In Indian state elections, a reduced electoral majority, even when sufficient to form a government, can significantly weaken a leader's political leverage in national politics, as demonstrated by West Bengal's 2026 election projections where TMC's fourth consecutive term under Mamata Banerjee comes with a dramatically reduced majority of 150 seats compared to 216 in 2021.
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West Bengal Exit Polls 2026: Mamata’s 4th Term or a BJP Surge? | The Battle for 148Added:
West Bengal the fourth term and then West Bengal always last always the most complex always the most political charge of the four states on the election calendar tonight we are going to discuss that with Paul for West Bengal tell us story of Mamata Banerjee Trinamool Congress retaining the power but at a significantly reduced majority CNS projects TMC at 150 seats today Chanakya gives them 152 plus or minus 9 poll of polls consensus places them between 140 and 160 is still above the majority mark 148 but dramatically reduced from the 216 seats that TMC won in 2021 the BJP which was projected to challenge DMC strongly after the looks over result of 2024 is now projected at between 150 and 130 seats almost crossing the three figures is such a 40 to 50 seats from that 221 tally the left in the Congress who were once the dominant forces of West Bengal politics for 34 years appear to have been reduced once again to the margins of relevance Mamata Banerjee if that exit polls are correct would win a fourth consecutive term as chief minister of West Bengal in the Pantheon of Indian regional politics that would be a remarkable achievement if she does but the whisper in the corridors of Kolkata tonight is not about whether she will win it is about whether reduced majority weakens her leverage in national politics at TMC with 150 seats speaks differently in Delhi than at TMC with 215 that arithmetic will play out over the next five years
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