Sign? • #GoodMorningIndia

Added: 2026-06-01

[00:00:05]Deep sea secrets, deadly ambush. Two agents, >> [music] >> two nations, zero margin for error.

[00:00:12]Operation Basmachi. [music] >> [music] >> Namaskar. Hello and welcome to P Guru's channel. I'm your host Sreeya. Today is good morning India edition, Saturday.

[00:00:32]Unfortunately, General Ravi Shankar is locked up in another program. If he gets freed up from there and if he has time, he may join us here. I have a lot of updates. 60-day ceasefire kicks in.

[00:00:43]Trump seems to have agreed to the terms, although he has not signed on yet. So, the ratification is still a little distance away, but I just want to go line by line on what I had said. 60-day ceasefire? Yes. What does that mean?

[00:00:56]Well, the nuclear issue has not been talked about. Kazakhstan has also stepped up and said that Iran can store its nuclear enriched nuclear uranium in Kazakhstan.

[00:01:08]Kazakhstan already has some stuff and the IAEA is well entrenched there. So, they are pretty confident that they will be able to store it for Iran if the need arises. So, will United States agree to that? We don't know. So, that's one of the things that will be worked out.

[00:01:25]Next, $12 billion from Qatar. We've been talking about this, but what really happened was the uh, Iranian parliament speaker, Galibaf, went to Qatar. He was expecting $12 billion unconditionally given by Qataris to him.

[00:01:41]What instead happened was just $6 billion was released and even that $6 billion, it's got some strings attached to it.

[00:01:50]It is locked entirely as credit for purchases inside Qatari market. The Iran cannot use it to fund its military, pay delayed domestic salaries, or wield it as leverage in Washington. They wanted a sovereign blank check to do whatever they want, but they got a restricted store credit. Remember how if you buy something from a store and then after 2 days we return it, you don't get the money back, but they'll give you credit for that amount and you'll have to buy something else from the store. That's exactly what Iran has got. So, Iran probably is not in a very happy frame of mind as far as this is concerned.

[00:02:31]And in in fact, Trump perhaps is not happy to sign on because the countries that he wanted to join the Abrahamic Accord, I don't think anybody has signed on yet. Everybody is waiting for the other one to step forward. The interesting thing is in these 60 days negotiations are going to start again. I don't know where they're going to take place, but the signing the signing is expected to take place in Pakistan. I'm going to stick my neck out and tell you that Pakistan will be perhaps the first one to join the Abrahamic Accord. Well, for a price, anything, right? So, this is what is going to happen in my opinion. We'll wait and see how that goes. But the Hormuz Strait is open right now. 67 ships have passed in the recent hours and there are about 180 more waiting to transit. Today may be a very busy day in the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:03:25]So, we'll wait and see how that plays out. But most importantly, I wanted to share some thoughts on how IRGC has been able to pull along for so long.

[00:03:37]You know, one question that arises in everybody's mind, who was there before all these countries became independent?

[00:03:44]The British. Did the British ever leave?

[00:03:46]Because almost all of them needed money to go and take the oil out. For instance, if you take Iran, their Bandar Abbas refinery was funded by the British banks.

[00:04:00]And it was a British There was a British Persian Oil Company or something like that, or British Iran Oil Company, something like that. That was the one who was taking which was taking out the oil pump from this Abadan refinery and all that stuff.

[00:04:15]And they allegedly were not sharing the details of how much was being taken out and how much was being given, whether Iran was getting its fair share, cuz that's where the problem started.

[00:04:29]Mosaddegh asked them to share the details. He said, "Just tell us how much Where are the accounts?" And British wanted didn't want to do it. So, then what happened in 1953? Mosaddegh was overthrown, and after that the Shah was brought in. The Shah played along. Shah was more, you know, American person rather than the British, but looks like the British banks never went away. Is it possible that they were somehow also helping IRGC here?

[00:04:57]How is it that they're still able to get along when they have not had any sales of oil for perhaps 60 days now? 60 days now. Cuz when they close the strait, they also, you know, stuck it to their own foot.

[00:05:11]Right? So, what exactly is going on? We we have to wait and see how IRGC has been funding for this long. We know from what little came out. Now the internet is open, so you'll see more how things are how bad things are inside Iran. They claim that the damages are close to 200 billion dollars. Who's going to help restore that? And more importantly, this immediate cash is not coming their way.

[00:05:39]So, US is definitely tightening the screws and keeping it a keeping a very tight leash on things. They want Iran to play, and before that they want Iran to pay. So, we'll see how that goes. Now, if you take a look at what is the influence of British on British banks on um uh Gulf. The They have had a very, very high amount of uh presence there. They are a top security and economic partner to many countries. Oman and Bahrain, for example, they were former protectorates.

[00:06:21]I'm sorry.

[00:06:26]Oman and Bahrain were former protectorates and Bahrain hosts HMS Jufair.

[00:06:32]It's a UK naval base and Oman also hosts joint UK training bases.

[00:06:39]What about Saudi Arabia and Kuwait? The UK is a second largest arms supplier to Saudi Arabia. UK forces helped liberate Kuwait in 1991 and they have had strong defense pacts with Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. And as far as Iraq and Iran are concerned, UK had a major role in Iraq in the 2003 coalition. The current focus is on training and counter terror. As far as Iran is concerned, the British relationship is complex.

[00:07:10]Historic oil control and the 1953 coup involvement. Today, it is sanctions and strained diplomacy. Remember, viewers, none of these countries came to US's help in the campaign that went on against Iran. So, Trump is mightily pissed with all of them, UK, France, Germany, what have you. So, right now, with the way things stand, sorry for that. Right now, the way things stand is that there is a 60-day ceasefire. Normalcy will come back and as I told you in the morning, international flights have started landing in Tehran.

[00:07:47]And the bazaars have opened. Things are starting to come and flood the marketplace. I'm sure ships from India and other countries will start flowing in with food, essential food, medicine supplies, and so on and so forth. But this will take a few days and it's believed that it will be at least 6 months before the Gulf countries such as Kuwait, Qatar, and so on and so forth will be able to resume their operations.

[00:08:14]They are in repair mode right now. I think UAE and KSA will probably be able to recover faster than the others, but it will going to take some time. As to the world economy itself, it's going to take some time too. There will be a bounce probably on Monday in the US stock market, but I think once people start realizing that this is still not a done deal, I think things will fall back. In fact, it might even slide back. So we'll wait and see how that goes because the the real problem of US, that is the 38 to 39 trillion dollar debt, has not gone away.

[00:08:50]And there is a new Fed chair, and he has not lowered uh rates either. What's going to happen, how Trump is going to face the midterms, all these are questions that people are going to be asking now. But definitely in my opinion, Trump is probably going to take this as a win and he will talk to this uh 60-day time. If need be, those will be extended, but it will look as if the war has been stopped and that the United States has won. As to Iran, uh Iran also will claim that we have won the war, we stopped the mighty US juggernaut, and so on and so forth.

[00:09:28]But if the internet is indeed open, you'll start feeling or finding out the reality of what life is in Iran. So that's all I have for you and uh thanks for watching. Please like, share and subscribe to our channel.

[00:09:41]Don't forget to click on the bell button for notifications. Namaskar.