This video presents a geopolitical analysis examining how political movements in India (Modi's leadership and protests) and Pakistan (Maulana Fazlur Rehman's opposition) interact with broader regional and international dynamics, including US-Iran tensions, GCC-Iran conflicts, and China's strategic interests, suggesting that political transitions in South Asia are deeply interconnected with global power structures and require careful navigation of multiple competing pressures.
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Trump Trapped, Modi Under Pressure & Pakistan Surrounded
Added:Today, seeing the scenery in India so close to Pakistan, I felt happy and jealous at the same time.
I said almost because it is not completely done yet. You know, it would have happened completely when dead bodies were falling, people were missing etc., which happens to us.
India has done this for the first time. I have done it before also. It's not the first time.
India has gone to this extent in Punjab. He has done everything - made me lose, killed, tortured.
Now the story has reached Delhi and our homes because if children like us start killing here then obviously the story will get so bad that it will not be able to be controlled. Now remember this that if this cockroach Janata Party is such a party which came into existence on its own and I used to tell you that if such a party creates a movement on its own and now I am still saying this.
So, Sir, if the story is heading towards revolution, then its effects will not only affect Pakistan but the world, but will also affect the upcoming elections in America, Europe, everywhere, and the UK. It can only be diffused if the Education Minister is killed or removed. There's no harm in it; the situation can be easily diffused. But Modi's effects indicate that he's not going to do anything like this. Obviously, he's going to do what every fascist does.
When this happens, success can only come from a peaceful transition. Those who are expecting him to contest the elections, well, if their demands are accepted, then he will come to the elections. If their demands are accepted, then the cockroach Janata Party in the CJP will gain momentum, become stronger, and can emerge as a group in the coming elections. And if an attempt is made to crush the cockroach Janata Party of the CJP, then the story will move towards a bloody revolution. It will come through and then will have to come back towards the transition again.
Modiism to Realism. There may be a peaceful transition in one.
In the second, the transition will happen after suffering injuries. It will happen by remaining unstable.
One way of the other if successful. This will send a big message to the world. And that is why you may have noticed that this protest is not being shown in Pakistan. Otherwise, if Modi feels any burning sensation in the washroom, then breaking news will start appearing. But we do not want to show this in Pakistan. So why did I say for India that I am happy and jealous at the same time. I am happy because it is better for them to put a stop to Modiism.
Trust me this is better for you. Now if I am saying this you will get angry but it is better for you. And I'm jealous because why can't we have this?
Why aren't we having this? Our people are suffering, dying, and are devastated. Will not do anything. See our priorities.
Make it a commercial court. No friend, what's the hurry? I don't know if there is so much fear that a strong civilian system might come next. So that by using strong courts our business does not get affected. We should not start getting involved in what our establishment calls money making machines.
So maybe it's the fear of it. What will ever happen? Make this, you amend the Constitution and make it a commercial court, that commercial court will stand, friend, we all know that the courts which showed your power, did not listen to the reserved seats, that Chief Justice was not listening to the things, so all this has been done to you to break the judiciary, but this is the priority at this time, this is our condition at this time, that is why I am feeling a little jealous that friend, they have one [nasal voice] Education Minister, thousands and lakhs of people are coming out and seeing our helplessness and helplessness of Pakistanis, Sir General, people like us have also started considering Maulana Sahib as our representative, what should we do now, I mean, what can we do, someone has been thrown in jail, the condition of his party is such that it is itself creating space for Maulana, this is the condition of his party, these things are being said, the same things are being said by the PTI people, Shafee J Sahib is telling Achakji Sahib that brother, become strong, PTI has made you the opposition leader This is a hint, isn't it?
Whenever you ask a question to Afridi sahab, the answer comes, friend, I was not selected to run the state, brother, you were not selected to run the state, no, the answer you would have given is, if Khan sahab had to run the state, then there would have been a lot of big people sitting there, your only purpose was to take a hard line, so you kept yourself aside and then you are coming and catching Maulana at various places. Now if this is the plan then it is a different matter because the case that the Maulana is building is clearly against the establishment and he is not even talking against the government.
Well, it is obvious that this merger has to happen, if it has to happen somewhere, this lawyers movement, all this is an old established pattern in our Pakistan. Now success cannot be achieved with this pattern.
This pattern gives the way out. Whether you are understanding or not, whatever it is, it is what it is.
Meaning this pattern brings about a change in thinking in some way. Now no idea that the path has to be changed, that's why Maulana is there. Please understand this, sir. The path has to be changed, so if you are a Maulana or if you are a Maulana then you have to change the path.
Look, there is a natural role of Maulana Sahib which he has taken, the public, that is, like us, he wants someone with whom he can talk like this.
So he definitely came in a natural role. For all occasions, which I used to say, which I used to say. So that has happened because there is chaos everywhere. A case build-up is present. There is chaos. The deadline given in Azad Kashmir is ending.
False promises were made to them.
Terrorism is getting out of hand. And is getting badly out of hand. I mean, think if what Maulana said is so true. Just imagine building an army, making shoes, providing security. What defines this?
Look at the state of the economy. Daily rates will fluctuate. The daily story is very simple that this system is failing. The case is completely ready and Maulana is now coming to represent it. But if Maulana was coming as a part of some such planning that a collective deal has to be made, what should I say now, then he would not have been so strict.
And now slowly we are coming towards that direction that what I had said in my video a few days ago that Maulana sahib will come on taking the name. So I have told you the position. Now the name has not been taken yet.
Maybe I'll take the name in the next one.
So if Maulana had been under some planning then all this would not have happened. Maulana is definitely for something else. I did not watch my videos completely, watch all these previous videos and now everyone is saying the same thing. Now everyone is saying the same things. And that Something Else will bring the whole system at stake. That means change.
Now obviously this will not be possible without help.
But help obviously doesn't have to be there from the start. Help comes even after the case is made because it is easier to speak based on it. Those who are unable to speak due to fear.
You understand postings and promotions, right? Leave it, don't think too much. The matter is very difficult. It is extremely difficult. Trump is harming himself in the world and he is not even realizing it.
What does America think? America, Iran, after getting so many martyrs, after making so many sacrifices, after starving for 40 years, will easily give up in front of a person like Trump who does not understand what the poor fellow is doing in the world.
One, Iran does not want to deal with it despite being there, and is not doing so. On the other hand, Israel is not listening to Trump, due to which it is getting trapped in the escalation trap. The poor fellow is sitting guarding the Strait. This expense will come from the pockets of the American people, the heat of which he is feeling inside the country. On the contrary, Trump is now feeling the hatred of the American people towards Netanyahu and Trump is also stuck in his defense and the poor fellow is sharing from his own account that brother, 60% of Americans are telling me, friend, please accept it, I mean, whom are you showing it to? You are showing it to Israel, obviously he is blackmailed with the FCN file. Poor Trump is trapped from all sides, I am scared that he might commit suicide, but the situation is obvious. The biggest harm that is happening due to the lockdown is that things are moving towards escalation and the more things move towards escalation, the more problems will arise between GCC and Iran. And now the issue is that with the GCC, they are not able to close their American bases. Because they don't have any alternative right now.
In this war-like world, they will become venerable to Israel. That is why Pakistan entered Saudi Arabia again. But now this same entry is spoiling the matter. Meaning, suddenly the Yemeni government, which is Saudi-backed, hits it and obviously they become active. That is why I had suspected that day also that perhaps Pakistan 's defence post pact was being exposed.
So Pakistan will not care. Let me explain this to you also. And while the attacks are clearly not stopping, blockades are being imposed, further damaging Saudi oil markets.
Saudi Arabia may face a food crisis. Then obviously Saudi Arabia may be forced to respond.
Now, Pakistan will obviously be in trouble again, that brother, please answer here [laughter] and but one more thing will happen here, America will get more exposed and will not be able to defend Saudi Arabia there also, so Sir, instead of [sound of clearing throat] those who say here that Pakistan should think about its own country, I will come to what Pakistan should think, but there are some intelligent people here who are raising a conspiracy [nasal sound] that conspiracy is that brother, why is he hitting GC? Firstly, Sir, you no longer have the wisdom of war politics.
Why is it hitting GCC?
Obviously GCC will hit that. American bases will be destroyed. American bases will be destroyed.
Israel Week will happen, the dynamics of the Middle East will change. Everything will happen after that.
So I can understand his logic.
But some of you people here are saying that due to the closure of trade, Iran and China are facing problems.
Sir, China doesn't like it. The question does not arise. China is the biggest winner of this entire episode. And the longer this episode drags on, the bigger winner China will emerge. Right Now What Is Happening? Just think, will America get tired of all this? Of course you will be tired by November. Can Iran Sustain Until November? Maybe he can. It has been sustaining for 40 years.
But will the Arabs be able to sustain it? No way.
Then America can do anything. Its internal country matters and Middle East matters cannot make this thing last long. So where is the story now? Where I told you sir, JD Vance has already given the policy statement.
Talks will return and when talks return, this time they will be started from the angle of accommodating Iran. Now things will get worse with Israel here because Sir Tox is stuck inside Lebanon. Netan Yau will not emerge victorious in Lebanon and this is Netan Yau's last attempt to stay there and try to become relevant in the elections again. Now Nathan Yau and Trump become the issue. Now if these two go then the path will open and America has the same path, sir. Direct dealing with Iran power centre, accept Iran.
Dilute your positioning in the Arab world.
Meaning try to get into long term matters with Oman.
But still nothing will be achieved by these three things. Just some relevance will be found in the trade.
Some relevance will remain in the Middle East.
Because after being hit so hard and exposed so much, the question does not arise whether the Arab world will remain the same. At least Saudi Arabia will not remain. On top of that, Oman 's acceptance of Iran's power dynamics change, all of them just change, the world, the American world, the imbalances, meaning chaos within the countries, somewhat fundamentally, and chaos between the countries, somewhat fundamentally.
Because America was a bastard, whatever it was, it was a superpower and many things were glued together because of it.
So anyway, in this entire situation, America will only be able to do damage control and still will not be able to achieve anything and even if it wants to achieve, it will not be able to do much except slowing down China and that will be the only aim because that is that and its method of slowing it down is by creating problems with the Chinese expansion route and the biggest part of the Chinese expansion route is Pakistan and that too on the border of Iran, the bugle of Agri Sir War is being blown. There will be a lot of pressure on Pakistan. It may be from Saudi Arabia as well, but Sir, China has its own kind of pressure.
Iran has its own kind of pressures.
Saudi Arabia has its own kind of pressures.
USA will have its own kind of pressure and India has its own kind of pressure. On top of that, the situation within the country is such that it is a different kind of pressure.
If we look at all this together, then if we have to behave correctly in this world that is being created in front of us, then not supporting anyone is the wisest thing and not taking aggression is the wisest thing. Aggression means attacking someone in advance. It is very easy to say this, it is very easy, but when so many interests are aligned, when so many powerful and rich people are sitting with their things and interests aligned, hence I believe that if things are dragged between Iran and GCC and if Saudia gets involved, Pakistan cannot afford to step in, but it will not be easy for Pakistan in the power centre. The issues must be there. If something is triggered by the naval blockade, there will definitely be missiles. Just imagine, on the same day when Houthis imposed naval blockade, the Interior Minister of Iran is sitting next to you. Today itself they also spread the news that on the request of Salas, we are ready to impose a ceasefire for 10 days.
Who is Salas? So the point is Pakistan should not do anything. Saudia and no Saudia.
I had said earlier also that Saudi Arabia's weakness will only hurt the power structure of our country. It doesn't matter to our country, it does n't matter to our country. So if it is about the country then it is the natural position and Pakistan cannot afford to be in the natural position right now given the kind of power structure that is there.
So you can't even think of one way and the other.
Rules for mediation must also have come. India's experiments will inevitably begin.
Because he also needs distraction from cockroaches. On top of that the border with Iran, on top of that the situation in Balochistan is bad, on top of that everything.
So this whole facade of the government was stuck and bound to be stuck.
She stopped, stuck. Maulana's ride is ready. But to save the role rather than the thought. This is very clear. Brother, the story is chosen by the fight. The choice is made through some politics.
We will see to that. Meetings have been held with Maulana, which some people are claiming is being discussed to take Pakistan People's Party along as well, so Pakistan People's Party should tell us that it will try to bring the session within the system but chances are Pakistan People's Party will stay away from it for a while till the establishment's attention comes fully, then when the attention comes fully then excuses will be found to pacify Maulana, People's Party will create leverage for it but will People's Party create leverage, will Maulana be able to ride the kind of hard line they are taking or if both of them are also trying to do something then will it become leverage to bring PTI into the fold? These are all very interesting questions and this is what is going to happen with this whole thing and this is what we will keep predicting slowly.
[music]
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