CNN's Polling Guru Just Admitted Democrats Are Revolting

[00:00:00]Remember it was that Republican Tea Party wave of 2010? I would argue the Democratic version of it is a new Tea Party, but it's on steroids.

[00:00:09]>> I don't necessarily like comparing it to the Tea Party because of how actually ideologically vapid that was, but it was successful electorally, and it's actually looking like that is kind of what we're talking about here. I mean, you've seen a number of these candidates challenge you know the established Democrats and win, but you may not have a really good idea of exactly how much that's happening and how historic it actually is. So, let's have Harry Enten jump into some of the numbers and compare it to the past.

[00:00:37]>> Look at where we are now with Democrats in terms of them approving their own members of Congress. It's actually below 50%. Democrats dislike their party more than Republicans did during the Tea Party wave of 2010. Just 47% of Democrats now approve of their own party in Congress. As I said, it's a new Tea Party, but it's a Tea Party on steroids.

[00:00:58]>> seeing the impact it's having on some Democratic incumbents.

[00:01:01]>> Absolutely the case. You know, if you look at the number of Democratic incumbents, House incumbents who have gone down to defeat, it's actually higher in the House than it was back in 2010.

[00:01:13]>> Yeah, no, of course the Tea Party takeover of the Republican Party took more than just one election, but I think it's certainly significant if the Democrats are doing it faster. Or or maybe it's not faster. I mean, maybe this is really like 2016 was the beginning, there was a surge in 2018, there was Stein beating 2020.

[00:01:30]Um, maybe it's taking a full decade, but it does really feel like the acceleration is happening now. And if one more uh incumbent Democrat loses to one of these insurgents, that would be six. That would be the most in a non-census cycle in 50 years. I mean, that is very significant. And apparently, according to Kahl She, although I hate even referencing it, there's a very good chance that's going to happen. So, 82% chance they think that that will actually happen. So, this is very much Yeah, definitely historic.

[00:02:01]And and why? So, look, we can debate why the Tea Party happened. Certainly, there was like they would say it was frustration over the debt and all of that. I don't think in hindsight that sustained the movement, certainly.

[00:02:16]That's what they said it was about.

[00:02:18]Kind of feels like it was a racist reaction to Barack Obama being elected and it feels like that racist reaction got more significant with Donald Trump being elected and continues to this day.

[00:02:27]But, when you talk to the actual voters about why they're voting for these leftist Tea Partiers or whatever, it really does feel like it's highly substantive, highly practical, pragmatic politics wanting Democrats to do the sort of stuff that I I guess you were led to believe Democrats would do in terms of housing and health care and all that stuff, but they just haven't really gotten around to doing it for literally decades.

[00:02:48]>> [snorts] >> And I think it makes sense for the Democrats to stop fighting these insurgents as hard as possible as possible if they want to to succeed in this election and to maintain their grip and power after these midterms. If you take a look at swing voters and say, "What are the issues that would cause you to vote for a Democratic candidate?"

[00:03:06]Uh raising taxes on the wealthy is the number one thing.

[00:03:10]Okay, among swing voters. Creating Medicare for All is number two. Banning artificial intelligence from setting prices or wages based on personal data.

[00:03:18]That's a highly specific one, but I do like it and I think it's a proxy for the concerns we have about AI and robots taking over our country.

[00:03:26]Uh restricting private utility companies from passing on reasonable costs on customers. And there's stuff about wages. And look, there's some stuff like increasing border security that you could see as a a more conservative position, but it's absolutely swamped by more leftist positions, including by the way, stopping providing military aid and weapons to Israel, which is right there right around the top five. And then you can see banning transgender women from playing sports is way down second to last. So, if you want to appeal to these swing voters, it's pretty clear the sort of things that you should be pushing for and the candidates you should be supporting.