Oil futures markets can anticipate geopolitical developments before public announcements, as demonstrated by significant selling of Brent and WTI futures approximately 15 minutes before President Trump's statement on Iran, suggesting traders may have received or predicted information about potential de-escalation before it was publicly confirmed.
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I Think Oil Futures Dropped Before Trump’s Iran Statement — And Here’s Why追加:
So, there was a very unusual oil futures selling that happened just before Trump went on and made a public statement. No idea who the trader was. There's a lot of implications for market integrity, for opsec, a lot of implications for strategic signaling. So, somebody moved on oil before Trump's Iran media post hit. Not after, before. Public reporting says a heavy block of Brent and WTI futures were sold in the minute between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT, about 15 minutes before Trump posted that talks with Iran were productive and that strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure were delayed. Then the post lands, oil drops hard.
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