Iran's strategy in the Strait of Hormuz conflict involves deliberately prolonging the crisis to maximize economic damage, as they believe the US needs a diplomatic deal and will therefore accept high costs. Iran's primary leverage is controlling the Strait of Hormuz, which they can close to disrupt global oil supplies and drive up prices, thereby creating domestic political pressure against military action. The longer the conflict lasts, the more favorable the outcome becomes for Iran, as they can exploit public concern over gas prices and economic hardship to undermine support for military intervention. Iran's nuclear program, with uranium enrichment at 60%, represents a significant threat, as no country has historically progressed from 60% to 90% enrichment, and the regime's apocalyptic religious motivations make them willing to engage in potentially suicidal actions.
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Bill O'Reilly: "People Have No Idea Whats About To Happen in Iran..."Added:
The counter to that is if you don't do the deal that President Trump wants that there's going to be hell to pay. And you're right, they don't care. But they did come to the table.
>> They've always been at the table. It's been the US who says we should who has said we don't want to negotiate. The Iranians were saying they would negotiate 38 days ago. They were the ones crying that the negotiations weren't continuing.
>> So boots on the ground. I hate that. If we sent them in, it wouldn't take long to clean those people out. You know that.
>> Well, the great Bill O'Reilly is back.
This time talking about Iran's strategy, how to defeat the Iranians and the media's war against Donald Trump. But of course, I want to hear what you have to say about this video. So, don't forget to leave your comments below, subscribe to this channel, and we'll talk to you on the other end of the video. What it looks to me like is the Iranians, whoever they may be in charge, I don't even know if there is anybody in charge, um want to wear us down economically and believe that um the US press, which is true, is against the action and then that will drive public opinion about President Trump down and maybe uh ignite inflation here. And then worldwide, we already saw Europe not supporting the action at all. Um, and then Iran's hoping that China and Russia will come in on their side. So, it's a waiting game for them. The the longer this lasts, the better it is for Iran.
Correct.
>> Yes. And I think the one the one part of this that was clear at the beginning of this conflict was that it would come down to the straight of Hormuz. The Iranian regime has used that before as a weapon. They've always threatened it as a weapon. Uh and so it was clear that they had no other leverage really to speak of in terms of influencing the international community. So of course it was always going to come down to them creating the chaos and attempting to blockade and affect the strait and doing what is now currently happening, right?
You know, paying a lot more at the pump uh as far as the voters in the US and in the EU are concerned. So yeah, that that was a given. The Russians and Chinese, you know what, they are helping. Uh I I I think there's almost no possibility that they're not providing uh targeting data in terms of of uh satellite imagery assistance on the intelligence side in terms of movement of of US personnel and assets. The Iranians have had a quick series of strikes the Prince Sultan air base in Saudi and you know targeted and destroyed some aircraft, injured a dozen US service members. And that ability was enabled, you know, almost I I would put my salary on it by either Chinese or Russian or both uh assistance in terms of that targeting to make their strikes more lethal.
>> But they don't have many weapons left, I understand, in Iran. I mean, we've downgraded them to uh the sense that they their ordinance is very low. Is that true?
>> Well, yes. We've degraded their military capabilities significantly, their their their stockpiles of of missiles, uh, their launchers. And look, that was, you know, from the Israeli perspective, the missile program was more of a threat in the short and midterm than the nuclear program. Uh, so from a metric, from an operational metric, if you look and say, are we winning this thing? Is can we declare victory? Well, yes, from an operational perspective, we can because we have had significant success in in degrading their abilities and also their manufacturing facilities for these munitions. So, from that metric, yes, from the metric of it, if you went into this and said, well, we want a a better government in Iran for the betterment of the Iranian people and peace and stability in the region, which frankly all the regional actors, the Saudis and others would like to see. Uh, then that's that's a little bit mixed. That's not quite the victory.
>> We haven't seen that. Do you believe that they uh Iranians are close to enriching enough uranium to build a bomb? Do you believe that?
>> Yeah, I believe. Look, what's at 60%.
And by all accounts, by a lot of different measures, they were stockpiling 60% enriched uranium. There is no uh civilian or peaceful need for anything really above 5%. So, if that's true, and Lindsey Graham on my podcast absolutely walked us through that, why wouldn't Europe then be on our side saying we we just can't afford to have uh a theocracy that hates infidels um be able to build a a low-level bomb that could blow up Paris? Why wouldn't the European countries support us?
Well, I think in part for the same reason the Gulf States wanted just stability and no issues and and they wanted to just keep kicking the cans.
>> Yeah, I know is the right thing.
>> Look, every administration in the US has kicked this can down the road, right?
Just just thinking, okay, we'll put it on somebody else's plate. Um, and so I think there's there was a strong tendency in the EU and in the Gulf States to say, "Yeah, we you know, we get it. We don't like the Iran regime.
We don't want it. We understand there's a threat here, you know, let somebody else deal with it.
>> Yeah. But somebody else in four weeks, I mean, we were talking about a very short period of time >> where these uh the uranium could be could be uh melded into a bomb. See, I don't I don't get it in the sense that uh and I'm going to deal with the pope in a in a few minutes. Uh all right. So, yeah, nobody likes this and this is wrong. Nobody wants people to die. But when you have a potential where um 10,000 more people would die, aren't you, you know, morally uh compelled to deal with that rather than look the other way as millions of Americans are doing, millions, and almost all of the NATO countries are doing. They they just don't want to get involved, >> right? They don't want to get involved.
They want somebody else to deal with it.
And in this case, the US, >> they don't want us to deal with it.
We're We're somebody else.
>> If the Iranians need view Trump as needing a deal, as you said on my show, you said, I don't want to use the word desperately, but he needs a deal. If I show up at a Persian rug store, um, and the guy selling me the rug knows that my wife told me, "You better buy a rug or you're not coming home tonight." I'm not going to get a good deal on the rug. And that is the problem right now. The Iranians view Trump as needing a deal.
And to your point, they don't care if they die. They don't care if their people die. They are going to extract the highest price possible. And because they think Trump needs a deal, the price is going to be very high.
But the counter to that is if you don't do the deal that President Trump wants that there's going to be hell to pay.
And you're right, they don't care. But they did come to the table.
In fact, >> they've always been they've always been at the table. It's been the US who says we should who has said we don't want to negotiate. The Iranians were saying they would negotiate 38 days ago. They were the ones crying that the negotiations weren't continuing. So the Iranian position hasn't changed. But I'll give you one more thought on this. The the Trump process here shows a fundamental misunderstanding of the Iranian regime.
You have said that you can't ferment regime change. I got very excited yesterday when the US bombed Car Island, which is the Iranian oil export center yesterday. Because if Trump cut off the money flow into the regime that the regime uses to pay everyone off and stay in power in Iran, the regime would fall apart from the inside. Bombing power plants doesn't do that. I think that President Trump has been getting some bad advice um perhaps from Pete Hegth about how to bring the Iranian regime to its knees. And I would look towards Israel that makes a very big separation between the Iranian people and the Iranian regime. That's something President Trump stopped doing a couple of weeks ago. I don't know why.
>> So, you you believe that if there's a choke point for the Iranians getting money from whatever source, they'll be overthrown from within. The generals will turn on them.
>> Yes.
And and the reason I know that is because the past couple of times the Iranians have been willing to negotiate at all, albeit they've gotten sweetheart deals, has been when the regime was threatened because they were financially strangled.
That is the choke point to the regime because the generals will stop getting paid off. The generals will turn and become far more uh open to entre from either the United States or Israel. But China and Russia are financing Iran to some extent. So it would be very difficult to choke that that flow of uh assets off.
>> No, not at all. And here's why. Because you can choke off the ability for Iran to export its oil to China very easily.
You can shut down the ability for the Chinese to get money and equipment in and material in.
The Russians are broke themselves. Why do you think the Iranians got so upset when the Israelis bombed their gas facilities and their oil facilities? The Iranian regime, just think about what the Mullers care about and the IRGC cares about. They don't care about their people or power plants or bridges. They care about staying in power. What keeps them in power? or the flow of money.
Where's the flow of money come from?
Oil. Stop that. And you have them buy whatever body part you would like to note on your show.
>> So then you would be uh in favor of the United States next move should the negotiation in Pakistan not bear fruition uh US troops seizing Hormuz.
>> Absolutely. Um, and and not only seizing Hormuz, which I don't know what they're seizing it from because Bill, you said the Iranians didn't control it. So, who are they seizing it from?
>> Well, you have to take out the drones and the people that surround the area that are firing.
>> That sounds like control, doesn't it?
>> No, it's not control in the sense that they Iran, all right, have anything other than they're using terror methods.
Okay. They're >> Well, not really. I mean, they've been using terror methods against Israel for four decades. They don't control Israel.
All right. So, boots on the ground. I hate that. Um if we and in a perfect world, NATO would be with us, of course.
Um if we sent them in, it wouldn't take long to clean those people out. You know that.
>> No, it wouldn't. And I don't think you would even have to to quote unquote seize or take the ground. What you'd have to do is sail a couple of US Navy cruisers through there um as escort ships. And you might lose a cruiser or two, to which you point out the American people wouldn't be willing to do. When I ask admirals and generals, why didn't you all plan for this and have a plan to open the straight? It's basically the cost would be too high. that that I think is the worst thing that has come out of this is that the Iranians now know they can blackmail the world by do by exerting this control, this force, this terror method, whatever you want to call it, over the straight of horm and thus over the world economy and Trump has to take away that feeling on their part by choking them off. The only way this changes is by getting rid of the Iranian regime. The only way you get rid of the Iranian regime is by killing it from within by choking off its control and its its ability to pay everybody off.
>> Well, there was the great Bill O'Reilly, nothing like Bill O'Reilly, of course, in the no spin zone, but he's pointing out a very important point here, and I totally agree with him that the Iranians want to drag this war out. Why do they want to drag the war out? Because as long as the straight of Hormuz is closed, as long as there's less oil in the world flowing through the straight of Hormuz, the price of oil goes up.
It's a clear calculation. The Iranians know very clearly that if the price of gas is up, it's bad for Donald Trump because it's bad for America. Most Americans have no idea what's going on in the Middle East, nor do they really care. What they do know about is the breadandbut issues like the price of gas, the price of eggs, uh interest rates on their mortgage. Those are things people really take home with them and talk about the dinner table. So, what's going on right now is the Iranians know that the longer they stall, every day they stall is one day closer to the midterms, which Donald Trump of course is trying to win on behalf of the Republicans. So, that's extremely important to understand. So, everything you're doing watching right now is they they keep on kind of like negotiating and offering something, then they pull back. Like right now, the last few days, I'm sure you've all been watching this. Even a few minutes ago, I just saw in the news that America had to attack the Iranians again. Why are they attacking the Iranians? Because the Iranians are arming against the American air force. The Iranians are either pointing missiles or using the radar systems in the wrong way, which are signaling they're about to attack the Americans. So, of course, what the Iranians are doing is they want this like cat and mouse game. They want to perpetuate the conflict. The more they perpetuate this conflict, the more they can win because there'll be all this pressure against Donald Trump right now.
You got to stop the war. You have to come home. Bring the forces home. And Joe's focused now on bread and butter issues. And of course, if they leave the trade of Hormuz and open it up, the price of oil goes down, right? And you're land in college probably. More supply, less demand, prices go down.
That's exactly what's happening right now. So, you have to understand this.
They're trying to stall, but of course, we need a real deal. I don't think Trump can at this point make a deal unless they can get the nuclear dust. I I I just saw Marco Rubio talking about this.
He said five or six times in a few minutes without the nuclear dust without the enriched uranium which is now 60%.
And no country's ever gone in history from 60% to 90%. So this is a very very dangerous. Can you imagine what the Iranians will do with a nuclear weapon even if they don't use it. Imagine what they do if they threaten to use it.
You're scared of them now. Just wait for the horror and the fear. Could you imagine? We have all our our military installations there. Can you imagine?
and we have our weapons and our aircraft carrier and they threat in a nuclear bomb. We're going to have to nuke them basically. There's no way to stop it unless you, you know, destroy the entire society. This is very serious. And understand this. The Iranians don't care if they're wiped out. The Islamopfascists in Iran have a suicidal religion that wants to see some type of a apocalypse in the world before one of their prophets will come back, the Messiah will come back for them. So really, it's it's very important. uh Trump cannot lose by waiting for the the nuclear dust, but he can't win unless he defeats him. So, it's a difficult situation. Let's see what they're trying to do. The second segment he's talking about is how do you actually defeat these people? Well, you have to destroy their infrastructure and you have to keep on bombing them actually maybe in Car Island as his second guest was talking about and maybe the infrastructure around the ports of Iran, the straight of Hermuz. That's where a lot of the oil is getting getting going through and being delivered and so on.
So if we if we can destroy some of that infrastructure, let's say four or five days of bombing, we may be able to dismantle all that infrastructure that's left right now and that would enable us to put even more pressure because if their oil is to totally cut off, if they can't have no means of production at this point, if they have no means of exporting, then their economy will fall apart. There will be a revolution. That will be the end of the most evil regime in the 21st century. Actually, I think the 20th century was marred by the Nazis and the communists. The 21st century is more noted by the Islamopfascist. Look at the destruction and death they've caused in the last years. They just murdered up to 40,000 of their own people in January. The beautiful Iranian people have been suffering for a few generations since 1979 for up to 47 years are now suffering under the bulls of Iran. You know that they they throw acid on women's faces if they don't cover up properly. They hang people.
They hang homosexuals in the society.
That's what, ladies and gentlemen, a Sharia state looks like. If you want Sharia law in America, you want to know what it looks like? Just look at Iran murdering 40,000 people. That's Sharia law. Think that's legal in terms of Islam? No, that's illegal in terms of Sharia law. That part of Islam, they're not moderate Muslims. And of course, you see what Sharia law looks like in in Kamas's territory like Gaza.
destructive, murderous, murderous regimes. The last point he talks about, Bill Riley, is the media going against Donald Trump. I mean, they just can't they can't win the Republicans in mainstream media. It's run. If you ask people, I remember reading the statistics years ago. They did a survey and they asked people in in media and actually in academic institutions, what percentage are conservative, what percentage are liberals? Basically, who are Republicans, who are Democrats? 80 to 85% of the media are really Democrats, socialist, far-left wing cooks. So, of course, they don't allow Donald Trump in and have a normal interview. They don't respect him. The minute Joe Biden walks in or Camala Harris, they take off the gloves.
They're they're they're just, you know, tiptoeing around these people. They're so scared of them because they're all working together. They get paid by the same people. It's the same masters of deception. The Democrats and the media all work together. They get they give each other favors. They allow interviews. they they support them in the background and so on. They they push for their doing better in these companies and so on for promotions. It's all these background issues that are happening and that's why the media is really just run by the Democratic Party of America. Now the Democratic Socialist America, they're even more scared of them. So of course a person like Elise Defanic, a tremendous woman who went out against anti-semitism. She had over a billion hits when she was attacking uh universities that that said that, you know, the claim against genocide against the Jews is not anti-Semitic basically and they have the right to say they want to kill all the Jews. That's what at least the fanic squeezed out of these people and they're all fired actually or they resigned. But understand that even she is not safe because they want to go after her because she's how somehow associated with Donald Trump. Of course, Donald Trump is not wiped out the entire civilization. Jack Taper Tapper grow up, become an adult already. You know that's not true. He'd never do that. He was trying to threaten them with words that they would understand. And right after that happened, there was a ceasefire. So the Iranians don't respect weakness like you, Jake Tapper. The Iranians respect power. So forget about his rhetoric.
Really look at his actual policy. That's what really matters today. What are Donald Trump's policies? He's a man that uses a lot of words of of intensity.
Let's say let's say it mildly. Sometimes they're rude, sometimes he curses. But he wants to make his point very clear.
Uh, negotiate or die. And that's a good position. The Iranians don't understand anything. These are not Americans.
They're not Canadians. They're not Australians. They're not British. They only understand one thing. They understand power and threat. So Donald Trump has to threaten, has to exert, at least verbally the power of his agency, the power of his seat, the power of the presidency of America to threaten them with, of course, Pete Hexath's army behind him as well. So that's what he's trying to do. He's trying to threaten them in order that they'll come to the table. Listen, let's see what happens.
It seems to me the situation is changing even hour by hour, minute by minute. But of course, I want to hear what you have to say about this. So, don't forget to leave your comments below, subscribe to this channel, and we'll talk in future great
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