The Exact Trades That Generated $20,000 in Payouts

[00:00:00]It's go time, baby.

[00:00:04]Entered the position at 15. There's an inflection point. Will it continue to go up?

[00:00:08]Will it go down? A lot of traders think it's going to go down.

[00:00:11]Looks like a lot of traders are pushing the market in that direction. But, as I see it, there's a good potential to go up and especially bounce off of the top of the mountain there. So, we're going to stay committed.

[00:00:24]There we go.

[00:00:26]There we go. With these positions, this is not for the faint of heart. There we go. 2Gs in a few seconds.

[00:00:32]15 contracts of the minis of NASDAQ is a lot of uh net worth there. So, each contract's worth third of a mill.

[00:00:46]See, you're talking like $4 million on the line there that we're doing through Topstep.

[00:00:53]Okay. So, this is a position that I'm going to let go on for go for a while.

[00:00:58]As I see it, you can overcomplicate things, but you really just need the moving averages as I see it and the Bollinger Bands. And when you're creating a trade matrix, you're going to be looking at what's the potential upper end, bottom end, and where are we trying to go? With this, brace yourself.

[00:01:19]I'm going for 20,000.

[00:01:21]So, what that means is thinking about if it solidifies around the moving average, does it continue to go up? Does it retrace down? Does it hold the position?

[00:01:31]So, I like to look at where is it going?

[00:01:33]And based upon that, I think about am I going to take some money off the table?

[00:01:38]Am I going to hedge by allowing to sell a little bit of the way up? Where am I trying to go with this? And And this one, I feel good about it. Bounced off the mountain top. It's looking good to continue to trade up. If If goes markedly down and I enter a loss position, then I can prune my exposure to still get the upside potential.

[00:02:04]But so far things are looking good. The bounce off of the mountain top continues to go up. Many people are looking for ceilings and that's what I like to do, but there are instances when the index has been beaten down pretty aggressively and you see something where as a contrarian trader, you think most people are going to be continually going down and you're looking for something up.

[00:02:26]While the 30-second moving average is that, it's different for the 1-minute, for the 1-hour, 1-day, 1-week, you know.

[00:02:34]So there's a lot of moving averages that are there that you're accounting for, but many of the traders that I that are know that are doing frequent trades are doing 30-second. Even with the 1-minute, you're going to see where it's going.

[00:02:48]But you could have a strong start to the minute and then a weak finish to the minute, you don't know what's going to go, but this is looking particularly good. I've already hit half of our milestone number and we're 3 minutes in.

[00:03:02]At this point, I start to think about not do I sell, but how do I reinforce the position? There's the potential things could go absolutely parabolic high, but really we're looking just to that middle tracer where we think that it'll go back maybe 5,000, but we want to capture the upside if it continues to go up in relative short order. The sweet spot for this is that we get to our 20,000 number in about 10 minutes so that we can take out 10 after a few days of, you know, nominal profitability trades, you know, 250 a day.

[00:03:40]And we can get there after a big move.

[00:03:42]So that's what I prefer to do. I do a big move day one and then I'm going in limited positions up and down for the days that follow to get the five profitable days before I can pull something out. I like the flex accounts because I'm allergic to consistency rules unless it's an eval and then I just have to bite the bullet on it cuz there's so much value from doing it. But once you get into funded, you don't have consistency, then you are absolutely golden, my friend. So, this is looking like a game of pick up sticks um with all these sticks here, but as I see it, there's some downside.

[00:04:19]Anytime you see a significant run up like this where you have to capture, am I going to go to the midline? Am I going to go to the bottom midline or all the way to the bottom line and then capture the aggressiveness? It's possible based on if you're doing a market entry or exit that it's going to significantly dump at which point you're working with the house's money with the profitability being what it is. So, you just put the marker in and around where you got it at.

[00:04:48]And this one's hitting the mid bear level, which is 100% to be expected.

[00:04:56]The market makers that are out there will push things up, but also push them down because they know that collateralized positions are going to get closed out at that. And that's how these market makers, you know, make their money even at an exchange level for smaller iterations of time.

[00:05:10]So, as we see, you can see a nice bounce off of what I saw as the mid trace down, we're coming back to the 200 level. I love round numbers because most retail traders and even some sophisticated traders will have trades at flat numbers. So, 200, as I see it, is a number that can bounce up nicely, especially where there's what we're seeing there, back and forths.

[00:05:37]It's like, am I going to go left or right? When there's not a lot of movement, the next movement is going to be pretty aggressively either up or down, and you can see there it took a nice little 10-point jump.

[00:05:46]And it looks like it's not being tested on the bottom side. So, 200 is looking like it might have some pretty strong activity, especially the way that it's tracing up. You can always see if there's a lot of activity or interest there if it traces up by the seconds. You can see sophisticated traders that are going to be closing in and out of positions relatively quickly. So, you know, you're going to get some trace backs, but ultimately, if you hit your number, you have to be able to account for a certain amount.

[00:06:16]Let's say you entered as we did about 7 minutes ago, and you had the top of the previous cycle at 1932, then it would have gone down and then come back up again. So, when you're trading futures, you have to recognize that it's not cleanly up into the right. It's up, down, up, down, up, down.

[00:06:43]And you're taking little wins along the way, unless you have a huge macro position where you're just doing a few micros.

[00:06:49]So, with this, you have to think about what your number. My number's 200.

[00:06:53]29,200 I like. I think that's my path to getting to 20,000.

[00:06:59]And ultimately, you can think about and what the fundamentals are. I mean, going into it, I did a lot of equations and took the signals that I wanted from SimFunded Signals in and around the growth of US companies to being disrupted by AI, the strength or the weakness of the dollar being relatively overblown.

[00:07:26]I just went to a larger screen here so I can focus on what I need to focus on.

[00:07:29]Ultimately, like my mark micro trades are in. I've already spoken with SimFunded Signals and let them know what I'm trying to do.

[00:07:38]And now we're connected and doing the trades around the signal that is hitting to that overall my macro thesis.

[00:07:46]And while it's done on a smaller scale, you're essentially hitting a lot of the nodes of what you're trying to do. You know, or you're thinking that it's going to that it's going to go from 200 to 225 as it did. So, that 200 level was solid.

[00:08:00]And we're looking pretty good at this point to hit our 20,000 number. Notice that I'm trading all this dispassionately.

[00:08:07]I see this as a way of getting protection to the overall market, but if there's a massive movement in either direction, then I'm not really interested in that because I'm not willing to risk let's say a thousand to make a thousand. I want a mitigated amount of downside protection in order to get significant upside. So, as you can see, I had a drawdown early days of 1,500, and that's really all the risk on that I wanted to be for this position that's now 19,800 up. So, we hit 20,000.

[00:08:41]And I'm just looking here now that we've hit 20, there's going to be a pullback at some point.

[00:08:47]And probably the better way to go is to ultimately exit the position.

[00:08:52]Cuz really, it's not profits until you've pulled the cash register on it.

[00:08:56]And that's really what you want to do.

[00:08:59]So, in the next, I would say minute or two, I'm going to do that. As I talk with other people that want to trade into these markets, it unless you're an expert that is really trying to perfect the technicals, of which I've known one or two that can reliably do that, maybe 51, 52% of the time, you really want to look at an overall macro perspective.

[00:09:24]What's going to happen with the dollar?

[00:09:26]It's going to devalue. What's going to happen with companies?

[00:09:29]Uh in the age of AI, they're going to get more efficient.

[00:09:33]So, there's a lot of ways to continue to win from the overall market in the way that um you might not from a prediction market.

[00:09:43]>> My biggest advice for people that are wanting to have success in the trade space is just to be as dispassionate as I am thinking about this is a numbers-based operation. You are using hard facts to create your trade.

[00:09:58]And ultimately, I would suggest going to SimFunded.com, getting set it up with a signal that aligns with your investment thesis, how you think about the world, how you like to do your trading, what are you seeing in the the overall macroeconomic picture.

[00:10:12]And if you're not seeing the success yourself or don't know where where to begin, then I would encourage you to get going with a platform like Sim Funded Signals where you're not getting charged until you're hitting substantial profits. Most Discord servers or places that provide signals will charge you money and are going to profit whether or not the signal is profitable.

[00:10:40]You do not want that.

[00:10:42]You want to be aligned with the person that is providing that signal to you, and the best way to do that and to ensure alignment is to use a provider like um Sim Funded Signals that will provide that information to you, um customer service to you, and give you a good experience.

[00:11:03]So, >> [snorts] >> I hope you enjoyed this trading exercise. Uh feel free to sign up for a free account at SimFunded.com, and uh let us know if we can help you in any capacity.

[00:11:16]And yeah, just entering the scene, trying to be helpful to traders that want to get started with the exciting world of prop trading and introducing discipline that you may be getting wrong information on, and in this ecosystem it's really information asymmetry and the power of your trading capabilities that's going to determine your lifestyle. And so, to the extent that we can be helpful in building that discipline by partnering with you, it would be a pleasure to do so. We look forward to the opportunity to serve you.

[00:11:47]Feel free to go to simfundo.com, ask any questions to the customer service reps who'll get right back to you.

[00:11:53]And yeah, ultimately looking forward to being of help as best we can.

[00:11:58]Uh 23,650, pulling the cash register on that.