A Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) is a non-binding diplomatic document that establishes mutual understanding between parties without creating legally enforceable obligations or penalties for non-compliance. In the US-Iran MOU, the USA maintains significant control through mechanisms like Treasury waivers for Iranian oil exports, conditional sanctions relief tied to nuclear material disposal, and an executive monitoring mechanism, while Iran's strategic leverage is limited to the hope that the USA avoids military confrontation. The document demonstrates how diplomatic language can create the illusion of mutual benefit while preserving power asymmetry, with the USA retaining decisive influence over Iran's economic and political future.
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Deep Dive
Let's dissect the US-Iran MOU "deal" line by line~!
Added:Finally, the long awaited deal deal between Iran and United States is done. But first, you need to watch this video first by JD Vance criticizing Israeli cabinet members.
>> He's saying something to somebody else that he's not saying to me. What I will say, and this does bother me, is that you have seen people within BB's cabinet who have come out and attacked the deal and in some ways very personally attacked the president of the United States. And I guess my message to them would be twofold. Number one, Donald J.
Trump is the only head of state in the entire world who is sympathetic to the nation of Israel at this moment in time.
And he happens to be the head of state of the world's superpower. If I was in the cabinet of the Israeli government, I might not be attacking the only powerful ally that I have anywhere left in the entire world. And the second message I would give to some of those cabinet members, BB to his credit has not gone down this path, but to some of these cabinet members in Israel who are attacking the president of the United States, the other thing that I would say is that over the last 3 months, 2thirds of the defensive weapons that have protected your homeland have been built by American hands and paid for by American tax dollars. The problem for Israel is not Donald J. Trump. And anybody in Israel who thinks their biggest problem is the president of the United States needs to wake up and smell the reality of the situation that country is in. Thank you all.
>> Smell the reality Israel. So this as I mentioned before in previous videos, Israel is going to go down the path pivoting away from United States.
And this is yet another of this signals and sign that this is a reality. A lot of the things that I'm going to talk today is things I have mentioned before and reported before and a lot of things seems to largely come true based on the developments. And first thing first is the signing of the deal. Uh this is Donald Trump signing the not the deal is aou is a memorandum of understanding. So he's Donald Trump is the first uh cemetery.
Uh he signed this during the G7. So that beside him was uh you can see Macron over here. So this was um yeah of course Trump as usual will will try to blow it up and hype it up as if it's some kind of deal but it's not. It's a memor memorandum of understanding. So memorandum of understanding is basically we agree on paper black and white that we have no misunderstanding among between you and me. We both understand what you and me want and what we plan to do. It's not a deal that is it's not binding. There is no punishment for not doing anything or at least not on the paper. It's it's not written into the paper that you know yeah you're going to get punished if you not do anything. It's not a deal. No there is no penalty for not following it is just understanding so we both understand each other so we can move ahead that is the whole point ofou I have mentioned this quite a number of times before uh in previous that was being signed so so this oh my god so uh then the it was being signed by pzishken mas piskian and the fact that he is the one signing uh just shows that he is in this negotiation or somewhat. To me, this is a signal that the one that is has been negotiating with the Trump administration is the civilian side. You know, instead of you having, you know, u the IRGC side or you know the supreme leader Mushtaba signing it, you have Peskian. So it does shows that it's it's less on the uh theocracy side or the IRGC side but it's more towards the civilian side that is actually signing the deal. But of course it is we have to see what the foreign minister will say the Arashi or the RGC will do because mainly you know I think the foreign minister is more towards the RGC side and we shall see whether know they will follow the deal or what not. So he he signed it first then it was then uh signed a third signature was signed by Pakistan. Uh it is signed by Pakistan. You can see this is the same piece of paper. It was then signed by Pakistan's uh prime minister.
Shabbaz Shariff Sharif sorry Sharif Sherbuzz sounds very is Jewish name to me but anyway Sharif is not no Sharif is is a Muslim name. So yeah, so this is now now known as the Islamabad memorandum of understanding with Pakistan as the guarantor. What can Pakistan guarantee? I have no freaking idea. I don't think Pakistan can do anything about anything regarding between Iran and United States. But you know, yeah, but he is going to he's just a mediator. Put it that way.
So, Peskian on his official X account has dropped the full uh doc document that they they they have signed and putting it transparently. Uh it is kind of kind of funny because the second page is so blur like why is it so bad? Why is this so blur? The signature isn't this blur but the text is so blur in the second page is super weird.
um like what the hell happened to this?
I have no idea what the hell happened.
Anyway, the we we'll go through uh line by line uh to and then to understand what is actually being agreed upon or at least understood between all parties. So this is the official one although I prefer to read the official one. We do I do have a CNN transcribed version uh over here. Uh but I think this is a bit hard to read as well. But anyway, we we read this one first. Can I like zoom in? Okay, cool. I can zoom in. So the so this is not uh written in. Okay, nobody cares. It seems to in give me give me a second. I'm very overexposed.
Um let's push push this down. Yeah. So um the isl the Islamic so point one Iran and United States and its allies in the current war by signing this declared the immediate permanent termination of military operations on all fronts including in Lebanon. This is a point where Iran wanted uh to be in this document that they will not sign anything without Lebanon in the uh in this deal or in this uh document. And so Iran got it and undertake from now on not to initiate any wars or any militia operation against each other and refrain from the threat or the use of force against each other to ensure territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon.
the the the entire thing about Iran forcing Lebanon in uh honestly this is not reality like this is not the Lebanon is never the important thing but no Iran's I believe Iran slotted in so that they can look righteous they can look uh better in this entire thing I do not think the Lebanon issue is actually any important uh other other than know they're trying to protect Hezbollah Uh but otherwise yeah they they slot it in to make sure that this deal either give them a ultimate win from on Israel forcing Israel's hand or to force the deal to fall off to fall through. Anyway uh the final deal will be a permanent termination of war on all fronts including Liban and other provision of this paragraph. So so the deal is very weird because the war has never been about Liban. So, so it's a it's a very weird situation where they have aou but then Lebanon is such a big perman like a big like repeated word three four times three to four times. So uh though this is already one of this uh anomaly if you ask me so point two so again this is the Iran and their allies. So so it might and USA and their allies. So this might this might include Hezbollah in it, Houthis in it, Hamas in it. It can al it will also include all the Arab states.
So basically total ceasefire. The second point Iran and USA will respect each other's sovereignty and ter territorial integrity and refrain from interfering with each other's internal affairs which means USA has abandoned the protesters inside of Iran essentially. So this is a win for Iran. Uh Iran cannot do much about the internal affairs in USA. So no that is a non-issue at the first place.
Number three, Iran and USA commit to negotiating and achieve the final deal within 60 days and extendable by mutual consent. So they agree they understand that they will try to achieve a final deal in 60 days in two months time. So this is not the deal. Like I said this is not a deal. This is just aou. They only agree to make a deal. That's all it is. They only agree to make a deal. And what is the uh what is the preconditions or the conditions the the terms to even talk is this is is all this no fighting and all the other things that is being mentioned below. So and they will make a deal. What is the deal about? What is USA going to demand of Iran? Why is Iran going to demand out of USA? We shall see because like I said this is not a final deal. This is not legally binding.
Nobody no one is obligated to do anything. This just if you want to continue on this understanding then you follow the understanding. Otherwise no there's still no deal. Um immediately upon signing of this MOU, USA will begin the the removal of the naval blockade and uh any disturbance and impediment against the Iran and fully end the naval blockade within 30 days. So the blockade is still not fully removed yet. 30 days to remove which is kind of funny because you don't need 30 days to stop a NE blockade. you can stop immediately but uh it's done in a way that is not going to incentivize uh incentivize uh Iran immediately. So USA can say no.
Oh, it's not yet. We are still trying to implement. They can still stop any ships they want within 30 days. So we shall see. And they also mentioned that the traffic of vessels will be proportionate to the number of pre-war traffic being restored by the Islamic Republic of Iran. So the traffic of vessels will be in proportion to the number of pre-war traffic being restored. So, so which means that the blockade is still on until 100% of the pre-war traffic shipping traffic is is restored. So as long as the the shipping traffic is not fully restored that means Iran is still uh blocking ships or no threatening ships uh for any reasons trying to make uh you know get a toll or whatn not then the blockade will will continue which is also the reason why you know it takes 30 days that means they still want to exert any form of blockade on Iran depending on how much Iran is willing to let the traffic the shipping uh shipping shipping traffic go through.
So, and the USA will remove its forces near Iran within 30 days after the final deal. So, this is about the final deal.
So, so this is a promise by United States that in the final deal if signed USA will remove his military near Iran.
So, this is uh understandable, but it's also a win if you ask me. is a win for Iran because that means that there is a possibility that USA will leave Iran alone in this final deal and which means there is no occupation that means United States will not enter Iran militarily.
So good deal for Iran. So good deal for Iran.
Upon signing the MOU, Iran will make arrangement using its best effort to ensure the safe passage of commercial vessel with no charges for 60 days only.
So 60 days because it's 60 days to meet the final deal. So Iran sort of uh have to concede this entire hall uh toll which they try to implement which I say is not possible to implement. Um so they agree they will not implement honestly even they want to do it is also not doable as United States has said that anyone that pay the toll they also going to get punished by United States. So, no one is going to pay the toll. And from the shipping traffic over the past week or two, my understanding is that almost no ships uses the Iran's uh route.
Everybody is using the U. United States Navy protected route in the southern part near Oman which which uh a big number of ships also know traveled turning off this uh indicators and lights and whatnot and protected by the US Navy and they managed to sneak out of the streets of Hormos also means that Iran actually have limited capability right now to actually track the shipping in the streets of Hormos. they do not have the radar or they might not have the weaponry to actually intercept ships. So that is also important thing to note that Iran right now actually uh their ability to control the streets of Homos is very very degraded. Is very very degraded. Not entirely gone. This there still is but it's very degraded.
Maybe the radars are all gone. uh the ability to send the ships out to intercept is not is not there because uh American Apache helicopters and uh no A10s navy is all patrolling non-stop at the straits of Hormon. There's basically almost no way for the Iranians to actually intercept any ships. So that is also the reality that you have to understand that Iran is facing. they they have to make this concession because there's no way they can uphold the the the this idea nor can they actually stop ships. They can fire at the ships not at the streets of Hormos but deeper inside of the Persian Gulf.
You know, they cannot fire at the ship of Horos because it's totally uh saturated by US military. So uh so if you go if you go back and go and search u where the Iranians attack ships you realize that it's all deeper inside of the Persian Gulf is not the sh of Homos because no ships is going to go near to Iran and and the entire area is just saturated by US military. So that's one thing and uh after that um the traffic of the commercial vessels will immediately start considering the needs of for removing technical and military obstacles and demining by the Iran will be instated within 30 days.
So immediately the ships must be able to pass through and and then within 30 days uh Iran will start. I believe consider the need and yeah within 30 days Iran will start to do the mining and removing military or technical obstacles. So it's also not immediate. So so no win no lose in ter of that it's just no coop everybody is just know play by year and see how it goes.
Iran will conduct dialogue with the sultanate of Oman to define a future administration and maritime services in the state of Homos in discussion with other Persian Gulf literal states in line with applicable international law and sovereign states of the coastal state of states of horos.
So um this is a bit of a mouthful. So Iran will talk to Oman to define the the the the future of ships of homes in discussion. So the will conduct dialogue with Oman in discussion with others. So this is a bit funny of the way how they word it. So they will talk they will also bring in UAE and karta and whatnot uh to discuss about the streets of Homos thing and uh yeah so that is mainly it but uh they the the the writing deliberately know inserted the concept that you know Iran will talk to Oman exclusively but then they also discuss with the other states.
So this is just uh no playing with words and I believe again I believe this is something that is forcefully inserted by Iran uh again similar to the Lebanon situation to position you know Iran in a much more positive light or more in control and generally for Trump uh Trump's position is that he don't really care this kind of thing. Uh so in in in terms of how Trump's behavior is that it doesn't matter what you write on the paper the US military will will just know overrun whatever thing that you're trying to do. So that is the Trump's mindset. So you know so this is important to note that why the writing is like this is because you know Trump's perspective is that he will not argue with you on the semantics because the semantics don't matter. The reality is that no, you can't win in militarily against United States. That's the Trump's mentality. Um the US uh will and his partners will develop a definitive mutually agreed plan with at least 200 billion US for reconstruction and economic development of Iran. The mechanism for the implementation of this plan will be finalized as part of the final deal within 60 days. All required license licenses waiver permissions needed for the relevant financial transactions will be granted by the USA.
So USA and its partners basic basically my understanding is is the Arab states Saudi Arabia, Qata, UAE and whatn not they will develop this plan uh which is an investment worth $300 billion for reconstruction and econom economic development. This is the carrot. It's important to note of all of these things, this is the carrot that they are offering Iran.
What is the what is the purpose for this carrot? Is the nuclear uh is the nuclear u disarmament or the nuclear uh giving up of the nuclear enriched nuclear uh stuff that Iran have. So this is the carrot. Now this is not a concession. This is the carrot because the other way is just go to war and Trump as I mentioned in multi multiple videos months already in in fact years Trump is not a pro war guy. He don't like war. He don't like to order people to go and kill a lot of other people. He prefer kill very small number of people to achieve a much bigger goal or if he can don't kill anyone. That is a Trump's perspective. Obama has a totally different perspective. He will just order a lot of drone strikes, a lot of all these secret uh operations, covert operations, kill a lot of people, but then it doesn't seem to achieve the goals uh in in some sense. No. So, uh although no know maybe it does it did do something though maybe there will there are lesser terrorist attacks because of all these drone strikes. No. Trump is a totally different kind of president. he works differently. So like I said, I expect a ground operation because I expect a regime change. However, right now looks like Trump has decided not to do a regime change or at least he just don't want to put his soldier at risk.
Like I said, Trump is very promilitary.
He's very anti-war. He don't like endless wars. He don't like to know he don't like his soldiers dying. Put it that way. So this is so task there's a carrot but this carrot is not easy because we are talking about the regional partners the the Arab states which has been bombed and attacked for no apparent reason other than they are friends with United States by Iran. So particularly Kate. So where how they going to out this money?
How this money going to spend spend on what thing? Definitely this countries are going to have stake inside of Iran.
This is not free money. This and a lot of the media that is anti-Trump or people who are pro-Israel or unhappy with Trump making this deal is writing this as a payment. This is not a payment. This is this is for reconstruction economic development is a plan and right now is only a plan. There is no money involved. There is no direct money payment and and the mechanism for the implementation of this plan is not even decided yet. How is this plan going to be uh implemented? What are they going to invest in? What are the reconstruction or the econom economic stuff? Nothing is decided yet. So this is just a promise that Trump is trying to get the Arabs to agree on and I'm quite sure I'm very very sure that the Arabs agreed to this very very reluctantly. They are forced into it basically in by by Trump to try to create this carrot and Trump is very clear about not paying this from United States. This is going to be largely almost entirely funded by the Arabs. Uh very Trump, you know, Trump is not going to spend US money on this if he he if he can help it. Unless there's pure benefit, you know, there's very clear benefit for the United States. I don't think he going to put the money in. So the this is uh this is totally not concrete at all. Any talk about this is a $300 billion payment. No, they are just spinning. They are just spinning information warfare or misinformation.
There's no payment like anyone can can agree to a plan to anything but you also plan to do know all your new year resolution. How much have you done it? A plan is nothing until execution. So don't think too much about this and is guaranteed by United States. So we shall see how this going to be developed.
Honestly, I think largely it will fall through uh as the Arabs is going to demand a lot from the final deal uh to for them to even spend any money and I think this is going to be unlikely to happen for for for what I think. Um this so the the other page is horrible. I'm not sure why is this why is this so bad like the signature is fine or mostly fine but how the hell this is so bad so I prefer to read the original one this is posted by Peskian I although I have the CNN version uh but I think let's read this one um the United States will undertake uh undertake the termination of all type of sanctions against the Iran including the United Nations Security Council resolutions. So the the the UN Security Council resolution don't make any like like you know can be overridden by United States any time. As I mentioned international law today is purely the rules by United States that's international law as long as United States say that's the rules that's the international law. No. So UN security council resolution don't make any difference. No one is going to uh enforce it. But the international law will be enforced. And by who? United States. Which is why is a United States rules and why the rules does not apply.
The international law does not apply to USA. Because USA is the enforcer of the rules. The rules do not apply to them.
For those that don't like international law, you know, this is the reality of international law. Just know just deal with it. you know um IAEA board of governors resolution and all unilateral US sanctions primary secondary in an agreed upon schedule as part of the final deal. So the sanctions are still on they will only be removed upon a schedule inside of the final deal. So until there's a final deal, the sanctions will still be on and they will not be off. They will not be removed entirely immediately as well in the final deal. There will be a schedule. So this schedule 100% is going to be conditioned. There will be term and conditions. There will be preconditions.
There will be like you know things that Iran must do. Then they will start to remove one by one. One by one. That's why there's a schedule. So and the Iran and the USA acknowledge the critical importance of the sanction sanction termination issues above and express their intention to immediately address the issues in the negotiation to achieve mutually uh agre uh to achieve mutual agreement on them. So it is pure nonsense. This entire sentence is entirely meaningless. They simply just agree that they both understand that this the termination of the sanction is super important and important to who critical importance to Iran. There's no critical important it is not important to United States at all at all. Right?
This is an entirely Iran thing. So basically you can just eliminate cancel out cancel out the USA part of this. You can literally read that Iran acknowledged the critical importance of the termination of sanctions and expressed the intention to immediately address address this issue in the negotiation to achieve mutual agreement on that. That's it. You can totally remove the word USA in it because the sanction is not on USA. The sanction is on Iran. So Iran acknowledge the critical importance of the sanctions sanction termination. So this is the stick just now. The one is a carrot, right? The $300 billion is a carrot.
This is the stick. So, and so we shall see uh how this goes. The Iran will reaffirm that it will not procure uh shall not not will not shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons.
Uh and but honestly, shall is a maybe.
No. Should you do something doesn't mean you will not do or you will do something because shall come from should. No. So you should not smoke. You should not eat fatty food. You should do exercise. But you will do none of them, right? You will just not follow it because it's a shoot. It's a shell. You will not eat the fatty food. It's a totally different thing. You know, I will go to the gym is a different thing. The will and shoot.
The will and shell. I I generally I do not see the word shell very positively.
It's just a maybe. But they reaffirm that they shall not procure and develop nuclear weapons. So they should not but doesn't mean that they will not. No, you get the point, right? Shoot and will is two different words. The Iran and USA have agreed to resolve the deposition of or deposition disposal no the disposal of stockpile and rich materials pursuant to a mechanism that will be mutually agreed upon. So they have not agreed how they're going to dispose of this nuclear stock power in accordance with the schedule mentioned in paragraph 7 which is above and and so what it means it means that the sanctions will only be removed based on Iran's pursuant of the disposal of the nuclear facilit uh nuclear materials which means that all these explosions uh I'm not sure I haven't reported on it But Iran have actually blown up some uh entrances and whatnot to basically block the access to all these nuclear materials which is kind of dumb because if you read this carefully to the only way to remove the sanctions is the dis disposal of the nuclear materials. So if they do not rem they do not agree or do not able to dispose the nuclear materials the sanctions will continue to be on indefinitely.
It's important to know. I I I think most people don't read this carefully. You know, I know it's legal document or ish kind of language. It's very difficult.
Um but you know, this is why, you know, I'm talking to you about this right now.
No, it's not it's not what you think.
I have, like I said, the semantics here makes it sounds like Iran is winning. I can tell you for sure it's not. They have no cards. The only cut that they have is two cards. I've mentioned before the two cards are shoot at everybody to to to to bring everybody uh pain and suffering and to close off the streets of hormones to bring pain and suffering to the entire world.
Streets of hormones have to be opened immediately upon this. So one card is gone. The other card similarly is gone because that is fire is a total ceasefire right they you they agree to not to attack anybody. So they have no more cards. What's there to negotiate?
There is no negotiation in that sense.
They have lost both cards by sending the MOU. So no don't think that Iran has won in this one. They lost both of their Trump cards. They have no cards to play.
So the only cards to play their only advantage right now is that USA have a hope for Iran. They hope that Iran will change, will play ball and join back the international order under the United States uh rules which is the international law.
That's what the only thing going for Iran is that Trump don't want a war and that's the that's the only reason that's the only cut that Iran have right now is Trump wanting to resolve this issue.
uh they want Iran back into the international order under US leadership to avoid a war. That's all. That is the only thing going for Iran. The two cards is gone. Okay. So, it's it's important to put into perspective.
I know that some of you guys who are know anti- US or anti-USA or pro Iran or pro-Russia, you know, everything that I'm trying to spin this off. Think carefully, you know, think carefully.
This what's there to win? What's there?
What's what's the win? Do you think the $300 billion is going to drop down from the sky?
How why would anyone invest in Iran if Iran cannot agree to dispose the nuclear weaponry or the nuclear materials? I can tell you 100% the $300 billion is going to be pursuant to to the removal of these nuclear materials as well along with the sanctions that no one is going to invest and rebuild Iran when the sanction is still on Iran. How do you make money? you'll be making money in a place where there's no money. So the $300 billion is not a payment.
All the sanction relief is pursuant to it have to follow to Iran removing its nuclear materials which is their final trump card which is not even a cut they cannot use because there's no weapon.
It's not like North Korea. North Korea have weapons. They they have the nuclear weapons. This is not even a cut yet.
This is a this this this is before it becomes a cut it is a what what do you call uh is something that pull you down no is a liability no okay so the nuclear material is a liability for Iran that's the whole point that's the whole reason why they get bombed at the first place because of this because of this liability Iran wanted to make this liability into a Trump card and this card never appeared because they failed to make the weapons in time as they got bombed. So this is now a liability and they have to remove it. So and and the thing like I said they have the the two cuts that they have stra of hormones and attacking everybody with drones and missiles. This two is already degraded and largely ineffective. The last few attacks that Iran have launched at the Arab states and at Kuwait uh has largely entirely failed. But all of the drones and missiles were shot down by Qatar. Uh I think UAE and Kuwait. I think QA is still the weakest one right now. So they still got hit somehow. But generally speaking is entirely ineffective. Uh the the this shoot everybody strategy is already ineffective. Sh of Horos, like I said, is already massively degraded. The two cards are already halfrone. And then this this nuclear weapon, uh, this nuclear thing, they don't have it yet.
So, the only thing left is actually Trump being naive or at least being too nice that he still hope that he can achieve a Venezuela kind of, you know, deal where they managed to make bring the country into the US orbit without a war. So that is Trump's hope and honestly is honorable because as far as I I can I I can perceive I think Marco Rubio would have preferred a more hardcore stance against the Iran. I think this is more of a JD Vans thing like and and there's actually one clip I didn't prepare this clip is Trump you know saying that it is all on JD Vans if this thing fail let me find it let me find it so I found it is this one let me show you >> this way if it works out I'm going to take the credit if it doesn't work out I'm blaming JD you better be careful JD he's going to turn his plane around and get the hell out of here yeah I like that idea I think it's a good idea this way.
>> So, so take take a look at Marco Rubio.
U although some people read a lot into it. I will read a bit into it as well.
Marco Rubio doesn't look happy with this deal. He doesn't look happy at all. He looks as he's trying to be as neutral face as possible. Trump is pretty happy.
Uh no, generally speaking, you can see that know this if it works out, you know, Trump say he's going to take credit for it. Clearly, you know, he would, but then it's also a joke, but he would.
But, uh, if it doesn't work out, he's blaming blaming JD Vance. So, it is a JD Vance push solution. JD Vance is a is a staunch Catholic and he is he staunch Catholic? I think he's a Catholic as well. I think I think Marco Rubio is a Catholic as well. But anyway, the JD Vance is anti-war. He's very anti-war.
JD V is anti anti-war and he's pushing for this deal so that they don't have to sacrifice people. So Marco Rub is a bit more hardcore. He's a bit more realistic about battling adversaries. Uh he is more willing to go hardcore. So I think Trump this time around prefers uh to go the JD vans position. I mean I am speculating but I think that is the situation. So so this is the JD Vans thing. No. So, so I think we shall see. No, we shall see. So, if it's up to Marco Rubio, like I said, no, I think the United States will go continue to put hardcore pressure and they would just forcefully take straight formos and all these things. Anyway, we continue to read. Um so the the stockh and rich material pursuant to the mechanism will be agreed upon in accordance to the paragraph 7 which is the above which is the no schedule of removal of the san sanctions with the minimum methodology to be down blending on site under the supervision of the IAEA. So I believe the what it means I believe I may not understand this entirely correctly is that IAEA will be involved in uh this disposal of these nuclear materials and they they will decide how to do it on site that means the IAEA will be on the ground in Iran to look at the situation and decide how to remove all these things. So the two parties which is Iran and United States also agree to discuss agree to discuss no the issue of enrichment and mutually agreed matters relating to Iran's nuclear needs based on a satisfactory framework being agreed upon the final deal. So what this means is that the United States will will be willing to discuss with Iran regarding Iran's peaceful nuclear needs, peaceful nuclear developments. So and this will only be based on a framework that is satisfactory to United States.
So clearly based on a satisfactory framework, this is clearly a US thing.
This is a US win. It's not a Iran win at all as much as this. No, they put two parties because why would Iran need to consult anybody about their own nuclear development, right? Agree, right? Agree.
You're pro Iran, right? You pro Iran, right? You agree, right? Why would Iran need to answer to anybody or know ask anybody for permission for nuclear development?
But now they need now they need they need to agree. They need United States to agree and United States must be satisfied of the framework. If not, then there's no deal. So, so which means that Iran's nuclear future will have to be dep dependent on United States approval.
So, this is a US win. Like I said, this document make it feels like, you know, Iran is winning, but it's not. You have to read into the lines line by line. If not, you're going to get confused by the media. that the media is going to focus all about the $300 billion which I can tell you I don't think the $300 billion will ever reach Iran at all. I don't even think they will be invested because I think this deal will entirely fail will fail. The the I think it will fail.
No, I don't think this this deal will make it. But it's important to understand the deal as if it makes it at least we know what is it about and you will not be brainwashed or scammed by the mainstream media and uh so next line. So the the Iran and United States acknowledge the importance of nuclear issues mentioned above which is the disposal and and the peaceful development of nuclear uh energy and express their intention to immediately address the issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreements on them. So this is kind of a stupid statement again. Basically, you US and Iran agree that it is very is critically important to talk about the nuclear issues which is critically important for the removal of the sanctions which is critically important to the uh to the $300 billion investment in reconstruction and economic development of Iran. Everything is tied together.
There is everything is entirely tied together. So there's no there is no free stuff. Everything is a carrot and a stick. So you know important important. So pending the final deal, Iran and USA agree to maintain status quo. Iran will maintain current status quo of its nuclear program and USA will not impose new sanctions and will not deploy additional troops in the region. Again, this is yet another semantic game uh in the document.
What it means is that until the final deal, which is 60 days, within 60 days, USA and Iran will not do anything.
Status quo will remain and which means status quo of its nuclear program. That means the nuclear program will not advance.
USA will not impose new sanctions and will not bring in more troops into the region. This is actually a guarantee for Iran that USA will not invade Iran within this 60 days. This is actually a a a request I think a demand from the Iran Iranian side because they're afraid of a of a ground invasion. Uh as I can I can tell you militarily they know they can't win in a ground war. But the thing is that they also know that United States don't like to lose soldiers. They don't want people to die. They don't like Americans to die. So um generally speaking they don't want that while the deal is being made then United States start to know build up massive of forces that is ready for a ground invasion and then know Iran get scammed into this deal haven't then as they want to sign a deal they got bomb and then all got killed and then the US start to invade into Iran they don't want this kind of scenario which is pretty smart to force this into the into thisou which I agree is a good is a good point. Um and it's a real danger. It's a real real danger for Iran that while these 60 days while they negotiate United States bring in a million troops. Don't say a million just bring in half a million or 250,000 troops they can easily invade into Iran and know cause strategic know uh strategic defeat on Iran just by this just by 250,000 troops. know us that's that's basically almost an this this like an entire army for for most countries. So this is a is a doable thing for United States. So no Iran is rightfully uh need to have this guarantee. So this is a good guarantee. Uh point number 10.
Um United States undertakes immediately upon signing the MOU.
Uh well he did a pen pen note there.
Okay. Under the until the termination of sanctions.
The US Treasury will issue waiverss for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum and other derivative and all associated services including banking, transaction issu, insurance and transportation. So let let's understand this again. USA will immediately after signing thisou and until the termination of sanctions.
So from the point of signing theou all the way to total termination of sanctions the treasury the department of treasury will be issuing the waiverss.
So it's just a uh this just I think administrative thinks that because the sanction is still on. So the so I Iran can export their oil and petroleum products but they will need they will get waiverss uh specifically from the US Treasury.
Then this includes uh banking transactions, insurance and transportation. uh which means that United States is now allowing Iran to sell its oil to uh US allies or United States or US friends. That means the whole world can now start to buy Iranian oil and petroleum but only upon they get the waiver from the US Treasury. This means that this is almost like a Venezuela situation almost like but not entirely because Venezuela oil is entirely controlled by United States but for the Iranian oil all the oil export will now have to go through United States. So I think that is basically it unless I think they try to sell to China that will be entirely entirely different thing. I'm not sure how they're going to deal with that, but that's uh that's one point.
The so this is important to note. This is actually US control over Iranian oil within these two periods because once the the sanctions is entirely terminated, then there is then Iran clearly can sell this oil freely. So then there will be no more needs for the US Treasury to get involved. But from this point onward all the way to to the full termination of sanctions Iran can now sell its oil but only upon approval of the US treasury. So no that that is a US win for now but no if they able to sell then of course Iran also win too because they get money.
Point 11, the USA will undertake full available of use the frozen or restricted funds and assets of Iran upon implementation of this MOU which is a good win. This is a great win for Iran that they are now able to access their frozen assets. But I think this this I think there will be some uh nuance to that as some Arab countries have their own sanctions on Iran. So I'm not sure if this applies to Arab sanctions because some Arabs Arab countries have frozen Iranian assets themselves with their own law and whatnot. So we shall see how that is being applied by the Arab countries. USA and Iran will mutually agree on the procedures related to the release of these funds during negotiations which means it's also not immediately right. So it's not immediately as well. So that means the this this unf unfreezing of the funds is not immediate.
They will they'll undertake to make fully upon the implementation of this MOU. But that means there's still a process and and this pro this this unfreezing of the funds will be uh based on mutually agreed procedures during the negotiations and the funds whether retained in the original account or transferred shall be made fully usable for payment to any ultimate beneficiaries designated by the central bank of the Iran which also means that the Iran Iranians actually don't get to touch the money at by the sounds of it that means the payment so and so the funds is now fully usable to make payments but then the payment is to any beneficiary designated by the Iran is not Iran take the money and then they can decide how to spend it. uh this is an important nuance again like I said the text the semantics in the text in this documents in this document this MOU is very vague you don't read it carefully you actually miss stuff and you think that Iran is winning this means that the the funds are still frozen and you can only the Iranians can only use the funds to pay people or organizations that the United States approve of put it that way because the the the the Iranian central bank can point, okay, I'm going to pay to this or pay to that. Um X number of millions of dollars or billions of dollars.
They can only point they don't have control over the funds. The funds will will will be released by all these u banks or United States or whatnot. All this money will then be released based on where the central bank of Iran points to. The central bank of Iran will not be able to touch the money. That that is what it seems it is.
And United States will undertake to issue the necessary license and authorization accordingly. This is a sentence. USA will issue the licenses and authorization.
The funds are still frozen. They only say that you Iran can spend it. They can use they can point to who they want to pay to but they cannot use the money to themselves. They cannot touch the money.
They want to spend the money they have to tell United States. United States will issue the licenses and authorization and then the money will be paid. So which means that they can use it freely as long as it's United States approved. Again this is a US win. This is a US control. So now you realize that this document is not so simple, right?
you know is United States getting more and more control over Iran and again who is USA to decide you know how Iran want to spend his money agree I agree but US can control his money so is a US win so it's important to to see this is a stick as well this also a stick and again the full money will not be fully released until the is not they will never get to touch this money until a final deal is done. So, and I'm not even sure if they will even touch the money even after the final deal. That's going to be the funny thing. But I think this frozen thing is of course part of the sanctions which means that you know all this this is all part of the sanctions. So that all this frozen money they can still spend right now despite the sanctions but only upon who they approve.
They will not be able to touch the money until the full sanction is removed which is dependent on them removing and disposing all the nuclear materials.
So everything again ties together. The Iran and USA agrees that an executive mechanism will be established to monitor the successful implementation of thisou and the future compliance of the final deal. So this is basically they just agree to have uh some kind of a council or a grouping or to monitor the situation. So let's take the look at the next piece which is the final one. So after signing this MOU um and the beginning of the implementation of paragraph 1 5 4 5 10 11 the continue continuing implementation of these measures Iran and USA will start negotiating regarding the final deal exclus exclusively on other parag paragraph. So 14 1 14 5 10 11. So what is 1 145 101 again? So one is ceasefire, four is removal slow gradual removal of naval blockade. Five is uh the free the Iranians uh demining removing the barriers for vessels to go through the streets of Homos. 10. 10 is um allowing Iran to start to sell Iranian oil on the market pending US waiverss and 11 allowing Iran to make payments with their to their from their own funds uh by direction of the central bank of Iran with approval of United States. So again it's all money issue you know it's all money issue uh other than the war thing in the in the point number one so so that there is the and then they signed by Islamic of republic of Iran poses and then Donald Trump of United States and the mediator uh the prime minister of Pakistan. So this is the whole deal.
Very lengthy, right? So you know, so I if you watch to this point, kudos to you because I think most people prefer the meme version, you know, the the the this the watered down brain brain rot stupid version of Iran is winning and and this US surrender. It's not. If you read as per we have gone through together you know that United States have total control over this entire deal.
So so no need to read the CNN version and um so this and USA have like I mentioned many times United States actually have not that much control over Israel. um as Israel is a bit too fiercely independent and United States now wrote by Trump that they expect a complete ceasefire on all fronts including Lebanon, Hezbollah and Israel.
You know why he have to put this?
Because he know that the Israelis will not follow the deal and the Israeli do not follow the deal. Israel uh has launched an overnight ground offensive into southern Lebanon uh fighting with the Hezbollah directly and four Israeli military vehicles allegedly has been destroyed and allegedly that is down helicopters. So uh allegedly right you know so this follows 20 US uh sorry 20 Israeli air strikes on residential buildings and yeah immediately the MOU has already been uh violated. Then this is why I say Iran wanted the Lebanon clause in it because this makes Iran the good guys and they put Israel as the bad guy. And clearly I have said Israel will not give a damn about any country if they can help it because they will always uh operate on their own national interest first and foremost even above United States if they can help it. Sometimes they cannot help it. They have no choice but to listen to Trump. But a lot of the times they will just do whatever they want to do. They don't care. And this is one of those because Israel do not recognize theou. So officially Israel does not recognize this site by Trump and Iran because it is against Israel's national interest to allow the IRGC to continue to exist. The this deal would be a strategic defeat of sort remains. Whether it will remain or not, we don't know because like we see in Venezuela, the removal of just Maduro immediately created this total transition in Venezuela from total adversary to total puppet state in a way you know it become a colony of United States instantly within a month. This could happen in Iran as well. So we do not know what are the hidden the agreements because don't don't just think that the MOU is no whatever see the MOU is everything 100% there will be hidden deals underneath the table behind the scenes 100% there will be deals there will be other no demands on the Bashian government to dismantle the RGC or whatn not is all very likely we do not know what are what are those yet. How I know this kind of thing is true is because uh I just read history know a lot of these no uh declassified documents particularly for example regarding Singapore Malaysia during when Singapore is part of Malaysia with the British Empire or those days know when they all these negotiation there's so much deals behind the scene that is totally not in the public you will never see it in the newspaper you will not see it on the black and white deals but those those deals made behind the scenes actually was pivotal to whether the black and white one was actually being signed at all. So don't underestimate the possibility that there are behind the scene demands from the Trump administration on Peshkan to wrestle control of Iran from the IRGC or the Mullers. It is very possible. So, but the the in insertion of the Leman clause is deliberate because Iran Iran needs to have this uh visible victory which is why the documents have been pretty successful because if you do a very raw read very surface read you think that Iran won and know it's just United States conceit everything but when we go through go through line by line trying to understand what it means every line you realize that is is largely u a Iranian surrender largely not but not entirely is a it's a it's a soft surrender soft surrender and but you know it's but it's surrender to a more positive future for example the $200 billion investment and you know re removal of sanctions which they have been sanctioned for decades you know like from the moment RGC took over the the Islamic revolution government take over they were sanctioned all the way until today so you know is is that significant so there is a path to a brighter future and that is the carrot so you know we have to put into perspective in that sense so but you know whatever it is Israel also don't want do not want this deal to go through because what Israel Israel wants is a regime change and ideally a regime change to a country uh to to a government that is actually pro-Israel which is not going to be this pesky or or any version of it um of this current deal.
So Netanyahu say >> confront enemies bent on our destruction.
I say to the leaders of the world, no amount of pressure, no decision by any international forum will stop Israel from defending itself.
As the prime minister of Israel, the one and only Jewish state, I pledge here today from Jerusalem on this Holocaust Remembrance Day.
If Israel is forced to stand alone, Israel will stand alone.
So you heard it from Netanyahu himself.
As I said, this is already something brewing for years. I've done a video on this as well. And is is clear to me. I'm not sure is it clear to you or not. It's clear to me that Israel is pivoting away from United States. They want to plot their own path because they cannot tow us lines anymore. Because by towing US lines, they they are stuck. They cannot destroy their enemies. And now Israel under Netanyahu is hellbent on destroying their enemies regardless of what US wants because to the United States they don't really care that much about Hezbollah. They in fact they don't really even they don't really even care about the Islamic Republic of Iran as long as they actually follows the international law which what is international law US rules. No the rules set by the United States. As long as Iran follow the US order, United States don't really care about the Islamic Republic of Iran. They don't care about the the revolution uh the Islamic revolutionary government of Iran. They don't care. They don't care about IRGC. They don't care about the imulas. They only care that Iran follows the US order. That is not Israel's foreign policy. For Israel, they want to destroy their enemies. They want to because they are paranoid bunch of people. They are very paranoid country.
They they are like a tiny China but China is not even even China is not so aggressive for them. They're like the Chihuahua. No, the Chihuahua always b aggressive, very defensive except that this Chihuahua will actually bite and they will actually go at it. They will actually know rush at you like a bulldog. Yeah, maybe bulldog is like a more chihuahua bulldog mix. No. Okay.
So, put it that way, you know. So that's Israel and this is this is what I have been I've been saying for the past month or two that Israel is going to go on it alone and this also what I said even years ago that Israel is not going to give a damn about United States they will do whatever they want to do and and it's just that Israel is lucky that national interest cons uh has merged between United States and Israel however this is not going to be true when United States subdued Iran. Once Iran actually managed to do the near impossible of pivoting to United States, for example, somehow Pzkian and his uh no more moderate politicians is able to uh able to to depower the RGC and the Mullers and and able to pivot to United States become like Venezuela.
then Israel will have zero zero power the the like suddenly you know USA don't care because US under Trump the whole of Arab countries all the Arab countries is now towing US lines they all following United States particular particularly UAE has pivot entirely to United States I think Qatar also I think Qatar also know pivoted entirely to United States and Saudi Arabia is a very good friend with with uh United States.
So you know once Iran pivot that then the the fight that Israel wanted or or the Israel cares about no longer is important to United States. Then the the then the next big big big bad guy will be Turkey which is a NATO ally. United States is unlikely to do anything much about that. So things is not looking that good. Geopolitically things has not went entirely the way of Netanyahu. He has planned all these things but it did not go entirely the way because he has a friendmy in Trump.
Trump is a massive headache for Israel.
And this is also what know just now in the first video I mentioned about the JD vans about how the cabinet the Israeli cabinet thinks that no Trump is the biggest problem because Trump is the friendmy. He's a friend but and also the enemy of Israel at the same time and immediately Iran has has reacted and demand Israel to stop its attack to Lebanon. If not, they will not continue to talk with United States and u play entirely into the hands of the Iranians and United States. And this is this is going to be the big win for Iran if it ever happens is that if this continues, there might be a point where United States may cut Israeli off the Israelis off. So, so yeah. So this is the entire thing the entire uh coverage of the of this deal this deal.
So very very long video but it's worth it.
It's very important. Um share it with people who actually wants the truth, who actually cares.
Share this video to them. Um, there's not much more I can do about this than to just do a video on this to go through line by line.
There's DPA is only this big. I'm only I'm only this much of influence and probably this video may not even get 5,000 views. So, it's up to you to share the truth to share the understanding of what is happen actually happening. No, DPA is not that influential. So, and the information war out there is insane. So hopefully yeah we'll do we'll try together and make DPA more relevant in geop politics. Um and yeah that's about it and happy birthday to you if it's your birthday today. Press the like button, subscribe, and again uh comment positive comments. You know, if you disagree with me, honestly, I don't care. I just read the whole documents line by line. No, I don't care about what you think. But post positive comments, encourage each other to to be honest, be truthful, to be hopeful, and to work towards the better good. Thank you for watching, and I'll see you guys in the next update.
Bye, guys.
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