Economic dissatisfaction, particularly regarding personal finances and the economy, is the primary factor driving political outcomes in elections, as demonstrated by polling data showing that 60% of Americans are pessimistic about the economy, 55% feel they are falling behind financially, and only 31% approve of the president's job on the economy, with approval on gas prices at just 23%.
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“Democrats Are So Giddy” at Trump’s Poll Numbers But Dems "Are a Disaster... They’ll Make It Worse!”
Added:I'll say to you what I've said to you before. If you talk to any Republican working a race in a battleground state, ask your Senate race, battleground district or state, the president's poll numbers are horrendous. They're horrendous. Now, the election's not today, but there's a reason why Democrats are so giddy.
But Democrats, as Haley Barbour would say, they need to keep the main thing the main thing. And the main thing is still unhappiness over the economy.
Start talking about the Eric Trump's project, start talking about Iran maybe, except to the extent that it's connected to the economy, could be a mistake. Two new polls give you at least a hint at what the private polling data says about the president's current standing even in red states and districts. Number 14, please.
This is a Fox News poll. Are you pessimistic about the economy? Six in 10 say they're pessimistic about the economy. Okay?
Personal financial situation, 115.
From the same Fox News poll, you can see are you falling behind, holding steady, or getting ahead? You can see falling behind remains the highest and pretty high. Here's another question from the Fox News poll.
Satisfaction with the direction of the country, 116.
Down seven points since the summer. Are you satisfied with the direction of the country?
President's job performance, 117.
This is his overall job performance, 39% approve. But look at the economy, 31%.
And do you approve of the president's job on gas prices? 23%. That poll number alone, ladies and gentlemen, which the president would have access to through Tony Fabrizio and the McLaughlin brothers, is is enough perhaps to define the decision he made. Here's another one from the Fox poll. Who do the president's policies benefit?
118. Who do the president's policies benefit?
People with more money, 54%. Compare that to Joe Biden in 2023 where people said 34% Barack Obama in 2015 these are the comparable parts of their presidency 30% so 24% more people say about Donald Trump that his policies benefit people with more money.
Then a couple one from Franklin and Marshall poll of Pennsylvania voters.
The mother of all battlegrounds 120 please how your personal finances now versus before you better off or worse off many many more people now say worse off and one more from the Franklin and Marshall poll 121.
Comparison of the president's job approval ratings at this point in their presidencies you can see that Donald Trump is less popular by a lot than Barack Obama more popular than George George W Bush.
Kevin what what where are we on on the Democratic Party popularity Donald Trump popularity and the war in other words if gas prices do come down if the stock market does go up. Does that fundamentally alter the equation for the midterms or the numbers I just showed more dispositive and not going to change quickly in time for the election.
>> Yeah I I think the electorate is fairly locked in we've talked about this you know months ago that you know heading into the summer months and that's why I think the pressure to your point Mark was so necessary with the outlook of the midterms for the president to make these decisions because it's very difficult once you're in this hole and again talking to the guy who had to to spin stuff after that horrible withdrawal from Afghanistan once those numbers got locked in with the electorate and they saw the optics of you know that the airfield.
Biden was toast for the rest of the for the rest of the administration to say nothing of that debate performance. So once the American people have so locked themselves in to these notions of of where the president is and what they're doing what president is actively doing for the folks at at bottom end of the economic spectrum you see numbers two white working class folks working two jobs have abandoned the the administration and the president.
They're not necessarily going to the Democrats, part of our problem, but if they stay home, that's a huge issue for the midterms for the president and his party standing. Um so I think it you know, the numbers are fairly well baked in at this point, less than 150 days out for the midterms and there's very little things that the you know, Susie Wiles and James Blair and others can do to change this mentality, I think.
>> Larry, thoughts on the Fox poll and >> Well, the one thing they the one thing they can do to change it is bring gas prices down and that's what you saw. And by and the the calculation I think from the White House is that so much hinges on that including the cost of food and delivery and all of the services that by Labor Day at the end of the summer, let's take a look at those numbers again. And if they're trending in the right direction, that's good news. But but let's make no mistake, when you look at those numbers uh if the midterm election is uh Trump sucks, so vote for the Democrat and things will get better, Democrats will do very well.
>> Yeah.
>> Republicans need to make sure that that's not what this election is. They want it to be, yeah, listen, things aren't great, things are getting better, but this guy that they put up, this individual in this state or in this district, they're a disaster and they'll make it worse. So stick with us and stick with our plan. And it well, we'll see what the choice is going to be this November.
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