When interest rates rise, the value of existing bonds decreases because new bonds offer higher returns, forcing investors to sell old bonds at lower prices to match the new market yields; this phenomenon is particularly dangerous for the global financial system since bonds are considered the safest and most liquid assets, and their declining value can trigger bank bankruptcies, government debt spirals, credit market shutdowns, and recessions.
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The Financial System Is Breaking… And Nobody Sees It 👀 #shortsAdded:
You know how rising oil prices are considered a major risk for global finance, right? Forget about that risk.
Now, I'm going to show you a much more dangerous risk. On the screen, you can see the 10-year bond yields of major countries. As you can see, they've been steadily increasing lately. So, what does this mean? You've probably heard this phrase a lot. If the yield on a bond increases, its value decreases. But for many of us, what this actually means remains unclear. Today, I'm going to explain this with an example. Let's say you bought a government bond worth $100,000 with an annual yield of 10%.
The government says to you, "I'll pay you $10,000 in interest every year." At the end of 10 years, you'll also get back your principal of $100,000. So far, everything is great. But after a year, things change. Let's say the government issued new bonds and the interest rate rose to 20%. So, for someone entering the market with a 20% interest rate, the government will now pay $20,000 in interest every year. But the old bond you hold is still fixed. It still yields $10,000 a year. And right at that moment, you find yourself short on cash.
When you're short on cash, [music] you can sell these bonds. You go to another investor and say, "Give me $100,000 and I'll give you this bond." The guy would just laugh at you. "Why should I buy your bond that earns $10,000 a year?"
he'd say. "I'd rather go and buy a bond that earns $20,000." So, to convince him in that sale, you lower the price of your bond. You have to drop the price to $50,000 so that you can match the 20% yield. In summary, if interest rates are rising in the market, the value of existing bonds decreases. So, the fact that the price of a bond, considered the safest and most liquid product, falls is an apocalypse for global finance. It bankrupts banks, traps governments in a spiral of debt, shuts off the flow of credit, and leads to recession. That's why rising interest rates and falling bond values are the most feared scenario. In such situations, to reduce risks and protect the value of money, attention usually turns to alternative assets with limited supply. Don't forget to follow me so you don't get left out of the game while global finance is shaken.
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