Political coalitions become vulnerable when voters begin questioning whether elected officials are delivering on their promises, as demonstrated by the unexpected Republican loss in Arizona where independent voters who supported Trump for economic benefits felt their expectations were not being met, leading them to shift their support to Democrats.
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Trump MAGA Republicans LOSE SHOCK ELECTION in ARIZONA by 19 Points!
Added:It's not in their daily lives, but it is. And if suddenly we don't have if FISA is dead in the water, what is that going to mean for America?
>> Well, one critical aspect of this is that it allows our intelligence agencies to listen in the phone calls of foreign nationals when they're in other countries.
And because of that, we gather a lot of intelligence about, you know, bad things that could happen here in the United States. Uh planning of terrorist attacks being a a good example of that. So, that lapsed last Friday. Now, we're still collecting, you know, some of this intelligence that's out there, but the longer this goes on, the harder it gets.
And it seems that Donald Trump cares more about the politics of all of this than the safety of the American people.
And he wanted his nominee, Bill Pouty, who is just fundamentally unqualified. You almost can't find a more unqualified individual than Bill Pouty to be the director of national intelligence. So, he wanted this guy in there. For me and a lot of my colleagues, even Republicans, we look at that in of itself as a security issue for the United States.
>> Were you prepared to confirm Jay Clayton?
>> Well, I met with him yesterday and I had some questions. You know, I think some serious questions prepared for him for the open hearing today that I would expect to get decent answers to.
Uh but we're going to have to see. I mean, he he doesn't have a lot of experience at this. He's a lawyer. He is, you know, works at the Southern District of New York. He runs that office as the US attorney, but is he qualified for this job?
In the statute, it says you have to have extensive national security experience.
He doesn't have this. Is he better than Bill Pulte? Yes. He's a well-respected >> individual. Yes, he's better than Bill Pulte.
>> bar is down here, he's above that. Let's talk about this Iran deal. Do you expect to actually see the text before Iran signs off on it? Is Congress going to have a say?
>> Well, we should get a say and we should see the text. I mean, I've got, you know, here sitting in front of me the what is supposedly this 14-point plan, you know, that was released and then the administration says, well, they this isn't it. I think they realize >> should.
>> What's that?
>> We don't live in should. What what's really going to happen in the next 2 days?
>> Well, I imagine we'll eventually see the text and Congress should get a say and, you know, whether this is the deal we make with the Iranian government. But, what I'm hearing and seeing so far in this plan, this is like total capitulation. Imagine if Joe Biden or Barack Obama signed this deal, what Donald Trump would say about it. And so, if this is his plan, I think at least if Congress gets a say, this thing's a non-starter.
>> For the American people, if this deal gets signed, what will it mean for us?
>> Well, I think it emboldens the Iranians, it makes them more powerful, it gives them resources to build more ballistic missiles, it may leave them with the ability to develop a nuclear weapon, it makes the region more safe, with which ultimately means that we are less safe.
>> All right, let's talk elections. Today, Georgia will start a session on redistricting. What is the right way for your party, for Democrats, to deal with these challenges from gerrymandering?
>> Well, I mean, we've got to fight back and in the state of Arizona, we have it Well, we have an independent commission that um was done through ballot initiatives. So we we're a state that can easily get stuff on the ballot and the people of Arizona decided that they were sick and tired of this gerrymandering. So we put forth a ballot initiative and it's an independent commission. Doesn't do a perfect job, but it's much better than a lot of other states and it's gotten rid of some of this gerrymandering.
What we need to do is pass the John Lewis Voting Rights Act.
That could go a long way to eliminating a lot of this partisanship in how we redraw these districts. And the situation we have now is we have very few moderates, very few competitive districts in the US House of Representatives. So there's not a lot of moderates. There's and there's a there's a not a lot of incentive for people to work across the aisle.
Um and Donald Trump is trying to make this worse.
>> But you're a moderate. How you going to change that? Can you?
>> Well, I mean if we've got an election in November. So we're working really hard to win back the House and the Senate. We win back the House and the Senate in 2026 and 2028. If we can hold it, we can win the White House. I think we have a path forward to the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, which will put into federal law um you know, rules around, you know, how do you redistrict, vote by mail and all these things that help more people vote.
We have a stronger democracy, Stephanie, when more people vote. This administration is trying to make it hard for people to vote. And in my state, I've got a lot of tribal members. They live in very remote areas. They don't have things like birth certificates and passports. The SAVE Act, what Donald Trump is pushing, is try what the the whole plan is there is to make it really difficult for people to vote because he knows when there are low turnout elections and you disenfranchise certain populations, it's more likely that somebody like Donald Trump and the people around him, his candidates, will get elected.
>> Mark, there's one other thing I want to cover, but we've got viewers sending in questions right now. They like theirs more than mine, so we should ask theirs.
>> Sure.
>> Senator Kelly, what should be the best What is your best recommendation for ending the war with Iran? This is coming from Gerald from Oakland Oakland County, Michigan.
>> Well, I say the first thing is put put somebody who is a professional in charge of the negotiation, not the son-in-law, not the real estate developer. I would start there.
>> Well, that would be a good start. Um, I want to ask you this.
We're on the eve of the 250th birthday anniversary of this country.
Um, what is your message to America? Because when we look at recent polling and when you look at how people feel about the future of the country, how people feel about the health of democracy, it's not good. What is your message to the country right now?
>> Well, first of all, 250 years of a democracy, it's a great achievement. And we've done incredible things in those 250 years. And I think if we, you know, get our stuff together. I know it's the first week of the year's show here. If we If we get If we get things together, I think the rest of the century can truly be another American, you know, century where we >> All right, we've got a call to make in that race in Georgia we've been looking at. Ally, what can you tell us?
>> Mike Collins is going to be facing off against Jon Ossoff in the Senate competition. And in November, he's got 56 55.6% of the vote with 61% of the vote in against Derek Dooley. Here's the He's endorsed by Donald Trump. Let me just show you what happened in May in in this thing.
Derek Dooley did well in parts of northern Georgia around Atlanta and here. This is Buddy Carter. This was he was in the race. We got 25% of the vote.
Look at Buddy Carter's district what has happened now. It's all gone to Mike Collins. So we're actually probably going to see that the spread maintained if not increased.
But Mike Collins will be the the Republican candidate there. In the in the governor race we still haven't got a call here. 62% are in right now.
>> Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones endorsed by Brian Kemp and by Donald Trump is running 10 points behind Rick Jackson.
>> So many topics. President Trump scored a very big win and a big loss in last night's Georgia runoffs. His Senate candidate Mike Collins will advance to face incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff in November. But the president's pick for governor Burt Jones, well he fell short. The group chat is still here. David Gergen What do you make of last night's results because Collins, Trump endorsed, Brian Kemp did not.
Burt, they both got behind and he fell short.
>> So you're you're hitting at something that really fascinates me about the Trump endorsement this day and age and that is it comes late. And I don't know if that's because of indecision on his part. He doesn't know which horse to back or he's worried >> Did you not watch The Apprentice? He likes to make you wait and wait.
>> end. Yeah. But but one wonders about the efficacy of that endorsement in light of that. So he's clearly very happy that he has backed a lot of candidates who've done well. There've been very few losses in in these primaries. But you look at Texas.
He put his endorsement in that race late. He did the same thing here in in Georgia. And so what happens is there are these bruising and Iowa these kind of bruising and very expensive primaries in the run up to that. And so he can take credit for all of this. But I think a lot of Republicans and indeed Democrats would say a lot of damage is done here because both of these candidates aired a lot of dirty laundry on the other's part. Now that's going to kind of dog them into the the general election. But I spoke with Raphael Warnock the senator from Georgia yesterday about the political terrain in that state. A purple state of course. He and Jon Ossoff both won. They feel that it's a very still a contested state that Democrats can do well there.
Um, I mentioned money a moment ago. I think a ton of money is going to get poured into this race, and Jon Ossoff, of course, against whom Mr. Collins will be running, has raised something like $50 million already.
>> Pastor Warnock is keeping the faith. Uh, much like Georgia, you just said it, your home state of Iowa opted not to pick the Trump-backed candidate for governor. What does that suggest about voters?
>> Uh, first of all, uh, Randy Feenstra was the candidate that Trump endorsed. He's a congressman from northwest Iowa, and it boils down to he is in favor of carbon pipelines that that take carb- CO2 and bury it in the ground to make ethanol, okay?
And Randy Feenstra likes these pipelines, and the the rural Republican base hates them.
And so, he lost based on that. Trump didn't recognize it. Trump said, "I got bad information."
Uh, before his last-minute endorsement.
And, uh, the guy who won, Trump later said, "is more like Trump than Trump is." So, uh, he's a Maha guy.
Uh, his name is Zach Wahlin, L-A-H-N.
And, uh, he wants to take on big ag and break it up, and big pharma and break it up, and clean up Iowa's water. We have We're the top cancer state in the country.
>> My gosh. David, here's what's complicated.
Trump endorsements in these Senate races have been very successful, right? And if they end up successful in the general, well, then where the Republican caucus is going to >> The most dangerous election losses aren't the ones that happen in swing states. They're the ones that happen in places your party thought were already secured. Because when voters start abandoning candidates in states that were supposed to be safe, political strategists begin asking questions they don't want to ask. That's exactly why Republicans are paying attention to Arizona right now. For years, they viewed the state as part of their path to power. Today, many Republicans are openly worried that Arizona is becoming one of the clearest warning signs of a larger problem developing across the country. What's fascinating is that much of this frustration isn't coming from Democrats. It's coming from voters who once gave Donald Trump the benefit of the doubt. They supported him because they believed he would lower costs, strengthen the economy, and make life easier for working families. Instead, many voters still feel squeezed by housing costs, food prices, insurance bills, and everyday expenses. That's creating a gap between what voters expected and what they believe they're receiving. And in politics, expectation gaps are dangerous. The irony is remarkable. Republicans spent years arguing that economic performance should determine elections. They criticized Democrats relentlessly over inflation, affordability, and cost of living concerns. Now, those same issues are being used by voters to evaluate Republicans. Families don't judge politicians based on speeches. They judge them based on whether their lives are improving. If people don't feel improvement, frustration starts spreading quickly. Another challenge Republicans are facing is that some of Trump's recent decisions have divided even his own supporters. On issues ranging from foreign policy to government spending, there are signs that parts of the Republican coalition aren't as unified as they once were.
Some voters believe Trump has gone too far. Others believe he hasn't gone far enough. Either way, division inside a political movement is usually a sign of weakness, not strength. What's really interesting is that Arizona has become a perfect example of how quickly political landscapes can change. Not long ago, Republicans dominated statewide elections. Today, Democrats see opportunities they never would have imagined a decade ago. That's not because Arizona suddenly became a liberal state. It's because independent voters have become increasingly influential. And those voters tend to punish whichever party they believe isn't delivering results. The broader issue comes down to trust. Political parties stay competitive when supporters believe progress is being made.
They become vulnerable when supporters begin questioning whether promises are turning into reality. Right now, many voters appear less interested in partisan arguments and more interested in practical outcomes. They want lower costs. They want economic stability.
They want confidence about the future.
Maybe Republicans recover. Maybe conditions improve. Politics changes quickly. But, if you're looking honestly at Arizona and several other competitive states, it's easy to understand why Republican strategists seem nervous.
The coalition that brought Trump back to power appears less united, less enthusiastic, and less patient than it was before. And when voters start questioning whether the people they elected are delivering on their promises, even states that once felt comfortable can suddenly become political battlegrounds. That's the warning Republicans are seeing, and it's one that's becoming harder to ignore with every new election result.
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