EARTHQUAKE! Gachagua Officially ENTERS 2027 Race! How It Completely DESTROYS Kalonzo & Sifuna 💥 |

Added: 2026-05-25

[00:00:02]Ladies and gentlemen, Riy Gashagwa is preparing to enter the 2027 presidential race in the Republic of Kenya. That move by Gashagwa in my view is significant politically speaking and I want us to look at two things. The first thing I want to look at is the strategy. What is motivating to run for the presidency and number two why the bid The Shagua's presentation vid is actually bad news to Edwin Suna and also bad news to Steven Colono Musoka. Before I do that, in case you're watching this channel for the first time, take a second or to click the subscribe button. Ladies and gentlemen, let me begin this video by asking you a question.

[00:00:48]Can you vote for Riadi Dashaga as the next president of the Republic of Kenya?

[00:00:54]I want to read your comments below because for me I strongly believe that if elections were held today and we have three or four serious presidential candidates in Kenya Gashagago has the potential of either becoming number one or number two and I also believe that if you have three or four presidential candidates serious ones then none of the presidential candidates will be able to win with the 50% plus one vote and that's Why one of Gashaga's ally, closest ally, Senator John Mu was very clear that they cannot support someone with 3 million votes because for them they have 5 million votes.

[00:01:46]And maybe finally, finally.

[00:02:02]3.5 million.

[00:02:18]So I will not say anything more than that. Thank you very much. I'm so so so grateful. Your excellency, I have not I have not spent money on And of course there are also those who believe that what should do he should just make himself a kingmaker. That he should not run. He should support either Colono or should support Edwin Sona.

[00:02:40]What is your take? Do you think he should run or he should support either Colono or Edwin Sona? Ladies and gentlemen, let me now dive in. Let us begin by looking at why the Let us begin by looking at why or the strategy behind the move. Number one is what I call the M Kenya numbers.

[00:03:03]Politics is simple. Politics is a game of numbers. If you have numbers today, you can easily win. That's why in uh these are tribal arrangements if you go to the villages there are some 10 areas which have never produced an MP an MCS based on the numbers cl numbers they might not have those numbers but the truth of the matter is that if you look at Mont Kenya they have the numbers we are talking of 5 million votes clean from Mont Kenya you can't run away from that now with 5 million votes how do you then decide to support someone else. And because of this 5 million votes, these guys believe 100%.

[00:03:48]Because of the 5 million votes, they believe that Riad can make a strong bid.

[00:03:54]He can either be number one or number two. That's number one. Number two, the urge to become the new Roger.

[00:04:03]If there's one thing which is giving a serious political headache is his impeachment.

[00:04:10]Kashaga believes and of course even me I believe that if his own party he would not have been impeached but William was very clever and learned his lesson. So regards to become the new Raa this way.

[00:04:27]You run for the presidency.

[00:04:29]Even if you don't win, you ensure you consolidate your engine. You clear it.

[00:04:34]So you have the numbers. Then these numbers, especially the numbers from M Kenya, the next president will have to negotiate with them. So whether R will be reelected, he will have to negotiate with M Kenya. If can consolidate ma into one vote even if himself want to win today he will have to negotiate with Kenya because of numbers and the act of negotiating alone is what he's looking for he wants to be so that after every election you have to look for him he then he will become very powerful because if for example the president has to look for you to negotiate you become very very powerful so riadi has one dream of becoming the Next Raa Aminga, you are there. You're not the president, but you have the numbers. If anyone wants anything, it has to pass through you.

[00:05:24]Number three is what I call the R dilemma. President R is in a situation where if the opposition unites, he lose.

[00:05:36]That's it. If the opposition is divided, he win.

[00:05:41]And he cannot even get the 50% plus one vote. So William is having one prayer that the opposition must be defed and the opposition must also produce serious presidential candidates. So if will be running, Alonzo will be running, Machen will be running will be running will be running those are five guys. If both of them will be running, the end result is that none of them will achieve the 50% plus one vote.

[00:06:11]And because they won't be able to achieve the 50% plus one vote, what that's going to mean is simple run. So that's what R wants and is actually biting that bait. He's running without knowing that he's actually playing into the game plan of the president.

[00:06:35]Right? So da is forcing to run because he's seeing opportunity. In fact, wherever is he, he believes that he can defeat R.

[00:06:44]If you ask Gasha supporter, let me ask, can defeat R? His supporters will convince you he can. And that dilemma is what is forcing him to run. And of course, there's also the politics of betrayal. We know what happened to Raa with Kbaki. We know what happened to R with Regadi. So it's impossible to avoid political betrayals because in politics you have only two things the interest and the betrayal. So regard doesn't want a situation where he will be betrayed.

[00:07:16]So he wants his party first.

[00:07:19]And how can he make that party to be dominant? He must run.

[00:07:23]His supporters are insisting. His allies are insisting because for DCP to win in the mont they must be on the presidential ballot. But how and why is this bad news for Colossus for Edina?

[00:07:40]Number one the one time movement or the one time dream is invalid.

[00:07:47]If we get the runs I can assure you Col will also be on the ballot.

[00:07:51]either Matiangi or one of them will also be on the ballot and that's going to be dangerous because I've seen people say that it's a good it's a bad strategy for the opposition to front a single candidate in the first round that it would be good for them to front several candidates then they meet at the ran I can assure you after the election anybody who is going to be defeated will feel that they've been short changed that they've been betrayed need and because they believe that they've been betrayed, they will not be willing to support someone else. Colono will not support because he will feel he has been betrayed. Of course, even if you look at it from that perspective, R has the money. So, you can purchase all these guys because in politics, everybody has a price. That's the reality. Number two, the political party's funds. Most of these people Colono Sona even if they don't become president the truth is with a good political party with the numbers they can become very powerful they can get money which will then be able to sustain them let's take the case of Sona assuming Sepha will be on the ballot then he doesn't make it as a president then is also running then gets good number of MPs so it means Safuna will get MPs from where Nairobi will go with regi but if not and Sona is the candidate then they will support Sona and the political parties funds which most parties will now get they will also qualify for for a huge chunk. So it means if the cake was a quarter or half then each one of them will now get based on the on the numbers which they have. Ladies and gentlemen, I think will be on the ballot. But of course it also depends on the interpretation of the law what the law says and this team insist that for them they're ready to go. What about the judiciary?

[00:09:47]Yeah. But I think regard is preparing the ground for 2027. Until next time, this is Bqu. Bye-bye.