In international diplomacy, when parties lack mutual trust, effective negotiation requires one side to make a good-faith offer that demonstrates willingness to compromise, as demonstrated by Iran's counteroffer to the US which was rejected because it was perceived as unacceptable, leaving the US president without viable leverage options since economic sanctions take months to impact and the strategic Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
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“Trump Needs a New Plan” After Iran Submits “An Insulting” Counteroffer After Ten DaysAdded:
This is the headline on my newsletter.
Trump needs a new plan and the subhead was he won't get it from she. The name of my newsletter you see there if you're watching on the video version is wide world of news concurge coverage. Again, this is the expensive uh palpin content comes out every day. I've written about 2,300 days in a row including weekends.
$3,600 a year. $4,800 a year. If you're interested in subscribing, I almost never plug it here. go to uh walkingdocuck.commark and you can read about what's included in a membership in concierge coverage.
Anyway, I digress only slightly to sell my product. Uh this newsletter is read, as you can imagine, by well, let's be honest, some of the most powerful people in the in America read it, including many people uh who work uh in the executive branch of the White House.
Now, I've been told different things about who reads it. Uh but uh today at the White House under some criticism for uh not really seeming to have a way forward after Iran submitted, let's be honest, an insulting plan and how the Pakistanis who by the way it was reported today by Jennifer Jacobs at CBS have been hiding uh the Iran some of the Iranian air force in Pakistan. a big shock uh because uh uh after they hit Bin Laden, you'd think uh we wouldn't have made them the interlocators to negotiate the peace if they were playing footsie again with our enemy. But yeah, uh anyway, the Pakistanis should have stopped this. If the Pakistanis were the least bit good at at at being uh peace negotiation negotiators, they should have said to the US, "Hey, uh we've got a little pixie at the Iranian plan, and it's basically take off all the sanctions." Here's the headline from CBS. Pakistan allowed Iran to park military aircraft on its airfield despite mediator role in conflict with US. I mean, ladies and gentlemen, it takes a lot to surprise me when there's when there's gambling in the casino. But this surprises me a little bit because the Pakistanis are loving their role as mediator. But in any event, the Pakistanis should have said to the US, "Hey, they're about to send over a plan that says, "Take off the sanctions, unfreeze the assets, uh, let us control this straight in perpetuity, pay us war reparations, and down the road we'll talk about whether we have a nuclear program or not." The Pakistanis should have said, "Hey, our instinct is that's probably not going to go over well with the president of the United States.
Should we tell them not to send it?" And then they should have said to the Iranians, hey um you know what a negotiation is uh when there's no trust between the parties, you have to try to build trust by making a good faith offer and you've sat on your counter offer for 10 days and this is what you're going to send. No, no, no. Uh this will cause the president of the United States to be very unhappy. But no, the Pakistanis didn't do that. Uh and this leaves the president in a very uncomfortable position. The president uh now something that wasn't a problem before the war, as we all know, opening the straight is now a big issue. But the president can't open the straight because it's the only leverage he has over Iran is to try to destroy them economically. Today the Treasury Department, you can put this up. Uh the Treasury Department number 10 announced more pressure, more sanctions.
I never understand this with the Pakistanis and and the Russians.
Shouldn't we have all the sanctions on?
Why are there more sanctions anyway?
There are more sanctions. Economic fury ramps up pressure on Iran's Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Core oil operations. They've had unsanctioned oil operations for the Revolutionary Guard.
That seems crazy. Anyway, the president can't open the straight now. And the Iranians can't really open the straight either, honestly, because because uh they're it's their big pressure, too. I keep saying this. I've said it now every day for about 5 days. And I don't hear anybody else saying it. Everybody's like, "Well, the first phase has to involve opening the straight." No, it's not going to happen. Doesn't make any sense. I paradoxically they both want this trade open eventually but not yet.
Anyway, I digress again. I wrote this morning in a newsletter widely read by people around the president. Put it up again. Uh he needs a plan. He needs a new plan. Number six, he needs a new plan. The current plan of trying to crush them economically according to the president's own intelligence community will not kick in for months well before the midterm panic will set in and he'll have to cave. He doesn't have time for a four-month plan. ladies and gentlemen.
And if he's got a plan that involves restarting the war, better be a pretty good plan. Or the Iranians will start cutting unders cables that carry every internet communication from the Middle East. Uh destroying desalination plants that'll provide water for our allies.
Okay. So I say the president needs a plan. President has a had a 40minute photo op in the White House today.
There's an event about uh uh kids, moms, and uh I don't mean to diminish the event, but then he took questions, and most of the questions were about Iran.
Uh and he gets a question that has nothing to do with do you need a new plan? And yet, this is probably just a coincidence. The president goes right to those critics who say he doesn't have a plan. Number seven, please.
>> Rejected a deal from Iran over the weekend. Can you tell us anything about that proposal and what if any effort was made to break this? It was just unacceptable.
>> No impact here.
>> You know, a lot of people said go back because we got to have >> plans on Iran rejected a deal from Iran over the weekend. Can you tell us anything about that proposal and what if any effort was made to break this?
>> It was just unaccepted.
>> You know, a lot of people said, "Well, does he have a plan?" Yeah, of course they do. I have the best plan ever.
department. Iran has been defeated militarily. Totally. They have a little left. They probably built up during this period of time. We'll knock that out in about a day.
>> All right. Now, again, I searched around. I couldn't find anybody else saying the president doesn't have a plan and he needs a new one. So, maybe it's a coincidence. Who knows? But in any event, my point is if the if the if the ceasefire is on life support and if the sanctions haven't kicked in yet and if the midterm clock is ticking and if uh the Iranians are not making good faith offer, I posit, ladies and gentlemen, the man needs a plan.
All right, let's bring in our guests.
See what they think. see if they think the president needs a new plan. Two geniuses who probably have a point of view. I would guess sir, welcome in.
Thank you for being here.
>> Hello. Hi.
>> Well, while I go look for your co- guest, >> Amber, somewhere in there.
>> Yeah. Thank you for coming. What do you think of my premise that the president maybe needs a new plan?
>> I'm in complete agreement with you that the president needs a new plan and we need an updated timetable. Maybe we'll see when he gets back from China what the new plan may be.
Okay, Amber Duke is here, ladies and gentlemen. Amber Duke of the Daily Caller. Uh, I should mention Yemen is now a contributor here at Two-Way and Morning Meeting and we couldn't be happier to have you, Yemen, did you get any reaction to being named one of the members of the morning meeting family?
I had a lot of people actually, you know what, I have to say two-way uh reaches so many people that I I had so many people like like K Street people, people in the private sector, people that were like chiefs of staff on the hill reach out to me and send it to me and say, "Hey, congrats." And I was like, "Okay, you got a really great reach there."
>> All right. Well, thank you. Thank you for sharing that, but also we just going to be happy to have you be part of our of our expanding team. So, thank you, Amber Duke. Welcome in. Maybe someday you'll be a two-way contributor if we all if all goes as planned. For now, >> I'd say the Daily Caller gives you enough to do.
>> Yeah, >> they definitely keep me busy. That's for sure. And congrats to me.
>> Yeah. Uh Amber, does you think the president needs a new plan? Do we have three for three votes or will you be filing a dissenting opinion?
>> No, I totally agree. Although I'm not sure we need the word new in front of plan. Has he ever had a plan?
>> Okay, same. Go on.
Well, >> I mean, he had a plan which was to bomb them for three days and then have them surrender and hand over the nuclear weapons.
>> Yeah, I see the plan.
>> Yeah, a lot of people, including myself, were pretty skeptical of that one. I do think it's interesting when we're talking about this Iranian plan, the it's not dissimilar. In fact, it might be almost exactly the same as the 10-point plan that was circulating in the news media about a month ago that Trump said would be the starting point for negotiations, but now he's talking about um potentially bombing them into oblivion again over them offering up the same plan. Um so, should they be moving on negotiations? If they're struggling as much as the president says they are, then yeah, of course. I think they need to be negotiating in good faith. But this suggests to me that just trying to again bomb the hell out of them is not making uh the type of progress that the president claimed it would.
>> Yeah. I want to ask you both a few more questions about this then we'll reset everything and talk talk about some other topics as well. Y uh if you read the the media there seem to be two schools of thought about China. One is China wants likes order in the world.
China wants its oil. Uh China wants with the United States. So, China's going to help end the war. And then a school of thought that says China loves the United States being weak. China has plenty of energy on its own because it's diversified. Uh, and China can probably get illegal oil from Iran anyway and they're fine with the war going on.
Which school are you in?
>> Can I be a mix of both?
>> Of course, we believe in nuance here.
>> One where China is not economically dependent on the United States. They released a report and look it's coming from China so call it how you see it but it it showed that they had a 14.1% rise in in um in profit this past April compared to last April and they released it right before the president comes and we know he wants to talk about trade tariffs soybeans. So I think that they have a good way of showing that they are not economically dependent on the United States that the straight of moose being closed does squeeze them a bit but maybe maybe it isn't as as much of pressure here. I think there's more economic pressure here. So, I don't think Xi Jinping is is in a is in a position to to like beg or ask or something of the president whereas I think our president is being squeezed a bit and he's going to China with more asks.
>> Yeah, well said. Amber, thoughts?
>> Yeah. So, I think um the point about China not being totally economically dependent on the US is true. The president clearly through the recent uh moves he's made on foreign policy is trying to put pressure on China, not just in Iran, but with Venezuela and then potentially Cuba on the table as well. He told our White House correspondent about a week and a half ago when she asked if Cuba was next on the table for military action. Quote, "What is your definition of military action?" Um that was his response to that. Um so signaling that they are interested in in expanding perhaps their foreign policy playbook there. Um, all of those countries of course more friendly with China than the United States. Um, but speaking with people close to the Chinese, the soybean issue is a big one for them and one that they're very eager to solve with the US.
There's also news floating around today that the president is apparently open to allowing massive Chinese investment in factories in the United States, which as you can imagine, the America First base is not thrilled with. And so so everyone is watching very carefully about what his posture is heading into this meeting and then of course what comes out of it.
>> I mean if they announce that they're going to let the Chinese build electric cars in the United States, every one of those cars will just be a a bomb and a spy device, right?
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