This GULF Problem Is Growing FAST..

本站添加: 2026-05-26

[00:00:00]A big transition is coming right after we  go by this weekend, everybody. All this tropical moisture coming into the Gulf still  showing chances of formation. Matter of fact, it has raised up a little bit overnight. Not great  chances, but it has gone a little more northward.

[00:00:15]And our chances of formation have increased.  You can see the latest update on our potential velocity anomaly. This Kelvin wave, a favorable  environment we have pushing through all the way towards the 30th of May, has increased over  here for the Gulf, for the southeastern US, also into the Pacific. Now, you can see as  we go 5 days past that, that grows more into that weather pattern where we have that cold  front coming through and chance for formation in this region. Still showing is bringing a lot  of heavy rainfall, more likely just going to be disorganized thunderstorms. But right after this  is where we get that northward push. And look at the latest information showing that chance grows  all the way from the Central America all the way towards the southeastern United States. And this  is where the euro keeps showing something could form right here into the Gulf. Now it's something  weak, but it's starting to rise up more and more in the chances. And right after that is going to  intensify even more more of that northward push into the Gulf, everybody. So we have two different  weather patterns happening everybody. So, first we have this cold front coming through that's going  to bring that chance across the southeast that's going to bring the rainfall. Then right after  that, we're going to see that northward push into the Gulf. But there's a good chance that we could  get a big high pressure right here. And this would direct everything right towards the eastern  Pacific or maybe even the western Gulf. So, it's showing more information for today and  showing right after that weather pattern is going to go back towards eastern Pacific but start  working its way up towards us again. So, look at the transition and the updates everybody showing  as we go literally the first week into June when this favorable energy comes. Look how much more  this has grown all the way from Central America into the Gulf right across the southeastern  US and showing a better chance for something to form right off the coast of the southeast  as we go through that week. But it's not just this one chance because after this we're going  to continuously see that northward push trying to form something into the Gulf. We're going to  stay in this weather pattern for a number of days.

[00:02:26]In fact, even when we check with the European  for a chance for a tropical depression to form, look at this. The chances has gone up right around  that time for something to form right here. Right around June 4th through June 6 for something to  form up, everybody. Now, look at this. This is what you really want to see when you look your  PNA, Pacific North American pattern. We're about to go into that very big positive as we go through  this transition, then quickly to a negative.

[00:02:54]So, first we have the positive. When you have a  positive PNA, you get a high ridge on the western US and you get a trough on the eastern US. That's  why we're seeing that weather pattern of this going out through the east northeast and really  an unfavorable environment is bringing shear is fighting with the dust with some dry air and  the sahar and air layer. But when you go towards a negative, it does the opposite. So now you get  the trough along the western US and you're getting that higher ridge coming towards the central and  eastern US. This is where all this can come back from the Pacific and still head back towards the  Gulf, everybody. And you can clearly see those big changes happening back to back. Look at that.  So, right after this cool front and this trough, we're going to go into a high ridge from the  central to the eastern US giving a chance for this something disorganized thunderstorm something to  head through Central America into the Gulf. Now, whether we get this high pressure block or  not, that's still yet to be determined. So, as we look at the latest update going towards the  end of May to very beginning of June, you can see how we're going to that very high ridge on the  western US all the way into Canada and we have that trough of that cool front coming through  as we go through Monday through Wednesday. And that's where it's cycling everything around with  all this precipitation. More than likely will just be disorganized thunderstorms, but still GFS is  trying to form something. But right after that, as we go by to fourth and beyond, now we're getting  that high ridge coming all the way across the US.

[00:04:20]And that's going to give a chance for something  either head into Mexico, into the Gulf, or the Eastern Pacific after that. It's still too far to  know for sure, but we're seeing a little bit more activity in the ensembles, just a little bit more.  So, you can see better here on your precipit. So, as we're getting that cool front coming through,  chances for formation is very low. As we go all the way from Sunday all the way towards Wednesday  and Thursday, maybe even a little bit more. This is with the European showing by Thursday, it  might actually get a weak low pressure into the northern Gulf around this time. Still just  bringing disorganized thunderstorms. Still must watch it. GFS is still forming something up a  little bit further towards southern Florida.

[00:05:02]Then right after that weather pattern, that's  where it opens up for whatever is building over here by the central American gy where that goes  into the Pacific towards Mexico into the western Gulf into the northern Gulf. We don't know that  part yet, but we're seeing a little bit better information for today that something is trying to  form showing that after we go by this weekend and we go into this weather pattern, we get a lot of  chances with the ensembles showing a lot of low pressure systems forming up right off the coast of  the southeast. also over here by central American gy and into the Pacific. So we have a lot of  activity that's going to happen right at the very beginning of hurricane season and showing better  chances of something to form up either over here by Central America by Yucatan going right on that  angle towards northern Florida to southeast of the US around that time and it intensifies later as we  get that favorable pocket strengthening into the Gulf after we go by June 4th and beyond showing  that's where a great chance for something to form for Central America as well. But it has raised up  over the chances into the Gulf. Showing the latest chances as you look through with Google Mines  and with Euro high resolution. Showing the latest chances as we go literally five and six days. More  likely we'll build up some kind of low pressure over here towards the Yucatan towards Bise and not  necessarily the ones showing the Gulf just yet.

[00:06:24]But we really need to watch this everybody. This  right here is by the Euro ensembles. So we need to watch for the chance for something to form.  You can see with GFS on the latest run that just come out this morning showing chances of formation  across the southeast as we go by Saturday. Could bring some thunderstorms towards Bermuda. But  it starts building up the chances right there by western Caribbean towards Cuba right towards the  Yucatan and goes towards Florida as we go further towards that northward push. This is bringing once  again heavy rainfall towards southern Florida on this scenario. Also bringing some winds with  it as well. And it's just like what Alex would have done. It would have bring that flooding  across southern Florida. Then right after that, maybe a northward push of something else trying  to form. GFS brings it into the Pacific is a very powerful hurricane. However, the latest update  on the Saharin air layer. The dust is actually good news showing it does get pulled all the way  into the Gulf. So, it stops a lot of this moisture from building together and forming something. The  bulk of it still hits over here by the Eastern Caribbean as you go through for Monday. Still  curving around, but it's enough to mess up any kind of formation like maybe what the GFS is  seeing. After that is what we need to see is if this going to stay into the Gulf and mess up  that northward push or is it going to stay further away. Still too far to know for sure. The latest  updates pushes that a little bit further towards the west than the previous updates. But when you  look with the latest information with the euro showing really no formation expected with all that  precipitation because of this shear coming through of the trough plus was bringing with that dry  air from this air layer from all this dust moving towards the west. But it shows your chances for a  low pressure to form into the northern Gulf does raise up and it does stay there for a number of  days before finally peeling off towards the east coast towards northeast maybe as a powerful storm.  That's what is showing in the latest information and something into the Pacific after that as well.  A lot of favorable environment, a lot of favorable lift and energy is moving across everybody. So far  showing all the way till next Thursday. So it's still a number of days away everybody. Maybe we'll  get a low pressure forming from all this tropical moisture pushing forth with this weather pattern.  This is very narrow window and is still a number of days away. Still, we need to watch it just in  case. This is not only the latest run by the euro, but it's also the euro, everybody. Now, this also  is bringing a big concern. I know a lot of people say, "Hey, what's a big concern? We need this  flooding. This is rainfall is a blessing." And I know this is the time of year y'all get this  across the southeast. So, it is a blessing. But once you get so much rainfall, the ground's  water logged. So, when the next system comes around and does the same amount of rainfall,  it's going to bring a lot of flooding. So far, the European is bringing all that heavy rainfall  right towards southeastern United States as we go through this weather pattern. When you look  with the GFS, it takes it further south all the way towards southern Florida going across  the western Caribbean into the Bahamas. So, we still don't know yet where this is going  to set up, but where the setup is still going to bring a lot of tropical moisture and  you need to watch for a lot of rotation, a lot of chances for something to form. And as  of making this video, National Hurricane Center don't have any outlooks as of this time. Now, for  today, you will have a lot of thunderstorms. It will be wide range. Like I said many times, this  Omega block is creating this weird pattern where nothing is really going to come together. It's  just going to be multiple areas. Now, you have multiple chances of tornadoes today. A little bit  for Kentucky, but mostly over here for Texas. So, here's your cities and states at risk for a  possible spin up for today. Also, the wind threat.

[00:10:10]You have the wind threat to the north. That's what  mainly your threat will be. Over here for Texas, it will be the wind and the hail. So, here's your  cities and states at risk for any winds for today.

[00:10:20]This is 40 m per hour wind gust, maybe pockets of  50. And the hail threat, which will be towards the north and might stay longer towards the northwest.  But over here for Texas is where you have chances for large hail, maybe 2 in in diameter. So,  here's your cities and states at risk for the hail threat for today. And you can see the latest  run with HR. So as we go through the evening, we get some strong storms over here for Texas. This  is bringing chances for winds. Also chances for a quick spin up as you go through for today. These  storms also brewing up over here for Kentucky as you go through the early afternoon, but it really  dissipates and stays around Florida after that because all this tropical moisture is going  to come towards the southeast for a number of days. Be aware of that. You also get some sporadic  storms moving across for North Dakota, Minnesota, a little bit for Wisconsin as you're going through  for today and through tomorrow morning. So, it will bring some winds and a little bit of  hail threat also for Idaho, western Montana, moving through into Canada. Remember, that storm  spinning around for a number of days is going to bring up some storms for y'all as well. But like I  said many times, there's no big storm coming. So, you need to go ask those people where is this big  storm that they push so hard. Now for tomorrow, this will spread more across the Gulf, across  Texas, Louisiana. You'll get some across Ohio as well in West Virginia, bringing just  sporadic storms. Just a small chance for hail, a small chance for winds, but we will  be stronger over here across for Kansas, Oklahoma going into Arkansas. Also, what's coming  across the Gulf for Texas and Louisiana that could raise up your tornado threat just a little bit  for tomorrow. There's not a big threat right now, but I think it could add up if this keeps showing  into fruition. And for the Mid-Atlantic, as you go through for tomorrow evening across West Virginia,  Virginia, and the Delm Marva, you gonna get some thunderstorms that's going to come across pretty  quickly. But remember, my forecast everybody with the Omega block, it's very here and there on any  thunderstorm. So there's never a big storm coming around the corner. You need to ask where that's  at. It never showed up. So other than the severe weather we have for today, we do have chances for  winds for tomorrow for Virginia. And that would be about it on severe weather. Everything else  is just regular thunderstorms. And you can see the day after that all the way for the next eight  days there's no severe weather expected. In fact, we can even take it longer and say all the way  towards Thursday where we might get some more storms over here for the northwest for Washington,  Oregon, Idaho, western Montana from that system just spinning around could bring in more chances  of wind, maybe even some hail while you get a little bit across the Carolas. And that's it. Look  at this. As you go through for Friday, Saturday, then it just disappears Sunday, Monday, Tuesday.  Now, as we go by Friday into this weekend, this is where the rainfall is going to add up  for the southeast. And this is going to greatly help out with your drought all the way until  Tuesday. But then that next weather pattern is going to come more into the southeast and  it's going to be a flooding problem. And you can see this just going by the national blend  of models bringing heavy precipitation all the way towards next Saturday, all the way across  central and southern Florida into the Bahamas.

[00:13:25]All that brown is going seven to eight, maybe even  nine plus inches of rainfall. So, you'll love the rainfall is going to be a blessing for a couple of  days. After about 2 or 3 days, it's going to start creating problems. Then after a week is going to  be a big issue. But yes, obviously by the drought, you can see these areas definitely a blessing at  first. And that is your latest update everybody.

[00:13:49]So, thank you again for your time. I hope  you have a great day out there for today.

[00:13:52]I will see you again for tomorrow for another  update. God willing, hopefully we don't see this increase even more. And before I go, a quick  word from our father everybody. Romans 14:8-12.

[00:14:07]For whether we live, we live unto the Lord. And  whether we die, we die unto the Lord. Whether we live, therefore, or die, we are the Lord's. For  to this end Christ both died and rose and revived that he might be Lord both of the dead and the  living. But why dost thou judged thy brother?

[00:14:29]Or why dost thou set at not thy brother? For  we shall all stand before the judgment seat of Christ. For it is written, as I live, saith  the Lord, every knee shall bow to me and every tongue shall confess to God. So then, every  one of us shall give account of himself to God.

[00:14:48]Amen. Have a great day everybody. Be careful  of these storms if you are in them. Remember this weather pattern is going to calm down as  far as severe weather. It's not going to ramp up. It's going to calm down. But what we need  to watch out for is what's building over here in the Gulf. That is not good. Above all things,  all glory does go to God, our father in heaven, Yahweh. And I always hope he keeps you safe  every single day of your life. and forever. Amen.

[00:15:23]Allelujah. Amen. Have a great day, everybody.