The analysis correctly identifies how forfeiting strategic ambiguity cripples diplomatic leverage, turning a negotiation into a dictated surrender. It is a sobering look at the high cost of revealing one's hand in the theater of global power.
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IT'S OFFICIALLY TIME TO PANIC...& YOU NEED TO PREPARE NOW (not clickbait)
Added:All right.
What's up everybody?
So, uh, I can't decide what style I want to do this stream in, but uh, this is one of those rare occasions where we have an actual narrative and story that we are going to get into so that everybody can follow. There's nothing uh, it's not gonna be anything jumbled about this one. This is pretty straightforward. Um, it is an unfolding situation that I feel like most people are kind of they're hearing headlines about potentially but don't really understand uh exactly what it means. So, the uh the deal fell apart uh so far with Iran on some pretty shocking news. But it's not just that the deal fell apart. Uh it is because of what our president announced at G7 before the uh you know before the deal got uh ruined by you know our ally definitely you know our ally ruined it.
But uh you know not again before the best negotiator ever known to man revealed a certain data point that was not known to anyone I don't think publicly prior to him announcing it yesterday. And now it's like when I saw and we're going to start right there. I'm literally just giving you guys an intro. Trump says this at G7.
Unfathomable.
unfathomable mistake to say what he said publicly.
I'm going to show you that first.
JD Vance has basically, if you're looking at the deal points that we had in front of, you know, the peace deal with Iran, anyone with a brain had to look at this and go, I don't care like if you know what, if like understand the situation, it doesn't matter what the president says. It's like this is clearly uh a deal that is favoring Iran. fine like let's just get and from my perspective like let's just get everybody home I don't care whatever right but it was very clearly favoring them and uh now we know why that's the case and we also now had Israel sabotage the deal by doing a gigantic attack on Lebanon which was part of the deal you know terms on the Iran side and now the deal is no longer and the strait is closed everybody has been just kind of feeling like Oh, you know, it's like this thing that's in the news, right?
Things in the news, it's not really impacting me. Well, there's a reason for that. As we have now found out, there is a very specific reason for why it hasn't been so bad, you know, at your house and my house. And uh the nature of that solution is uh not good as it relates to the long term. So, we're going to get into it right now. Okay. Go ahead and uh go ahead and uh like the video and subscribe to the channel if you haven't yet. All those things. All right. So, I'm going to I'm going to stay on track here. Okay. So, I wanted to start right here. This is uh this is what uh and and by the way, there's nothing clickbait about this title. Like when I say prepare, like I'm actually going to give you like that you need like this is a smart person with a family should actually prepare. And I'm going to show you exactly what the you know item list was that was in my opinion I think rather uh I don't know less alarmist than uh there certainly is a much more alarmist way to go with it but I you know I had to literally tell AI I'm like I don't want you to make me feel better.
I want you to give me a real answer so I can prepare. And then AI's entire you know it's entire like uh way it was delivering information changed. It was like oh okay so you want like a real answer. Yeah I want a real answer. So here's where we at. Here's where we are.
Okay. So this is a comparison between um Trump's announcements in March, April, and then now yesterday or the day before. It >> doesn't really affect us. We have so much oil. We have tremendous oil and gas, much more than we need.
>> We're now totally independent of the Middle East. And yet we are there to help. We don't have to be there. We don't need their oil. We don't need anything they have.
>> I'm going to get bad press. I know that.
Now, if I did the opposite, if I went out and continued to bomb them for another four, just bomb the hell out of them, I'd get bad press on that. No, there's nothing I can do. But what this does is it allows the ships to go. If we if we keep bombing, those ships won't be going. And you're talking about 500, 600, 700 million dollars a day. It's a lot of money. A lot of money. That's why the world is okay. It's liquid. It's fine. Also, we run out of reserves at about four weeks. You know, there are reserves all over the world and we would really run out and there'll be a time when you wouldn't be able to get it and you want to see deadlim. So for all those so-called geniuses that want to show me how.
>> So what you saw there is a person who was so deeply affected by people in the media calling him a [ __ ] that he made our enemies aware of how desperate our situation actually is as it relates to needing to get a deal done. which is basically if you were going to look up uh rule number one of not don't do this in a negotiation that would be like you always want to be negotiating from a position of strength and if you're not strong you pretend like you're strong if you're very strong you pretend like you're weak you know art of war stuff I'm sure all of you guys have read that in the 40 laws of power like you know everybody come on right but uh in this case for some reason he thought because uh we had a signed MOA which is only an agreement that we will forthcoming make an agreement. It was like, okay, there's no reason for us to think about negotiations anymore because definitely we know that Israel is not going to blow the deal up because they understand they're our ally. Like we can't afford, the world can't afford for this to fall apart. Iran is one. They have us by the balls. We're about to run out of oil in four weeks. And uh you know, of course they know that. And it's like, yeah, okay. Yeah. Seems like he's been paying very close attention cuz on Q. Okay. On Q, guess what Israel did and blew up the deal. And again, what we're going to get into is what happens when the strategic oil reserve runs out, which will happen for sure in four weeks according to the president when I'm going to show you the full clip and you have these two guys or you have like uh Rubio and then whatever that Epstein guy's uh you know Epstein's buddy is behind him and you see their faces when he said that out loud and they just both went you know like they tried to poker face it and it's like it's un like honestly it's unbelievable. believable how challenging it seems to be for the president to like have a thought in his head and not say it out of his mouth.
It's like, dude, there's we don't even have a deal. And now we Okay, so what we're going to actually go through here is we're going to go through the reality of this negotiation and how dire this situation actually is if you understand all of the moving parts because this for Israel this is the most like this is a this is the most do or die moment for them that there is. And in case you guys haven't noticed in the last however many decades like not really uh you know hey take a back step and just chill not really in their repertoire. They want to annihilate the entire world as they are going to tell you themselves here shortly. And uh and if we cut them off, we're like, "Yeah, okay, cool. You're cut off." Well, I'm going to show you why that's probably uh relatively problematic also given recent findings, you know. But again, so here's the longer I I think that I'm pretty sure that this might I think that this is the longer version of this, but I just want to play it again so you guys can see their faces when he uh when he says the thing about the four weeks and then we're going to get into BB Netanyahu's response to this, which is [ __ ] unbelievable.
>> I know that. Now, if I did the opposite, if I went out and continued to bomb them for another just >> So again, watch this dude and Rubio.
What? I can't remember this guy's name.
He's one of Epstein's buddy. is obviously, you know, you know, he's obviously uh someone who's rather partial to the interests of uh you know who.
>> Bomb the hell out of him. I get bad press on that. No, there's nothing I can do. But what this does is it allows the ships to go. If we if we keep bombing, those ships won't be going. And you're talking about 500, 600, 700 million dollars a day. It's a lot of money. a lot of money. That's why the world is okay. It's liquid. It's fine. Also, we run out of reserves in about four weeks.
You know, there are reserves all over the world. And >> did you see that? Okay. If you want to see like a stone politician break poker face, watch his eyes right when he said it, dude. You're not going to get him to like go whatever. Watch his eyes right when Trump says it. Okay? He the whole time he's been stonefaced and then right when Trump says the four weeks, watch his eyes.
>> Reserves in about four weeks. you know, there are reserves all over the world and we would really run out and there'll be a time when you wouldn't be able to get it.
>> And then now he's looking around. He's thinking like, who else just realized how bad this guy just [ __ ] up?
>> So for all those so-called geniuses, show me how smart they are. Ask them why didn't they blow up >> General Solomoni? Ask that of the general and couple of other people that I like very much.
>> This is what I'm talking about. Like where now he's like he's talking about that he blew up Solommani. Like this is all in response to people calling him a [ __ ] Okay, that's literally all that this is about. Okay, so uh what?
Wait, is it Hold on.
Let me see something. I don't know what delet Okay, I thought someone was saying that the uh thought someone was saying something about the stream. If you guys think that this is an off take, go Hey, okay. Yeah, I see it in the chat. It's like, okay, oh, this is a super offt take. Okay, so run me through which part's an off take that. So far, we have gone over that Trump announced that the strategic oil reserve runs out in four weeks.
So, the only opposing view to that would be that he's it was smart of him to say that publicly, right guys? Like that's that's the only that so far the statement I've made is that it was piss poor negotiating to state publicly that he had no choice but to make a deal because we're going to run out of strategic oil reserves, emergency oil reserves in four weeks. So go ahead and put in the chat that you think that oh yeah the stupid [ __ ] take cuz that was super smart that he did that [ __ ] morons. Anyway, continuing on. Okay. So, here's how uh and again what we're going to look at next is what happens if we do run out of strategic oil reserve uh the emergency oil reserves. Okay. But first, you know, given the situation and the requirement to make the deal happen that Israel has to stop attacking Lebanon, right? Pretty straightforward. Is like, "Yep, we're gonna we're going to work on a peace deal over there. They have to stop attacking Lebanon. Cool. And here we go." So, uh, this is exactly how they responded. This is at 9:13 this morning.
Okay. So, he said, "As I instructed, the IDF, uh, struck powerfully 150 Hezbollah targets in Lebanon and eliminated dozens of terrorists. And then, shockingly, you guys won't believe it. Cool." Oh, shocking there. Suddenly there's a uh there's a postponement in the peace talks because I don't know what what could have possibly caused the pause in the peace talks. Could it I don't know.
Could it have possibly been that Israel intentionally uh blew up the deal? You know, like I don't know. Could that be what's going on?
And to be clear, where this is all going is like we have two things to prepare for. One of them is if our emergency oil reserves run out, which will happen in four weeks if we can't get a deal put in place. And apparently Israel's dead set on making sure that doesn't happen as like literally JD Vance is like, "You guys better stay in line because blah blah blah." They just were like, "No, we're good." And I'm just going to announce publicly, "Yeah, we did that anyway." Okay, so that seems like a pretty big problem. And even if the even if the ships start going now when I show you the reality of the numbers like there is a massive massive issue that is coming in the next couple months either way. Okay. But not only that, so you get they won't fall in line, right? Okay. So let's just say we can't get a deal done.
Okay. Well, that's well I'll show you exactly what you need to prepare for in that case. And if we you know and then the other side is if we can't how are we going to get them to chill? And if we can't get them to chill, what are they going to do? Okay, now you're looking at, let's just say that Iran refuses to open the straight.
Now they really won't open the straight and we have gas shortages. We have, you know, our food distribution dries up because we don't have diesel fuel. Okay.
What do you think is going to happen next? What do you think? Like everybody's like, "No, you know, no, we're not down with uh fill-in-theblank barbaric thing that might be on the table." It's like what do you think is going to happen if um all of a sudden people can't get food? How do you think they're going to feel about barbaric thing and then what does that do in terms of the conflict in the Middle East? So check this out. Okay. So so after okay after BB did the attack on Lebanon blew up the deal so far blew up the deal right JD Vance had been I mean JD I could have showed you this but I'm sure all of you guys have seen this that JD Vance has been doing the rounds. He's like they need to fall in line. Israel needs to fall in line. Israel needs to like they're a country 9 million people they're all that stuff and everyone you know is kind of split on okay well maybe he means it or maybe he doesn't but at least these someone is saying that they need to fall in line right so that's JD Vance cool BB directly dis like just disregards it and in the face of the entire global community that all is relying on this straight being opened and this peace deal we're not just talking about us dude we're talking about literally basically the entire world okay everyone is relying on this BB you can just Hey, stop invading Lebanon. How about that? How about you just stop invading Lebanon and just take a back seat? He goes, I have an idea. I don't care what anyone else, any other country in the world, including our our the only, you know, important ally that we have that told us forbid us from doing this. We just do it anyway. Okay.
So, how does uh how does Trump respond?
Let's see. Cool. One hour ago. And uh obviously we fought very well with Israel and we've had a great relationship with Israel. We were very formidable and BB Netanyahu he's a warrior prime minister and he should be acknowledged.
>> Hang on.
This is not accurate >> as that. He should they should give him credit because he really did he we had a a very good relationship general with all of them but we really fought hard with Israel and frankly I feel that if we weren't around let's say if there wasn't this presidency we rebuilt our military during my first term some of it was foolishly given away by the Biden administration nobody can even understand that but not much compared a lot but Not much compared to what we built. And then a lot was given away. A lot was given away by Biden to Ukraine.
And they should pay for it. Meaning the European >> Wait, hang on. You guys can't hear that?
Can you guys not You guys can't hear that?
Um I dude, believe me, I'm well aware the gas is super cheap here. It's because we've been using all of our emergency oil reserves. That's why that's what that's the whole point. He just announced it. He said we got like he said we're going to run out of emergency oil reserves in four weeks.
That's why gas has been so cheap. And he said it out publicly, you know, like bottom line, I don't care about any of this. We just Somebody needs to go like this to them and go you guys are not doing anything militarily at all.
You can't because we'll cut you off and if you do not, you know what I mean?
It's like, dude, if our Again, I'm gonna show you exactly what I'm talking about in terms of if we run out of oil, exactly what everybody needs to prepare for.
>> That wasn't in the cards for them.
>> I don't know if you guys can hear this.
Whatever. Bottom line is he uh his response uh in in response to uh them just being like, "Oh, yeah. We don't care about you guys or anybody else. We don't care what you guys want. Uh we're just going to do exactly the opposite.
We're going to blow up your deal on purpose in front of the entire world and then tweet about it." Okay. He go he goes on. He's all, "Hey guys, you know, they're a great partner. You know, we did great things with them and he he should be praised and whatever." What the [ __ ] are you, Dude?
This is the time where there's no You just said it out loud. Four weeks of oil reserves, man. Like, this is not like you get there's no politics here. Like, this is the point where he just spit in your [ __ ] face, man. He spit in your face. You guys said that you were doing the deal. You're at G7. you announce that you're doing the deal. Everyone in the world knows that part of the deal is Israel needs to back off Lebanon. And he just said, "Fuck you." and just bomb the [ __ ] out of out of Lebanon. He said he 150 Hezbollah targets is what he said.
Okay.
So uh anyh who now looking at uh looking at the uh the next piece of this go so here's the most important part that I think people need to well certainly part of what's very important is like well why can't we just threaten to cut off aid to them right it's like why don't we just cut it off it's like well that's that would be straightforward if not for fill in the blank many many many many many other factors including you know, the positioning. I mean, like just look at the number of politicians, whatever.
But like, let's just say that it was that dire and it was like we're going to cut you off, right? Well, theoretically, and this is just a hypothesis that I have read all over the place from other people, is that there is strategically placed sabotage in the country all over the place that's already in place to where in the event that someone wanted to, you know, uh, threaten us or actually attack us in a way that would be nearly irreoverable, they I'll show you perfect example of what I'm talking about. There's no way to know who put this there, but this is an example of what people believe has been placed all over the country in preparation to where if they go, "Hey, oh, you don't like what we're doing?
We'll check it out. If you do this, then guess what's going to happen to your entire country?" This is how you threaten collapse of our civilization, no matter what kind of position you're in. And I gez, I wonder who would have done who would do some like that. Okay, watch this. This is literally from five weeks ago.
>> An unprecedented threat that we just found by accident. They were repairing a dam at Big Creek Lake. That is a 3,600 acre lake, a reservoir that holds about 17 billion gallons of drinking water. It is the main source of drinking water for Mobile, Alabama. And they found an explosive device just under the water line accidentally. We don't have much more information than that other than things are looking like they might get really serious. There is >> so by total freak happenstance they were doing like a repair on the dam in Mobile, Alabama and they just randomly came upon some gigantic explosive that was just chilling just there you know it's just there and it's like what you know and like that kind of story just cruises right through does anybody have any idea what happens if a dam fails Like you're talking catastrophe.
Absolute. And if there's one there, you know how easy it would be to hide explosives on on like all over the place. All literally all over the country. Who knows how long they've been there? But that's the kind of thing where we think that we have the upper hand all the time because of uh you know aid or our military or whatever. And if it really it's like if you need an emergency rip cord like hypothetically if you were completely reliant on one country for your entire existential survival, you would really want some uh fail safes there where if they ever really try to push on you, you could say you need to be able to threaten back like oh we can just make your we have here's a list of uh actually you wouldn't tell them right. negotiating wouldn't tell them exactly why you know your your strategic position but at the very least you know this would actually be the kind of thing that maybe I would if I was in whoever's position put that [ __ ] explosive there I would actually have them find that one on purpose and then if I was ever put into a corner where I needed to pull the rip cord or you know I need them to do what I want them to do I'd be like hey remember that remember that explosive you guys found in the dam in Mobile Alabama you know president whatever they're all wait what I didn't see that on Fox News why you go look it up. You know, they Google it, they see it, they're all Yeah. You're like, gosh, it'd be a tragedy if there were 60 more of those strategically placed all over the United States. What do you think would happen if all of them went off all at once? What do you think would happen? Six, you know, 60 explosives on dams and other critical infrastructure to your country? Do you guys think you guys would be able to run civilization very well? Probably not.
And if you cut us off, that pretty much puts us in the exact same amount of risk. So I guess if you cut us off, we might hypothetically have to pull that string. Also, I'm just saying if someone was a shrewd negotiator. So it's like, you know, this is reportedly a country that has the policy where if they're going to go down, they just launch all the nukes, you know. So like something tells me probably not going to uh go down without a fight on this one. And here's here's the other thing that you like this is really important to understand about because like if you're trying to think through negotiations, actually, hang on. I I just realized I have a bunch of super chats. Let me do these real quick. Okay. Uh when it comes to a problem for us, it will be a problem for them. Remember, we got the big stick. You hope I hope you're right, dude. But they seem I mean, maybe now that they see that our uh emergency oil reserves are low, they're like, "Oh, okay. Maybe." But it seems uh you know, they announced it like Trump said that on the 17th and they announced that they that they attacked Lebanon, like a massive attack on Lebanon the next day. So, I don't know, man. It's concerning. Um, Mr. Mitten, thank you for the super chat. JD Vance is putting together the biggest Zio cuck show ever to get through the midterms. Everything says not sincere. The lobby is CL. It's possible. It's totally possible. I just don't know cuz I think that this situation is actually dire enough that it's like I don't like I can't I there are certain people who of course like they their money is everywhere, dude. Like they they fund all of these campaigns. They have tremendous influence obviously.
But there's like people who take in campaign funds and they will basically vote whatever way that they're told. They'll say whatever into a camera. But there's got to be some of those people where if they're un if they understand it's like we're talking about Americans like there's going to be food shortages everywhere. Like real ones, not the makebelieve ones they've been talking about to scare everybody. real can't get food supply, can't get gas, can't get feed, can't get all like this is this will happen if we don't get this deal done. And they're like, "Yeah, but you know, Israel doesn't want us to do the deal." It's like I I mean, are you you really going to prioritize what Israel want because they want to keep on blowing [ __ ] up? Like that's your priority versus like this. I hope I hope that there's nobody who is I mean there's I'm sure there are definitely people who are that compromised. I just don't I don't just looking at JD Vance, I don't think that he is one of them. I [snorts] hope uh Howard Luck, there you go. Yeah, Howard Lucknick is that's what I was looking for. Thank you, sir. Um Rockman, thank you for the super chat.
Glad I finally caught a live. So, can you tell uh tell you your videos piss me off, but not because you're wrong, it's because you're right, unfortunately. I mean, so I try to make them entertaining at the same time, you know. It's my my attempt. Jessica, high five. Thank you very much. Uh, everyone thinks that we have this huge reserve, but Biden pen sold off almost uh entirely the US oil reserves. Uh, uh, shocked. No one talked about it then. Yeah. And then right now it's like I mean there's only one like four weeks left. You know what I mean?
Let me actually let me see something real quick. Um, let me just look something up. I still cannot believe that Trump said that into a microphone.
It's like when when so so someone sent that to me, right? Like someone sent that clip to me and it was like Trump says uh you know Trump like the or it was like the deal uh the the Iran peace deal falls apart as Israel attacks Lebanon. Like one of the first lines was like this is problematic because Trump uh you know what or I think it actually had the accompanying clip and it showed Trump saying that we only had four week of weeks of oral reserves. And I'm like there's that's impossible. There's no way that he actually said that. I legit thought that it was probably a fake story because no one no one could make a mistake that big. Like, no one could ever make a mistake that big in that situation. And I looked it up. I'm like, he really [ __ ] said it.
That is I mean, this is one of those things like you guys don't I'm not like some blind Trump hater, dude, at all. I don't do that on anybody. I give everybody a fair shake. There's but like there are just certain things that are just black and white, right, wrong, bottom line. Like you this is just what it is. And in a situation like this, this is so crystal clear. Like there is no defense of this. You could the best you could say is he made a mistake.
That's it. There's no like I mean it there's no 40 chess here, dude. There's no like, you know, special like strategy of how he's trying to blah blah blah.
Unless you think that like collapsing America, you know, or giving the biggest negotiating advantage any country has ever had against the United States in certainly in my entire lifetime would be some kind of strategy that would be like a good thing. Okay? Cuz now Iran just cut the deal and they know we have no choice. We have to get this deal done.
We have no choice. No choice. Doesn't matter. It's either that or Nukem, right?
Um hang on for one second.
I'm looking one thing up here. Um, okay.
Yeah, the US is still a net importer of crude oil.
Um, But now I'm going to show you what to expect if we do actually run out of uh emergency reserves in a second here.
Um, okay. So, I'll come back to that. So, I asked uh I asked chat to Oh, [ __ ] Frank, thank you very much. That is extremely generous. I appreciate you, dude. Um, when I was in college, I went to Humboldt State. Oh, no you didn't. I went to Chico, dude. I heard that the Rednecks had all seven bridges wired to blow 30 years ago. Like I said, a rumor. Oh, I don't doubt it. I heard uh I mean, like I said, I went to Chico. It's plausible that part of my spending money may have come from your county, you know, in a in a previous life. [snorts] But uh yeah, dude, that area that's a that's a that's an outlaw county for sure. Again, thank you very much for the super chat. I appreciate you, dude. Um if you really think about it though, if you think about the fact that they found that explosive and the, you know, hypothesis that that was just one of who even knows hundreds of those things that could be placed wherever. Um, how would that not be the case? Like just think of how easy it would be if you're a resourceful person, right? Like how easy it would be for a resourceful person to make some something that could damage infrastructure and then sneak it to a place where and then hide it there and just leave it.
you know, like it's not like that would be some super overwhelmingly challenging thing, especially given the fact that a lot of the critical infrastructure is in extremely rural areas. It's not like you have to navigate the cities of New York in order to attack a thing like that.
Mobile, Alabama dam. You know, the reason I'm so familiar with the dams, like I talked about when I talked about that story, you know, a couple months ago, is because I went to school at Chico State and there's the Orville dam up there and there was there were like uh problems with that dam where they thought that, you know, there was they had to repair it and so everyone was looking into like what happens if the dam fails and you're like, "Holy shit."
And you know, we used to go wakeboarding up there. So, I know the area really well, bro. You could get anything. You could get anything up there. Anything.
There's no one there.
But the whole uh you know the whole um like the whole Sacramento basin relies on that stuff you know you just crush it all. Um sorry got my uh wife's texting me what time we can leave. Okay. Um and you know Kyle Kolinsky would leave you looking like Toporia after Gachi if Oh if we got in a fight probably.
Actually, that's actually that's 100% actually because I already told you guys if I ever got in a fight with Kyle Kolinsky, I would just let him win and because it would be so funny, dude. It would be so funny because like it's way like it just hilarious, dude, to see Kyle that worked up and all I would do the whole time is just go, "Kyle G, KYLE, STOP IT, KYLE."
And then in my, you know, after the fight in the microphone, I'd be like, "Somebody's gonna get some some action tonight, huh, Crystal? Did you see what I'm He's a man. That Kyle is one big tough man. He is scary."
Anywh who, uh, all right. So, uh, thank you for the super chat, good sir. So, now let me show you what I asked. So, like, initially, I was asking, um, you know, chatbt for I always look at I I'm always in all caps because that's how I do my, uh, I do my thumbnails. So, don't read into me. I wasn't yelling at AI, but they get, you know, it's giving me like, you know, what happens if we run out of emergency oil reserves in four weeks? And I'm like, I'm not, and it was trying to make me feel, but I'm like, I'm not asking for an answer that makes me feel safe. I'm asking for a real answer so I can plan accordingly for my family. It's like, all right, you're right. So, here, this is the real planning answer. Okay. If the US had no emergency reserve left, which according to the president is four weeks away, and supply was and supply was still limited, meaning the straight was still, it doesn't even matter because there's still there's we're going to like trail behind because like it's not like oil gets out and then immediately there's diesel fuel, you know. [snorts] Um the main danger is not America has zero oil.
It'll be price shock, regional shortages, diesel trucking stress, and government emergency controls. The SPR is crude oil, not finished gasoline.
Even if it were gone, the US would still have domestic oil production, refineries, commercial inventories, imports, pipelines, private school, but the country would have lost the emergency tool it used to blunt the supply crisis. The SPR can normally release up to 4.4 million barrels a day and oil can uh enter the market 13 days after a presidential decision. So, as of the latest Okay, so bottom line is what would happen if reserves ran out and supply stayed tight? Okay, phase one, prices go violent.
So the uh market would well like so I think if I looked this up somewhere else it said that like gas will be $8 a gallon. Uh everything and that means everything gets more expensive. Then phase two diesel becomes the bigger family level problem. Gasoline is what you feel personally. Diesel is what's keeps the system moving. Diesel is what runs the trucks, freights, farms, uh construction equipment, generators, emergency vehicles and a lot of supply chain infrastructure. Diesel gets scarce or brutally expensive. You don't just pay more at the pump. You'll see it in groceries, Amazon, U delays, food stocking, medicine distribution, school transportation, trades, repair availability, and higher prices for basically everything. Phase three, now you have gas shortages and gas lines.
It's uh like not like every gas station will be empty, but it'll be uneven. Some areas will be okay. Some will have lines. Some stations will run out for hours or days. Some would get refilled, sell out again. Texas has a lot of refining infrastructure which helps and uh so we it's like hey you you'll be cool it's like nice that's that's good okay what about the rest of the country um it but it says uh panic buying alone will create shortages [clears throat] one thing it said is like uh hey make sure that you guys keep your your tanks at least half half a tank or if it gets even worse threequarters of a tank full it's like yeah my wife's I'm going to liter like I would have to threaten to like I don't even know My wife is the worst. She runs her car down to [ __ ] empty every time. It makes it makes me insane. Soon as I go, like when I get to under a quarter a tank, I'm already like, "Okay, I should probably just stop." I like my gas light gets on. I just stop immediately. She's like, "What? I got another 60 miles." It's like, "What?" Okay. Uh phase four, government starts rationing indirectly, then directly. Before official rationing, you would likely see controls on export restrictions, fuel blend waiverss, pressure on refineries, emergency trucking, so on so forth. Then demand destruction.
Okay? And then here's what it recommends that you plan for your family. Okay?
Doesn't need to be MadMax, Mad Max, but plan for 2 to 8 weeks of expensive, unreliable fuel and messy supply chains for your households. Keep at least vehicles half full. If it gets worse, 3/4 full. Have 2 to four weeks of normal food at home. Not survival buckets, just stuff your family already eats. Rice, pasta, sauces, protein, yada yada. Get prescriptions and key OTC meds ahead.
Okay. Keep some cash and small bills. Do not store dangerous amounts of gasoline.
Reduce your must drive exposure. Watch diesel, not gas. Bottom line is gas from $6 to $10.
Okay? And again, all of this relies on us being able to get them to chill so that we can make this [ __ ] deal. You guys, I mean, you guys can speculate with me if it's likely that that happens because, you know, they don't see uh they don't seem to be super keen on the deal that's on the table given the fact that they straight up openly sabotaged it in front of the entire world after Trump said that. I'm pretty sure he might dude honestly he didn't specify.
He might have meant global emergency reserves.
I mean like honestly let's watch that one more time in case people are just getting on and you guys tell me this is the only this is the only thing that we're trying to decipher here is do you guys think Trump meant that he meant American emergency reserves or do you think that he meant global or at least western emergency reserves when he said this? And again, he is saying this because people were calling him a [ __ ] in the press. And guess who was doing that? You know what I mean? Like, who do you think controls the press and was behind everyone saying that he's being a little [ __ ] Like, you know, cuz he's a pretty simple guy to manipulate. You know what I mean? It's like, hey, you want him to do something that you want, tell him that he's great and he's special and you, you know, whatever.
Heat praise on him. or if you need to then you say, "Oh, well, he's a little [ __ ] for not doing whatever." That's the most likely way to like manipulate him. That's the only reason that he's even like having this conversation publicly and then he betrays his position like this.
>> I'm going to get bad press. I know that.
Now, if I did the opposite, if I went out and continued to bomb them for another four, just bomb the hell out of them, I'd get bad press on that. No, there's nothing I can do. But what this does is it allows the ships to go. If we if we keep bombing, those ships won't be going. And you're talking about 500, 600, 700 million dollars a day. It's a lot of money. A lot of money. That's why the world is okay. It's liquid. It's fine. Also, we run out of reserves in about four weeks. You know, there are reserves all over the world. And we would really run out and there'll be a time.
>> Jesus, he did say all over the world. I actually didn't even catch that the first time.
Oh my gosh, man.
Oh man, that is hilarious, dude.
Okay, like guys, here's all I'm saying is if you think that that him saying that we run out, that the global oil reserves run out in four weeks is some kind of strategy, just at least at least explain to me what that strategy could be in any scenario. like what what possible strategy could there be aside from that he is being told why they have to do this deal that gives Iran basically everything they're asking for and he's like why are we doing this they're like we run out of global oil emergency reserves in four weeks we have no choice we have to they h they they have us by the balls we've lost there's nothing we can unless you want to nuke them and then cross our fingers that and even if we did that even if we nuke them you still would have to wait like see what happens after the ash is And then you have to go in and then you know clean up the mines in the straight like you're talking people if people do not understand how the the entire world is absolutely 100% reliant on oil like they have us by the balls they've won right like so they say that to him and he comes in he's like all right got it and it's like this is the second time I mean I don't really I don't watch a lot of this kind of stuff like you know straight up politics people saying things into microphones for you know in a suit but the you know the other time that I saw saw him do something like this was when uh when BB Netanyahu and him were up doing like a a dual press conference and Trump and this is when Trump was started talking about the you know putting up Trump hotels in Gaza and he was like doing like AI that was making it like oh the Trump Gaza Strip and it was like and and he said it into a microphone and BB literally looked at him like he looked at him like what the [ __ ] and at the time for some reason I just because I hadn't been paying attention to this issue at the time and so I thought he was looking at him like is he really acting like America's going to take over this is ours. We've been fighting for it forever. But I think what he was actually looking at him is he's like, "Did you just say that out loud?" Like they had made a backdoor deal that him and Kushner, whoever is going to redevelop the Gaza Strip after they flatten it, you know, and uh you know, and uh depopulate it as they would say. And then for like and then Trump is like, "Oh, there's a microphone in front of me. I'm just going to say exactly what I'm thinking." And they're like, "Guy, do you not know the difference between like uh like a corrupt secret deal and what you can say into a microphone?" And then and then this one, we run out of strategic oil reserves, global strategic oil reserves in four weeks.
>> Reserves in about four weeks. You know, there are reserves. That's why the world is okay. It's liquid. It's fine. Also, we run out of reserves in about four weeks. You know, there are reserves all over the world. And we would really run out and there'll be a time when you wouldn't be able to get it. And you want to see bedum.
>> This right here. And now if you watch their reactions, >> this is Rubio wants to look directly at Lenik and go, "What the [ __ ] did he just say?"
>> So you can see he's trying to stone face a watch. He's like he >> four weeks. You know, there are reserves all over the world and we would really run out and there'll be a time when you wouldn't be able to get it. And you want to see bedum >> he's trying to he's trying to eyeball what Lenik is doing in that moment without looking directly at him. He's trying to see how he's reacting because he realizes, oh, okay, this might be the biggest [ __ ] up of all time right there.
So again, the deal's off. Four weeks of global [ __ ] oil emergency reserves and now Iran knows that.
And in spite of that, Israel launched a 150 target attack on Lebanon, which they knew for sure would blow up this peace deal. And the entire world is hinging on this thing going through. So again, like the thing that is this whole thing Israel has been doing for however many decades or whatever has all been about them being a superpower that controls the Middle East, which relies on chaos in all of these Muslim countries. It's why they like I've se I've watched so many documentaries in the last like uh I don't know last couple months that where now I'm like okay and then I remember stuff that I had read many years ago and I didn't really understand how all of it came together and now I'm like oh I see now I see exactly what is going on and if we come out of this thing with the way that this deal is put in place it lit not only is it the backfire of the century where they got us to attack Iran and like it not only Yeah. I mean like my they thought it was going to cause chaos, whatever. It's the opposite. Now Iran completely Iran is a superpower. Iran brought the United States to its [ __ ] knees in spite of everything America could throw at it militarily. All they had to do is cut off the straight of Hermuz, which anyone can do apparently. It doesn't even matter if you have that [ __ ] great of a military. You just have to make it to where ships can't go through there. And now they are in the driver's seat to the point where we had to give them everything that they were asking for.
And where does that put Israel in terms of their regional power? Not very good.
So this is like this is like the backfire of the [ __ ] century for them. And so and they still are going to have to be put in in check. They have to stop. They're going to have to stop, dude. Or otherwise, who the [ __ ] knows, man. [snorts] Um Chatty, what's up, dude? Uh thank you for the super chat. The elite met two months ago in DC to discuss an energy lockdown. Nice.
Yep, that doesn't surprise me.
It seems like there was a good reason for that, you know.
Uh, Dexo beats, thank you very much, dude. If you're in a war, elections can't happen. I may be wrong. Israel's election is this year, right? I'm not sure. Maybe Netanyahu wants a war to stay in power and get more money.
Deadlock. Love your show. Maybe. But at the same time, like I said, I mean, like we are going to h the term the terms of the deal that we have to do or else the world descends. Hey, is it easy for us to to do war without [ __ ] oil? Pretty critical part of the of the war machine, right? And now Iran knows four weeks of global oil reserve, emergency oil reserves. So, does that limit our ability to uh to wage full-scale war while people are not getting food in the homeland? Yeah, I think it does. You know, so we just we have to get the deal done.
And and in that deal, Israel is literally handcuffed. They are not allowed to attack their regional neighbors anymore, which is all they [ __ ] do all day every day, it seems like. You know what I mean? So, uh Rhyno, thank you for the thank you for the dollar. What about uh oil reserves in Venezuela? Uh, thank you very much for the super chat. It that the thing is that's crude. Like so there's a whole entire like supply chain and there's a and the infrastructure in Venezuela in Venezuela is good for you know uh getting it out. There's I don't know like there's it's not as simple as it sounds is the is the answer. I don't want to like just start spitting out nonsense that I'm not bulletproof on but it's like it's not that does not solve the problem is the short answer.
[snorts] Uh Burnog, thank you very much for the super chat. I'm glad my kids are too young to know what's going on. Six and two. any advice on how to explain to them in this in time keeping them far away? It's simple. Don't tell them. Just don't tell them. I mean the the good actually I mean I don't know the good thing would be the only good concept to come out of this if it does play out bad is going to be kids and and candidly not just kids us like our generation and and below has never faced any any real adversity like not real adversity you know like in the 70s they had gas shortages and who know you know I don't like that's destroyed Jimmy Carter's presidency But like they had Vietnam. We you know we had the you know Middle East like the conflicts Afghanistan, Iraq which are bad but there wasn't a draft. Like there's a very like there's a very big difference between us waging war and it's all volunteers versus a society where you get a [ __ ] letter in the mail and your kid is forced to go sign, you know, go sign in and then go to war and then your son gets killed, right? or your neighbor gets killed or your brother gets killed. You know, if they sign up for it, it's equally it's equally tragic, but they at least signed up for it. Okay. I know a kid uh one of my dad's best friends um who I grew up with, his son uh actually I'm not I think both of the both of his sons um were Marines, but I know his oldest son that I was friends with growing up was a volunteer Marine and he got killed in Iraq. And uh and my dad's friend was a u a surgeon and he like the way that he dealt with his grief was he volunteered as a trauma surgeon with the uh with the with one of those, you know, multiple of those units. So he's like he was like a very successful surgeon and he literally left his practice and went over there so that he could like like you're talking like stone expert surgeon and he was working on injured soldiers over there.
He's a [ __ ] American hero, you know?
It's an incredible story. Like he's on uh I know he was on stage with uh George Bush at one point. I don't want to like say his name or anything, but it's like I mean I grew like this is this is a very close friend of my my dad's and uh and again, but I bring that up because it's like volunteers. It's it's it's not like it hurts any less for the family, but they volunteered. A draft totally different thing. Like completely [ __ ] different. Like just think about our like think about not my generation as much as like think about like the kids now who are like between 18 and like 25.
Okay. If you know do they strike you as uh the right temperament for here's an M16. Now go [ __ ] dig a hole and start shooting at people.
you know, Jagger. I mean, I you I mean, listen, you can whip anyone into shape.
You when you [ __ ] put them into an environment where they have no choice, but they have, you know, you put them in a real boot camp, they're going to come out a lot better than they were. But like, these are not, you know, from a generational standpoint. Like, there's a reason why World War II people grew up hard, dude. They had real, you know, challenges in their life and then so they're more equipped to deal with challenges over there. We've been babyed, man. Like all of us, none of us have dealt with any real societ societywide problems. And I've thought about that all my literally my since I was old enough to have kind of a rationale about uh large issues. I've thought about that iss that itself that it's like man I wonder if there's going to be like some point where our generation faces something really bad like because we've had it so [ __ ] easy and uh you know that but anyway I was going to say the the thing that you is just conservation is what you could you know teach your kids like the the fact that you can't just take for granted that there's always going to be more stuff for them. You know what I mean? Uh Ken with the reaction. Thank you for the super chat, good sir. And uh it's just zero. Thank you very much. Um if you were forced to speculate, is the is there an actionable path to save the world from this quagmire? Sadly, I see no valid path at this point. Am I crazy? I mean, the actionable path is we they like Israel has to be put in check. They ha they have to stand down. We we have to pull whatever strings we have with them to stand them down because the reality is like they're they're they if they really like grasp the gravity of the situation.
They're in the same situ if if we go down you know what are the what happens to them because it's not going to be them like oh okay cool you're fine like don't we provide all all the stuff that they get and like that's this has to end you know it has to end. I don't I like I don't know if they're throwing a temper tant. I don't know what the [ __ ] is going on. All I know is that they have been behaving this entire time like they have tremendous leverage in this situation that I can't reconcile if it is at a country level. I can understand if it's at a personal level. It's like, hey, you don't want us to, you know, tell the world blah blah blah. But in terms of like now it's time we have to really yank the chain and we could just just be like, we'll cut you off. You guys cannot behave this way now because our entire society is at risk. We're not doing this [ __ ] for you. We've been doing [ __ ] plenty for you guys, dude.
Now you guys need to chill. Like whatever mechanism needs to happen for that needs to happen. But again, I mean, it's hard for me to like uh to look empathetically at that group right now. But just try and think about it from their perspective where like they are going to be handcuffed from the campaigns that they have basically been running for however long now given the fact that those campaigns seem to be uh a lot of dead people in other countries.
It's like I'm but I'm pretty sure that the you know the peace agreements also handcuff those other groups, right? So like oh you're at war with Hezbollah.
Well, if Hezbollah attacks then then what? Right? Like it did Hezbollah attack Israel? Is that why they attacked? Because I haven't seen that anywhere. All I saw is BB say, "Yeah, we attacked a bunch of Hezbollah people the day after, you know, this peace deal got put in place."
And so if the other side is agreeing to peace deals, like it seems like they are, then they should be able to agree.
But it's like, but then they can't expand. So someone needs to just be like, "Hey man, it's a nice dream. It was a great it was a great while it lasted, but you're going to have to give it some time." Here's the other thing, too. Why would anyone believe an agreement that happens right now? On the other side, they're like, "Okay, cool. So, like, uh, you know, the So, wait, you're saying uh that you guys are going to agree to this peace deal right now?" And especially now they're like, "You guys have four weeks of emergency oil. What are you going to do once you get restocked?"
H what are you guys going to do then?
you wouldn't be you wouldn't you wouldn't like do a deal with us and make believe like it's important that we all you know maintain peace just so that you could get you know back on your feet get strong again and then attack us again because you guys are so [ __ ] trustworthy I feel like we made a deal with Obama that you know you just literally were like we're out of that deal [ __ ] you how's that deal look now dude pretty [ __ ] good you know what I mean so I don't know man I don't Uh, Dexo Beats, thank you again, dude.
Um, 27. This isn't the America I was taught in school. Where's the American dream? What is reasonable anymore?
That's a whole different conversation that candidly I think is less about, it's more about the development of technology than it is about anything else. It's like people, this is uh an ongoing historical concept where when cars, you know, cars get invented and people start adopting cars. People who, you know, are like, well, the horse people are like, oh my god, where the horses are going to go. It every time that there is the advent of new technology, it puts other things out of business and it puts things out of work.
And the reality is where we're at right now is the entire way that humans have lived for the last hundred year or forever. I don't know, but like let's just say since the industrial revolution, this is all going to be it's we're going to have to remake the world.
And candidly, I bet you if you got into those secret meetings at the World Economic Forum and these guys, you know, project 2030, this is the problem they're actually trying to solve. I think that it is le it's probably if you got into those rooms, less nefarious than we've been assuming that it is. Be but like because here's reality. When I was examining this stuff four years ago, you know, all this all the World Economic Forum stuff, I didn't understand AI at all. Like I I didn't get it. Like I just, you know, was like AI is going to do blah blah blah. I'm like, "What the [ __ ] are they talking about?" I did not I had no concept of what AI actually could do. And now that I do really understand what it can do, this is not like a this is not a complicated concept. The the entire system of currency traded to people who then buy the goods and services. It's like money, you buy goods, you buy services, and that's all in order to create labor for the larger group. You know, you need labor to create the things that everybody needs, and then you trade it all. It's like, dude, all of that's going to be done by machines.
Like, that's just what it's there's it is absolutely inevitable. All of that stuff's going to be done by machines.
So, what jobs are there going to be for people, right? It's like there's not going to be a need for human labor, for human ingenuity. Like, there's no person. Like, listen, think about this, dude. Okay? You think about like the the occupation of an attorney, right? People think attorney, they think guy in court arguing case. That person's probably going to be good. But how about all of the other attorneys whose specialty is doing research into cases and blah blah blah blah. You know what I mean? It's like all these people that have to constantly be, you know, oh, we got 20,000 files we need to, you know, we need to go through blah blah blah. Just think of like think of an attorney is a pretty high level job. You have to go through a bunch of schooling to do. And it's like, dude, why would anyone need a team of attorneys to do any of that? You literally just go to your, you know, one attorney who's going to argue the case.
You go to your, you know, upgraded top level AI system that you're pay for and you're like, "Okay, this is the here is how I'm looking at the case. I need I need historical cases that support my argument that blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah." You you know, and then you put it through one AI that helps helps you build the correct command. to put it into the other AI and then boom and you have [ __ ] thousands thousands of human hours of research all condensed in in like an hour and it's a hundred times better than anything they could deliver. Boom. All of those people out of work just like that. And that's not even physical labor. Physical labor that's a that's a wrap also. So like humanity is going to need is going to go through like a violent shift in terms of how people are able to like house and feed themselves because slowly but surely all these things you know remember learn to [ __ ] code. Hey learn to code bro hey hey learn to [ __ ] code. Hey how'd that work out? What about somebody who actually listened and they were like, "Okay." And from that moment on, all they did was just focus on becoming like an incredible coder. And then as soon as they get done coding, it's like, "Oh, AI is going to do that better than you with someone just asks it what to do and it'll just do it." They're like, "Fuck.
What should I do now?" It's like, "Learn to use AI to code." Okay, cool. I'll I'll move on to that. It's just going to get slower, smaller, and smaller, and smaller, and it's it's inevitable. And uh I have no idea how it's going to play out. I just and candidly I don't I don't think that I am even an exception to this at all. Like you would think if there is an exception to the rule that it would be someone you know someone who's uh I don't know an on camera person who's like you can't really put your finger on why you like listening to them because it's just like a thing and they're you know oh whether they you know are I don't know exaggerated or whatever they're entertaining or you think they're funny. Well, okay. So, that they all the major platforms have already or certainly Meta has already said publicly that they're going to allow AI influencers. Okay. So, if you have my entire library of content, okay, and then you have an AI strong that's literally going to watch all of my videos and it'll just recreate someone that looks not like me but has all of the same manners, which I'm extraordinarily predictable. Okay? I didn't realize how predictable I was until I started going back and I'd watch my previous videos from like three years ago. I don't remember what the [ __ ] I said, but I watch it and I already know exactly what I'm gonna say in the video before I say it. And it's like, whoa, dude. AI will have me cloth like that.
And so the next gener I'm pro we're probably looking at the last generation of real influencers also. They're going to be AI also. It's like everything is going to be machines. And uh you know that is uh that's what we're actually looking at. And so I mean for the short term dude uh I mean I have no answers. I don't know your background. Engineering like engineering is always a good place to start you know like I don't know. I mean again there's probably a reason why China in the China Tik Tok algorithm is all engineering and mathematics and the [ __ ] and over here they're like make them all think that being gay is the ultimate thing to aspire to. You know if you're gay you don't need to worry about anything else. And if you're trans, then everybody needs to carry you around on their shoulders and tell you that you're special, you know. And meanwhile over there, they're like, if you even considered making a big deal about being a homosexual, we'll throw you out of society, you know. Um anyway, so uh Nicholas McGovern, thank you very much.
The path is on is honestly and the politicians need to is honesty and the politicians need to come clean in most cases because certainly Trump should not have come clean on that one. And I agree with you though, like if people start, can you imagine actually like can you actually imagine radical honesty from politicians at this moment? You know, like if you got you start talking to these guys and you know how many of these guys you already know exactly what they're going to say before they even talk. That's why I never watch any of this [ __ ] Like when I was when I was saying like, you know, I don't watch stuff like this very often. It's I'm telling the truth. It's because I don't I don't need a packaged communication, you know, where someone says a thing. I mean, that's honestly probably one of the main reasons people responded so well to Trump is because his personality defect is he's incapable of that. Like, he can't he's incapable of package communication. He's just going to go off the cuff no matter what. And so, you're like, "God, it's about [ __ ] time, man." You know, I needed someone reading off a teleprompter to me again. Like, I needed a hole in the head. and you know that there's a million things going on behind the scenes that are not what's being said. And if you don't know what they are, then you're going to assume nefarious intent. Like why would you not? And when you think about like the project 2030 thing, like what I was talking about is like if you know if they have if that is actually what they're doing is they're trying to you know and everybody looks they're like dude this is [ __ ] communism. It's like yeah because that's inevitable at some point. I've been saying this for 20 years, like communism is inevitable at some point once technology produces all of the things that we need. That doesn't mean that it's going to be any kind of utopia, but there is you're going to be forced into it because humans will not have any other way to like live, you know? But when people are reading it and they're like, "What the fuck?" And you you're looking at that and of course I'm going to assume nefarious intent when at the exact same time we got these [ __ ] locking us in our house making us wear masks and then they're talking about digital IDs so they can [ __ ] track what we do say or whatever and it's like yeah okay whatever they're doing like you know maybe there's too many opportunists at the top of the hierarchy which are the people who are going to have to implement this stuff to where I feel even remotely like confident in what their solution is going to be because it's like okay so this is what we're going to you know they're smart enough to know this is inevitable and you're like okay so we're the ones who are going to have to solve it and you're looking around the room and it's like [ __ ] Bill Gates and he this you think that this is a guy who's like he's immediately like ah I know what we'll do he's like so we we you got to think about the cow cow problem he's like so if I can control the food then I can control the people if I can control the food then I can control the people so he's buying up farmland then he's like let's just kill all the [ __ ] cows man let's get rid of all the [ __ ] cows and Then I could just produce the meat, produce the food, and I could control everything. You're like, "This is the [ __ ] guy who's going to solve this, dude. This [ __ ] guy."
He's like, "We're going to genetically engineer mosquitoes and genetically engineered ticks, and we'll make them allergic to the meat, and then my stock price will go to the moon, and I'll be worth$2 trillion." It's like, [ __ ] me, dude. Great. Love it, dude. Why didn't we let him take over earlier? You know what I mean?
Mavel, thank you very much. Good.
Maveli, I bet you do enjoy this stream.
and I enjoy your name. Thank you very much, good sir. Wstream loving the commentary. Thank you, man. Um, James Harper, thank you for the super chat. Do you think CO was a way to to slowly start to integrate AI? So, after CO people are kind of using it more and start relying on it more and more in my out left I just think that like I mean I'm sure that AI was obviously way more advanced and usable before we were using Chat GBT. I mean everybody had the same experience when they when they used Chat GBT for the first time. They're like, "What the [ __ ] How is this re how is this real?
How does this exist?" I don't even know when that was for me, maybe two years ago or something like that. Um, and the other thing that you can also take for granted that I actually have never said publicly, I don't think I was thinking about this the other day is whatever Palunteer has gives the military like just think about this like the all the things that you think about like the ability that the government has to monitor you and how they can access your, you know, like your devices and they can instantaneously with AI like scan every message you've ever sent, you know, geoloccate every single person you've ever been around. They can tell you.
They can tell who your real friends are because they your phones were at the same place, same time. They'll just build out a report on you in [ __ ] one second. Okay? And all the things you can't even think of the Palunteer can do. I guarantee you that is an eight and a half of 10 of what it's actually capable of. And Peter Teal and those guys are the only ones who have access to the full 10. So like who knows what that looks like but when it comes to controlling society and all of that stuff like it is inevitable these tools because the second that you opt in here like the second that you are like yeah I I want social media I want the ability to surf the internet on my phone like I want the ability to do whatever you've opted in dude you know like you've opted in it's the phone you can opt out whenever you want you know if you don't want to tracked at least for now while you still have the ability to just go buy your own food and go do whatever like you can opt out tomorrow but if you have a if you have a smartphone you're opting in everybody has to understand that you can't just complain about it it's like dude there this is a this is a deal that you're making you get to use Facebook for free get to use Instagram for free get to do whatever it's like oh they're sending me all these ads that's because if you don't have to pay for a thing that makes you the product and so the advertisers are paying to get access to you and Palunteer and all of these other you know things there are inside of your device tracking you. That's what you're opting in for. You want all this stuff that comes with it. Just, you know, you're I mean, people are are literally opting into giving their [ __ ] biometrics to these people like, "Oh, you're wearing a smartwatch." It's like, "Yeah, this is my heart rate. This is my whatever." They could [ __ ] They probably have all of these data they're not even telling anybody about where like, you know, they have AI saying, "Oh, this you're like, yo, what was my sleep score?" Like, they're probably like, "This guy's got seven years to live. This person's got two years." They know all kinds of [ __ ] that you do not know about yourself. But you're opting into it. Valhalla, what's up, dude? Uh, I heard the chat. I heard the chat's bullying my boy. Leave our boy Jesse alone, you little chut. Thank you, sir.
Valhalla BFT, ladies and gentlemen.
That's my dude. Birthday party in Vegas at some point that we're all going to.
But, uh, appreciate you, dude. I don't like I the the It's like of you know, I'm like, oh, this is super smart of the president to say they're like, ah, they're going to be so angry. It's like, what the [ __ ] dude? Like I just all I want to know like if somebody really has a a a genuine dispute of the primary piece of data that I'm sharing in this thing, like tell me what that is. If you think that Trump was supposed to say that there was four weeks of emergency reserve left, then tell me what the strategy was. Honestly, I'm not like just tell me what it was because I apparently am not smart enough to think of what reason betraying that piece of data in a in a the most critical negotiation of all time. Like how would that be a good like how could that possibly help anyone or anything except for our enemy? You know what I mean? JD, what's up dog? JD JD delay. Uh people spending hours watching a dude they don't like just to cry in the chat is no job having mindless behavior. Dude, listen. I have always had a group of people that are like, "Fuck him, dude. I don't really understand." I appreciate you though, JD Delay, you guys. My two of my favorite [ __ ] guys in the world, JD and Nate.
But yeah, like uh I'm apparently an acquired taste. They're like, uh I've always had people [ __ ] with me in the in the comments. The only thing that used to piss me off though, dude, is like the old like I never give a [ __ ] if people are like talking [ __ ] in the chat. That's the whole thing is uh you can't do this if that stuff actually bothers you, you know, or at least you can't do it like I do it.
And uh like think about how many haters Jake Paul has and he's objectively [ __ ] winning in every category. It's like I don't you know what I mean? It's like you're if you're if you don't have haters, you don't matter. The only thing that used to piss me off is when I would go on like, you know, in the MMA community is much smaller. And so like I would go do like a like a guest appearance on someone's shows like a [ __ ] huge like UFC fight like former fighter, former world champion. And then I would look and they would [ __ ] flood the comments probably, you know, 10 like 10 accounts for each one of them. They'd be like, "Never have him on again. [ __ ] him. D I'd be like, "Oh my, you [ __ ] little [ __ ] dude. trying to sabotage me with this guy who I've been a [ __ ] fan of for a hundred years. [ __ ] dude. But on my own channel, I never give a [ __ ] you know.
Uh, Cali, thank you for the super chat.
Some people hate critical thought because they can't participate. That's true. Well, listen, dude. Like, that's why I'm I'm literally looking for someone to tell me what what which part of this am I missing, dude? You know what I mean? Like, what what am I missing?
A, Israel just blew up our peace deal. B, the president accidentally apparently said into a microphone that our allies have four four weeks of emergency oil reserves. So now Iran really has us by the balls.
Uh, I talked about what happens if the oil reserves run out. And that's just in our country. Like I asked it to prepare.
Like the only way I could get, you an honest answer from AI was to say that it was for me to plan what happens in places that do not produce any oil. That's in America where we produce oil. What happens to our allies? What happens? Have you guys been watching the [ __ ] World Cup and like how incredible the Japanese fans are, you know what I mean? Like the Japanese fans are amazing. They they stay after the games to clean up the stadium and then they get like, have you seen the interviews with them? They're [ __ ] [ __ ] amazing, dude. The Japanese are are my favorite people in the world right now.
What happens to them, dude? Like, what happens to them? They just [ __ ] starve.
And Israel's like, "No, we can't stop blowing." No, we're just going to continue to blow up Lebanon. [ __ ] everybody. [ __ ] Japan. [ __ ] America.
[ __ ] everybody. It's like, no, [ __ ] you.
You know what I mean?
Um, that's cute. I chop my opinion on a daily. Oh, really? Well, so that the only way someone could defend that is if the way that you assess opinion is, hey, you said that you voted for Trump. Now you're saying something negative about Trump. That's flip-flopping every day.
It's like, no, that's updating my opinion with current information. And I don't hate anyone. I just point out when people make very poor strategic decisions like in this case Trump got tricked by Israel into attacking Iran got trapped into this situation and now doesn't seem to be able to yank the leash and then during this negotiation betrayed the fact that we had four weeks of global emergency oil reserves which is a [ __ ] catastrophic misstep that I can't even wrap my brain around. That's just what it is dude. You know what I mean? That's just what happened.
fear-mongering for clips. For clicks.
Okay, [snorts] dude.
Oh my god, that is [ __ ] hilarious, dude. I know. This is what I'm talking about. And like, so hypothetically, if this goes bad, which I again, I'm open to people's ideas of how like which part of this I'm misrepresenting. I would love to be wrong, dude, because I'm going to be honest, we're not. We're going to be all right. We live in [ __ ] Texas and we have plenty of money. Okay. I'm concerned about all the other people who do not fall into that category where their areas are not going to have lots of gasoline and they're struggling financially, okay? I'm not like some selfish [ __ ] that's like I don't care about anyone except myself.
Like this [ __ ] actually concerns me. And the fact that [ __ ] like what part of what I'm saying could poss what could you possibly argue with? Like what? This is just like this is there there's not even any critical thinking unless you're just purely playing politics like it's a [ __ ] sport. You know, I'm a Niner fan, so I will root for the Niners no matter what. It's like I'm not rooting You think I'm rooting against Trump? You think I'm rooting against America? I'm not rooting against America, dude. I'm pointing out that we have a very very bad situation and we have an an ally over there who is [ __ ] us on purpose, you know.
Um anyway, all right. So, I got to jump though because I'm going to take my family to dinner and I'm going to make sure um Wait, what? Hang on, hang on. I voted for Trump, Jesse, to get the Dems on my side.
Huh? I What?
By the way, in case I need to re reiterate this, dude, [ __ ] the Democrats. Okay, this is what I'm like, if I say Trump made a mistake and you hear, "Yay, Democrats," that's a you problem. Okay? I will say exactly what I mean all the time. I promise you that. I just got done saying Trump did an amazing thing with the UFC. I loved it.
I [ __ ] loved UFC 250. Freedom 250 is the best [ __ ] UFC ever. This is a little bit more important though, right this second. And we were looking like we were making great progress and then they spit in our [ __ ] face on the public stage. And then Trump's response was to talk about how everyone should, you know, be, you know, like hold BB Nahu up. I don't even know like if has there been any updates since Oh, one thing I did forget to show you guys is this and then I got to jump.
So, Mario said, "Anyone wondering why I'm criticizing Israel a lot today?"
Okay, the defense minister just said, "We have flattened the entire first line of villages in southern Lebanon. All the houses have been destroyed. The residents will never see them standing ever again. The 200,000 Lebanese residents who were in the security zone are never returning again." None of them, not one of them will ever return to southern Lebanon. Nice. And then the minister of uh national security said, "Every tier and Israeli mother uh for every tear, every tier of an Israeli mother, a thousand Lebanese mothers must weep. All of Lebanese all of Lebanon must burn."
Oh man. Listen, they sure know how to get a guy on their side, huh? You know, they sure know how to get us on their side. That is hilarious, dude.
[laughter] [gasps] Oh man, that is hilarious. Okay, for this is what I was looking for. For argument sake, the emergency reserves are fine and it's misinformation. Don't believe that. But it would be textbook art. No, it would not that. No.
If the reserves were fine, okay, we've Listen, so I hear what you're saying. You're saying like if you're weak, act strong. Totally. The thing is that that's what we were doing before we signed an MOA and Trump for some reason thought that that meant that we had a deal in place when we didn't because the MOA also was relying on, you know, Israel to chill. They did not.
Right? So he did the exact opposite where we were weak and then he acted strong. But then afterwards he let them know how weak we actually are. That's and you can know that that's the facts because when you look at the actual details of the deal, it's a complete and total like Iran wins everything. You know what I mean?
But at least I mean at least uh at least you're trying because I mean do you know what I mean? It's like it's a I appreciate someone proposing some kind of idea, but I don't there what there's no benefit to making Iran think that we're weak when we clearly are trying to make a deal. like they we want them to believe that we're strong even though the entire literally from the moment they closed the straight of her moves I said I'm like they have us by the balls and whenever that Zack Bryant concert so if we look up Zack Bryant uh Zack Bryant concert in San Antonio I remember exactly where I was when I first said that and it was that night so whenever that was San Antonio Zack Bryant concert I was like we're [ __ ] I was like I I knew this is what was going to happen and that was a while ago. Um, oh, so Bellan gifted a membership to Jesse and thank you to whoever uh or to you and then whoever got the gifted membership. Enjoy. Lots of uh fun members only stuff. I Oh, I need to drop there's a members only video. I actually I'm going to release that right now because I ended up accident I made two videos about the same topic kind of and uh they're both equally awesome. But I was like, okay, I'll just put that one in members. Wait, I just froze. No, I didn't.
Oh [ __ ] my bad. Danny Tobia, thank you for the super chat. Good sir. Okay, I gotta jump here in one second. Uh Jess, you got some clowns in the chat tonight.
I don't know. That's uh JD and and uh Nate were saying that I like I I try not to get too tied up in in it because I get super distracted. It makes my stream not good. Uh Peter, thank you very much for the super chat. Appreciate you. and that Shauna gifted a membership as well.
Thank you, Shauna. And congratulations whoever got one. And like I said, oh, I know, I know, I know, no. I totally understand. I didn't think that you actually thought that. I was just trying to think of, you know, like again, you're the only person that proposed anything, you know, that where it would make sense. I or well tried, you know.
Uh Alli's Ally, thank you very much for the super chat. First of all, you cracked me up.
We have the same ADHD and I don't think you're predictable at all. you say some [ __ ] and I'm like, "Holy hell, did you just say that?" Out of pocket, love you, dude. Thank you very much. I uh I will say that I laugh at all my own jokes when I watch. Like, if I watch my content from a while ago where I don't remember what I said, I do definitely laugh at my own jokes. I don't know if that's weird, but I do.
[laughter and gasps] All right, thank you guys very much.
We'll be back. Uh we'll do something something fun tomorrow as well. Love you guys.
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