Nima R. Alkhorshid: Iran-US Nail Down Deal? as Russia SLAMS Kiev with Oreshnik Missile

Ajouté : 2026-05-25

[00:00:06]Hi everybody. Today is Sunday, May 24th, 2026, and I'm here to talk about what's going on between Iran and the United States.

[00:00:15]And we had some sort of negotiations, as you know, yesterday and the day before, the Pakistani government tried to do everything to negotiate, to send the messages from the United States to Iran, from Iran to the United States. We had Qatari delegation going to Iran, talking with Iranian officials.

[00:00:35]And we don't know exactly what is the framework of that somehow was agreed between Iran and the United States.

[00:00:48]And there are various reports coming out. One of them is the Axios, what Axios reported just hours ago.

[00:00:58]And I I want to go through all of these points that Axios mentioned in this report. And they say it's going to be a 60-day ceasefire extension between both sides.

[00:01:11]So, this is nothing new. We had the ceasefire, so-called ceasefire, which wasn't the ceasefire.

[00:01:18]And the second point is about the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:01:23]And it says that the Strait of Hormuz, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz with no tolls.

[00:01:28]Is it possible for Iran to accept that?

[00:01:33]There are various talks, discussions, everything in Iran. They're talking about what would be the future of the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:01:42]Yesterday, this you know, the speaker of, you know, the spokesperson of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Baghaei, his name is Baghaei, he said that the Strait of Hormuz is an issue, is a regional issue. It doesn't matter what the United States is thinking of or is trying to do because it's all about Iran and Oman to decide about the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:02:07]And I would say there is no way for Iran to to negotiate on the Strait of Hormuz because it's not they're talking about the international law and all of these sort of, you know, this is this is, you know, something related to international law and each and every country should decide but it's not it's a regional issue in the mind of Iranian. They think this way. And even in the parliament they were discussing this and I would say after coordinating with Omani government they're going to pass it through the parliament and the Guardian Council would accept it and and it's going to be a law and there is no way for the United States to change the reality of the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:02:54]And this is the outcome. If I would if I were to mention the single outcome of this war so far is going to be the Strait of Hormuz. There is no way for Iran to change its position, its policy on the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:03:14]They may somehow decide about which country should pay more, which country should pay less but they're going to they're going to have a mechanism, a system to charge all those countries who paid, who facilitated, who let the United States use their bases in their countries. I'm talking about the Europeans as well. It's not just about GCC countries. They have to pay for what has happened so far with the war against Iran and nobody can change that. Iranian Supreme Leader mentioned that that no one if if the Iran if the Supreme leader of Iran is that I don't see anybody going against that you know, that policy. It's not going to be the government, it's not going to be anybody in the parliament. So, everybody should follow that because it's a strategy for the country. It's not something a policy a tactic. No, it's a strategy.

[00:04:12]So, everybody should follow that. That's not going to change.

[00:04:17]And what when it comes to the Iranian nuclear program, it doesn't seem that there is much about the Iranian nuclear program.

[00:04:25]You remember what it was before this document coming out in access. It was a three-step sort of plan proposal on the part of Iranians.

[00:04:36]The first part was to end the war on all fronts.

[00:04:41]And in that proposal, they basically were talking about the situation between Israel and Lebanon.

[00:04:50]Today in this new document, access mentions the last point. It says the end of Israel Hezbollah war under the framework of the agreement, but Israel preserve freedom of action.

[00:05:06]What is that? Freedom of action? It means that Israel can hit you know, whenever it decides to hit in Lebanon, in Beirut, in the central part of Lebanon, in the eastern, western, southern.

[00:05:21]They basically they're hitting each and every day the southern part of Lebanon.

[00:05:25]Just today they announced a list of you know, 10 cities and villages and everybody should evacuate those village those regions.

[00:05:36]But they were bombing these cities and villages before and right now they're they you know, they announced a list of those cities.

[00:05:44]Everybody knows they were hit before.

[00:05:47]So, it doesn't matter if they want to officialize or they mention these cities should be evacuated.

[00:05:54]That doesn't change the reality between Israel and Lebanon. I don't see Donald Trump being able to change the Israeli mindset in the region.

[00:06:04]Maybe with the case of Iran, they can do something because Iran is different.

[00:06:09]And Israel is not going to be able to go against Iran without the United States.

[00:06:14]That's the reality.

[00:06:16]And but with the case of Lebanon, they're going to continue attacking Lebanon, destroying cities, villages, killing civilians.

[00:06:24]This is the manner. That's why they mentioned they have to have the freedom of action. The freedom of action means that there is no ceasefire.

[00:06:34]That's it.

[00:06:35]You cannot call something, you know, We had the same thing. You remember in 2024, there was a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon.

[00:06:44]And nobody in Israel cares about those things. This is official, something on paper, but in reality, practically, they're doing something else.

[00:06:54]They were hitting Gaza. There is a ceasefire, but they're hitting Gaza, West Bank, everywhere.

[00:07:03]There is no war between Israel and Syria, but they're attacking Syria.

[00:07:08]They're bombing Syria.

[00:07:10]This is Israel. This is the reality, the new norm in the Middle East by Israel, supported by the Trump administration.

[00:07:20]And before the Trump administration was the Biden administration, and nobody We We have to remember there is no difference between Democrats and Republicans when it comes to the Middle East.

[00:07:33]Anthony Blinken is the same as Marco Rubio. I would say even worse.

[00:07:39]Anthony Blinken was worse because he went to Israel, said he didn't say that I am the Secretary of State of the United States.

[00:07:49]He said, "I am a Jew here. I'm I'm here to help you to destroy everything, to bring the leverage to Israel."

[00:07:58]So, this is the reality. It doesn't matter who's going to be the president of the United States today, tomorrow, and the day after tomorrow. They're going to have the same idea, the same policy to let Israel provide Israel with bombs, cruise missiles, ammunitions, everything to destroy the vicinity, to destroy these countries.

[00:08:21]Because Israel, the agenda is the greater Israel. Israel wants to expand.

[00:08:27]Israel wants to be greater. The greater Israel is defined by capturing the land of other countries.

[00:08:34]It's about the southern part of Lebanon.

[00:08:36]It's about the southern part of Syria.

[00:08:39]It's about the the entire Gaza Strip. It's going to be the West Bank.

[00:08:46]There is no West Bank. Look at the map, you see nobody Nobody would argue that there is a West Bank of PLO or Mahmoud Abbas, Abu Mazen. Who Who are Who is Who are these people?

[00:09:02]They have their real houses. They're living there, and they don't care about the vicinity. They don't care about their people.

[00:09:08]This is the reality that Israel wants.

[00:09:11]And Israel doesn't have any sort of problem to absorb these people in Israel, in greater Israel, and let them live, you know, as a second-class citizen in Israel. Because this is this is the reality of today's Israel.

[00:09:28]So, this is what's going on, in my opinion, with Lebanon. And the problem of Israel is that Lebanon is not going to be like you know, Syria today.

[00:09:39]Syria can banned can because they have that we have it's just unbelievable what's going on with Syria.

[00:09:51]Al-Jolani is receiving perfumes from Donald Trump and posting on on X that he's he has received those perfumes, beautiful and the guy who was the head chopper right now is some he it seems that he's in a release in a relationship with Donald Trump.

[00:10:09]Receiving perfumes. This is unbelievable.

[00:10:13]Just imagine.

[00:10:15]Just imagine what was Syria before this sort of chaos with Assad government.

[00:10:22]And those people who were chanting outside of Syria, those Syrian people, let's go, let's liberate Syria.

[00:10:30]Where is Syria today?

[00:10:33]This is the reality that Israel is seeking for.

[00:10:36]Israel doesn't want Israel is not happy with Al-Jolani.

[00:10:41]Israel loves the chaos out of these people in that region.

[00:10:47]They want chaos. They made it in Syria.

[00:10:50]That's why they can go little by little, go to Damascus.

[00:10:54]But the case of Lebanon is different.

[00:10:57]And Hezbollah is not going to get weaker. Hezbollah Hezbollah going to get stronger.

[00:11:06]Hezbollah is part of the acts of resistance.

[00:11:11]Syria, I would say Syria sooner or later we're going to see some sort of uprising in Syria.

[00:11:18]And the government so fragile. Turkey is not doing you know, the government in Turkey is not doing doing its job for Syrian people.

[00:11:28]They were bragging about what's going on with the new government in Syria, how everything going to get better, but you have some sort of right now in Syria, the United States, Israel, and Turkey.

[00:11:42]These are players in Syria.

[00:11:44]And they're confront somehow, in some ways they're confronting each other.

[00:11:49]So, nobody wants that this sort of chaos coming to Lebanon.

[00:11:54]Nobody wants that.

[00:11:57]So, this is the reason that Iran is not going to give up on Lebanon, on Hezbollah. Hezbollah is part of resistance. Hezbollah is the heart of resistance.

[00:12:09]Many people should understand, and many people understand in Iran, there is no difference between right, left, no reformist, conservatives, supreme leader, they all united in supporting Hezbollah and the future of Lebanon.

[00:12:26]They won't let the same chaos happening in the southern part of Lebanon. This is putting Lebanon aside, I think Hezbollah has proven they have shown how they're able to defend themselves. And as time goes by, I would say, sooner or later the United States has to leave the region.

[00:12:48]There is no place for the United States with the blockade that they have in the Persian Gulf.

[00:12:54]They're going to withdraw.

[00:12:57]And they're talking right now they're talking about 60 days of ceasefire.

[00:13:01]It's not because there's somehow Donald Trump is under tremendous pressure domestically and internationally.

[00:13:10]He has started a war in the Middle East that has weakened its allies.

[00:13:16]The United States has weakened its allies in the Middle East, the way that they did in Europe.

[00:13:24]They started the war in Ukraine to weaken Russia.

[00:13:29]Today, as Politico reported, look at the economic growth of these three important countries in Europe, France, Germany, and United Kingdom. They're all less than 0.5, 0.6, something like that, 0.7% of growth.

[00:13:51]This is the reality of what's going on in Europe after 4 years of war.

[00:13:58]And we learned yesterday what has happened. I want to I want to come I I'll come later on to what has happened last night between Ukraine and Russia because I think that was huge.

[00:14:11]What's going on between Russia and Ukraine is huge. We have to consider that to understand the big picture.

[00:14:18]But before going there and focusing on what's going on between Iran and the United States, the whole system going to remain.

[00:14:27]It's going to be coordinated between Iran and Oman.

[00:14:30]They're going to decide about it. I don't know the share, you know, how much how much of that going to go to Omani government, going to do Omani banks, and how much of that going to go to Iranian banks, but they have defined they're in the process of defining that. They have received, you know, these tolls so far.

[00:14:49]All of those tankers that pass through the Strait of Hormuz, they paid they signed documents before passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:14:59]So, this is the reality. Nobody going to change that. I don't know Donald Trump how he's going to sell it to the people in the United States. Yesterday we seen how Lindsey Graham was crying out saying that this is the total defeat of Israel.

[00:15:14]Yeah, this is the total defeat of Israel. Who did that?

[00:15:18]It was Israel. It was you, Lindsey.

[00:15:21]You did that.

[00:15:23]You were advocating for this war.

[00:15:25]Nobody wanted this war. Iran was negotiating with you.

[00:15:31]But you and the people like you, those Zionists who are serving Israel, not the United States, you thought that you're going to have a regime change in Iran.

[00:15:42]You had meeting with those people oppositions in the United States about what would be the future for Iran.

[00:15:51]So, we're going to have a new government. We're going to have a new policy. We're going to reshape the whole Middle East.

[00:15:58]Those dreams are gone.

[00:16:00]They're not there anymore, Lindsey.

[00:16:01]That's why Israel is losing.

[00:16:05]Israel today is nowhere close to what it was before this war has started.

[00:16:10]Nowhere. Nowhere close to that position.

[00:16:16]Look at how Hezbollah is hitting Iron Dome batteries each and every day.

[00:16:21]Merkava tanks, communication systems in Israel.

[00:16:25]Not in southern part of Lebanon. They're hitting those those batteries in southern part of Lebanon, but they're hitting them in Israel.

[00:16:37]You know, as they call it occupied Palestine. They're hitting those targets.

[00:16:42]So, this is Israel today.

[00:16:46]Yesterday, it was asked the Pentagon, one of the officials of Pentagon was asked by Mitch McConnell. He said, "Why are you not sending those beautiful weapons to Taiwan?"

[00:16:58]More than 15 billion dollars of weapons to Taiwan.

[00:17:02]He said, "Because we are in war against Iran." It epic fury. That's so epic. It was so epic, this fury of Donald Trump.

[00:17:13]That they have since they started the war against Iran, they didn't send that much of weapons to Ukraine.

[00:17:20]They stopped sending weapons.

[00:17:23]And imagine not sending they didn't send anything to Ukraine, but they went to South Korea.

[00:17:33]You know, because of those fat air defense system built fat systems that they have hit because Iran hit if I'm not mistaken four of the fat systems air defense systems were hit during the 40 days 39 days of war between Iran and the United States. So, they had to bring something else to the region to defend Israel.

[00:17:54]So, they went to South Korea. They're naked right now.

[00:17:59]The United States The United States weaken each and every ally they have right now in East Asia in Europe in the Middle East to improve the Israeli position in the war in those days of war.

[00:18:18]So, for those people who are advocating for the continuation of the war as General Keith Kellogg who's so happy who's so you know, hawkish about each and every war in the in Ukraine let's go in and destroy Russia. Here in Middle East let's go and capture the heart island. Let's bring the government to its knees.

[00:18:40]You don't know what you're talking about.

[00:18:43]Because it's going to be a disaster for the United States if it decides to go underground. And Donald Trump knows that. I I hope that he knows that by now.

[00:18:56]Because that's why he's trying to negotiate with Iranians.

[00:18:59]The economy is not working for him.

[00:19:02]The domestic he's he's support is shrinking domestically. Look at what is happening in Kentucky against Thomas Massie.

[00:19:11]How the Israeli lobby in the United States went to great length they did everything.

[00:19:18]They did everything to bring down Thomas Massie in primary in the primary. It wasn't, you know, the main election. It was the primary.

[00:19:30]And the guy who beat Thomas Massie, he's not he's not he's not he he he he's still not the, you know, the can he he's he was not elected yet.

[00:19:43]And so it it shows how the Israeli position is diminishing Israeli support is shrinking in the United States. There is no way for Donald Trump to change that that sentiment these sort of sentiments of the people in the United States because they feel what is the main reason of going to war with Iran in the Middle East? What was the outcome?

[00:20:09]How Donald Trump going to be able to sell it to the people in the United States? That's going to be his problem.

[00:20:16]Nobody seems to care about that in Iran.

[00:20:20]They're not going to do anything to help Donald Trump in the United States.

[00:20:25]So they have to come out and say we have to reopen the Strait of Hormuz without any toll.

[00:20:33]They're not going to nobody should pay tolls.

[00:20:37]And it's not for the United States to decide about it. I'm repeating I would say it's going to be a regional issue. It's going to be between Iran and Oman and no one else going to participate in that.

[00:20:50]It's not they don't care about Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, all of these GCC countries.

[00:21:00]That's that's that's the end of it. When it comes to the Iranian frozen assets, which one of the points in this you know, in this proposal, in this sort of document that Axis put out, it seems that the United States is offering Iran not lifting the sanctions on Iranian economy, but somehow lifting or reducing the sanctions on Iranian energy sector.

[00:21:33]This is the same thing that has happened, you know, when the war is started. Do you remember when the war started? And we had a huge repercussions of war on the global economy. Then the United States decided to lift the sanctions on Iranian energy, Iranian oil and gas, and Russian oil and gas.

[00:21:52]Which is in place for Russia today.

[00:21:56]And it seems that they're offering the same thing to happen by this document.

[00:22:02]And the frozen Iranian assets, this is not the assets of the United States.

[00:22:12]Just to imagine how unjust and brutal is the international law under the Trump administration under the dominance of the United States.

[00:22:25]They have put sanctions for more than 46 years on Iranian economy.

[00:22:31]And these frozen assets outside of Iran is because of those sanctions, because the governments who are receiving Iranian energy, Iranian goods, Iranian everything. They're receiving something from Iran, they cannot pay back.

[00:22:44]So, they have these frozen assets in those countries like South Korea, the some of those assets of South Korea are in Qatari banks.

[00:22:57]So, this is these are not assets of the United States to decide about.

[00:23:03]They're releasing, they're talking about that they're going to release those assets. That's good after such a long time. Nobody Nobody going to object that in Iran. People will will the government will be happy to receive those frozen assets.

[00:23:18]But that's not going to change the reality of the war.

[00:23:22]The war The outcome of the war is The reality is that the United States lost the war.

[00:23:27]The United States couldn't do regime change.

[00:23:30]They couldn't do regime change in Iran.

[00:23:34]The new leadership in Iran, I would say they more They're They know because looking at the last 40 days, the way they it started with the assassination of the supreme leader, the commanders, that has a that had a huge repercussions in Iran.

[00:23:58]And they thought that these commanders, these people who are close to the supreme leader, they're going to be intimidated by these attacks, which didn't happen, by the way.

[00:24:09]You see Look at what has happened to Ali Larijani, the head of Iranian Security Council.

[00:24:15]He wasn't a military guy.

[00:24:18]He was not, you know, leading those brigades, you know, those missiles or No, he was negotiating. He was trying to find a political solution to what was happening between Iran and the United States.

[00:24:32]He was assassinated.

[00:24:36]Ali Shamkhani, who was, you know, one of the advisor of the supreme leader of Iran, who was so important, you remember in the first round of war, in 12-day war, they tried to assassinate him.

[00:24:49]So, they hit his house. He survived that those attacks. In the second round of war, they assassinated him.

[00:24:58]So, this is the new norm in Iran. Nobody is intimidated with this sort of Don't jump. I'm going to attack. The attack is coming.

[00:25:08]And this this time going to be different. What else can they do?

[00:25:13]You have to remember the United States decided to announce the ceasefire because they were running out of targets in Iran.

[00:25:23]If they continued the war, they had to hit more hospitals, schools, bridges, universities.

[00:25:34]What else?

[00:25:36]The you know, I would say some you know, police stations in the city in the various cities they they hit the police stations.

[00:25:45]They they these were the targets of the United States before announcing the ceasefire. If they get back, what is The reality doesn't change.

[00:25:54]They they have to hit again and again civilian and killing more people.

[00:25:59]Is it going to be helpful for the United States and its position? Is it going to intimidate Iran to change its position?

[00:26:05]There is no way.

[00:26:07]I think many people at least in the alternative media, many people in the United States, I don't know the mindset of the Trump administration and how they're feeling about the war. But the war didn't go the way Benjamin Netanyahu was selling the United States before the war started. They were selling that we're going to do everything. It's going to be beautiful for for Israel, for the region, for all GCC countries. That's why all of GCC these countries in the Persian Gulf, they participated.

[00:26:40]They helped the United States to attack Iran.

[00:26:44]And nobody would ignore that. This is the reality.

[00:26:49]Sooner or later the United States going to leave the region.

[00:26:53]And they're in the neighborhood they have to decide.

[00:26:59]They want to help the enemy.

[00:27:02]They want to get closer to Iran.

[00:27:05]They want to have a They want to have a better region.

[00:27:12]Are they concerned about the future of the region?

[00:27:15]Is the future of the region dependent on the militarization of the region, which means you bring the United States and Israel in?

[00:27:26]Because Iran and the United States cannot live together.

[00:27:31]These are two different sort of I would say political animals.

[00:27:38]They don't They cannot live together.

[00:27:41]Because the United States is not the United States of America, is the United States of Israel.

[00:27:48]This is the way that Iran sees the United States today.

[00:27:52]And nobody would ignore the way that the United States attacked Iran and killed many people in Iran, more than 3,000 people were killed.

[00:28:01]The civilians, the casualties nobody would ignore that.

[00:28:08]But Iran is strategic.

[00:28:11]Iran, that's why you see after in the aftermath of Iran-Iraq war, you see Iran is improving Iran has improved its relationship with Iraqi government and with Iraqi people because they saw what has happened between Iran and Iraq not as a conflict between the two nations, but as a conflict that was provoked by the other players, which it was the United States basically behind the scene forcing Iraqi government to go attacking Iran and we know what has happened.

[00:28:49]You know, the government was so weak because it was a revolution happening in 1979.

[00:28:55]So, the government was not that much power powerful and the United States saw we had you know, the the crisis with the American hostages in Iran. So, the United States wanted to do something against Iran. The war Iran-Iraq War was the outcome of that.

[00:29:15]So, the this war, this war I think the United States is not going to be able to get back and get anything else. If they try to do something, they it has to be through negotiations. It It has to be something by negotiating, by diplomacy.

[00:29:34]There is no way there is no military solution for the United States.

[00:29:40]I think this is the reality that the Trump administration is somehow understands is getting there is is somehow is perceiving.

[00:29:52]But you see Ted Cruz coming out, Lindsey Graham, Israeli government is not happy at all with what's going on.

[00:30:01]Because they want the United States to stay in the region.

[00:30:05]There is no way Israel attacking Iran or fighting Iran without having the United States in the region.

[00:30:13]That's why they don't want They want to be you know, to to to attack Lebanon.

[00:30:22]So, if the United States is in the region can take care of Iran and they be, you know, the Israel would be more, you know, concentrated, focused on Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza, West Bank.

[00:30:39]So, I I in my talking about a new sort of deal agreement document. I would call it a document little you know page or two pages.

[00:30:56]And it seems that the Iranian nuclear program is not in this document and they're going to talk about it in the next 30 or 60 days.

[00:31:05]And when it comes to the Iranian nuclear program which if that's the main issue for Donald Trump right now which I doubt that that would be the main issue.

[00:31:16]Iran is not going to the enrichment of uranium on Iranian soil going to continue. Iran is not going to give up on that.

[00:31:24]And the second point is the enriched uranium on Iranian soil. That's 60% or more than something like 400 kg of enriched uranium 60% enriched uranium.

[00:31:36]>> [clears throat] >> That is not going to Donald Trump what he's was telling us in the last two or three days he said they have to send it to the United States.

[00:31:49]And we're not going to use it we're going to destroy it.

[00:31:52]He he says the dust is it doesn't mention the enriched uranium they have to send the dust to the United States but Iran is not going to do that.

[00:32:01]If they do something it's going to be the way it was before the war started.

[00:32:04]You remember Iran has agreed to downgrade or down blend that 60% on Iranian soil not outside of Iran.

[00:32:15]That's as far as I am concerned that's the main agenda right now on the part of Iranians when it comes to nuclear program. So no concession on the Iranian nuclear program no outcome for that for the Iranian nuclear program as though you know Donald Trump is talking about that he's feeling that or he's winning something out of this war, but he's not winning anything.

[00:32:40]The Strait of Hormuz going to end going to stay in the hand of Iranians.

[00:32:47]I don't know if the United States would release the frozen assets of Iran. I doubt I really doubt the United States would do that.

[00:32:56]But they may do that under the Trump administration. It's unpredictable. The whole administration is unpredictable.

[00:33:04]But when it comes to the sanctions, part of the sanctions when it comes to lifting of sanctions on Iranian energy to sell oil and gas, something like that, they can do something about it.

[00:33:17]But deep roots of the sanctions are in Congress. Without Congress, the Trump administration is not going to be able to do any sort of substantial or meaningful change in the policies in policies of sanctions against Iran.

[00:33:37]And I don't see that happening.

[00:33:41]And it could be that it's a cover for Donald Trump. The whole negotiations, the whole what's going on, this theater that is going on is a some sort of cover for Donald Trump to sell it to the people in the United States, to those people who are supporting him, those Zionists, and just and just leave the region. The blockade is so costly for the United States.

[00:34:10]Donald Trump says that we are in control in full control of the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:34:16]Just The you know, on Friday he said we have the full control of the Strait of Hormuz with the blockade.

[00:34:26]And the 2 minutes later he said that we have to open up the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:34:32]So, he has he doesn't have the control.

[00:34:34]That's why Iran is not going to lose the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:34:39]It's forever.

[00:34:41]And I I I would say this is the main point for Iranians right now.

[00:34:47]And how is that going to change the reality of GCC countries in the region? Because since the war is started, they have been sacrificing a lot.

[00:35:02]Because this was supposed to be 4 days or a week.

[00:35:05]But this war is taking just more than it's going 2 3 4 months. And right now they're talking about more 60 days of you know, ceasefire. And nobody knows the blockade. And the the other point that is important that the United States said that during the negotiations with you know, within the framework of 60 days, the United States the forces of the United States the army, you know, the the presence of the United States in the region going to remain there in the vicinity of Iran, you know, close to the Iranian borders.

[00:35:43]So, it's somehow it it they're going to have to block it something like blockade. They're going to you know, we have we're going to have some sort of confrontations. It's maybe some sort of escalations because that doesn't mean anything meaningful for GCC countries. Because right now it seems that the Trump administration is receiving a lot of pressure from GCC countries.

[00:36:07]Because they cannot sell oil, gas, fertilizers, all these you know, things that run their economy.

[00:36:16]So, they see the United States is selling everything and they're not able they're losing the market.

[00:36:24]And they have to do something about it.

[00:36:27]So, if they decide to withdraw the blockade, it's going to be because of GCC countries and all these pressures going to the Trump administration. This is one part.

[00:36:38]And I am not optimistic. I didn't change I I don't change my mind about the ceasefire.

[00:36:47]I think finally no sanctions going to be no no meaningful sanctions. They're not going to lift any sanction on Iran.

[00:36:57]The United States frozen assets going to be it's going to be a fraction of the frozen assets. Going to be nothing meaningful.

[00:37:06]It's going to be just I don't know, 10 billion dollars of frozen Russian frozen Iranian assets.

[00:37:14]Something like that.

[00:37:16]Is that meaningful? No.

[00:37:18]Is that going to change the reality? No.

[00:37:23]And this is on the part of the sanctions and I don't see that much of change. The United States going to after all, if they decide if they want to put an end to the war, Donald Trump has to decide about it just leaving the region.

[00:37:37]Without achieving anything.

[00:37:39]He's not going to achieve anything.

[00:37:41]And the Iranian nuclear program is going to be the same as it was before this war started. The negotiations going to be of the same nature.

[00:37:49]And the same sort of people, the same sort of mindset, the strategy going to be on the table on the Iranian part talking with the United States. That's all.

[00:38:00]And what has happened in the Middle East that Iran understands that Europe going to be more dependent on Iran right now because of the Strait of Hormuz. GCC countries going to be more dependent on Iran.

[00:38:14]We have not only oil and gas, fertilizers, we going to have we have these cables, internet cables passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:38:25]Iran has a lot of leverage right now with the Strait of Hormuz. This is the nuclear program of Iran.

[00:38:33]People People should understand that.

[00:38:37]And I think this is Iran doesn't need to go after nuclear bombs.

[00:38:45]This is the understanding on the part of Iran. Iran has weapons. I don't know how much of it, but I the other day I was, you know, I was what I was reading Iranian Persian media.

[00:38:59]They have something bigger and more with less, you know, killing less people, innocent people, but having the same sort of damage. They have these sort of bombs.

[00:39:10]You know, the same bombs that with the same sort of impact or greater impact than the nuclear bombs, but killing less civilian innocent people. They have those sort of bombs. Like something like Rashnik, I would say. They have something like that.

[00:39:28]They didn't use it.

[00:39:30]They used those old 15, 25 years old ballistic missiles in this war against the United States and Israel.

[00:39:37]So, they're so much comfortable with the position they're in right now, militarily and strategically.

[00:39:45]But when it comes to the economy, the economy is under pressure.

[00:39:50]And they know this is the sacrifice that you commit for a strategic gain, for a strategic, you know, for for the for a greater strategy that you have in your mind, and the people in Iran right now understand that.

[00:40:07]There is no No, you remember before the war started we had this, you know, protests, then riots in Iran.

[00:40:18]Those are gone. Those days are gone.

[00:40:21]Because the enemy right now for Iranian people is Israel and the United States.

[00:40:29]And the friend of Iranian people is its army. Iran has no friend.

[00:40:34]As Russia said, I think what Russia said during the war against Ukraine was so beautiful.

[00:40:41]And the only ally of Russia is its army.

[00:40:45]No one else is ally of Russia.

[00:40:50]All these countries the all We know we know that. This is the reality of the, you know, the war.

[00:40:59]The only ally of Russia was its army.

[00:41:01]And Iran, the people in Iran are learning that through this war, this war of aggression against Iranian people, which killed, destroyed the lives and, you know, many infrastructure in Iran.

[00:41:19]Many infrastructures.

[00:41:21]You know, they hit the pharmaceutical plants in Iran.

[00:41:27]Who who who does that?

[00:41:30]This is the enemy that doesn't like you, that hates you.

[00:41:35]Nobody would hit a primary school in Iran in the first day of war if they really because they said, "We going to liberate Iranian people. So, you but I I'm going to kill you then liberate you." Yeah, you're going to be liberated.

[00:41:54]By kill. I'm I'm killing you.

[00:41:56]And at the same time liberating you.

[00:41:58]And people understand that. I think the reality of today's Iran for those people who are advocating, you know, in the mainstream media in the West, we have multiple Iranian experts.

[00:42:10]For many years Iranian an expert to various institutions in in in the United States.

[00:42:17]Iran does that and that Iran is weak.

[00:42:20]Iran is, you know, Iran doesn't have that much of power. They're internally the society is collapsing from within.

[00:42:27]And these people are the same people who are today saying, "No, Iran is strong.

[00:42:33]Iran is getting stronger."

[00:42:36]The same people before this war started, those Iranian experts saying that Iran is weak domestically.

[00:42:43]Society is collapsing. The economy is collapsing.

[00:42:47]IRGC, nobody nobody likes IRGC. People hate IRGC. People People in Iran hate, you know, the Iranian army.

[00:42:58]They want democracy. They want, you know, freedom of speech, you know, human rights and those sort of nonsense they were selling. These liberal puppets, in my opinion, were selling to American media. And right now they're they're learning something. Not not about those experts outside of Iran.

[00:43:17]Those Iranians in diaspora.

[00:43:21]I would say it wasn't all Iranians in diaspora. It was something like 10% of those people.

[00:43:27]They were somehow they were bought with this sort of mindset that Israel going to change everything. It's going to be the greater and we're going to have the Shah, the king. You know, the the son of the Shah going to Iran and has a new kingdom and everything going to be big and beautiful for us and we're going to get him we're going to get back to Iran.

[00:43:45]Those days are gone.

[00:43:47]And what the outcome of the war for Iranian people, for Iranian society, they're more united today.

[00:43:52]They understand how important IRGC and Iranian army is for Iran.

[00:43:58]Iran has no ally but its army. It's IRGC.

[00:44:04]This is the reality that is happening in the mind of Iranian people today.

[00:44:09]They understand the strategic partnership between Iran and Russia, between Iran and China.

[00:44:16]But all these countries, when it comes to the foreign policy, they basically see their their benefit. Their And that's why Russia, Iran, and China are getting together because it's beneficial for all these nations to coming to to come together.

[00:44:37]That's why they're talking about a new security architecture for Eurasia.

[00:44:43]That's why I I think the reality of the region is changing.

[00:44:49]Because they have the same enemy.

[00:44:52]The enemy is the hegemony is the United States of the is the United States of America.

[00:45:01]When it comes to Ukraine, they're doing this through their proxy in Ukraine, Zelensky. When it comes to the Middle East, it's going to be a proxy called Israel.

[00:45:13]When it comes to China, it's a proxy called Taiwan.

[00:45:20]That's the reality.

[00:45:22]They're fighting the same enemy.

[00:45:26]That's why they're united.

[00:45:29]They know at the end of the day their only ally is their people.

[00:45:34]Without without the unity, without un- without gathering the people, you know, around the government, around the constitution, you cannot make deals with other countries. That's why Iran today is more united.

[00:45:52]Iran today has no fear.

[00:45:59]Because Iran I I think they thought that the United States going to be different with the war with if they start the war against Iran.

[00:46:09]And during the process of the war, they learned that the United States is not the way that they thought the United States would be in a war against Iran.

[00:46:20]That the United States has destroyed its big image in the mind of those Iranian people that thought that Iran that the United States going to be a big army, it's going to be huge, they're going to attack us, they're going to destroy many things.

[00:46:37]But they saw how the Iranian army and IRGC could fight back.

[00:46:44]And that's the reality. And the other point about Russia the same is happening, people. Just imagine when we talk about the agreement between Iran and the United States, just you don't need to fantasize, you know, you don't need to make dreams out of these sort of talks and these sort of announcements by the Trump administration. Look at what has happened in Ukraine so far.

[00:47:13]What did he do in Ukraine?

[00:47:15]Nothing.

[00:47:18]They're doing the same thing. You remember the day that just I think 6-7 months ago we were talking about that the Ukrainian army doesn't have the manpower to go against Russia.

[00:47:31]They're basically not able to fight Russia on the battlefield. They don't have the missiles, they don't have interceptors, they don't have manpower.

[00:47:42]It's not there anymore.

[00:47:44]So, what else can they do? It was suggested by Guardian, if you remember.

[00:47:49]It was suggested by other outlets, but the times they said the new face of war, the new reality of the war between Ukraine and Russia going to be using drones.

[00:48:04]Because Ukraine doesn't have the manpower anymore.

[00:48:08]They cannot find fight on the battleground. So, what else can they do?

[00:48:13]They can produce more drones instead of having soldiers, drones, and sending these drones in Russia killing people, mostly civilians.

[00:48:22]And they did that.

[00:48:24]They hit a college dormitory.

[00:48:27]And they killed innocent kids.

[00:48:31]As the United As the United States did in the first day of war against Iran.

[00:48:36]And Ukraine is doing the same.

[00:48:38]They did that. And last night finally, you know, people are not happy with what Ukraine is doing and the government in Russia is trying to do its best politically, militarily, to put an end to the war in Ukraine.

[00:48:57]But that's not possible with the with the Trump administration. The Trump administration is not capable of negotia- of negotiating anything.

[00:49:07]Because they're not negotiators.

[00:49:09]They're not diplomats.

[00:49:11]Who's diplomat in this administration?

[00:49:14]Just mention one.

[00:49:16]Who's diplomat?

[00:49:18]Just imagine you have someone like Medvedev in Russia.

[00:49:24]The guy is giant sort of negotiated diplomat to talk, to negotiate. And you have to send Kirill Dmitriev to negotiate with the United States. Who Who's a billionaire?

[00:49:41]This is This is not diplomacy. This is not negotiations.

[00:49:46]The guy doesn't know how to negotiate.

[00:49:49]No deci- They sent still Wilcoff together with Jared Kushner to talk with the Iranian negotiator on the nuclear program of Iran before the war started in the first and second round of the war. Before they were negotiating. None of them, Steve Whitkoff and Jared Kushner, they don't know anything about the nuclear talks, the nuclear program, no technical understanding.

[00:50:12]They don't know the basics of negotiations.

[00:50:16]So, how can you achieve anything negotiating with these people?

[00:50:23]That's why Russia came to, you know, yeah, last night finally we've seen that someone like Vladimir Putin, who is so cautious, I would say the I have never seen a leader so patient as Vladimir Putin.

[00:50:41]The guy is so patient.

[00:50:43]He's so patient.

[00:50:45]And last night finally we've seen he's using, you know, the Russia using a rashnic missiles to hit targets in Kiev.

[00:50:56]It seems that they hit two military industrial complexes or those some regions that were producing, you know, weapons.

[00:51:06]And they hit some symbolic places in in Ukraine, in Kiev, but they main their main targets were those locations that are related to the production of drones. I don't I don't know some some sort of missiles, weapons for the Ukrainian army.

[00:51:27]And again, in the response, they're not going to hit civilian.

[00:51:33]They're not going to kill people because they know they're fighting the Ukrainian government. They're fighting Ukrainian army. They're not fighting, they're not willing to kill Ukrainian people, civilian people in Ukraine.

[00:51:53]And this is the reality.

[00:51:56]And do you think that's going to change?

[00:52:01]I mentioned that before. They were asked Mitch McConnell was asking Pentagon, "Why are we not sending weapons to Taiwan?"

[00:52:10]He said, "Because we are involved in a war in the Middle East against Iran. We don't have it."

[00:52:17]We have to produce those. You cannot send the money. The money doesn't make Let's put $15 billion of money budget for Taiwan. Is that going to be, you know, transformed into weapons overnight?

[00:52:33]No.

[00:52:36]They have to produce those arms.

[00:52:39]And they have lost, as at least from what we've heard, more than 50% of their that interceptors were used during the war between Iran and Israel Israel and slash United States.

[00:52:55]So, how long does it take for them to produce these weapons? How long does it take to send does it take to send them to Taiwan?

[00:53:05]China is not in a rush right now when it comes to Taiwan. China saw what is happening Ukraine, what is happening in Ukraine.

[00:53:14]China saw what has happened in the Middle East.

[00:53:19]So, they know that the United States is not the way many people thought it is against And the only point that they're mentioning right now that China doesn't know how to fight.

[00:53:34]For such a long time they didn't they didn't, you know, they they've been in no war for such a long time. They don't know how to fight, they don't know how to use their weapons.

[00:53:45]But people, believe me, the reality of the war has changed. In Ukraine, we've seen that.

[00:53:52]And we are witnessing as we talk today.

[00:53:55]The reality of war, just imagine. What has happened between Iran and the United States? It was all about drones and missiles.

[00:54:06]There was no troops on the ground fighting each other.

[00:54:10]So, in those things, I think China is gigantic.

[00:54:14]China has a lot of leverage.

[00:54:17]They can defeat the United States easily when it comes to Taiwan. Taiwan is an island.

[00:54:23]And there is not The United States cannot do much about Taiwan.

[00:54:29]And just a blockade, some sort of you know, embargo on Taiwan would end the island.

[00:54:39]You know, their economy would, you know, would be devastated by by any move on the part of Chinese government. And the United States cannot do anything. Look at what the United States did with GCC countries, nothing.

[00:54:54]It's going to be the same. Nobody would believe that's going to be different if tomorrow something happens to South Korea, to Japan, or to Taiwan.

[00:55:03]The United States is going to be in the same sort of, you know, position.

[00:55:08]What has happened in the West Asia, what has happened in GCC countries is revealing.

[00:55:15]It's the reality of the United States.

[00:55:18]The other point for the United States, I would say, would be Cuba.

[00:55:24]Cuba, they tried to do the same as they did in Venezuela.

[00:55:30]Cuba is different. The society is different, people are different. People are so tough, by the way, in Cuba. The government is much tougher.

[00:55:39]And I don't know if if they can achieve something by negotiations.

[00:55:48]If they could do something by negotiations, that would be that could do something in favor of the United States. But if it goes down to the military sort of operations, that's going to that's not going to end well for Donald for Donald Trump.

[00:56:05]As the president of Cuba said, it's going to be a bloodbath.

[00:56:11]And let's see what would happen.

[00:56:15]And >> [clears throat] >> I don't see any sort of change between Iran and the United States.

[00:56:20]The war is going to continues.

[00:56:23]Israel going to have the same attitude.

[00:56:29]They're going to attack each and every country in the region.

[00:56:31]Right now, the difference is that there is no red line for Israel for Iran and Iran anymore. Because Israel has crossed all those red lines.

[00:56:43]Today, any moment can you can see a drone, a missile going to Israel to hit some targets in Israel.

[00:56:53]This is the new reality, the new norm that Benjamin Netanyahu brought to Israel.

[00:56:58]He wanted to make the greater Israel.

[00:57:01]But I would say it doesn't matter Israel is bombing other countries.

[00:57:06]Israel is not going to achieve anything by these bombings. And all those villages, all those cities in the southern part of Lebanon that were destroyed, they're going to rebuild all of them. All of them. Better than before.

[00:57:21]This is the new power of the axis of resistance.

[00:57:25]The axis of resistance is more united.

[00:57:29]Is more united. Is stronger than before.

[00:57:35]Iraq going to be a totally different country in a in a period of I would say in in 5 years or 10 years. Totally different country.

[00:57:49]And GCC countries going to be totally [clears throat] They they have to learn something. If they don't learn it, they you know, they have to learn it, you know, as Donald Trump wants to put it in the soft way or the hard way.

[00:58:02]I think they were they didn't learn it the soft way and that's why they're learning the the process in the outcome of the Iranian war.

[00:58:10]The the war on Iran is devastating for GCC countries because after all in in a short run, in my opinion. But in a long run is going to if they if they understand the new reality of the Middle East, if they get closer to the Iran to the Iranian position or make some sort of security architecture for the region, which the region desperately needs that, in my opinion.

[00:58:37]Desperately.

[00:58:40]Israel is not going to end, you know, its wars on other countries. They already they're talking about they want to be more independent of the United States.

[00:58:51]You know, the first time I've heard that Israel is talking about it was during the 60 Minutes interview. The the interview that Benjamin Netanyahu had on 60 Minutes. He said, "We want to be independent of the United States in a you know, in in a decade, in 10 years."

[00:59:09]So, why is that?

[00:59:12]Because they see that they got everything that the United States can deliver to them.

[00:59:21]Because the war against Iran is the ultimate goal. It was the ultimate goal of the Israeli government of Benjamin Netanyahu.

[00:59:29]That failed.

[00:59:32]Israel is weaker today than it was before the war started.

[00:59:37]Militarily, economically, politically, regionally, internally, the society is fractured in Israel.

[00:59:49]Many people, while supporting this genocide in Gaza, they hate Benjamin Netanyahu and his administration.

[00:59:58]This is the reality of Israel today.

[01:00:00]Look at the society in Israel is more, you know, in chaos than, you know, you don't see that sort of unity in Israel today. But you see that in Iran. You see that in Iraq. You see that in considering the whole acts of resistance, there's so much connected right now.

[01:00:25]Yemen didn't even fight in this war.

[01:00:31]So, this is I think for those people who assume that Israel going to be in a better position in a long run. No, Israel has to learn something.

[01:00:42]If they don't, and that's why they're talking, I was mentioning that they want to be independent.

[01:00:47]But who's going to help Israel?

[01:00:50]Are they going to produce all those arms and missiles? No, they're going to receive it from Europe, from the United States again. They're not going to Never, Israel is not able to be independent.

[01:01:01]Because despite all of these sort of propaganda on the report that they're producing everything, the only democracy in the Middle East, the economy is just amazing.

[01:01:13]The only thing amazing about their economy is about those spy the sort of military equipment, you know, in the area of the spine, surveillance, this sort of you know, all bad things that you can get through the military, you know, industrial complex. It's all It's all about all they produce about killing people, assassinating people, you know, mostly killing civilians. It's all about it. The only production of Israel is that, killing people.

[01:01:45]They're not even able to produce, you know, their Iron Dome is produced outside of Israel.

[01:01:52]Interceptors, missiles.

[01:01:56]You know, the only power they have is the air force is totally 100% made of the United States.

[01:02:04]Yeah, this is the Israel today.

[01:02:07]But, let's see what would happen. I think we're going to see a sea change in the United States in I I don't know, something like in in 10 years.

[01:02:18]Cuz the Israeli position is is weakening in the United States. The support for Israel today is less than 30% based on the polls.

[01:02:30]How is that going to play out in a long run for the politicians the people elect in the United States?

[01:02:39]That remains to be seen.

[01:02:42]But, I'm hopeful about that because people are awakening in the United States. They see what Israel What is reality of Israel?

[01:02:51]They don't want to be part of this genocide.

[01:02:54]They don't want.

[01:02:57]And that would be a huge change for the whole region.

[01:03:02]And uh this is my understanding of what's going on. I hope I could help a little bit for you to understand the Iranian position and the big picture, Russia, China, and Iran. And I think many good things would happen in in a in a long run.

[01:03:22]If not in a short run, in a long run, we're going to have a lot of social changes happening in Eurasia, in the West Asia, and with the case of Israel as well.

[01:03:36]Thank you so much for being with me today.

[01:03:39]Great pleasure, as always.